/mlpol/ - My Little Politics

Hehe.

>>392462
WTF lmao??! This is the most 4chaniest thing I've ever seen outta Iran!
Btw, Iran's army literally said they don't have any official social media account, so whatever the hell this is, it isn't an "official" channel.
But remember, official...
P.S: It may be fake.

How are "attacks on Israel" going to be any different from the endless false flag attacks the serpent worshipers have been inflicting around the world and locally?
They're just lusting for WW3 and mass death to accelerate the coming of their antichrist "messiah" in their temple they've already got all the materials and plans ready for. It's annoying how big their smorgasbord of lies to try on the world has become. If this lie doesn't pan out, they'll have alien invasions and endless fake diseases and food processing plants blowing up and dollar collapses and other false flag attacks and more to play with.

>>392353
FFS, what a colossal waste of our money

>>392464
Telegram owner was arrested in France year ago and then Telegram deleted all african-related russian channels (Wagner, African corp, even one of my friends blog afric_ylbIbka). At same time Telegram cooperate with Russian government. Some programmers works from Russia, some from Dubai. It's just unscrupulous weathercock under protection of our oligarchical faction, which still trying to maintain neutrality and outjews the jews.

>Tel Aviv
Reminder it is illegal to record military bases on Israel, especially the ones that are burning after they've been struck by ballistic missiles.

Maybe important news:
My parents, who live in Bandar Abbas, just called me and said they heard the sound of explosions and gunfire, probably anti-aircraft fire.
Is it possible that it came from American warships?
If so, then the U.S has become directly involved.

>>392469
Nope. That wasn't from warships. Just another attack by faggots. And it seems they didn't hit the targets.

News:
Iran's attacking Israel, again.

Looks like they really mad today.

>>392469
Do you have any pictures of the munition fragments? I heard about JASSM and AGM-114 (ground launched or drone) during first attack, but almost no reliable data from today. I want to help russian OSINT team to make detailed article about current attack.

There is article about previous escalation:
https://imp-navigator.livejournal.com/1201265.html

>>392475
So fucking beautiful. Thanks, Iran!

Yeah, this is serious. Haifa oil refinery.

>>392479
Also Port, Power plant and Ammonium plant:
https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/1933984195954532352/pu/vid/avc1/720x1280/cneAZyM4Xg9hmSEP.mp4
https://video.twimg.com/ext_tw_video/1933983521900560384/pu/vid/avc1/848x478/wDF21Lhk1-RhwElI.mp4
https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/1933984090295787520/vid/avc1/480x848/TbSLu58W2C56f47U.mp4
https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/1933984369971998720/vid/avc1/640x364/erP9vyzcq5aRHsRF.mp4
https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/1933983617874624512/vid/avc1/720x1280/oq0gsdjlGEpUhlRf.mp4
https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/1933984415010734080/vid/avc1/640x360/sv2C7fCFnc08n332.mp4
https://video.twimg.com/amplify_video/1933984427396206592/vid/avc1/272x480/HdAhUx1YbMH9cqHv.mp4

So, apparently, Israel is aiming for total regime change in Iran.

>>392477
>>392436
No, unfortunately not. In fact, I personally only managed to catch the flash of Israeli bombs exploding in the sky twice at the right moment. And luckily, nothing has exploded too close to me so far. My parents are in Bandar Abbas, while I'm here in Tehran.

Let me point out something important:
Right before Iran launched its first wave of attacks last night toward Israel, the Iranian air defense suddenly started performing better, intercepting most of the incoming attacks. From what I've read (though keep in mind, since I'm on one side of this conflict, I can't guarantee that I get completely accurate and full info), apparently Israel had hacked Iran's integrated air defense network beforehand and disabled a large portion of it. That's why Iran couldn't respond properly during the first hours. But shortly before launching its own attack, Iran regained full control of its air defense, and from that point on, it started countering Israeli strikes much more effectively.
That shift has led Israel to focus more on drone operations inside Iran, something like how ukraine uses drones against russia.
This image is actually published by Iran's ministry of intelligence, telling civilians to report any suspicious activity involving vehicles like that. A lot of recent explosions seem to be caused this way. And apparently, it's been effective in helping catch several infiltrators, which could be useful for intelligence.
As for the point that Israel can't rely solely on air power, well, the truth is it doesn't really have much of a choice. Israel has invested heavily in its air force (thanks to all that tax money and american/european aid), so it's built its strategy around that. But in terms of ground warfare, Israel has almost no practical access to Iran, and even if it somehow gets involved on the ground, Iran's army would have the upper hand. The same goes for the naval front. Also, Iran's missile capabilities are superior to Israel's, which is why Israel is trying to strike from within.
Honestly, Israel's big mistake was playing most of its cards all at once. Sure, it got a hot start, but it also exposed the presence of its agents in Iran, used almost every type of weapon it had at hand, and fully revealed its attack strategy to Iran.
Now, as those internal infiltrators are being discovered and arrested, and Israel's offensive resources are running low, it's being cornered. What's left on the table are risky weapons, forced American intervention, or ultimately, nuclear war.
Iran, on the other hand, hasn't even used all of its military tools yet, and it's gradually gaining control of the situation. If things continue this way, this war is going to turn against Israel in the long run.
I really don't know what does Iran want from these attacks. It wants to make it so long and make Israel weak and then attack it with more risky weapons, or it's waiting until U.S or Russia do something?
>>392479
>>392483
I think the world's gonna have a bad energy crisis.
>>392484
Yeah, that's been its goal from the beginning. But now it wants to do it directly and has openly admitted to it.
The thing is, Iran also has the same mindset as Israel.
It's very hard for a war like this to end unless one side is completely destroyed or truly surrenders.

>>392500
I think Israel just intends to kill off the Iranian leadership and military capacity, and not care what chaos follows. It's easy to destroy things when you don't care about cleaning up your mess or the vast human suffering it will cause.

>>392483
More kino just dropped.
>>392503
>>392484
Mossad's still inside Iran, they are using drones to continue striking Iranian leadership.

Regime change is out of the question tho. The Iranian population wants to see Israel burn now, the air strikes really pissed them off.

A list of Israel lobbying the war with Iran for many years.

>>392500
>Right before Iran launched its first wave of attacks last night toward Israel, the Iranian air defense suddenly started performing better, intercepting most of the incoming attacks. From what I've read (though keep in mind, since I'm on one side of this conflict, I can't guarantee that I get completely accurate and full info), apparently Israel had hacked Iran's integrated air defense network beforehand and disabled a large portion of it. That's why Iran couldn't respond properly during the first hours. But shortly before launching its own attack, Iran regained full control of its air defense, and from that point on, it started countering Israeli strikes much more effectively.
Thanks for this information. I'm empathize and almost forget about sleep. I want to share some information about enemy reconnaissance, which can be useful for Iranian military (high officers knows much more than I, but it can be useful for militia).

>Honestly, Israel's big mistake was playing most of its cards all at once. Sure, it got a hot start, but it also exposed the presence of its agents in Iran, used almost every type of weapon it had at hand, and fully revealed its attack strategy to Iran.
>Now, as those internal infiltrators are being discovered and arrested, and Israel's offensive resources are running low, it's being cornered. What's left on the table are risky weapons, forced American intervention, or ultimately, nuclear war.
I hope they don't have black swan card in sleeve like our Wagner's rebellion in 2023th. In Russia we have delimitation between media, military and economic elite groups. Military disallowed to have own media/economical basis, media insignificant without army/moneys, oligarchs bounded without media/army. Every single amalgamation begins splendidly, but then rapidly got out of control.

>I really don't know what does Iran want from these attacks. It wants to make it so long and make Israel weak and then attack it with more risky weapons, or it's waiting until U.S or Russia do something?
Maybe this is also pressure on China and Russia to force them to aim diplomatic efforts to shut down Starlink inside Iran and Iraq territory.

Starlink actually war technology and most dangerous weapon in NATO arsenal. Communication for army and sabotage groups, video-link for drones, real-time control for cruise missiles. Starlink allows to use missiles like JASSM-ER to attack mobile targets, avoid air defense in real time, etc. Fortunately low-orbit satellites vulnerable to radiation, even few small nukes can kill them all within days/weeks without serious damage to high-orbit satellites.

Second biggest threat is FIA-Radar satellites. USA have 5 satellites Topaz series. In Ukraine they make around 100 radar-photos daily, each photo 10×18 km, 0.8 meter resolution (can easily detect vehicle type and tracks on the ground, can make 3d image from 2 photos). Any weather, day and night. Usually satellites makes 1 photo each hour in zone of interest. Cloth screen to hide weapon completely useless against FIA-Radar (but soldiers often make this mistake).

Ukrainian army received around 300 photos daily (2/3 optical, 1/3 radar). They make order to US intelligence and wait 12-24 hours for photos. This is unclassified information to know enemy capacities and limitations.

Also, first article about war is ready:
https://imp-navigator.livejournal.com/1241624.html

From Twitter.
Iran is now aware of how Israel was getting the names of its nuclear scientists.
Classified Israeli documents obtained by Iran’s security apparatus show that IAEA (operated by the UN) chief Grossi disclosed to Israel the names, who were later assassinated.

>>392513
>More kino just dropped.
Like the air defense is useless junk.

>>392533
There's something oddly satisfying about a cute anime gurl dancing to the idea that shit-skins and jews are killing each-other

>>392531
They probably emptied many of their batteries intercepting the initial attacks.

>>392442
>Do you just type any bullshit that pops into your head, or does any of this actually sound reasonable to you?
The Russian prophet Zhirinovsky spelled it out many years ago. The jews have plotted their way back to Russia/Ukraine.
By the way, you didn't apologize yet.

Damage in Tel Aviv, Occupied Palestine.

Interesting detail. Israel uses German and Britain refueling tankers for their F-16 during 14-15 June. We already know two incidents with transponders. Meanwhile only US has modern refueling tankers fleet and organization for this kind of operations. Looks like jews gather every single accessible tankers, except american ones, because otherwise they would use only USAF tanker squadrons to lower risk for fighters and operation in general.

It seems Iran's attacking again.

Iranian security forces discover Israeli drone manufacturing facility deep inside Iran.
Israeli kamikaze drone manufacturing workshop seized by Iranian security forces

Pic: 2 Mossad agents shortly before their arrest by Iranian security services in Lar. No more info available at this time.

>Houthis damaged two U.S. Destroyers, prompting retaliatory air strikes. 3 U.S. F-16's were taken down by new Iranian air defenses during the operation.
>Russia air lifted S-400 systems to Iran. They now have 4 systems operational.
>Turkey is supplying Iran with parts for the S-400's and deployed two frigates to the Persian gulf.
>China brokered a $10 billion military aid deal with Iran.
>North Korea is literally launching ICBMS at Israel now.

Nothing ever happens chud has officially been defeated.

Falseflag incoming.

>>392608
>No more info available at this time.
Here it is. The jew terrorists surrendered after an Iranian cop on a bike chased them.
Iran claims it has captured two alleged Mossad operatives caught red-handed with parts for 23 drones, launch systems, targeting gear, controllers, and more than 200 kilograms of explosives.

Best moment so far, ballistic missile strikes AD position near Haifa power plant. Clearly visible secondary explosion of launcher / munition / fuel. And then entire district electricity turned off (however for a short time).
https://files.catbox.moe/7m5kdl.MP4

God bless Iran.

>>392735
Wunderbar!

>>392736
aussiebro that was looking for those sites must have given them the idea to look for themselves. I'm surprised Israel hasn't banned smart phones for that alone.

You go girl!

>>392748
>I'm surprised Israel hasn't banned smart phones for that alone.
Unreal. Too big urban population, too many muslims. Even hohols in Kiev needed a months for this. Meanwhile, looks like Iran shut down any access to external internet. No new posts with Iranian flag on 4chan from 15 June.

Kikes attacked a horse stable in Kermanshah, killed and injured over 50 horses.

>>392500
>>392436
I want to share some data about airstrikes efficiency. One Su-34 (45-ton frontline bomber) with 4-6 FAB-500 usually makes 3 airstrikes with 1.7 killed and 7 injured during sortie (despite enemy decoys, recon mistakes, bad timing, etc). For operational estimations we uses equivalent of 400 shells (152mm HE) for one Su-34 sortie and 300-600 shells for one Iskander ballistic missile strike.

During slow Syrian campaign Russian air forces uses 30.7k sorties through first 720 days of war, makes 92k airstrikes with Hephaestus aiming equipment on 29.5k targets and estimated 54k kills, 0.58 killed and 2.9 injured per airstrike. During fierce first day of recent Lebanon campaign Israel uses mostly F-16 (19-ton multirole fighter) makes about 400 sorties and 1600 airstrikes (2200 losses by Lebanon sources, 23% killed), so 0.31 killed and 1.7 injured per airstrike.

Israel has:
- F-35 -- 40/75
- F-16 -- 120/170
Total 160 Mission-Capable / 245 Combat-Coded (??? All)

USAF has:
- A-10C -- 76/109 (260)
- F-15E -- 85/164 (218)
- F-16C/D -- 219/309 (841)
- F-22A -- 63/110 (185)
- F-35A -- 127/194 (432)
Total 570 Mission-Capable / 886 Combat-Coded (2085 All)

Currently USAF has 1/3 number of Gulf war time air forces, about 1/3 technician personnel, 60% of combat readiness, around 50% flight hours per pilot. Munition mostly modern and numerous: during recent wars and excercises most of old munition was expended and between 2017-2024 together with F-35 rearmament USAF acquired and accumulated 130k precision-guided munition, equivalent of 13 millions shell, which means 40k sorties, 240k injured, 60k killed during month-long campaign. Total stocks up to 30M shells equivalent. I do not know much about US fleet and marine corp aviation, but they makes 16% sorties during Gulf war. Presumably they weaker than Israeli air forces.

Airstrikes almost useless against FPV-drone teams (which makes 75% losses). During Kursk offensive we estimated around 80 teams, but manage to kill just 10 of them (they always disguised as infantry or civilians). Significance of air forces for long-range strikes rapidly decreased during Ukrainian war. Nowadays we can make 300 shaheed-like drones daily with 200 kg payload by 10k dollars prime cost + 50 manhours assembling; while one Su-34 sortie cost around 60k dollars munition+fuel + 50k dollars to compensate aircraft and possible pilot loses + 100 manhours technician and other services. Overall, kamikaze-drones almost 2 times cheaper (especially if we uses expensive glide bombs with similar electronics anyway).

War was changed. I think most of armies in the world now wants to utilize old armament and reform organization as soon as possible. Risky operations are expected. Who cares about losses, if all current structures outdated anyway.

>>392790
>Kikes attacked a horse stable in Kermanshah, killed and injured over 50 horses.
F

>>392790
>looks like Iran shut down any access to external internet
It may be related to the sleeper cells launching drones. Mirroring the same methodology than Ukrainians used to attack Russian air bases, the drone pilots were sitting beyond the country's border and piggybacking on the local internet for piloting the drones.

>>392791
Thank you for your expertise.
R

>>392793
>Mirroring the same methodology than Ukrainians used to attack Russian air bases
I do not know anything about cooperation between Ukrainians and Mossad. Looks like their containers for drones and methods different. Moreover second operation have bad timing (more than 250 hours after first one). Imagine situation, when group of very purposeful ukrainian officers create first operation fully on their own initiative and make show of it. All security services of the world began to check all trucks and containers, and Mossad operatives in Iran just did not have choices except starts their operation immediately.

>>392567
So, this is why they used EU refueling tankers during first days, they just don't have time to relocate USAF tankers insensibly!

>>392789
I wish I had that kind of money.

>>392800
Look ain't gonna to preach but you need something better than a muh job.
>>>/ub/4034 →

>>392800
That's only like a $200 tv