>#ISIS took over several villages in E. #Hama countryside (Uqayribat region) for 1st time since 2017. Multiple airstrikes were carried out to help SAA to recover the area >Clashes between Turkish-backed armed groups and Manbij Military Council's forces near the Dardat farm northwest of Manbij city >Russian & Syrian Warplanes target the villages of Ruwaida, Mestriha, and Tahmaz, in Aqrabat district, in the eastern Hama countryside >#Russian vehicle damaged by an IED near Kobane injuring one soldier(Northeastern Syria). >Turkish army is establishing a new military post in the village of Mantef in the southern Idlib countryside >Syrian government closes border crossings with the areas under SDF control(Taiha in Manbij, Tabakah in Raqqa) >Rocket attack on US embassy in Baghdad. No causalities reported >Spanish troops to withdraw from Besmaya military base in southeastern Baghdad. >U.S. and Iraqi negotiators begin a new round of strategic talks regarding reduction of US forces >LNA air force targeted locations of GNA east of Misurata >GNA continues to send reinforcements for assault on Sirte >Egypt deploys tanks and helicopters near the Libyan border >Center of Medghal District reportedly captured by the Houthis >RSAF conducts 4 airstrikes on Houthi positions in Maarib Yemen >Ballistic missile launched by the Houthis on the city of Marib >Clashes in Aadin between Houthis and Hadiists >Gen McKenzie (Head of US CENTCOM): If Al-Qaeda remains, US troops should not fully withdraw from Afghanistan >Intra-Afghan Negotiations to be Held in Doha soon >Russia, the U.S., and Afghanistan will hold talks to try to jump-start intra-Afghan peace talks >High level military to miltary talks held between China & India regarding the situation on LAC in Ladakh. >PLA build-up observed near Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh wherever China shares borders with India.
>#Libya's renegade general #Haftar (whose forces are on the retreat) has been swindled out of millions of dollars by western mercenaries & businessmen including Brits and Americans, for war machinery like attack helicopters, planes, ship not delivered https://twitter.com/Beltrew/status/1270979300188213248
>The losses include an estimated $50 million shortfall for a deal allegedly struck last year that was supposed to include attack helicopter, reconnaissance plane & 3-month marine strike force. In 2016 he paid a Texan businessman $6.5 for a patrol vessel that was never delivered. https://twitter.com/Beltrew/status/1270983344302555137
>Haftar's guys deny the deals exist. Intel on this comes from diplomats briefed on an ongoing UN probe into violations of the UN arms embargo, as well as people involved in some of the botched agreements. https://twitter.com/Beltrew/status/1270984090901233664
>Qadhafi's Cairo-based cousin Ahmed Qadhafeddam has long been a crucial Haftar ally, and particularly so since April 2019.
>UAE ambassador writes in Israeli newspaper. Comms chief at UAE foreign ministry tweets in Hebrew. The message to Israelis: Don’t ruin prospects for normalization by annexing. What’s incredible is how low the bar has now been set. No longer demanding a Palestinian state as price. https://twitter.com/AnshelPfeffer/status/1271323931144642560
>Russia wanted to establish a military point in Qasr al-Deeb village near Derik but the locals prevented thisUS soldier told @NPA_English that they appreciate this and will try to prevent Russians from entering https://twitter.com/vvanwilgenburg/status/1269926252984623104
>Engel Statement on Chinese Aggression Along India China Border
Washington—Representative Eliot L. Engel, Chairman of the House Committee on Foreign Affairs, today made the following statement:
"I am extremely concerned by the ongoing Chinese aggression along the Line of Actual Control on the India-China border. China is demonstrating once again that it is willing to bully its neighbors rather than resolve conflicts according to international law. Countries must all abide by the same set of rules so that we don’t live in a world where “might makes right.” I strongly urge China to respect norms and use diplomacy and existing mechanisms to resolve its border questions with India." https://foreignaffairs.house.gov/2020/6/engel-statement-on-chinese-aggression-along-india-china-border
>Moscow won’t interfere in India-China tensions: Russian FC Foreign Affairs Committee Chair Kosachev, also questions Trump's intentions, ability in expanding G-7 by Inviting India Russia Australia S Korea, says it is meant as an anti-China forum. https://twitter.com/suhasinih/status/1270915685787426816
Reading reports of big gains on the Mas camp/Marib front in Yemen tonight, the camp is still not captured but the reports indicate a collapse of the entire front. Might be overhyped but we'll see...
Zarif: Iran shares common views (with Turkey) on Libya & we hope that the suffering of the Libyan people will end as soon as possible & that the government accepted by the international community (GNA) in Libya will have the support of all. | IRNA https://twitter.com/Brasco_Aad/status/1272711237919481858
>Joint Turkish-Iranian military operation underway near Haji Omeran, Erbil, Northern Iraq.
>>272698 To be fair though both sides were unarmed. Its a rule accepted by both that no weapons are to be equipped when patrolling the LAC. Here is the kicker the Chinese also took 36 Indian soldiers as prisoners. returned all of them except for a major and a captian. No update on their status.
>36 Indian soldiers reportedly were captured after violent clashes yesterday by China near LAC. Most returned. A Major and a Captain still in Chinese PLA custody. Negotiation underway at Major General level in Ladakh for their release. https://twitter.com/AdityaRajKaul/status/1272872214073733122
>Just got this email from an Atlanta police officer: "Atlanta police officers are refusing to answer the radio and walking off of the job. The county can go screw themselves. If you want a society without police we’ll give you one. Let it burn!" https://twitter.com/SteveDeaceShow/status/1273376039155179525
Is USB around? got a couple of questions about your 40 days fast since i started mine as i said i would more specifically about how do you deal with taking a shit after all this period of not shitting (ie did you develop constipation due to prolonged stasis of the intestine and if yes how did you deal with it?)
That area along with Ma’rib seem to be the current hotspots. Honestly, the way the fight towards Mas had been going until recently I had begun to think they would get there from the south before the west, now the race is on.
>>273039 I've seen conflicting reports from this front (Jabal Faliq being recaptured and the Qaniya-Marib road being cut off) but the consensus is that Qaniyah hasn't been entered yet. Regarding the theory that this front is supposed to reach Marib from the south, im skeptical, since this front reignited because the leaders of the Awadi tribe in this area recently pledged support to the Hadi/Islah. At most i think they hope to cut the supply route that heads into Marib city from the south but to me it seems the houthis are running out of steam and that this is a desperate diversion front to help the Mas front.
>tfw you realize niggers don't care about muh employment rates and the stock market Hang in there Donaldo, they'll change their mind if you keep at it.
>>273098 You are probably right about that, it doesn’t seem likely that the recent attacks on Mas and especially not the attacks on Kofal are going to result in the collapse of the Ma’rib front any time soon (may I be wrong inshallah).
It seems to be that ever since the ceasefire in Hudaydah allowed them some breathing room the Houthis have been able to muster up a major operation every few months or so. I can’t really see where else they would attack next other than southern Ma’rib/Beihan. Hudaydah is off limits, Taiz is too frozen, Midi and the costal plain seem difficult against the air superiority, and Ma’rib itself doesn’t seem to be happening. I think the only other place that springs to mind would be to have a second go at holding Quatabah.
There could be some unexpected shift in tribal allegiance leading to another opportunity but it’s difficult to tell whether the tribal whinging causes the offensives or the opposite, such as seemed to be the case in Hazm.
>>273130 Marib is the only realistic goal at the moment and i doubt they're keen on opening any other fronts beside Yatmeh/Buqa in the north. Seeing reports of radical gains on the Qaniya front though (see pic) starting to scratch at Al Abdiyah and Mahliyah districts. After Qaniya and Abdiyah the region surrounding the road to Marib is sparsely populated so we might see some turbogains up to Jufra district.
>>273195 Reports about the Bayda-Marib road are optimistic, i guess they aren't expecting much resistance now that Qaniyah has been cracked. In other news, the road between Mas camp and Marib has reportedly been cut off by the houthis north of Jabal Haylan again but I'm not gonna read into it too much because it has happened before...
>>273273 > North of Jabal Haylan Ever since they first took Sirwah its been odd to me how great a difficulty they have had cutting the effective use of that road. Whatever defensive measures the coalition has placed in that area have been uncommonly effective given the sort of thing that was happening on the road south of Hudaydah. I expect an enlightening operation video when they finally take it over.
>>273332 >given the sort of thing that was happening on the road south of Hudaydah To be fair those were mostly just harassing raids and the same could be said of the previous "takeovers" of this road. Indeed they must have a stronger defensive perimeter and that's not weird considering they're on the defensive unlike on the coast.
There's currently an ongoing boogaloo in Idlib between HTS and the Rouse the Believers Operations Room factions after many radical leaders of HTS left the faction and joined Hurras al Deen. HTS arrested many foreigners and i guess HaD had enough. Yesterday HaD captured the Idlib prison west of Idlib city and surrounding villages meanwhile HTS stormed headquarters in Sarmada. Today: >Northern Hurras ad-Din forces progressing as they expelled #HTS from Yacoubiyah and Janudiyah, progressing fast as many factions inside #HTS refusing to fight al-#Qaeda as Jaysh Abu Bakr and Liwa Ibad ar-Rahman. #HTS still present in #Sarmada after it stormed it. >With Hurras ad-Din progressing along the border and advancing in Jisr al-Shughur northern countryside, #TIP, the main jihadi faction there, isn't acting to stop them. #HTS in danger to lose the border with #Turkey if we study precisely where #Qaeda advancing. https://twitter.com/Syria_Rebel_Obs/status/1275842821447135235
The Sheikh of Murad tribe in Marib accuses the government forces of leaving the Marib front and going to fight in Abyan and leaving them in the confrontation of the Houthi forces. In his suggestion to conclude a truce with the Houthi forces.
>>273466 >are those metis? Looks like Fagots to me. >In his suggestion to conclude a truce with the Houthi forces. The houthis would be on the outskirts of Jubah in no time if that happens.
>Yemeni army & Popular committees have liberated strategic Khurfan Mountains https://twitter.com/YemeninmyDNA/status/1276282485643587593 There are rough roads between Harib/Ain Districts and Abdiyah District so the villages of Abdiyah could theoretically resist the houthi assault but the houthis could also use these dirt roads to reach and cut the highway leading to Marib in previously mentioned districts (like they did in Sirwah district) instead of going on the higher quality road that leads to Jubah.
Bold move tonight from Iraq’s Prime Minister. Iraqi security forces have raided a HQ of Ketaib Hezbollah, the Iranian proxy that threatened to burn Iraq to the ground if @MAKadhimi became PM. This could quickly escalate & will cause significant discomfort in Tehran.
According to @AP 13 members of the group have been arrested. Kadhimi has been under pressure to reign in Iranian proxies who have continued to attack US targets. It’s inconceivable that he would have launched tonight’s operation without the firm backing of the US.
This is still yet to be verified but IRGC-linked social media accounts are claiming that 40 US armoured vehicles accompanied Iraqi security forces. There is a real danger that a tit-for-tat response could follow from Iran-aligned groups.
>>273506 >Senior commander of Kataib Hezbollah says that Iraqi PM Mustafa al-Kadhimi did such a step to mix the papers and hide his involvement in Qassim Sulaimani’s assassination. He vows to have reactions and calling on supporters to wait. He also claim that detainees have been released. https://twitter.com/LawkGhafuri/status/1276381279748005890
>The Iranian-backed militia called Thaeer al-Muhandis “Revenge for Muhandis” has released a short statement on the Iraqi counter terrorism raid against headquarter of Kataib Hezbollah in south #Baghdad. The statement reads “We’ll cut the hands of those who reached the Mujahideen”. https://twitter.com/LawkGhafuri/status/1276384923528695808
>Another newly formed Iranian-backed militia in #Iraq called “As’hab al-Kahaf” has announced on their official Telegram channel that all resistance forces “Muqawama” in #Iraq are on high alert after Iraqi counter terrorism forces raided headquarter of Kataib Hezbollah in #Baghdad. https://twitter.com/LawkGhafuri/status/1276386037791625217
>Iranian-backed Harakat al-Nujaba’a in #Iraq warns that targeting the fighters of the PMF will come with huge consequences, and might drive the country into unknown, spox and deputy head of the group tweets. https://twitter.com/LawkGhafuri/status/1276404809613139968
>According to @hushamalhashimi, Iraqi counter terrorism forces are yet to release the detainees of Kataib Hezbollah fighters. While, earlier his morning senior commander of Kataib Hezbollah, Abu Ali al-Askari claimed that the detainees have been released. https://twitter.com/LawkGhafuri/status/1276424950883201025
>A member of the Bahrain Defense Force was killed two days ago during Ansarullah's ballistic missile attack on the Tadawin military camp in Marib province. https://twitter.com/Bosni_94/status/1276588876384083970 Weird, i looked up Bahraini involvement in Yemen and saw that 5 of their soldiers died in Marib in 2015, i guess they are tasked with defending Marib...
>Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (#HTS) military wing issue statement forbidding establishment of any new military ops room or factions: insists all military work should be under administration of the Fatah Mubin ops room https://twitter.com/smmsyria/status/1276590003355869187
>>273681 This is a pretty common pattern in cultural enrichment attacks, Ann Coulter has documented it extensively. Smugglers and (((NGOs))) sell them on the idea that the west is a utopia where the streets are paved with gold, a personal harem of 10/10 white girls will begin sucking their cock the second they step off the boat and so on. This leads to disappointment and chimping out when our generosity falls slightly short of that.
lel https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-usa-warrant-idUSKBN2401HO >Iran has issued an arrest warrant for U.S. President Donald Trump and 35 others over the killing of top general Qassem Soleimani and has asked Interpol for help, Tehran prosecutor Ali Alqasimehr said on Monday, according to the Fars news agency.
Soq Qaniya captured interesting video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IuvHnMsOFDo they brought one m167 VADS and a BMP-2 to the mountains. destroyed the enemies with ATGM while trying to retreat also a lot of looting.
>>>273502 The Houthi forces shattered the first line of defense in Abadiyah, and are now destroying the second line of defense for the terrorist organizations of the Muslim Brotherhood. https://twitter.com/MohamadAlmorady/status/1278040349638868994 >inb4 they go to Harib instead of Jubah
>Azzam al-Deiri, a senior Huras al-Din leader, has been assassinated in an attack on the road between #Binnish & #Idlib. >Al-Deiri was ambushed, then shot dead. When the incident took place, an unidentified UAV was flying over the Idlib city and its outskirt. https://twitter.com/WithinSyriaBlog/status/1278431092731711490 Interesting, if true i doubt regular HTS grunts were the ones on the ground doing the shooting...
Yemen Shitmupdate Minor Houthi gains on Saudi border in NW, main area of their gains are Marib province. Some gains between Hadi and STC in the south, but AQAP apparently hasn’t been around in Hadhramaut for several years.
>>273930 >Field sources based in #Marib & #Bayda says Yemeni Army & Houthi Ansarullah have taken control of Makhlaq and Al Humrani in Al Abdiyah district, now advancing at its district center Al Wa'el. >They are also clashing with pro-Hadi tribes at Al Rakhim hilltop in Mahliyah district.
>>274216 >Clashes between rival (pro-Hadi/Islah) Salafi groups in Al Amoud, Al Jubah district last night, according to local pro-Ansarullah field sources in #Marib. Unknown why did the fighting started. http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=14.670120&lon=45.216122&z=13&m=bs&gz=0;451919174;146001958;434303;0;0;1252173 >Meanwhile, pro-Ansarullah field source based in Al Bayda says a convoy of Salafi jihadi terrorists led by Abu Munir are arriving from capital #Marib city to support Hadi/Islah fight against Houthi Ansarullah at Al Abdiyah district.
>>274548 According to pro-houthi sources Hijlah and it's dam were captured though. >Yemeni army have captured Al Hijlah and Al Hijlah Dam and advancing to the center of Abdiyah
Afghan Districtmupdate - Based on new information, Bala Murghab DHQ was never fully recaptured by ANA last year, and a garrison there has been under Taliban siege since the same time. Also Taliban gain presence inside Shakar Dara District of Kabul province, NW of Kabul city.
>>275224 Yep, he's just giving his dumbfuck voter base what they want to remain popular and probably doing something they don't want in secret. Having it as a "museum" was done solely to pander to the west and it definitely doesn't reflect the mindset of the average roach so i'm glad the world got another reason to hate the erdomeme. Funny thing is that this will definitely wreck their tourism industry and inshali their economy will plummet further. Not expecting any response from any western leaders but the average joe will definitely have a greater animosity towards muslims and the kosher right wing will gain support (the counterjihadist mindset is generally not limited to hating muslims though, so it´s a win for genuine nationalists as well).
Pro houthi reports that mountains from (Jabal) Salab to Wadi Halhalan has been captured. Pic related is my assumption (red circled area (the report states avoiding civilian casualties are the only obstacle to advancing further) and there are villages in the wadi to the east of the circled heights). https://twitter.com/fHvVtKCHsq7JrpK/status/1281678161500082177 Neutral source reporting "Houthi forces launched an attack on the positions of Hadi forces in the south of Al-Aqsha and even southeast of Jadafar at the borders of the Raghwan district with Al-Jawf" (i cannot find Jadafar/Jadafir) https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1281733498357927937
>>275242 >this will definitely wreck their tourism industry you're missing many variables most people don't plan a vacation just for one building especially if it's still open to public like it will plus he'll garner a boost in tourism from muslim countries and finally their economy isn't reliant on tourism only, it's just a variable among others wishful thinking
>>275342 "Wreck" might have been an overstatement and there is wishful thinking involved but this public anti-christian display will for sure dissuade the European tourists (which are the biggest tourist demographics) from coming. Russians have been the top visitors for quite a while and they just so happen to be majority orthodox Christians. Their patriarch made a statement condemning the move so a decline in T*rkeys main tourism demographics wouldn't be surprising.
>The field situation on the fronts of the Medghal, Mas, northeast of Marib Governorate >The clashes are currently concentrated in the south of Al-Kassara and east of Wadi Harar >- Hadi's forces are able to recover Kassara and open the highway >- Houthi forces are able to control a number of sites east of Wadi Harar towards Qa`al Hamra http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.607827&lon=45.010815&z=13&m=bs&gz=0;448643875;155441644;0;1132559;2617835;0
>>275412 >anti-christian display will for sure dissuade the European tourists do you legitimately believe that? most normie christians are "christians" at least the ones here, by that i mean they are christian for Christmas and Easter but only for the consumerist side of it most of them don't even know the re-conversion happened and those that do wont be put off by it the practicing christians (a minority nowadays in europe that is centered around the aging population) and nationalist europeans wont travel to turkey out of spite for erdogan islamist policies (especially the forced influx of refugees to the greek border), the re-conversion isn't a tipping point we're already well past that this is more relevant for the orthodox population since only a minority of prot and cath actually really give a real shit >Russians have been the top visitors for quite a while and they just so happen to be majority orthodox Christians. fair point and i would add to that greeks and orthodox balkan countries but compared to the overall, how much of % of the tourist wealth do they really bring? >Their patriarch made a statement condemning the move so a decline in T*rkeys the same patriarch that was ok with giving autonomy to the ukrainian church? and very few giving a fuck about it? don't expect them to be very moved by this re-conversion and don't expect putin to shoot himself and trade geostrategical progress he made so far for this
IMO and judging by all the shit erdogan pulled and got away with, this shit will be forgotten in two weeks reality is often disappointing
>>275416 Meh, you're probably correct on most points but even Swedish social media is still buzzing about this so we'll meet halfways. >the same patriarch that was ok with giving autonomy to the ukrainian church? and very few giving a fuck about it? Apples and oranges. >don't expect putin to shoot himself and trade geostrategical progress he made so far for this I don't, he's invested too much trying to be buddies with Erdo.
>>275421 >but even Swedish social media is still buzzing about this so we'll meet halfways. dude let me be real erdogan is one hell of a fucking wild card most of my personal predictions about him turned to be wrong because this guy has no chill, he behaves in a very atypical way in terms of geostrategical decision making almost like if he was treating the whole thing as a game of europa uiversalis and he could always load a previous save when he bought oil from ISIS i thought the western powers or at the very fucking least the EU (and most importantly france and germany) would pull hard sanctions on him they didn't do shit when he blackmailed the EU about refugees i though they would increase security at the border and cut off his funds they didn't do shit when he lost his blackmail leverage by pushing the refugees over the border and i saw most west european countries showing strong support to greece (something they don't do and didn't do for spain when there was a massive rush from african migrants at the moroccan border nor did they do it for italy with the libyan boats) i though "ok, now merkel has no reason to cuck out they really can't afford to deal with more refugees so erdogan basically went over the tipping point" lo and behold they cucked out and let him get away with if anything these secular governments are very concerned about the shitstorm that the migrant crisis is causing, so if there's anything to make them move, it would be that; but when i saw their lukewarm reaction to erdogan basically giving shitting on their faces that's when i realized that it'll take a open war from turkey on greece or cyprus to MAYBE get them to harshly sanction turkey if you want to cause harm the turkish economy, a individuals saying they'll boycott all turkish products, restaurants or stop travelling to turkey wont do shit. if you want real harm it'll take government putting sanction just like for russia and iran who's most likely to put sanctions? not russia since they have lots to lose, not USA because they really couldn't care less about refugees and even close their eyes to TFSA and past ISIS dealings so don't expect trump or anyone else to do shit for a cathedral it only leaves EU and most importantly the west EU (because let's not fool ourselves here, greece, bulgaria and serbia putting harsh sanction on turkey is more of a joke than anything else)
yet for political issues that caused them massive problems (being a hub for "european" immigrants that wanted to travel to syria to join ISIS, the migrant influx to greece, being an antagonist to european interventions (just recently there was a confrontation between french boats and turkish navy https://www.france24.com/en/20200617-france-blasts-extremely-aggressive-turkish-intervention-against-nato-mission-targeting-libyan-arms) being heavily involved with the situation in libya etc; the EU didn't do shit so i'm not believing one second that the re-conversion is a game changer
>>275467 Do you think it's because if the EU goes to war with Erdogan over the refugee shit, they'll have to admit refugees bad? Or do you think it's because the EU's supporters believe "The glorious EU-rasia will prevent war and create world peace!" and would stop supporting the EU if it OPENLY declared war on someone (hence why they quietly got EU jackboots into france to brutally abuse protestors)
>>275467 You are not wrong but i never said western leadership will call for an economic crusade, in fact i said i don't expect ANY response. Facts do remain though, their biggest tourism demographics are orthodox Christians and tourism is roughly 10% of their GDP, this attack on orthodoxy will have negative ramifications for their economy since i doubt the probable influx of muslim tourism will fill that void. >>275470 >Do you think it's because if the EU goes to war with Erdogan over the refugee shit, they'll have to admit refugees bad? The Kalergists in charge of the EU know that imagery of armies of bearded 3rd world men waltzing straight into Europe are bad optics that scare the shit out of the european yokel so their best move is to keep bribing Erdo and continue the covert replacement.
>>275470 >they'll have to admit refugees bad? pretty sure they already did so (merkel, macron etc) when they were negotiating paying off erdogan so he keeps them in turkish refugee camps even the """"pro"""" refugee current politicians (i wouldn't call them pro refugee as they acknowledge the problem of massive influx over short period of time, the only difference is their problem is with numbers that exceed capacity to manage instead of ethnic and religious background of said refugee) are openly saying that they can't afford the greek influx so yes they say refugee bad, but not for the same reason as nationalist do
>>275472 Do you think Europe has a future where the EU is defeated, whites can live in peace in their homelands, and all the invaders are sent where they belong/where they came from?
>>275467 >erdogan is one hell of a fucking wild card >most of my personal predictions about him turned to be wrong because this guy has no chill, he behaves in a very atypical way in terms of geostrategical decision making almost like if he was treating the whole thing as a game of europa uiversalis and he could always load a previous save Aye, I gave up trying to figure him out. About a year ago I made a prediction regarding him and his behavior towards Red Team - namely Syria. It was essentially he’ll make peace with Syria and leave the occupied areas, handing over control to Assad because Red Team would sanction the shit out of him for violating promises of Syrian sovereignty; plus leaving after declaring victory would increase his international prestige, and he’d get to deliver a victory to his voter base which would boost his popularity, plus the Turkish economy wouldn’t get strained from maintaining bases and troops inside Syria and Iraq, plus casualties from the Kurdish insurgency since it would be Assad’s problem now. Well, as you can see, this was completely wrong. The problem I later discovered was that I was trying to put logic to him and it just... doesn’t work. He antagonizes everyone - NATO, EU, Greece, Cyprus, Egypt, Saudi Arabia (Qatar crisis), UAE, Syria, Iraq, Iran by extension of the previous two, Russia, maybe China(?); and he basically gets away with it. Sometimes I wonder if he has serious dirt on everyone and they tread lightly around him and he’s seeing just how much he can get away with for that reason. Or if everyone treads lightly around him for the same reason you’d tread lightly around a schizo armed with a heavy machine gun.
So I just sit back and enjoy the shitshow, waiting patiently for his replacement which realistically won’t be for decades. Unless he somehow finally goes too far in his loose cannon “strategy”. Or someone manages to off him.
>The personnel and the command of the Armed Forces are instructed to keep restraint, and in case of provocations of the enemy on the borders of the Republic of Armenia, to respond as necessary, even to occupy new favorable positions. >t. Armenioidian MoD https://twitter.com/ArmeniaMODTeam/status/1282449431040798720
>>275621 Azerbaijan seems to be heating up: >Azerbaijani users write that they have lost two battle positions in the direction of Tavush, 17 have been killed. Probably propaganda but eh, something is happening.
>Front lines around greater Idlib are being pummeled still by artillery and airstrikes. Even as I write this tweet. And some civilians are evacuating the area for fear that today’s actions have ended the ceasefire. https://twitter.com/NotWoofers/status/1283018441226686464
>>275683 whops, missed your post. looking more unlikely each day.
>The American team wanted to know what Israel was willing to give the Palestinians in return to soften the rage over annexation. The Americans expected generous measures from Israel, including the transfer of territories from Area C under full Israeli control to Area B. It turned out that the proposal provoked strong opposition in the government. In addition, the Americans conditioned an annexation with an Israeli announcement of the adoption of Trump's peace plan, which Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu opposes. The Americans also give their condition to annexation by freezing construction in settlements outside the blocs for four years.
>First Person Video Shows Moment Of Car Bomb Attack On Turkish-Russian Convoy In Syria’s Idlib >On July 14, a car bomb (with a suicide bomber) exploded on the way of a joint Russian-Turkish patrol on the M4 highway in Syria’s southern Idlib. According to the Russian Defense Ministry, 3 Russian troops were injured in the attack. The Turkish Defense Ministry reported that nobody was killed in the attack, but two vehicles suffered partial damage. https://southfront.org/first-person-video-shows-moment-of-car-bomb-attack-on-turkish-russian-convoy-in-syrias-idlib/
Russian Turkish patrol will reportedly attempt to pass through Jisr al-Shughur tomorrow. Roach drones are hovering above the mountains east of the city and earth barriers have reportedly been constructed on roads leading to the highway. Looks like the roaches are aware that there are plans to attack the convoy again, what Russia are doing is absolute insanity.
>His attorney Yossi Segev asked the court to delay proceedings because of Covid-19. “It's hard to tell if a masked witness is telling the truth,” he said. really nigga israel is far more corrupt than i imagined literally arab country tier
>>276391 >The Russian-Turkish patrol has arrived in Ayn al-Hour, crossing the entire M4 highway in Idlib without any mishaps. The Russians continued into government-held territory. >Two explosions were reported near the town of Ariha after the Russian-Turkish patrol had already safely passed it. https://twitter.com/syria_map/status/1285855631648456705
So is anything going to come of the shit going on in Azerbaijan and Armania? Or is it all just posturing? I know there was an Azeri Lt. General killed.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - minor government gains near Sholgara in Balkh and near the border with Kapisa in Kabul province. Logar was updated, and Govt is still present in Kohistan DHQ but under siege.
LOOKS LIKE GAINS ARE BACK ON THE MENU BOYS Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - Taliban take over Argo and Tagab Districts in Badakhshan, and Khash Rod District in Nimruz
Literal status quo due to commies with the cross in their mouth having majority in the govt, plus no obstructions in legal process (there might be some if Trzaskowski had won).
More and more gibs and each day we delve into the absolute fucking state of the economy, inflation will fuck us up. I now know why those fucking subhuman boiomers voted for Duda. With him and his crew it's everyday closer to People's Republic of Poland, as it used to be 30 years and more behind.
>tfw 30yo boomer in 6 days time for celebratory sipp SOON
Oh and do tell JJ that 65 billion $ shall be transferred as planned. Polin also soon, fellow shabbes goyim. And to think my coutnrymen whore themselves out for no less than 125 euro per month 'n shiet. Finally, die endgültige Lösung der polnischen Frage will have its end. And in a due time.
>>276848 The orders about Russia comes from Washing.. uhh I ment Tel Aviv. If the debt will be paid, and other God's Chosen People demands are fulfilled we will be left alone so Ivans will be free to do whatever they want. If demands won't be satisfied well.. it's all the same. But current narrative now is "ebil EU and rotten fag-full West"
>>276874 >Btw, your brother is back at home? yep >How did he enjoyed his little trip to my beloved borders of insanity? he found it interesting for the first couple of weeks but then very boring due to corona restriction that forced him to stay home most of the time city (krakow) was nice but he told me he was getting stared a lot by everyone for looking foreign he expected more people to speak at least a little english told him that younger gen does but don't expect boomers to do so due to historical context also told him beforehand to learn a little polish but he couldn't be bothered to have the decency to make some effort
>The 25th Division Taha regiment's artillery has just reached the first lines in southern Idlib countryside. >Tiger Forces are fully mobilized and deploying to the Ghab plain. >HTS and allies are anticipating an operation for the entire M4 highway. >Reinforcements are arriving at the front with new designs of armoured vehicles and dozens of VBIEDs. >Hurras al-Din and Ansar al-Islam sent nearly all their remaining units to Zawiyah, Ghab, and Kabani. https://twitter.com/syria_map/status/1286600285008400384
>>276858 i am new to the concept of audio editing this is a new format of OC for me but here's what this pic inspired me to do it's ripped from a fallout new vegas audio might have to work on the mixing of the artificial voices added in will produced an improved version later
>>276938 M'yeah, i doubt it too, but the M-4 won't be safe unless the city is captured imo. >>276940 >the chinese merchant translation is real Holy shit they actually incorporated a happy merchant meme into their written language top jej
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - Taliban seize • Paktikia: Gomal, Surobi, Omna Districts • Khost: Zazi Maidan District • Govt has presence near Almar District and just north of Kohistan DHQ in Faryab. • Govt controls a village just south of Charbolak in Balkh • Minor government gain in west central Nangarhar • Issued a not-so-minor correction for Khash Rod District in Nimruz on both maps.
>>276946 btw have the riots died down in your country? >tfw a couple of years ago this question would have been expect toward iran, not usa karma's a bitch heh?
>>276949 For the most part, it’s mainly just Portland now. And yes it is, but then again it’s election year and BLM stuff only crops up on election years.
>>276966 No, that was fake news, he’s still campaigning. He was just signing some paperwork. Sorry for the late response. Tbh i would literally and unironically vote for Kanye.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - Government makes gains in eastern Balkhab District, Sar-e-Pul. Government has presence in other areas in Logar Province including Kharwar DHQ. Taliban gains a presence on Kabul-Khost highway north of Spera District in Khosf.
Also I finally updated the Districtmap as far as roads go, there’s a fuckton more detail now. Third pic related, the roadmap.
>The most rapid and violent bombardment in Idlib in several months is being conducted on the western Zawiyah sector now and the "Grand Conquest" operations room has raised military preparedness to the highest level in anticipation of a possible imminent assault at Kansafrah https://twitter.com/syria_map/status/1287771834696568832 >Reinforcements from the Turkistan Islamic Party and Ajnad al-Kavkaz organisations reached the front lines at the Zawiyah mountain today in anticipation of imminent military action. https://twitter.com/syria_map/status/1287772651184885761 >Some sources from Idlib think that the offensive of the SAA is a matter of several days...
>>277200 >Units of the SAA 9th armoured and 11th armoured divisions were deployed to southern Idlib, with some Quds brigade and NDF groups. They were previously stationed in the Homs desert around Sukhnah and Palmyra. https://twitter.com/syria_map/status/1287811869168865281
Interesting, it seems like oil trucks were roasted at Ruwayk during clashes between Hadi forces and the Al Samrah tribe of Wadi Ubaidah (Marib). The trucks were probably coming from Safer: http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.722204&lon=45.925598&z=10&m=bs&gz=0;457800292;155701278;0;0;0;0;4010009;3000765 Reportedly the tribe is lashing out against the gov for not releasing their people from prison. Unclear whether the tribe is pro-houthi or not but i suspect they aren't because there has been clashes in this area before and i haven't seen these tribes being called pro-Houthi.
>>277229 >when your 4 year long pandering to blacks ended up with massive BLM protest if i was writing this as a fiction book it wouldn't sell because the story would be too garbage
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - Taliban gain Janikhel District in Paktia, Khogyani DHQ in Nangarhar, and have advanced on Koran Wa Munjan DHQ in Badakhshan. Government gains minor land in Sancharak District in Sar-e-Pul, and Zurmat District in Paktikia.
>>277230 >>277243 This should redpill fence-sitting fence-riding faggots on the futility of trying to make blacks hate you. Blacks only like whitey when he's sharing "enough" of his stuff with the blacks, and they will never be satisfied. Ever notice how the "based blacks" tend to have jobs anyone could do, jobs a white would do better at if it wasn't for "Affirmative Action"? Even if you're unrealistically charitable and say just 20% of blacks are niggers (when the truth is all blacks are niggers) the fact remains that no "good well-behaved blacks" can make up for what niggers are or what they do or what they've done to America. Whites don't owe blacks anything. Blacks owe whites a refund on their ill-fated investment into the turd world. Fuck niggers, jews, and communists. If I word it like that, is it more to your liking?
someone please reset the simulation it's getting too absurd https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=moqAPTf9WDo >Family arrives back in the UK from holiday and discovers two Africans in their roof rack. All their belongings were flung away by them to fit in.
>Disruption of the Russian-Turkish patrol in Syria, Ankara was unable to ensure security. >It just became known that a Russian-Turkish patrol of the M4 highway was unexpectedly disrupted in Syria today. >The official reason was that representatives of the Turkish security department told the command of the Russian forces in Syria that they were not able to fully ensure security at the assembly point in the Ayn al-Hur area in Idlib province. >The situation with Turkey's inability to secure the Russian military in its zone of responsibility is much more complicated. Either the Turkish leadership cannot force the illegal armed groups to stop terrorist activities in the area, or Turkey is trying to hide something. >Perhaps the pro-Turkish militants are pulling heavy weapons to the positions of the Syrian army and trying to avoid subsequent charges of shelling that will be brought against Turkey. https://twitter.com/0legblokhin/status/1288426202265538561
trump actually did it https://www.france24.com/en/20200729-us-to-withdraw-11-900-troops-from-germany-about-half-to-be-redeployed-in-europe >The US military said on Wednesday it would move its headquarters out of Stuttgart, Germany to Belgium, as it outlined broader plans to shift around 12,000 US troops out of Germany on orders from President Donald Trump. >Of the 34,500 US military personnel in Germany, some 6,400 will be sent home while nearly 5,600 others will be moved to other NATO countries, US Defence Secretary Mark Esper announced Wednesday.
>The announcement is closely tied to the plan to increase the US troop presence in Poland, a shift long-desired by Warsaw and Polish President Andrzej Duda.
>Germany pays Russia billions of dollars a year for Energy, and we are supposed to protect Germany from Russia. What’s that all about? Also, Germany is very delinquent in their 2% fee to NATO. We are therefore moving some troops out of Germany! https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1288620254130626561 Can't make this shit up.
>>277512 >las vegas tier ersatz to own kebabini after he's done shooting down russian planes and funds a proxy army inside your country how will erdogan ever recover?
All photographs or video containing any image of You and the following individuals. To the extent You have such photographs and video in their original, native format, please produce them in that format (not a paper copy). a. Ghislaine Maxwell b. Alan Dershowitz c. Jeffrey Epstein d. Andrew Albert Christian Edward, the Duke of York (aka Prince Andrew) e. Ron Eppinger f. Bill Clinton g. Stephen Hawking h. Al Gore
>Tens of thousands of supporters of President Alexander Lukashenko's top election rival on Thursday rallied in the Belarussian capital Minsk despite an increasing crackdown on the opposition.
>The rally came as Belarus authorities accused top members of the opposition of collaborating with Russian fighters to destabilize the ex-Soviet country.
>>277667 >They weren't drinking so that was suspicious. belarussian have the reputation of heavy drinkers in eastern europe? i'd have thought that it'd be the russians
>>277775 yes but the "They weren't drinking so that was suspicious" made me think it was a joke about how belarussian are drunks and thus the russians mercs failed to blend in by not indulging in the common past time which made me question whether belarussian have the stereotype of being seen as drunks by their neighbors maybe i read too much into it
>>277788 >common knowledge Belarusians are the drunkest people on earth. if we're talking stereotypes then it's russians and poles who have the stereotype belarus is /x/ tier in terms of stereotype
>>277909 sounds really weird to throw bashar/SAA under the bus i mean i highly doubt your average israeli is going to believe it 1 second best to blame it on lone wolf fraction groups near golan, more believable >thus giving Nasrallah a tree to climb down from by denying involvement. isn't he the one always escalating/flexing about how "we'll retaliate against any perceived zionist aggression" on his interviews/videos
>>277913 >because they never retaliate hence why the narrative is dead on arrival >blaming hezb directly means escalation that IDF really wants to avoid. are they really that afraid of confrontation considering how easy they are to go shoot down IRGC positions on syria? i mean i'm not saying they'll have to cross the border, but how difficult is it to shoot down some missiles factories/caches in lebanon >inb4 hizb will launch missiles in retaliation tbf from my perspective it seems even hizb is too afraid to escalate, i remember the early 2000's where hizb had the trigger finger far more easy than today, when was the last time a missile flew from lebanon? >tfw you reached MAD between a nuclear power vs a guerrilla non state actor crazy world huh
>>277914 >are they really that afraid of confrontation considering how easy they are to go shoot down IRGC positions on syria? >i mean i'm not saying they'll have to cross the border, but how difficult is it to shoot down some missiles factories/caches in lebanon With 150k+ rockets and missiles, oh yeah in 2006 they couldn't stop the missiles coming and that was when hezb only had katyushas and other low end arsenal. nowadays they can pretty much cover the whole country and hit anywhere they want with far better missiles. no amount of iron dome and airstrikes could stop them from firing for months if they wanted to.
>tbf from my perspective it seems even hizb is too afraid to escalate, i remember the early 2000's where hizb had the trigger finger far more easy than today Yeah it's funny. the stronger they got the more reluctant and calculated they became. I personally don't think they want to start anything serious as long as Trump is in office because they know he'll give us greenlight to carpet bomb lebanon with zero scrutiny.
>>tfw you reached MAD between a nuclear power vs a guerrilla non state actor yep pretty much. kinda wild.
>>277915 >With 150k+ rockets and missiles first of all there's the parameter of inflated number propaganda then quality propaganda ie: how many are really deadly and how many are firework on a stick tier not saying that it's all propaganda flex or that iron dome can take it all but considering that conflict is inevitable, maybe it will happen next month or next year or next century, we all know that it's eventually going to happen leaving hizb the initiative is only going to make the bubble burst harder when it eventually will from my perspective, the only viable solution is to bite the bullet before the bite becomes much more than you can chew that's the only sane way out of the gridlock >he'll give us greenlight to carpet bomb lebanon with zero scrutiny. you may get usa approval but i doubt EU, and russia (don't think they want to have spillovers on their airbases and ports in syria) will let that shit slide
>>277916 sure, vast majority of their arsenal are katyushas and grads which the idf isn't terribly worried about it was always about their precision missiles in 2006 they barely had any today probably a few hundreds? but they can do far more damage at strategic locations.
>we all know that it's eventually going to happen leaving hizb the initiative is only going to make the bubble burst harder when it eventually will I agree. it's stupid to wait, they're only getting stronger. but bibi has been PM for 10 years and he won't do shit.
>you may get usa approval but i doubt EU, and russia (don't think they want to have spillovers on their airbases and ports in syria) will let that shit slide I know, but I still think Hezb and Iran would rather wait a few more months instead of risking it now with a brain damaged president who doesn't care. Biden will cockblock us far worse.
>>277918 >bibi has been PM for 10 years and he won't do shit. btw what do the "gas the arabs race war now" israelis think of him and his indecisiveness to take definitive action for fear of media and international backlash? surely they see it clearly that confrontation is inevitable and every year wasted sitting on his hands is one more step toward defeat are there some clandestine political groups forming as a vigilante answer to what could be perceived as government betrayal à la far right groups in europe (be it on small scale (ie in the streets) or as a shadow government trying to seize back power through political navigation)? >Biden will cockblock us far worse. i highly doubt, democrats used to be big war mongerers during the 2003 irak invasion and 2001 afgh invasion you underestimate the warmongerers among them especially coming from the old guard (clinton era presidency) plus if he gets elected i think he will only be a facade due to debilitating health problems and his political orbiters that helped him get propelled at the front stage will have a bigger sway in the decisions
>>277921 Everyone knows that: 1. bibi only cares about staying PM and a war in Lebanon will 100% ensure he's done for. 2. it's ain't the 80's and we can't take over lebanon like the good ole days. even a seemingly successful operation will still leave tel aviv in ruins and you just can't really overwhelmingly win anymore. so his base doesn't really care.
>are there some clandestine political groups forming as a vigilante answer to what could be perceived as government betrayal à la far right groups in europe not at all if anything more people are becoming centrists than right wing.
>i highly doubt, democrats used to be big war mongerers during the 2003 irak invasion and 2001 afgh invasion dude the times have changed. the new democrat party is 100% pro palestine anti zionist. biden/schumer/pelosi are the few fossil remnants and when they die the transition will be over completely.
>you underestimate the warmongerers among them especially coming from the old guard (clinton era presidency) the new democrats are all sjw BLM progressives.
>plus if he gets elected i think he will only be a facade due to debilitating health problems even worse, since we know he's a about to pick a black VP who will be in charge. have you not seen the last month on twitter? all the blacktivists spewing jew hate in the open? lol if the dems win it's over for us homie.
>>277922 >if anything more people are becoming centrists than right wing. welp without popular support don't expect politicians to get their hands dirty if they can't gain votes ironically the downfall of the "only democracy of the middle east" will be the sempiternal lethargy of the democratic process and it's inevitable clientelism that happen among politicians
>the new democrat party is 100% pro palestine anti zionist besides ilhan omar i don't really see anyone being staunchly anti israel, only some lip service from AOC and bernie sanders the "radical communist" believes in two state solution aka the party line shared between your run of the mill democrat and republican, don't fall for the fox news propaganda about how every democrat is a secret muslim trying to take over america and these are the most radical ones people like buttigieg, warren, gabbard, klobuchar, yang, o'rourke still repeat the same democratic line from the 90's and keep sending the annual 3 billion for MIC lobbyists >inb4 but they said the settler colonies are bad same as EU have for the past 20 years or so, not very radical
don't forget that america needs israel as it's a foothold for their global hegemony and a good client for MIC it's like trump flexing about how NATO is finished because they don't put the 2% of gdp in military spending but really doesn't do anything radical because the relation is a two way road
>the new democrats are all sjw BLM progressives. on paper, but they'll divert every real societal reforms (healthcare, access to education, house ownership) with some intersectionality BS that they keep using as a pressure valve ever since occupy wall street started look at how real reformist (and thus potential danger to status quo) like bernie sanders had the liberal media sabotaging him harder than they attacked trump don't fall for the theatrics, the center of gravity of powers haven't changed hand, they just added a new layer of paint
>even worse, since we know he's a about to pick a black VP who will be in charge. i meant more in a bouteflika kind of way
>all the blacktivists spewing jew hate in the open let's be real their opinion is disregarded by the democrats politician who will give them token symbolic victories while making their eternel AIPAC speech about how better goys they are than the republicans, BLM and antifa are just all bark no bite useful idiots being led by the nose by their representative as they've been since they got the right to vote i'd be more concerned about the massive impact of corona on america economy who took a massive blow ( contracted at -33%) and seems to be taking blows for until next election at least this will have repercussion on military projection power and ability to inflict economical sanctions this is the real concern not the dog and pony show happening every election year (and amplifying every time with widespreading of social medias including tik tok/vine/whatever they call it next and the ubiquitisation of twitter in society which both are mainly used by 14 to 29 years old who happen to be the most vocal in modern politics)
>>277923 >besides ilhan omar i don't really see anyone being staunchly anti israel, only some lip service from AOC and bernie sanders it's not even about Israel, they're just radicals leftists regardless. their whole schtick is to turn America isolationist. they're simply catering to their voters. hispanics, blacks, and other minorities. these people in general don't like israel.
besides we don't need to speculate. we already had Obama for 8 years and fucked us over as much as he could. Biden will be Obama 2.0 (or worse) which is very good for Iran. see john kerry and the U.N votes etc. the neo liberals are 100% against Israel, it's in their DNA. they literally never support the supposed aggressor.
>on paper, but they'll divert every real societal reforms (healthcare, access to education, house ownership) with some intersectionality BS that they keep using as a pressure valve ever since occupy wall street started
I don't doubt that. the status quo won't change for awhile. drastic change will only come to America when the demographics change considerably.
>let's be real their opinion is disregarded by the democrats politician who will give them token symbolic victories while making their eternel AIPAC speech about how better goys they are than the republicans doubt AIPAC is a meme anyway. their only purpose is to ensure those $3b shekels and that's it.
>i'd be more concerned about the massive impact of corona on america economy who took a massive blow ( contracted at -33%) and seems to be taking blows for until next election at least Once the vaccine is ready this thing is over. in 10 years you won't even remember it. but in 20 years America will be so Hispanicized and blacked that its power projection will resemble that of Mexico. That's the only thing that matters. bible thumping evangelics are dying out and every white child that is born today is guaranteed to be a self loathing BLM activist when he reaches college. change is slow. it takes generations. but it will happen and its inevitable. in truth we should have never left Lebanon Sinai or Gaza. now we're paying the price of doing retarded concessions in the name of peace. the lenient always loses. simple as.
>>277930 >drastic change will only come to America when the demographics change considerably. yeah i agree, but it'll take at least one generation to see some result (30 years ish you still got time to go to malta :^) ) >Once the vaccine is ready this thing is over. by the time it releases america's economy would have melted twice as more and don't underestimate the amount of tinfoil hats and antivaxx that'll delay the course of action > in truth we should have never left Lebanon Sinai or Gaza even if you didn't, would that have helped anymore today? israel Achilles heel is international relations, if you get the SA treatment you'l cave even if you pulled a 1984 Orwellian tier domination on all arabs in ME
>>277934 >(30 years ish you still got time to go to malta :^) ) just in time for retirement :^)
>by the time it releases america's economy would have melted twice as more pretty sure it's gonna be ready by november by this time next year it's gonna be a distant memory not saying it didn't have a huge impact on the economy but in the long run it's a one off event.
>even if you didn't, would that have helped anymore today? a lil bit. Sinai gives strategic depth and some oil. Lebanon could have gone better and in Gaza Hamas wouldn't have become a mini hezbollah. but yeah in the long run the intl. pressure would still cook us off.
>>277988 >pretty sure it's gonna be ready by november nah experience tells me otherwise: by the time it's out the plague would have gone away due to having infected enough people to create herd immunity >by this time next year it's gonna be a distant memory absolutely not as a historic event it'll be very well remembered due to the massive social impact that previous flus (avian and swine) didn't have the whole shutting down for months, shortages and social unrest caused by it will be in history books and as a catalyst for the beginning of a new age it's going to be even more remembered as the turning point of a new age of recession even harder than 2008 or 1973 >Sinai gives strategic depth and some oil eh, are you really that starved from oil? don't you have nuclear plants to rely on instead?
>>277989 look kinda amateurish, not saying amateurish troops don't exist in hizb
>>277991 > by the time it's out the plague would have gone away due to having infected enough people to create herd immunity Stage 2 is already complete at most companies. Stage 3 over in October and stars rolling:
>and as a catalyst for the beginning of a new age it's going to be even more remembered as the turning point of a new age of recession even harder than 2008 or 1973 Hard disagree. people aren't sitting at home becasue there aren't jobs. once the unnatural circumstances pass you'll see the economy rocketing back to where it was before (all time highs) in a year or 2.
>eh, are you really that starved from oil? Yes? that's why we're making all those shitty deals with Azerbaijan and Russia.
>don't you have nuclear plants to rely on instead? nope
>>278007 >bernie >Ilhan Omar >AOC >Chomsky fanbois >Rashida al Kalb choke on my twat brainlet
>>278008 >Stage 3 over in October and stars rolling: yeah but experience tells me to never trust schedules not saying that it's highly likely to be delayed but i'll believe it when it happens my biggest concern instead is that it's getting pulled back when we realize that some unforeseen secondary effects are observed, or that the virus has mutated (the more widespread a virus the higher the chance for mutations) what i'm saying is the curve would have already flattened enough by the beginning of next election with vaccine or without hence why it doesn't matter all that much in the long run
>once the unnatural circumstances pass you'll see the economy rocketing back to where it was before (all time highs) in a year or 2. maybe, maybe not, market dynamics and investors confidence in the stock market is hard to get back to not saying this is apocalyptic crash of the world as we know it but more like america (and EU) will have a higher penalty in their future economy than china who just powered through despite the higher casualties and that's going to have an impact on balance of strength and even more in ME where you have saudi arabia tripling their VAT (5% to 15%) in order to compensate for loss of revenue while iran who has adapted to sanction isn't as reliant on oil exports (all proportion considered of course) and will get back up better than KSA
historian will look at it as one of the points in the global change of power between NATO and regional powers (iran, russia, china etc)
>Yes? that's why we're making all those shitty deals with Azerbaijan and Russia. oh i thought you'd be smart enough to rely on nuclear or at least some solar, it's not like you lack the expertise or technology
>>278009 let's see where we are at the end of October I bet Trump will do anything to start vaccinating people before the elections if only so that he would get a bump in the polls.
>and that's going to have an impact on balance of strength IMO the recovery is going to be fairly smooth because the core problem was not economic to begin with. it's an event that physically altered how people can even get to work. that's why I don't think it will have any long term (>10 years) impact on the world economy. but the underlying conditions pre-corona was not dire to begin with, at least not in the states. maybe in places where the economy was shite pre-corona it will hit much harder and take longer to recover. guess we'll see soon enough if I'm wrong.
>oh i thought you'd be smart enough to rely on nuclear or at least some solar, it's not like you lack the expertise or technology You'd figure, but when it comes to infrastructure this place 30 years behind first world nations. they still haven't fully opened Tel Aviv-Jerusalem(<200km) high speed rail despite working on it since 2001(!). meanwhile you can hop on a train from Paris to Barcelona Or from Beijing to Shanghai in 4 hours (1,300 km).
>>278011 >I bet Trump will do anything to start vaccinating people before the elections if only so that he would get a bump in the polls. nah quite the opposite, my guess is his advisors are telling him explicitly to not rub the Qtard boomers (muh vaccine is NWO microchip from bill gate to collectivize your toothbrush), tinfoil hatters, anti vaxx karens, "but muh freedumb" lolbertarians, and your run of the mill contrarian who constitute a good chunk of his most loyal voters he could have forced a country wide mask executive order or at least tweeted about it but he always kept vague about the issue and left it to the state representative to decide this video is fake but it capture the idea https://twitter.com/nebuuchadnezzar/status/1289559169725390849?s=21
>the recovery is going to be fairly smooth because the core problem was not economic to begin with yes i agree although my nuance was more on the how long will it take to gain max momentum? maybe we'll get 80% in 1 months and the remaining 20 in 6 months maybe we'll get 80% in 1 year and the remaining 20 in 5 years that's a wobble period
the thing is small businesses that have already operated under quarantine will get back on their feet better, but what about the rest? it has evolved during the quarantine and it'll be hard to evolve back considering how people have already adapted the old ways
here's a couple of (exaggerated) examples a lot of people started working from home, what about car and oil industry? a lot of people have taken the habit of cooking at home instead of going to restaurants or fast food, what about their businesses?
i'm not saying their businesses are finished, but the re adaptation to back to normal won't necessarily happen in a homogeneous fashion hence why the 80/20 above the fallout wont necessarily be cleaned in 3 month as you think
but i'm not saying it'll take 10 years+ to get it back, just that we have a certain wobble period ahead of us where china can (and most likely will) make better recovery and progress than america in other words if we had projection graphs of pre corona of american power falling down and china/iran/russia rising up then instead of being a smooth curve, it has a small step for the year 2020: a new parameter that has changed the projected imagined future, ever so slightly but still significantly
so now instead of thinking that china will overtake usa in a distant future, that future became abruptly slightly less distant in 6 months we can even ask ourselves what new shenanigans does the future has in reserve?
>but when it comes to infrastructure this place 30 years behind first world nations ah i see israel is finally integrating into the middle east :^)
>they still haven't fully opened Tel Aviv-Jerusalem(<200km) high speed rail despite working on it since 2001(!) heh i wouldn't overblow it all that much, in this day and age of cars for everyone creating new rail lines isn't always the biggest justifiable priority in budget especially when there's no industrial incentive not saying that corruption and ineptness aren't a big factor though >you can hop on a train from Paris to Barcelona they're old railways (in a time where there was no cars it was far easier to justify the building up of the rail network) between capitals of different countries, and don't think that all trains in europe (especially the south) are new generation high speed from built in the 21 century a lot of the shit still in service is from the 70's or 80's >Or from Beijing to Shanghai in 4 hours completely different position here where china has understood that the backbone to economy and industrial growth is strong infrastructure and they've been really modernizing that since the 90's
>>278015 >he could have forced a country wide mask executive order or at least tweeted about it but he always kept vague about the issue Because he bought into the republican maskcuck memes Vaccines will allow him to say the worst is behind us and soon we'll be on track for full recovery etc.
>but i'm not saying it'll take 10 years+ to get it back, just that we have a certain wobble period ahead of us where china can (and most likely will) make better recovery and progress than america Ok. I agree in general but for different non economical reasons.
>a lot of people have taken the habit of cooking at home instead of going to restaurants or fast food, what about their businesses? Eh, seeing how much people are itching to get back outside I wouldn't worry. but I it. we'll see.
>in this day and age of cars for everyone creating new rail lines isn't always the biggest justifiable priority in budget especially when there's no industrial incentive The problem here is that the roads are already over crowded and since this place is so small there's no room to build more roads. the congestion is nightmarish as it is. therefore public transportation between the 2 biggest cities is essential. yet despite that they can't get anything working. not even talking about the suburbs or small towns. it's absolutely comical that a country the size of an Australian ranch still doesn't have a functioning public transportation network.
@IDF 1h In response to an attempted IED attack near the security fence between Syria & Israel last night, we just struck SAF targets in Syria including:
🎯 observation posts 🎯 intel collection systems 🎯 anti-aircraft artillery 🎯 command & control systems
>>278018 >Vaccines will allow him to say the worst is behind us and soon we'll be on track for full recovery good luck making it mandatory in red states without having a shitstorm, these people would hold their breath if they've been told by the federal government that you need oxygen to live
>that map >that tel aviv-jeursalem >mfw i realize the actual distance >mfw they couldn't finish it in 19 years i take everything back
> there's no room to build more roads do like hamas and build underground roads maybe? :^)
>>278020 >good luck making it mandatory in red states without having a shitstorm, I forgot about those retards lmao. still I think the majority will vaccinate even in red states.
>mfw i realize the actual distance >mfw they couldn't finish it in 19 years >i take everything back Yep, it's quite pathetic. even the "remote" towns like Eilat are fairly close. and yet they can't connect two central cities.
>do like hamas and build underground roads maybe? :^) kek. good idea, maybe they'll build that Subway in tel aviv they've been speaking about for 60 years.
>>278022 >Yep, it's quite pathetic that's an understatement, words cannot describe how abysmal that failure is i've traveled by train on distances 5 times longer than Tel aviv-jerusalem between extremely remote cities and although it's not shinkansen tier the service was fairly decent and not all that outdated for such remoteness the fact that you couldn't bridge the gap between two biggest cities in your country in two fucking decades you've unironically outperformed arab countries inefficiency https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zd9muK2M36c
>>278023 I know. other than rotting busses and slow ass 40's Nazi era Siemens trains you really need a car to get anywhere. did I mention some of the highest gas prices in the world.
(norway turkey israel hong kong holland greece australia india china)
>>278041 >be ((((you))) in the 40's >free gas and free high speed train rides across europe >be ((((you)))) today >have none of that >can't even build a fucking railroad whoah so this is the power of the high IQ ashkenazi oh nonononono
>>278118 Even reports of tribals taking over Abu Naytal. This certainly isn't a spontaneous action, but the question is who's money are these tribals working for? Assad or the planned burger arab militia?
>"There is no doubt that LGBT ideology comes from the same roots as German Nazism, which is responsible for all the evil of WWII and the destruction of Warsaw," says @CzarnekP , a Polish ruling party MP https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1290354558904958976 Based
>>278142 judging by the shockwave i doubt it was just fireworks looks more like some sort of flammable product stored in great quantity in a confined space, maybe fuel also we see some firework like explosions couple of second before the explosion akin to those of ammo depot explosion maybe it was a weapon/missile cache
>tfw i suggested israel to bite the bullet and pre empt hizb a couple of days ago >tfw mossad is lurking or JJ is mossad (which would explain his "i'm just working (((IT))) goyim" cover story) and took heed >tfw i started the second hizb idf war by shitposting how can maghreboi compete?
>>278146 BREAKING — The Beirut explosion caused by highly explosive sodium nitrate confiscated from a ship more than a year ago and were placed in one of the warehouses located in the port — Sources to LBCI
I would like to note that the Prime Minister is saying it's Ammonium Nitrate. The only problem is Ammonium Nitrate only becomes explosive when mixed with fuel oil.
>>278175 Thanks Doc. My only question is how the will affect Lebanon in the future. A figure I saw was that 80% of Lebanon’s imports came from that single port.
>>278199 least of their concern right now also that's just the warehouse area, you can see other terminals in the background that aren't all that damaged
>>278224 your writing style i seem to have integrated it plus some lines of that reminded me of the audio OC i posted so i extrapolated that it may have subconsciously influenced some of your phrasing or maybe i've been larping all these years and i'm really a collective of glowniggers under the moniker of "doc" monitoring these threads and i have your IP logged
>>278226 >plus some lines of that reminded me of the audio OC i posted so i extrapolated that it may have subconsciously influenced some of your phrasing tbf my trollposts are purposely super dumb to enact as many (you)'s possible rom /pol/tards.
>or maybe i've been larping all these years and i'm really a collective of glowniggers under the moniker of "doc" monitoring these threads and i have your IP logged kek. that's my favorite theory.
>>278227 > that's my favorite theory. something tells me it's going to be the favorite of our resident tinfoil hat >btw I don't get >>278186 cause I don't play vidya i meant this (rather shitty) OC>>276932 the one you pointed is about a quest in fallout 3 (post WW3 world) where you can chose to rig for remote detonation an undetonated nuke laying in the middle of a small town because the town is blocking the view of the richfag who offers you this quest https://fallout.fandom.com/wiki/The_Power_of_the_Atom
>>278235 i'm not an animefag either but i've heard it's THE classic (btw it's not a series, it's a movie) so to educate myself better i watched it, it's not that bad, bit weird in the story, but it's more about the drawing technique and cyberpunk/futuristic theme where you can really see it as the grandfather of these genres you see today https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qcOiJnWniWg this music video takes some scene from the movie
you can really see the foundations of modern cyberpunk viudya, anime and movies (kinda like bladerunner)
>>278278 Nice numbers. Btw you see those silos next to the crater? Those are Lebanon’s strategic grain reserves, and Lebanon imports almost all of its food anyway. Through that one port. Which is now destroyed. https://twitter.com/AuroraIntel/status/1290934104049975296
>>278285 I know right? Lebanon might as well be a failed state, this is literally their Chernobyl moment. >gross incompetence >negligence for basic safety standards >creates an accident that kills hundreds and displaces thousands And to think Doc and JJ were discussing how Israel was in certain ways more incompetent than Arab countries. >Lebanon: hold my beer. >>278288 > These numbers are staggering. Where to start rebuilding?
>-Beirut has total population of around 1.5 million. Blast damage extends to over half (!) of city, governor says.
>>278118 Statement from Al Naeim tribe in DeZ calling for revolt against SDF. What's interesting is the FSA graphics and flag. Al Bakara tribe also released a statement but used SAA flag and graphics. So i assume this is just a chimpout response to SDF disrupting the tribals' smuggling operations and some sheikh getting assassinated. Meh.
>Two TF guys I have on FB have returned to their towns #Hama #Homs from the Idlib front after being called weeks ago to join their units on the said front. >I don’t know, but it seems that the offensive has been canceled .. https://twitter.com/Bosni_94/status/1291120397363150848 Well fuck.
>>278198 >In October 1994, McVeigh showed Michael and Lori Fortier a diagram he had drawn of the bomb he wanted to build.[42] McVeigh planned to construct a bomb containing more than 5,000 pounds (2,300 kg) of ammonium nitrate fertilizer mixed with about 1,200 pounds (540 kg) of liquid nitromethane and 350 pounds (160 kg) of Tovex. Including the weight of the sixteen 55-U.S.-gallon drums in which the explosive mixture was to be packed, the bomb would have a combined weight of about 7,000 pounds (3,200 kg). lel
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate. Corrections in Ghor, Herat, Farah, Faryab. ISKP gains north of Jalalabad. Local uprising against Taliban in Khwaja Ghar in Takhar. Taliban take Janikhel District in Paktia. Taliban control Sozma Qala DHQ in Sar-e-Pul.
Sorry for lack of updates the past week, I was suffering burnout.
>explosion was most likely caused by staff incompetence So much for "we wuz pho-nycyanzzz 'n shiiiet. Fucking ayyyyrabs incompetence. And G*d's Chosen People are worrying about them.
>Ankara again refused to participate in Russian-Turkish patrols in Idlib. The reason remains the same - the inability to ensure security on the patrol route. >To prevent the disruption of the fulfillment of the tasks set by the Supreme Commander of the RF Armed Forces, the command of the Russian contingent of troops in Syria is ready to assume the responsibility of ensuring the safety of the M4 with all available forces and means. >This will require expanding Russia's zone of influence to the north of the Idlib zone. If Turkey continues to evade the implementation of the agreement, this will have to be done, the representative of the security agency in Syria said. https://twitter.com/0legblokhin/status/1291437045869678593
>The superb tribute of the botanist designer PLANTU who skillfully replaces the Lebanese cedar with a nuclear mushroom ............. A touch of freshness that will soften the grief of the relatives of the victims ....... ........ https://twitter.com/KaizuPlantu/status/1291001823109808129
>Retired Brigadier General Ramah in a speech in front of the Foreign Ministry: We have taken the Ministry of Foreign Affairs building as the headquarters of the revolution. https://twitter.com/LBCI_NEWS/status/1292123520944746497
Protestors have taken over the #Lebanon economy ministry, throwing down a rain of documents and a picture of President Michel Aoun. A man next to me shouts “focus on the bills man, tear up my bills.” https://twitter.com/timourazhari/status/1292137638447796229
Protesters in #Beirut now occupy the Ministry of Foreign Affairs building, the Ministry of Economy building, the Ministry of Environment Building, and the Ministry of Energy and Water Building. https://twitter.com/IntelCrab/status/1292153496620404744
Lebanese army troops charged down from Tabaris toward Gemmayze intersection, hit across back by Army soldier wielding stick after identifying myself as journalist, not hurt but humiliated https://twitter.com/AlbinSzakola/status/1292159364707553285
I can't confirm this currently but reports that the #Lebanese military is preventing patients reaching hospitals. Nearly all hospital ICU's are full after the explosion but if this is true its unbelievable. Working to confirm/ deny. https://twitter.com/Crisis_Intel/status/1292164588516114437
The military will be the real deciding factor. Sure it looks like they’re on the side of the government but the presence of former soldiers and retired generals is quite telling, I don’t think the military will be quite so monolithic on this issue.
>>278664 Plus parts of the SAA broke away to join the protestors and formed the FSA, including several generals. Even retired generals are still a force to reckon with.
>>278663 >>278664 On a whole the Lebanese police/military forces seem to be more level headed than their Syrian counterparts. As long as we don't see whole crowds getting mowed down with live fire it won't escalate beyond what we've seen.
Also the Lebanese government is still supported by the U.S so we likely won't see any CIA glowies trying to fuck shit up.
>>278668 >On a whole the Lebanese police/military forces seem to be more level headed than their Syrian counterparts the gov military is neutered, the big players are political party militias (sunnis, shia and maronite) they're the ones with both the weapon and organisation that can start shit up (aka a new ethnic civil war) all they need is a little push from foreign benefactors >so we likely won't see any CIA glowies trying to fuck shit up. with iran, KSA and turekey having honed their glownigger skills in syria, i wouldn't be so secure about that
>>278668 The Lebanese people are angrier now than they’ve been in the past since the civil war. Storming several government buildings in quick succession was new, and that petition to return Lebanon under the French Mandate was quite telling of the general attitude towards the government.
>>278670 >to return Lebanon under the French Mandate was quite telling of the general attitude towards the government. lol a larp from a loud minority that suck up to the french 24/7 means nothing
>>278669 Right. but let's bet honest though. if the Maronites couldn't win the war in the 80's with our direct help, they won't be able to do much now against a far stronger Hezbollah. that ship has sailed.
>with iran, KSA and turekey having honed their glownigger skills in syria Right. but it isn't in Iran's interest to start shit up. as for the Saudis I don't know how much influence they got. all in all they're still the weaker side. not to mention that Syria will 100% directly intervene if a civil war were to break out just like last time so that whole thing is doomed from the start for the oppo.
>>278670 Yes they are full of resentment for the government, but the elders in Lebanon still remember the civil war and know that things can get 1000x uglier and worse than they are now. they'll probably demand some reforms and changes in the top but I just don't see it blowing up to a full scale rebellion. but hey if I'm wrong I'm sure bibi will be happy.
>>278672 >Right. but let's bet honest though. if the Maronites couldn't win the war in the 80's with our direct help, they won't be able to do much now against a far stronger Hezbollah. that ship has sailed. coul be a threeway battle my biggest contender would be sunnis embolden by the events in syria vs shia >all in all they're still the weaker side nah, money can even the odds more than you think, not to mention that if turkey can do some funding in libya then lebanon is a piece of cake (especially considering that israel may give indirect support by not intervening in the sea against turkey in order to counteract iran's response) >not to mention that Syria will 100% directly intervene impossible, they're on their knees both militarily, economically and diplomatically, russia wont allow to be dragged into it syria's military of the 80's was far more powerful (in terms of balance of power) compared to pre-civil war and now they're fractured due to their civil war, best they can do is let hezbollah and iran operate from their territory
>>278673 >nah, money can even the odds more than you think, not to mention that if turkey can do some funding in libya then lebanon is a piece of cake Sure but there's no way Iran will let Lebanon fall to another power. it's their base of operation against Israel and they will do anything to prevent it. if they could managed to defend Syria from falling they can do the same for much smaller Lebanon.
>considering that israel may give indirect support by not intervening in the sea against turkey I wouldn't count on that. Turkey is reaching Iran level of hatred here mainly due to Erdogan.
>best they can do is let hezbollah and iran operate from their territory Yeah that's what I meant. they'll send whoever they got. but again I don't think we'll reach this point. I give it a few weeks before things are back to normal.
>>278675 >Sure but there's no way Iran will let Lebanon fall to another power hence why they'll have to fund the shia during the power grab from the saudi's proxy and it'll spiral out of control i'm not saying they'll lose or they'll win, but that a war will be required to arm wrestle it out of KSA and it'll take many years to solve >if they could managed to defend Syria from falling russia is more to credit to the turning tide of the war than iran look at yemen where only iran is acting and russia not really getting involved: it's a gridlock >I wouldn't count on that. Turkey is reaching Iran level of hatred here mainly due to Erdogan. when you're only two choices is siding with the local underdog (sunni) to keep the shia in check vs letting iran take a tighter grip on the region after they're done reinforcing themselves in syria, i think the authorities will have their hand forced into picking a side > I give it a few weeks before things are back to normal. you're too optimistic, recent history has shown to be the opposite especially considering the pressure valve hasn't blown up in lebanon during the arab spring and there's enough entropy left to spark the bomb >inb4 this comes from a wishful thinking of "please Mr nasrallah don't make me be conscripted back, i want my tendies" :^)
>>278677 >but that a war will be required to arm wrestle it out of KSA and it'll take many years to solve That is assuming Saudis have enough say in that matter. as much as they hate Iran I don't see them supporting Christians Arabs just to spite them.
>look at yemen where only iran is acting and russia not really getting involved: it's a gridlock If Yemen is anything to judge from, we can also conclude that Saudis are doing a piss poor job as well.
Russia will gladly support Iran in Lebanon if they'll manage to loosen America's influence on it.
> i think the authorities will have their hand forced into picking a side With KSA//Egypt/Jordan/gulf states yes. Turkey not so sure. they'll prefer to strengthen the Maronite militias ala SLA.
>you're too optimistic You're too pessimistic :^) call me when the protesters start sniping soldiers and setting IED's.. till then they're just releasing pressure.
>>inb4 this comes from a wishful thinking of "please Mr nasrallah don't make me be conscripted back, i want my tendies" kek Au contraire A civil war will serve us will In fact I'm not sure why the dense hotheads at the Mossad haven't figured out a way to make it happen yet.
>>278679 >as much as they hate Iran I don't see them supporting Christians Arabs just to spite them. sunnis (and all their sub fraction with maybe a touch of ISIS 2.0) will be sufficient >If Yemen is anything to judge from, we can also conclude that Saudis are doing a piss poor job as well. apples and oranges direct confrontation of conventional army vs guerilla in mountain region is not comparable to urban warfare of proxies that share same tactics and same skills (leb vs leb) >Russia will gladly support Iran in Lebanon if they'll manage to loosen America's influence on it. i don't think so, russia has got what it needs in syria (military bases airfields and ports) no need to antagonize israel or KSA (again look at yemen where they sided with KSA over iran) when there's little to gain their not as greedy in their expansion of sphere of influence as the USSR >they'll prefer to strengthen the Maronite militias ala SLA. >as much as they hate Iran I don't see them supporting Christians Arabs just to spite them. there you have it then a three way civil war with a sponsor for each side (plus they can get international PR good boys points with west and evengelitards about we wuz defenders of christianity) >call me when the protesters start sniping soldiers and setting IED's.. till then they're just releasing pressure. we'll see, i'm not quick to jump on the happeningfag bandwagon, but in this scenario i can definitely see a possibility > I'm not sure why the dense hotheads at the Mossad haven't figured out a way to make it happen yet. maybe they don't want to bite more than they can chew, maybe they don't want to get involved until either there's a clear winner or shit has already been sparked by someone else (like in syria) or maybe bibi is cucking them out because extra pressure is the last thing he needs now >I'm no longer eligible for reserve duty not even rear echelon/non combat/desk job role?
>>278682 >sunnis (and all their sub fraction with maybe a touch of ISIS 2.0) will be sufficient Wasn't sufficient in Syria despite their best efforts.
>not comparable to urban warfare of proxies that share same tactics and same skills Lebanon has shitload of mountains to be fair. and I bet that Hizb is better trained than the Maronite militias.
>no need to antagonize israel or KSA Any chance to push America out and decrease their influence is a golden chance for them. in Yemen America didn't have a stronghold in the first place so Russia wasn't really invested in in stirring things up there. And Russia would love to decrease our influence as well because in their eyes Israel=USA. they'd love to be able to build bases there.
>a three way civil war with a sponsor for each side Bro the Christian militias are nothing compared to what they've been in the 80's. nowadays Hizb will eat them for lunch. and we won't intervene directly again because it's terrible PR and always unites the opposing sides against us. KSA would rather resolve it diplomatically than risk losing another satellite state to Iran completely.
>but in this scenario i can definitely see a possibility I give it less than 20% chance of materializing into war.
>maybe they don't want to bite more than they can chew, maybe they don't want to get involved until either there's a clear winner Sure but everything that weakens Hezbollah will be welcome for them. getting into a quagmire in Lebanon ala Syria and a chance to severely hurt them would get bibi wet as the ocean. me thinks they can't or maybe they they know hizb will get us involved regardless.
to 45 (Non-combatant) and relieved me from Reserve duty few years ago.
theoretically if it's the end of days the PM can issue an Emergency regulation demanding anyone to defend the homeland but that has never happened before so Hizb will have to take over Tel Aviv first :^)
>>278687 >Wasn't sufficient in Syria despite their best efforts. again russia and again my point isn't about who wins but will there be a potential for victory? which convinces the gamblers to bet on their proxies >Lebanon has shitload of mountains to be fair. and I bet that Hizb is better trained than the Maronite militias. it'll be mainly urban warfare and their near countryside, just like last war, lebanon is more densely populated than syria >Any chance to push America out and decrease their influence is a golden chance for them. in Yemen America didn't have a stronghold in the first place so Russia wasn't really invested in in stirring things up there. And Russia would love to decrease our influence as well because in their eyes Israel=USA fair enough >KSA would rather resolve it diplomatically than risk losing another satellite state to Iran completely. maybe, but then again MBS thinks geopolitics is a game of europa universalis also erdogan can just floor it to try to achieve a foothold and further his ottoman hegemony plan (don't forget that lebanon is strategical to both corner syria and have a better grip on cyprus and to a a larger extent secure the east med to better focus on cornering greece) >I give it less than 20% chance of materializing into war. 50/50 for me >me thinks they can't or maybe they they know hizb will get us involved regardless. this makes me think: what are the chances that hizb counterintel just has gotten too strong for mossad's paygrade? >to 45 (Non-combatant) and relieved me from Reserve duty few years ago. not even carrying the torah :^) >https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Medical_profile >24: Temporarily unfit for service (severe sensitivity to bee stings really nigga? >theoretically if it's the end of days the PM can issue an Emergency regulation demanding anyone to defend the homeland but that has never happened before even if there's some spillover on the southern leb border?
>>278688 >will there be a potential for victory? I don't see any chance for the Sunni or Christian without direct intervention from other players that probably won't happen.
>it'll be mainly urban warfare and their near countryside Hizb loves that. they have lots of experience from Syria.
>maybe, but then again MBS thinks geopolitics is a game of europa universalis Yeah but he seems to have good relations with Putin and Trump. they'll work something out.
>Erdogan can just floor it to try to achieve a foothold and further his ottoman hegemony plan No one is going to let him do that. he can barely get things going in Libya. not USA Russia Iran Israel or KSA would let him do shit in Lebanon no matter how much he fantasizes about a Neo-Ottoman empire.
> what are the chances that hizb counterintel just has gotten too strong for mossad's paygrade? Don't know about they counterintel but both sides know the equations. if Hezb gets caught up in a civil war they might as well start lobbying missile at us.
> (severe sensitivity to bee stings >really nigga? kek yeah the profiles are adjusted by the book and they have to follow procedure per medical diagnosis automatically.
>even if there's some spillover on the southern leb border? Yeah. it's excepted for Hezb to try and infiltrate the border in the day of command. not talking about the galilee invasion plans they've been hyping up but rather take over a few hills for a while and try to kidnap some troops.
>>278690 >Yeah but he seems to have good relations with Putin and Trump. they'll work something out. fair enough >No one is going to let him do that. wouldn't put it past him to just stubbornly do it anyways after all he singlehandedly cucked USA/NATO out of it's influence about kurds >if Hezb gets caught up in a civil war they might as well start lobbying missile at us. if you're not involved directly why would they give you a casus belli for airstrikes?
>>278692 >wouldn't put it past him to just stubbornly do it anyways Eh, I'd like to see what happens if he tries. I think he'll be ganged up and realize he's overplaying his hand.
>if you're not involved directly why would they give you a casus belli for airstrikes? to unite against a common enemy. >see? it's all because of the zionists etc. the Christian militias might won't care but the Sunni militias will probably do. unlike the Sunni militias in Syria the ones in Lebanon are loyal to Lebanon first.
>>278693 >I'd like to see what happens if he tries merkel: p-pls REIS™ s-stop b-being a m-meanie erdogan what's that kaffir? *releases more refugee* merkel: n-nevermind
trump really doesn't care nor wants to be involved in ME anymore
aside from that, with the shield of NATO, he can bump into KSA and iran free of charge >but what about russia the country that pulled the biggest cuck move in the 21st as to not retaliate for the shot down plane because they don't want to lose turkey as a viable partner?
>to unite against a common enemy. pretty sure you don't need an additional enemy when you're engaged against sunni militia who would rather cross 50 km behind enemy line to attack one of your position than do anything against israel despite sharing a border (ie that small FSA enclave in contact with golan) >>see? it's all because of the zionists you're overestimating the inter shia-sunni solidarity some people see their country becoming syria 2.0 (aka iran's bitch with sunni getting expelled from their villages and being replaced by fresh of the boat afghan shia or iranians paid for by the IRGC) vs the country in the south that is dormant (don't think that people value palestinian plight over their own potential plight) and they'll go directly against the shia no amount of dragging israel into it will make the sunni drop their weapon and suddenly switch sides in the middle of an ongoing war that was sparked by shia sunni tensions despite what you or your local media thinks the whole "6 gorrilion muslim army led y erdomeme marching to liberate palestine" is mostly a meme in people's minds
your best bet is to still prop up (train, fund, help recruit) christians to double team hizb and have them operate like tFSA where they do the dirty work on the field while you provide logistic arty and airstrikes and maybe you can get a buffer zone out of it
>>278694 >the country that pulled the biggest cuck move in the 21st as to not retaliate for the shot down plane because they don't want to lose turkey as a viable partner? come on now there's a difference between a meaningless jet (russia loses one about every month) and ceding control to some lunatic we wuzer with illusions of grandeur. I don't think Turkey will even try anything. they seem to have their hands pretty full in Northern Syria and Libya already.
>ie that small FSA enclave in contact with golan That's why I differentiated between the Syrian militias and the Lebanese ones. Kataeb etc. will turn against us the second we airstrike Beirut. The Lebanese population won't leave them a choice.
>no amount of dragging israel into it will make the sunni drop their weapon and suddenly switch sides in the middle of an ongoing war that was sparked by shia sunni tensions The thing is that the largest Sunni military presence is.... the army itself. they're weak compared to Hezbollah, and the rest are Maronites and Shias militias. (other than Nasserites and Tawheed).
> erdomeme marching to liberate palestine" is mostly a meme in people's minds Never doubted that. no one's taking him seriously, it's just his rhetoric that pisses off people.
>your best bet is to still prop up (train, fund, help recruit) christians to double team hizb and have them operate like tFSA Yeah but that already happened with the SLA. 20 years of occupation did fuck all. now Hezb is 10 times stronger and the readiness of the Christians to openly fight alongside us has diminished to probably zero. Also no one on the political isle would be crazy enough to do it again. everyone wanted out in 2000 and 2006 was a reminder why we better leave them alone to do their thing their way. But again I'm telling you.. these protests will die out in a month tops.
You see that red dot with the grey arc right below Bala Buluk? Government authorities have been administering Gulistan District from there since.... *drumroll* 2015. https://www.pajhwok.com/en/2015/12/22/farah’s-gulistan-district-falls-taliban-say-residents >FARAH (Pajhwok): Some residents of Gulistan district of western Farah province on Tuesday claimed the district had fallen to the Taliban, but provincial officials said the town’s headquarters were relocated for the sake of good governance.
>Gulistan is a remote district where telephonic services do not work in many parts. Fazl Ahmad, who lives in Toot Kali area of the district, told Pajhwok Afghan News that the district fell to the Taliban on Tuesday noon.
>He said the insurgents stormed the district centre and the Afghan National Army base and captured the district centre. He said government forces had moved to Toot area between Gulistan and Bakwa districts.
>Ahmad Khalid, who is actual resident of Gulistab but lives in Farah City, the provincial capital, also said that security forces had abandoned the spot where they were stationed in the district and had moved to Toot area.
>“The Gulistan district had actually fallen to Taliban two years ago. Only two villages were in control of government forces and the rebels controlled the rest,” he said.
>But Farah Governor Mohammad Asif Nang rejected the fall of Gulistan to Taliban at a press conference. He said the government had decided to shift elsewhere the district headquarters from Kehna Qala area and this job was done without any lose.
>He said the relocation was aimed at finding solution to the bad governance in Gulistan and to enable the district administration to be effective and able to serve the people.
>He said the new area chosen for the district centre was between Toot and Ghani Margh areas and 80 percent people of the district could approach the district administration now.
>Also present at the press conference was 207 Zafar Military Corps commander in the west, Brig. Gen. Taj Mohammad Mujahid, who also rejected Gulistan had fallen to the Taliban. Lmao dat cope
>“The relocation of the district government was preplanned. It does not mean the district has collapsed, it was not a military decision but a political move on a larger scale aimed at ensuring good governance. The shifting would benefit the district residents,” he said. Lmao dat cope. It’s like Pashtun Kot District in Faryab: the DHQ is actually right next to Maymana city, and within Maymana District. What a mess. So now I have to wonder if all the reports of Taliban clashes in Gulistan District have actually been taking place in the Toot area (the village I pointed out in the map), and not the district proper. Which was why I was so hesitant to mark the eastern districts of Farah as Taliban-controlled but fuck there’s so little news that comes out of them for months at a time. But this led to me having to issue a massive correction for Farah, north Nimruz, south Herat, and west Helmand. >mfw
>>278701 >there's a difference between a meaningless jet (russia loses one about every month) and ceding control to some lunatic we wuzer with illusions of grandeur. for me jewtin is a cuck it'd have costed nothing to indirectly fuck up erdogan to keep him in check and yet he passed, just proves how afraid this so called superpower is at using their actual power to maintain their sphere of influence hence why not only erdog is embolden but also putin basically said "i wont stick my neck anymore than absolutely necessary" which is the opposite mindset of someone who wants to establish and maintain a sphere of influence russia is just boneless USSR >I don't think Turkey will even try anything. they seem to have their hands pretty full in Northern Syria and Libya already. maybe, maybe not, erdo is unpredictable >That's why I differentiated between the Syrian militias and the Lebanese ones how do you know the lebs of today aren't the lebs of 40 years ago >The thing is that the largest Sunni military presence is.... the army itself they're not based on religious identity but more on a neutered "national" identity which means nothing in the ethnic context the ones that'll break away to join ethnic militia will be more fanatical and more stubborn even if they're a piece of cake compared to hizb, they can drag them in the mud with attritional guerilla tactics the war doesn't have to be even or high intensity, just enough fanatics to wage a low intensity series of skirmishes is enough to be considered a civil war i don't doubt that a civil war will see hizb as dominant and most likely winning but never underestimate stubbornness of some people to still spark said civil war and drag it for 10+ years >these protests will die out in a month tops. we'll see although i may come from a wishful thinking POV of wanting to see something more entertaining than the syrian war which pretty much grinded to a halt
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - issued massive corrections for Farah, western Helmand, southern Herat, and northern Nimruz. Also corrected northern Kunduz. Plus Wikipedia added some villages in the Ghazni city area and corrected Saydabad area.
>>278706 >>But Farah Governor Mohammad Asif Nang rejected the fall of Gulistan to Taliban at a press conference. He said the government had decided to shift elsewhere the district headquarters from Kehna Qala area and this job was done without any lose. text book american cope "we didn't lose in vietnam, we just left"
>>278709 >for me jewtin is a cuck I disagree. Russia cucked Erdo in Syria harder. blowing it all up over a jet isn't worth it. it shows Putin isn't an impulsive hothead, that's all.
>maybe, maybe not, erdo is unpredictable Guess we'll see soon.
>the lebs of today aren't the lebs of 40 years ago Because the rhetoric since the 80's has changes, the groups that were ready to work with us directly back then won't do so now. the Arab identity is more important to them.
>they're not based on religious identity but more on a neutered "national" identity which means nothing in the ethnic context Exactly which is why the Sunnis are already in disadvantage. they're just the default.
>the war doesn't have to be even or high intensity, just enough fanatics to wage a low intensity series of skirmishes is enough to be considered a civil war >i don't doubt that a civil war will see hizb as dominant and most likely winning Ok, I agree with that.
>although i may come from a wishful thinking POV of wanting to see something more entertaining than the syrian war which pretty much grinded to a halt Hey count me in on that too. wouldn't mind some actual happenings myself.
>>278769 >Russia cucked Erdo in Syria harder barely, he's still operating >the Arab identity is more important to them pan arabism is dead, and was dead from the start
>>278770 >pan arabism is dead, and was dead from the start maybe, but after 2006 they see zion as a greater monolith enemy than the inner conflict between themselves. I just don't see them descending into chaos again, because they all know that in the end it will mainly serve us and it'll be on their expense. But if I'm wrong and they really wanna hash it out the old fashioned way be my guest famalam.
>>278803 >but after 2006 they see zion as a greater monolith enemy than the inner conflict between themselves was it this impactful? even for maronites who sided with you during the previous conflicts? > I just don't see them descending into chaos again, because they all know that in the end it will mainly serve us and it'll be on their expense judging by all these arab revolution i wouldn't bet on such good common sense from the pleb plus it only takes a couple of knuckleheads to drag the rest with them through fait accompli
>>278801 Christians can't even properly control their own countries and borders. war and conquest are dirty words for them. besides they already tried the cucksades and failed spectacularly.
>>278806 >was it this impactful? I think so. despite us not winning the damage done on Lebanon was pretty substantial and I don't recall many people during that time cheering for us against Hizb. although they probably can't really be too outspoken about it. don't forget that other shia militias are pretty strong too (AMAL, PFLP).
>judging by all these arab revolution i wouldn't bet on such good common sense from the pleb Yeah it's miraculous that Lebs somehow managed to avoid an arab ""spring"" of its own so far.
>plus it only takes a couple of knuckleheads to drag the rest with them through fait accompli True, guess we'll have to wait and see if reason prevails.
>>278810 >despite us not winning the damage done on Lebanon was pretty substantial btw what's the POV from the average citizen about it are they like mutts with their vietnam cope? >Yeah it's miraculous that Lebs somehow managed to avoid an arab ""spring"" of its own so far. maybe hizb intel network disabled foreign agitators before they could do shit who knows, their intel network after all those years must have grown extensively i still remember about that time they hacked an IDF drone operating over lebanon
>>278813 >btw what's the POV from the average citizen about it >are they like mutts with their vietnam cope? Nah pretty much everyone acknowledges that it was a pretty major fuckup. and another war will probably end up pretty much the same.
>maybe hizb intel network disabled foreign agitators before they could do shit Definitely >i still remember about that time they hacked an IDF drone operating over lebanon yeah I think it wasn't even encrypted. hopefully they learned something since then.
>>278816 >Nah pretty much everyone acknowledges that it was a pretty major fuckup. and another war will probably end up pretty much the same. how could it have been fixed in your opinion? aside from not getting involved
>>278818 >how could it have been fixed in your opinion? there's no easy around it. Hezb is dug out too deeply in the southern Lebanon villages. sending any ground forces there without carpet bombing them first ala Aleppo will end up badly. that was the biggest mistake, sending all the infantry in without Artillery/air softening. Truth is no one is going to allow us do what Russia did in Aleppo or what America did in Mosul so our options are quite shite. the intl. community holds us by the balls to do anything meaningful. so no deep incursions into Lebanon next war.
>>278820 >sending all the infantry in without Artillery/air softening wait i though you actually did bomb the shit out of them before and during the invasion so much so that the civilian infrastructure of the south was basically rubble also what was the logic behind striking neutral infrastructure like the rafic hairi airport if history taught something is that striking a neutral bystander never made them your ally in history
>>278821 well the fact that villages like Marjayoun and bint jbeil were left standing tells you everything. the other thing was the ATGM sniping squads. they took out the most of the merkavas easily. Trophy only entered service in 2007 as a lesson from that but even now only the Mk-4 variants has it. most of the tanks are Mk-2/3 which are vulnerable. hezb today has ATV ATGM squads with longer ranges missiles so it's still gonna be ugly.
>also what was the logic behind striking neutral infrastructure like the rafic hairi airport It's meant as "punishment" and the logic is they think it will stop Hezb because they'll see that the civilians suffer. and hopefully drive the civvies against hezb. so basic d&c. but yeah it's not very effective.
>>278822 >they took out the most of the merkavas easily. i thought they had outdated ATGM that couldn't scale up to your tanks armors >most of the tanks are Mk-2/3 which are vulnerable. and no plan to retrofit? not even the $3Bn can help wew lad >hezb today has ATV ATGM squads with longer ranges missiles so it's still gonna be ugly. you forget one aspect: drones today's drones can allow to ID insurgents with thermals without even having to expose yourself just look at turkey results in north syria >the logic is they think it will stop Hezb because they'll see that the civilians suffer unironic amateur tier shit anyone worth his salt knows that abuses against civilians is premium propaganda to fuel to create an influx of new recruits trying to seek revenge just look at Afghanistan or Algeria during the independence war none of these non state actor groups have to waste time and resources to recruit anyone or coerce anyone into the organization the fuck ups of the conventional forces is more than enough for that
>>278823 >i thought they had outdated ATGM that couldn't scale up to your tanks armors 20 tanks damaged beyond repair (from ATGMs and IEDs). for a month of fighting that's a bit much. with the newer kornets it will be far worse. >and no plan to retrofit? not even the $3Bn can help Nope, it's too expensive. >The Trophy "Heavy" system costs around US$900,000 to mount on a Merkava Mk. IVM
>you forget one aspect: drones Right. not sure how many drones we had back then vs. now. hopefully it'll help.
>anyone worth his salt knows that abuses against civilians is premium propaganda to fuel to create an influx of new recruits trying to seek revenge I know. the top brass here always had weird ideas. it's the same principle they use when shooting at Assad because they think it will persuade him to drive Iran out, oblivious to the fact that it only antagonizes him even more.
>>278824 >20 tanks damaged beyond repair (from ATGMs and IEDs). for a month of fighting that's a bit much. with the newer kornets it will be far worse. i just didn't expect iranian's export to be that good back in the days >it's the same principle they use when shooting at Assad because they think it will persuade him to drive Iran out pic rel bruh do they even study history of modern warfare? how many time do you have to hit your head against the wall to learn the lesson
https://www.rt.com/news/497602-lebanese-pm-announces-resignation/ >Lebanese PM to announce resignation of government 'soon' amid widespread protests - minister >The “whole government” of Lebanon will resign shortly amid growing public anger and protests following the devastating explosion in Beirut port, Health Minister Hamad Hassan told reporters. >He told the press that Prime Minister Hassan Diab would make his way to the presidential palace to “hand over the resignation in the name of all the ministers.”
>Hassan broke the news to journalists following a cabinet meeting in Beirut. The government's resignation will happen 'soon', Reuters reported, citing the minister.
>Diab is set to address the public on Monday evening.
>Massive protests erupted in the days following last week's devastating explosion, with tens of thousands of citizens taking to the streets to demand the government's resignation.
this is now gentlemen either it's defused or the power vacuum window of opportunity sparks the civil war
I was thinking to post this in the Beirut explosion thread, but better here as it has regional impact. >ROTHSCHILD MAKES LEBANON AN OFFER >President Macron made his way to Beirut to spread the gospel of Crypto 5G Smart Cities. Perhaps Lebanon will be the example for the rest of the world? https://www.bitchute.com/video/9AFQCoWNeexr/
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-53764943 >Mocimboa da Praia: Mozambique battles for port seized by IS >Mozambique says its troops are fighting to regain control of the key port of Mocimboa da Praia, following multiple reports that it had fallen to Islamist militants on Wednesday.
>The city is near the site of natural gas projects worth $60bn (£46bn).
>The military says there is ongoing action to "neutralise" the Islamic State group-linked militants, who have been using local people as shields.
>It follows days of fighting for the port in the country's gas-rich north.
>Dozens of soldiers are reported to have been killed, and a patrol boat sunk baqiya wa tatamadad
Houthis are pulling off some gains on the Bayda-Marib front against a supposed ISIS/AQ pocket. They're also advancing on the the Qaniya front (furthest to the east on the map, road leads to Marib). Also reports of several axes on the Marib front seeing re-ignited battles.
>>279223 This has been going on for a few days, these may seem like big-ass gains but really most of it is just low populated rough terrain (very mountainous) with no paved roads. Amaq did report an attack against the houthis here but they're not putting up a real fight. To me it looks like no side (Hadi or Houthis) of the conflict wanted the area but now that the houthis seem to be storming through Mahliyah District on the highway to Marib, they want to clear the area between Rada'a and the highway. Due to the rugged terrain I'm not expecting this to be some grand 'very tactical' flank boogaloo with any impact on the highway front, but who knows.
In other news, Bilal of OGN news got arrested by HTS again, this time for accusing HTS of torturing prisoners. https://twitter.com/syria_map/status/1293961158752374784 It remains to be seen if the people of Bilad al-Sham will form the Free Nigger Army to fight this injustice.
>>279223 >>279226 Situation west of Marib today. I doubt it will last though, this road to Mas camp has been cut so many times here... It's like the T4-Homs road turned upside down.
Yemen Shitmupdate - Houthi gains in the northwest Bayda province, just like Snus reported earlier. I also issued a correction in the south because I saw an interesting map of STC control that connected 4 strongholds together.
For the past month, Pakistan has been conducting a quiet and very slow invasion of Afghanistan along chunks of the border. Places of clashes and incursions are marked by red arrows on the map below this post, from Spin Boldak in Kandahar to the south all the way to the Nari District in Kunar to the north. I don’t know why they’re doing this.
Also finally, an Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Taliban take Shahri Buzurg DHQ in Badakhshan, gain presence near Shakar Dara DHQ in Kabul, Pakistan penetrates the border in Goshta District of Nangarhar. Those are the events for 14/8/2020 (DD/MM/YYYY).
>>279661 Qoomers are beyond retarded and I cringe whenever I see Q mentioned on the news or when my boomer relatives mention Q. I dread the day they become Qoomers.
>>279661 >"Maybe this day won't be mine. Or the next. Or the next. Or the next, or the next, or the next, or the next. Or possibly even the next, or the next, or the next, or the next. Or the next after that! But the one after the next after the next after the next after that, well that one after that, right next to that one, THAT WILL BE MY DAY!!!!!"
>-Plankton, Spongebob Squarepants: Battle For Bikini Bottom
>most of my subhumanic nation supports Belarusian protests and starts "waving saber" all around like they do every time something big happens in the region >it might unironically bite them in the ass on the levels of Autumn '39
Just someone fucking please finalize the polish solutuion once and for all.
>>279216 https://twitter.com/SimTack/status/1294901457364213760 > Despite constant combat with government forces, ISCAP militants maintain a presence in Northern #Mozambique's Mocimboa da Praia since their offensive over a week ago. This map shows how they established control in a wider area as they advanced on the town.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - mostly just corrections: Taliban having further presence in Kabul and Dih Yak DHQ icon being moved to correct position. Taliban gains presence near Band Ghorila DHQ in northern Badakhshan, Taliban gains some land in Qaysar District in Faryab which only further reinforces my theory that government controls just the highways and major cities, while Taliban controls everything else with some exceptions. As for the Districtmupdate - just two corrections: Azra DHQ is defacto under siege, and corrected Nirkh District in Wardak.
>>279800 Honestly, the new additions put out by Wikipedia the past two months only reinforces the theory I have that the government only controls the cities and major highways while the Taliban control literally everything else. Just look at Helmand and Baghdis. Even Kabul begins to display this phenomenon. There are ofc exceptions, like the Hazara areas in central Afghanistan.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - Taliban seize Marghab District in Ghor (added to Districtmap), gain presence north of Fayzabad in Badakhshan, are at the gates of both Darqad DHQ in Takhar and Qaysar DHQ in Faryab. Government clears out Taliban presence near Shakar Dara DHQ in Kabul.
Military coup ongoing in Mali while france military is operating in operation Sevral This is in continuity to the protest (since 5 of june) that happened over the mismanagement of the crisis/war in the north that still isn't settled (started in early 2012) Current government resign https://www.rt.com/news/498303-mali-mutiny-bamako-gunfire/
>A mutiny is reportedly underway in Mali amid reports of gunfire at a military base and the arrest of high ranking military and political figures. It comes following weeks of protests calling for the president to resign. >There have been several reports of gunfire at a base in Kati, near the capital Bamako, which was the initial launch site of a 2012 coup d'etat. Social media posts indicate army roadblocks on routes into the town.
>It remains unclear how much of the military has mutinied, though an unnamed security source cited by Reuters merely stated: "Yes, mutiny. The military has taken up arms."
>>280465 >pls mr netanyahu don't conscript me as riot control auxiliary ok ok, all jokes aside but if he doesn't lift the quarantine a lot of unemployed people wont just take it easily
>>280467 >pls mr netanyahu don't conscript me as riot control auxiliary lel the thing is the oppo won't lift it either even if bibi died tomorrow everyone is stalling until the vaccine only the Swedish got it right
>>280470 >the thing is the oppo won't lift it either even if bibi died tomorrow yeah but before arriving at that point i suspect disgruntled unemployed and indebted people to amplify the protest to a point where he might resign (but he wont because muh trial) don't know where this will lead but the pressure has to find a release valve somewhere
>>280473 how does one manage to sit through so many protests tho? even lebanon resigned for less pressure why aren't israeli taking more violent/radical measures?
>>280480 >wall trophy Nah too weathered for that. >you need a heavy weapon to not botch it as often It's too heavy to swing correctly (holding the actual handle). Some weeb turned islamic state blacksmith made it because he thought he would be the most coolest executioner in the arabian peninsula and after realizing it's too heavy he ended up cutting out pieces of the blade but it's still not light enough. Probably just let it lie somewhere.
>President Tayyip Erdogan told energy executives on Wednesday he will announce “good news” on Friday that will herald a “new period” for Turkey - comments which drove up shares in Turkish energy firms and lifted the lira from this week’s record low. >“There is a natural gas finding in the Tuna 1 well,” the source said. “The expected reserve is 26 trillion cubic feet or 800 billion cubic metres, and it meets approximately 20 years of Turkey’s needs.”
>>280483 I guess if you strap the person to be executed to a solid object and sharpen the blade it could be possible, but i have never seen a sword execution video from ISIS where they used anything like it.
>>280474 >how does one manage to sit through so many protests tho? his base is larger and he still leads in all polls outside the tlv bubble no one really cares
>why aren't israeli taking more violent/radical measures? western docile syndrome
>>280578 The saudis not only supplied this IS enclave with weaponry, they also had the audacity to airstrike the houthis during the battle. Massive propaganda victory for the houthis.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate: General corrections all over the country based on new information, especially Shirin Tagab in Faryab and the districts of Wardak. Gains: Taliban gains ground and pressure Qaysar DHQ in Faryab. Minor government gains in the outskirts of the Qaysar pocket. Government recaptures Marghab DHQ and 3 villages in the immediate area in Ghor.
>>280487 >his base is larger and he still leads in all polls how can the average normie still cope with all the corruption and incompetence tho? >western docile syndrome wwhy? i've always known israelis (from the few interaction i've had) to be aggressive and rude and that they're known as the worst (most violent and aggressive) drivers
>Moscow protest leader Navalny admitted to hospital in Berlin after being airlifted from Siberia >Russia's best known anti-corruption activist Alexey Navalny has been admitted to a hospital in Berlin shortly after he landed in Germany on Saturday morning. The Moscow protest leader remains in a medically-induced coma >Navalny, who suddenly fell ill during a flight from Tomsk to Moscow on Thursday, was transported to Berlin’s famous Charite hospital. The entrance to the building was guarded by police when the Russian activist arrived.
>Jaka Bizilj, the head of the Cinema for Peace Foundation, which arranged for Navalny’s flight, told Bild that his condition was “stable” during the journey and upon landing.
>Navalny was evacuated to Germany from the Siberian city of Omsk on Saturday morning.
>Local doctors treating the activist initially refused to allow his transfer, arguing that his condition was not sufficiently stable. However, after consultations with German specialists, they later approved the flight.
>>280614 >how can the average normie still cope with all the corruption and incompetence tho? everyone's used to it
>to be aggressive and rude and that they're known as the worst (most violent and aggressive) drivers lmao you should visit egypt then. all the aggressive Israelis are mizrahis who worship bibi they'll never do anything against him or likud
>>280624 >mizrahis who worship bibi never understood why it happens aren't they also complaining about muh ashkenazim supremacy it's almost like they wish they were white/ashkenazi but hate to admit it
>>280625 likud has historically been the mizrahi party other than bibi most of their ministers are mizrahi sepharadi vote shas labour/left mostly ashkenazi
>>280626 >likud has historically been the mizrahi party i know, but i specifically talk about the cult of personality that mizrahi have for an ashkenazim which subtly imply that ashkenazim are superior or at least more suited to lead the party/country than mizrahi something very cognitively dissonant in the tribalistic mindset context of mizrahi
>>280635 per wiki >About 44.9% percent of Israel's Jewish population identify as either Mizrahi or Sephardi, 44.2% identify as Ashkenazi, about 3% as Beta Israel and 7.9% as mixed or other
>>280642 results from latest elections with exact votes likud top gantz (centrist) second arab union third religious sepharadi fourth religious nutjobs fifth then labour and russians.
>>280643 >kosher vote lmao wtf is that? a ballot pre-approved by the local rabbi? >so basically sectarianism till the end. come to think of it, your situation is closer to the political situation of lebanon, just with higher enough IQ to have less incompetence/corruption and people dumb enough to willingly ruin the country through a stupid civil war
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Corrections: Sozma Qala District in Sar-e-Pol. Gains: Taliban gain a village in Sherzad District of Nangarhar, putting the DHQ under increased pressure. Government gains a village in Chimtal District of Balkh, two villages in the Muhammad Agha DHQ area of Logar Province, and take the fight to Taliban in Nazyan District of Nangarhar.
>>280797 Most of my regular sources are quiet (which is weird considering how big of a milestone Mas camp is) but many reputable houthi field sources say it's captured. What's most likely going on is pro-Hadi forces lost the base but are trying to regain it or they already have recaptured it. Time will of course tell but if we don't get a confirmation by tomorrow i'd say it's safe to assume that the houthis aren't in control.
Corrections: A fuckton based on new information gathered by Wikipedia. • Ghazni - Dih Yak DHQ is named Ramak. • Helmand - Taliban presence right next to the ring highway near the Helmand-Nimruz border. • Herat - Updated situation in Pashtun Zarghun DHQ area. • Faryab - Updated situation in the Qaramqol/Qurghan District area. • Jowzjan/Sar-e-Pol - updated situation between the two provincial capitals. • Kabul/Parwan - updated situation in Kohi Safi District. • Laghman - updated situation in Dawlat Shah District. • Nangarhar - updated Surkh Rod District for IS-K presence. • Kunduz - updated situation in the Archi area, added Aqtash, Galbad, and Gur Tepa DHQs all under Taliban control.
Gains: some Taliban gains in two northern provinces. • Balkh: Chimtal DHQ is under pressure from the south. • Kunduz: Taliban attack Chark Aw on the eastern outskirts of Kunduz City and contest the Taluqa area to the NW of Kunduz City; Taliban have Imam Sahib DHQ under siege.
>>281091 >retaliate after the first time Some airstrikes on supposedly important locations (ammo dump outside Binnish among others iirc) and nearly authorized the Idlib offensive. Turkey told them they couldn't guarantee that upcoming patrols would be safe and therefore didn't want more patrols. Faced with either an SAA offensive or the inevitable attacks by international jihadi factions in Idlib against the Russians the t*rks opted to keep the patrols going. The second patrol attack was followed by airstrikes on supposed headquarters and underground weapon factories (Russians say they destroyed the source of the drones that pester Hmeimin airport) north of Idlib (Haranbush/Kafr Bani). What the Russians are doing is pure madness, no doubt trying to get their own soldiers killed so that they can launch the offensive. The question is who they are trying to convince, the t*rks (that abandoning Idlib is the only reasonable solution if they want to stay friendly with Russia) or the homeland (Turkey defends people who kill us, we have to fight a war with Turkey in Syria etc). I don't know, this whole ordeal really evokes my conspiritard side.
>>281095 what prevents syria and/or turkey from flipping the bird to turkey and pushing idlib? sounds like to me that they have less to lose than turkey if it happens consider how erdomeme is afraid of the offensive
>>281096 >what prevents syria and/or turkey from flipping the bird to turkey and pushing idlib? I assume you mean Russia. Russia is preventing Syria (Syria can't defeat Turkey without them) and Russian interest in Turkey as a partner is preventing them. In the end, Russia doesn't want to start a war with Turkey over some shithole like Idlib.
>>281097 >I assume you mean Russia. yeah my bad >Russian interest in Turkey as a partner is preventing them yeah but the question was more in line of why can't they use syria as a proxy (or even better a joint kurds+SAA alliance) to deflect political downfall (ie; we dindu nuffin or barely did anything and it's all bashar's doing; as for the airstrikes, they can fly under SAA colors)) it's not like erdomeme can turn to europe or NATO now that he's engaged in antagonizing greece and europe's infrastructure with the excess of migrants it really seems odd that they drag it so long when they have the high ground to fold it
>>281098 T*rkey would know that Russia is behind it i reckon (wow, SAA got Su-34's, krasnopol, radars and are shooting down our drones like never before all of a sudden, i bet Russia has nothing to do with this))) and controlling Idlib isn't high enough on the priority list to risk losing all the benefits of being a partner with them i guess.
>>281099 >would know that Russia is behind it i reckon yeah but they wouldn't be doing much considering they don't have the proofs for the public opinion to justify getting back at turkey directly, nor it is their soldiers getting directly targeted so that takes down the tension by a peg ultimately erdomeme would have his hand forced by pretending that russia isn't part of it because he need russia more now than russia needs him
methinks it has more to do with belarus and putin not wanting to be on two active theaters so he delays syria
>>281100 Thing is, the days of the observation post meme is over, Erdo really can't allow SAA to chase them away. SAA has to fight the T*rks if they want to advance, they have a huge presence around Idlib city and as seen during the Saraqib blunder will not hesitate to fire artillery, drone strike and shoot down planes if SAA tries to advance (they have MIM-23 Hawk XXI AA systems deployed in Idlib if that tells you anything). I wouldn't be surprised if they'll even engage in tank & small arms combat at this point if SAA tries to go for Idlib city and Russia aren't around to stop them. >it has more to do with belarus and putin not wanting to be on two active theaters so he delays syria I see the same being said about Turkey in Libya not advancing anymore, as if Turkey can't handle two relatively small fights at once. Nah, Russia can handle both things at once. It's not like Lukashenko need the Hmeimin air fleet to stomp some glownigger protestors, the regular Russian army could handle that if Belarus' army isn't up for it.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Corrections: corrected situation south of Andkhoy DHQ, corrected situation in Dand Aw Patan District of Paktia, corrected situation in Saydabad District of Wardak Gains: Taliban advances on Gardez-Khost highway, and gain a direct flanking position immediately to the south of Qaysar DHQ.
Apparently the current Iraqi prime minister Kadhimi (the same guy who ok'd the botched raid on the Kataeb Hezbollah headquarter) recently flew to America for some big talk and upon returning, he sent the chairman of the PMU Faleh al-Fayyad to have a chat with Assad. hue
>>281086 Since this attack, 1x An 124 & 7x Il76 rusian cargo planes have hauled what can only be presumed to be some expensive toys into Syria and now a Russian oil tanker + this chonker is on the way. Exciting.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Corrections: Qala-i-Zal DHQ in Kunduz is under Taliban control Gains: Taliban surround Baghlan City and have taken the sugar factory in the southern area of the city while establishing CPs on the Baghlan-Kunduz Highway. Note: this move came as Pamir Corps sent units to Kunduz, likely to resolve the Imam Sahib situation. https://twitter.com/RisboLensky/status/1298707299125661696 <——- source for Baghlan situation so you know I’m not bullshitting.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Corrections: Corrected Tarinkot-Nili highway. Gains: Taliban surrounds Washir DHQ in western Helmand, and advances on Farkhar DHQ in eastern Takhar.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Corrections: correction north of Pul-i-Alam, corrected Shahjoy DHQ area. Gains: Taliban contest Qaysar DHQ in Faryab, advance on Ruyi Du Ab DHQ in Samangan, and seize Charkh District in Logar after a protracted siege; Government advances on highway from Kabul to Pul-i-Alam, reopen the road between Baghlan and Kunduz, and make a tiny advance to the east of Imam Sahib DHQ, which is still under siege.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Corrections: Corrected Khan Charbagh and Khwaja Du Koh Districts in Faryab and Jowzjan, respectively. Corrected Faryab’s Dawlat Abad DHQ coordinates. Gains: Taliban surround remaining ANDSF in Qaysar’s Bazaar (not show on map), Government recaptures Qurghan (which was controlled by Taliban before this) and Almar DHQs.
>>281723 yeah you wouldn't get it either it's part of the med school culture each universities develops it's own hazing chants it usually last the first two weeks then it tones down a bit >tfw nostalgic of the "good" old times https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H5qR2D1Fqg0
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Corrections: a fuckton of corrections for DHQ coordinates. Atghar DHQ (Zabul) is under govt control. Jalrez (Wardak) and Pusht Rod (Farah) are under Taliban siege. Taliban regained presence in Shakardara District of Kabul. Gains: Taliban counterattack into Almar DHQ (Faryab), cut Herat-Qala e Naw highway (Herat/Baghdis), and advance on Sarkani DHQ (Kunar). Government recaptures land around Farkhar DHQ (Takhar).
>>281723 my bad just double checked it's not med school it's STMG (basically more technical oriented and less theory oriented for school children that underperform at school, so expect a lot of low IQ, low motivation students) it's basically one step behind being a high school drop out so yes it's normal for these tards to behave like this no it's not normal to behave like this in university except special highly selective formations
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Corrections: More DHQ location corrected, Taliban control Gelan and Ab Band DHQs in Ghazni, Shahidi Hassas in Uruzgan is not besieged (for now) Gains: Taliban contests a village near Sherzad DHQ in Nangarhar, and captures the remaining village near Qaysar reducing government presence in the DHQ area to the besieged bazaar within Qaysar city.
>The German chancellor, Angela Merkel, revealed that tests carried out at a military laboratory had “identified unequivocally” the Soviet era nerve agent. She referred to the case as an “attempted murder” and said the findings raised “very difficult questions that only the Russian government can answer, and has to answer”.
>>281837 oh nonono the rabbit hole goes deeper https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Telegrass >Telegrass is a cannabis distribution network in Israel with over 200,000 members,[1] that uses the encrypted messaging application Telegram. The network enables anonymous[2] cannabis delivery and an option to rate the product and the vendors.[3] >tfw nothing stops the (((merchants)))
>>281852 yeah but i never thought of israel as the netherland of ME, even less so the fact that there is an underground highly organized network of delivery without it being taken down by mossad (>inb4 weed smoking is prevalent in IDF) this led me to think why not dropping it in gaza as part of psychological warfare tho?
>>281853 >yeah but i never thought of israel as the netherland of ME, really, I though it was well known stigma.
>A survey in 2017 found that 27% of Israelis between the ages of 18 and 65 had consumed cannabis in the last year, up from 8.8% in 2009[7], the highest rates of annual cannabis usage in the world, followed by Iceland and the US at 18% and 16% respectively.
telegrass is a honeypot used by the cops to catch the big dealers (possession up to 15 gram is decriminalized).
>why not dropping it in gaza as part of psychological warfare tho? what would that achieve? pretty sure everyone in gaza smokes it already anyway.
>>281854 >really, I though it was well known stigma. i meant the weed part, not the gay and liberal part >what would that achieve? pretty sure everyone in gaza smokes it already anyway. corrupting the youth, turning them away from hamas and destroying the social fabric of their society and put a bigger strain on hamas, basically opium war 2.0, but maybe with something more potent than weed (fentanyl, heroin or crack)
>>281855 >i meant the weed part, not the gay and liberal part it always goes together
>corrupting the youth, turning them away from hamas and destroying the social fabric of their society eh wouldn't make a difference they're all on hash since forever
>>281856 >it always goes together i wanted to say not in morocco, but then i thought of it more and i have to say "fair enough" >wouldn't make a difference nah trust me alcohol nicotine and THC are functional psychoactive substances meaning that theoretically you can have a functional society with it legalized heroin, fentanyl (especially) and crack (to a lesser extent) will wreck the society where they're used the poverty, unemployment and embargo will make these drugs penetrate the society easier and keep them in chains thus destroying any coherent form of opposition if anything it'd do better in WB to help the colonists to expand
>>281857 dude gaza is already wrecked to the core and the population devoid of all hope. drugs won't make it much worse. also Hamas is already cracking down on it pre the article I quoted above.
>if anything it'd do better in WB to help the colonists to expand what expansion? didn't you hear, bibi cucked out on the settlements in exchange of that UAE deal. don't fall for whatever he's saying to his voter base, expansion is dead.
>>281863 >don't think that israel will end with bibi where did I say that? I'm telling you that the most right PM in the history of the country with the most friendly pro-Israeli U.S administration in history can't get shit done. the U.S after Trump will never agree to any annexations or expansion whatsoever. the entire thing is a myth anyway. you read all these bombastic headlines on the guardian and it always turns out to be another 20 caravans in bumfuck nowhere. outside of the big settlements there is no real buildup. hell the entire WB is smaller than Shanghai l m f a o.
>>281865 >the most right PM until now of the country with the most friendly pro-Israeli U.S administration until now ftfy (also bibi is really tame compared to early PM in israel's history, so i wouldn't consider him the most right wing) israel won't stop with bibi, during obama, nobody could have expected for a very pro israel president to step in, yet here we are maybe in 20-30 years the political landscape will change enough to allow for a more right wing PM and more docile arab neighbors maybe america decline will make it less relevant and wont make israel as dependent on it's backing and will lead israel to rely on other players (china or KSA+UAE) that really DGAF about pretending to care about palestinians no one truly knows what the future has in reserve
>>281866 >maybe in 20-30 years the political landscape will change enough to allow for a more right wing PM come on now the demographic change in America is inevitable. Mestizos are taking over the country and by 2050 it will be Mexico 2.0. meaning it will be probably have the same power projection as a Latin American country today. thus, irrelevant. China won't be any different, they are bff's with Iran and won't change the status quo.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Corrections: Corrected Sherzad District (Nangarhar), Qarabagh (Kabul) and Kohi Safi/Bagram (Parwan) Districts. Gains: Government counterattack on Herat-Qala e Naw highway against Kotal-e Sabzak mountain. Special note: pay attention to the situation around Kabul, the Taliban are slowly establishing a siege of the entire province by capturing the mountains surrounding Kabul city. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/23/world/asia/afghanistan-taliban-attacks-kabul.html
>>281868 >come on now what? you never now what can happen in the future for israel's politics especially not 30 to 40 years later >China won't be any different, they are bff's with Iran and won't change the status quo. yet they'll put their interests over itran's and if that means more cooperation with israeli industry and tech then they wont flex the knee for iyyranians seething
>>281892 >what? you never now what can happen in the future no but best we can is make educated guesses with the information we have at hand. there is no stopping the South American migration towards the U.S. despite all the riots and all the BLM crap on TV the real danger is the Hispanicization of America. Hispanics vote overwhelmingly Democrat (not because they're liberal, but because they know dems will keep letting them in no matter what).
By 2050 the meaningful demographic shift will happen. this is also the year China expects to reach military parity with the U.S.
So imo it's completely irrelevant if Israel will have an even more right wing PM at the future. by then the U.S will be completely pozzed with SJW Black-Latino overlords. if Bibi, the most popular PM who has reigned for more than 10 years is too afraid to push for annexations during Zogland's reign.. no one else will.. especially in the upcoming leftist American dystopia.
And even if China cozies up with us I don't expect any drastic changes in its policy. then there's also Russia and its interest in the region. just my 2 cents.
>>281894 >we can is make educated guesses with the information we have at hand. there is no stopping the South American migration towards the U.S. despite all the riots and all the BLM crap on TV the real danger is the Hispanicization of America. Hispanics vote overwhelmingly Democrat (not because they're liberal, but because they know dems will keep letting them in no matter what) yes i know, i said that america will become irrelevant the change in political landscape was referring to israel what i meant is maybe israel will see a surge of ultra right wingers in politic that will give the finger to the EU and US and push aggressively their agenda while securing alliances with some arab states+ other players like maybe china or india to counteract the lack of support of the west >So imo it's completely irrelevant if Israel will have an even more right wing PM at the future. by then the U.S will be completely pozzed with SJW Black-Latino overlords au contraire as of right now america is influential enough for israeli to ask for permission by then america will become as relevant as brazil and israelis wont have to ask the US for support or care about US opposition to annexations also in the multipolar world we're entering, i don't think major powers will be as relevant as small regional and local powers ie having the support of current superpower wont matter as much as having support from a multiuplicity of smaller yet still locally relevant states ie KSA+jordan+UAE+greece vs turkey+iran for the case of israel will matter more than israel+usa (or china in the future) vs iran+russia
>>281895 >hat i meant is maybe israel will see a surge of ultra right wingers in politic that will give the finger to the EU and US don't fall for the /pol/ memes. this country does not move one inch without explicit green light from America.
>by then america will become as relevant as brazil and israelis wont have to ask the US for support or care about US opposition to annexations Maybe, it's a whole can of worms.
> i don't think major powers will be as relevant as small regional and local powers I don't buy that. there's always a replacement after an Empire falls. sometimes it takes time to figure out who it is and where but eventually someone fills the void. there will be a huge void to fill when America becomes irrelevant (and Europe fading too) China+Russia will emerge as the next spheres of power. All the other nations you mentioned will be subject to their will. Also a lot of the UAE/KSA "allegiance" with us is subject to change whenever the next war with Gaza/Lebanon will happen. they're friendly now but who knows how they'll react when the ME is on fire. Either way I don't see any major expansion in the WB. at best full annexation of the largest settlements but that's about it.
>>281896 eh, i just can't wrap my head around seeing the average israeli being ok with having it's expansionism grinded into a halt for cosmetic victories like an embassy here and a recognition there while clearly seeing no slowing down of the vindictive spirit of the surrounding arab states and more importantly arab non state actors especially considering how israel started and how brutal and unafraid of conflict it used to be, now it's begging some arab state for an embassy and whoring its airforce in lybia to larp as "one of them" in order to be more accepted among the ME players
it's just sad to watch and seems to me as a testament of acceptance of the inevitable collapse of israel
>>281824 >>281825 Mahliyah District is officially captured by the houthis after Hadi/Islah forces withdrew, clashes continue in Al Abdiyah, Harib and Rahabah districts. In Marib city the Saudis arrived with empty vehicles and reportedly moved tanks and MRAPs from Tadawin camp towards Hadhramawt (i.e road towards the Saudi border to the north-east). This isn't the first time an evacuation has been rumoured this summer though (last i remember was a month or so ago) so eh, we'll see.
lel, the BTR that got hit by a SVBIED while on M4 patrol back in july has been repaired and is ready for service again Video: https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1301981382068109312 That SVBIED somehow didn't do much damage.
>>281904 >eh, i just can't wrap my head around seeing the average israeli being ok with having it's expansionism grinded into a halt for cosmetic victories like an embassy dude you're overestimating how many people care about the settlements here. outside Likud no one cares about expansion lmao. considering they're nearly tied with the center-left parties they really can't get shit done about it.
>now it's begging some arab state for an embassy it's just an anti BDS tactic, that's all. if anything the Arab states realized they can't face Iran on their own. and vice versa.
>it's just sad to watch and seems to me as a testament of acceptance of the inevitable collapse of israel any day now bud.
>>281936 >outside Likud no one cares about expansion well it's going to cost you in the long term IMO if israel is not actively trying to expand,; then they're condemning themselves in a resourceless territory that's going to cost them in the long run >any day now bud. just as america is declining due to politics and demographics, israel is condemned to die due to the demographic change (arab and anti army ultra orthodox pop growth + the secular population who's rather disillusioned by the conscription and is less than eager to engage in a direct war with arab countries and non state actors, while these still vindictive arabs (mainly hamas and hezbollah) are out for blood the way i see it, you'll either get he USA treatment or the SA treatment in 50 to 80 years
>>281963 >if israel is not actively trying to expand,; then they're condemning themselves in a resourceless territory that's going to cost them in the long run dude that ship sailed a long time ago. ever since withdrawing from Sinai and Gaza it is clear no one here seriously gives a fuck about expanding. too much "muh greater israel" memes on /pol/ has convinced the arab world israel is about 50 times its real size.
>the demographic change (arab and anti army ultra orthodox pop growth + the secular population who's rather disillusioned by the conscription and is less than eager to engage in a direct war with arab countries and non state actors, while these still vindictive arabs (mainly hamas and hezbollah) are out for blood With all due respect, if the Arabs didn't manage to win against a few hundred thousand Jewish farmers in '48, barring a miracle, they will never manage to win against a far more advanced military in the 20xx's.
Demographics are useless as well. Arabs outnumbered us 50x in men and equipment all previous wars and still managed to lose. it's honestly mind boggling how terrible Arabs are at modern war. Khalid Ibn Al Walid would be ashamed.
Also, besides hurling rockets and missiles endlessly at random, the Attack capability of Hezb and Hamas is meme tier. they haven't shown any capability to infiltrate the northern border. they're pretty much just hunting tanks with ATV mounted ATGM's and shooting Katyushahs and Grads. good luck conquering the country like that. real talk? it's all a stalemate as far as the eye can see.
>>282011 >dude that ship sailed a long time ago yes and that's exactly what i'm referring to, the more time passes the more concessions israel is making while arabs make none (don't think that because israel has an embassy there and a recognition here, that the average arab citizen wouldn't want it destroyed) >a few hundred thousand Jewish farmers in '48, supplied and supported by the uk, let's not pretend material support doesn't exist same goes for operation chrome grass and the like israel never had to settle with lower quality material and downgraded monkey models not saying it did all the job, but it'd be dishonest to pretend technology isn't a big player
at any rate, the point is they'll win pacifically, like in south africa not by becoming the absolute majority, but by political pressure due to the faltering opposing side (dwindling numbers of secular right wingers and decreased morale to push back politically against ultra orthodox and arabs) this new political majority will weaken israel from the inside and make it less able to properly defend itself against foreign encroachment (imagine BLM protest tier because israel is defending itself against hezbollah) but the real blow will come from internal demographic change good luck having an israel when the majority pop is arabs and ultra orthodox, most youngsters will just immigrate to europe and usa canada for better job prospects and higher quality of life
>>282013 >(don't think that because israel has an embassy there and a recognition here, that the average arab citizen wouldn't want it destroyed) no shit lol. I always said that concessions Israel made were utterly retarded. returning Sinai (3x times the size of modern Israel) in exchange for a useless peace treaty was by far the stupidest thing anyone here did. withdrawing from Lebanon was utterly idiotic that allowed Hizballah to become what it is today, withdrawing from Gaza allowed Hamas to become mini-Hizballah and the complete lack of action in the WB is a testament to how anti-expansionist the real policy is. What can I say, our leaders were always cucks without a backbone.
>supplied and supported by the uk They supported the Arabs as well. IIRC some of the British generals even advised them directly where to attack.
> let's not pretend material support doesn't exist Sure, let's not forget that the Soviets supplied the Arabs just as much if not more as the Americans did for us. and in some cases fought directly against us, something the mutts never did for us despite all the dying for Israel memes. soviets *actually* died for for ayyrabs lmfao.
> like in south africa not by becoming the absolute majority, but by political pressure due to the faltering opposing side This will only happen in the *very* far future, at the very least 2100 and forward. too many unknowns variables. mainly depending on what Europe will do and whether it's gonna become fully cucked or if it iwll even get its head out its ass. at this point this is as good as science fiction so no real point in debating this, it's all overly wild speculation.
>but the real blow will come from internal demographic change It was also projected that Arabs will become the majority by the year 2000 with Jewish population only reaching a million.
Those projections do not account for immigration. A lot of people are immigrating by the "Law of return", thus there's always an increasing Jewish population from outside that is not dependent on births.
That being said the Ultra-Orthodox problem should have been taken care a long time a go. mainly by stopping financing them and forcing them to go to work.
>>282014 >our leaders were always cucks without a backbone. not the early ones tho it seems the israeli generation that didn't face the struggle of being a stateless nation to forging your own nation don't value it as much >They supported the Arabs as well. IIRC some of the British generals even advised them directly where to attack. are you going to deny that the brits didn't intend for the jews to have israel despite arabs attempts at interdicting? >just as much if not more as the Americans did for us. can't compare it 1 to 1 arabs got monkey models and their defense budget wasn't subsidized by aipac >something the mutts never did for us despite all the dying for Israel memes i wouldn't know, not all operations made by "advisors" are available on wikipedia >too many unknowns variables. mainly depending on what Europe will do and whether it's gonna become fully cucked or if it iwll even get its head out its ass. yeah but by extrapolating the situation in the USA i wouldn't be surprised to see west europe follow it closely, after all west europe is a bunch of US satellite state and their culture and politics are to mimic american ones >It was also projected that Arabs will become the majority by the year 2000 with Jewish population only reaching a million. >muh milestone set by clickbait inducing projection wasn't reached, therefore the trend that we're seeing profiling in the horizon will vanish come on >A lot of people are immigrating by the "Law of return" of which the majority (who are middle class/upper class westernized jews) has subreplacement birth rates and that is without accounting net immigration (immigrant - emigrants) (like those guys who want to go to malta for example, :^) ) >mainly by stopping financing them and forcing them to go to work. yet it wasn't and here we are don't think it'll be doable when they're a big voting block, don't think you can easily enforce it even if it's voted, don't think that if it's voted and you magically enforce it it wont just fuck up the job market by severely increasing unemployment (they're mostly low qualification workers) and ultimately serve no purpose
it all boils down to studying trends and precedents. your situation is very close to the one of colonial africa and more precisely both Algeria and South Africa. and judging by the trend that we see in liberal/western countries (of which you culturally belong) i can't help but see similarities
>i wouldn't know, not all operations made by "advisors" are available on wikipedia conspirct nut tier but w/e, that's not even the point. point is Soviets (and today Russians) are *literally* dying for Syria/Egypt/Ayyrabs and no one gives a shit. all you keep hearing is "b-b-b-ut without America11!!1!". but no one talks how Soviets literally saved the Arabs ass in '73 (and ever since). pic related.
>arabs got monkey models and their defense budget wasn't subsidized by aipac lol aipac wasn't a factor then. the truth is both sides got plenty of outside help.
>yeah but by extrapolating the situation in the USA i wouldn't be surprised to see west europe follow it closely, after all west europe is a bunch of US satellite state and their culture and politics are to mimic american ones Sure, if things remains the same as they are now, they're done. if there won't be ant awakening or change of course then they fully deserve it.
>>muh milestone set by clickbait inducing projection wasn't reached, therefore the trend that we're seeing profiling in the horizon will vanish No it's just that projections are more often than not wildly inaccurate.
>has subreplacement birth rates and that is without accounting net immigration It's still a continuous growth factor. and one which will probably accelerate in the coming decades as Eurabia becomes more dangerous.
>(like those guys who want to go to malta for example, :^) ) kek, I have a feeling those who left for Berlin will have to come back soon.
>don't think it'll be doable when they're a big voting block They're already a significant voting base. yeah it will get worse if the secular voters won't *demand* to close off the funding pipe. without funding they'll have to get a job at the very least. will the secular left/right come to their senses in time and stop letting these leeches thrive? I dunno.
>>282097 >yeah since 67' really. by early i meant pre 48 >conspirct nut tier you really think all black ops are documented? your example of soviet pilot was a blunder, thus impossible to deny hence why it's known, but i wouldn't be surprised if some americans or brits flew for the IAF during the 60's when israel was still building up it's airforce > (and today Russians) are *literally* dying for Syria/Egypt/Ayyrabs and no one gives a shit they're dying for russian air base and russian ports, not saying americans aren't doing it to keep their NATO tier satellite/military base that is the entirety of israel >but no one talks how Soviets literally saved the Arabs ass in '73 (and ever since) never senied it tho both sides support their proxies it's just that america was able to support israel better than USSR did the arabs due to superior economy and technology >lol aipac wasn't a factor then semantics, chrome grass was no lend lease >the truth is both sides got plenty of outside help. yes i agree > if there won't be ant awakening or change of course then they fully deserve it. sounds like someone familiar :^) >It's still a continuous growth factor. and one which will probably accelerate in the coming decades as Eurabia becomes more dangerous. a negligible one, there's less than 1 Mil jews in europe as of right now and not all will go to another place where they're threatened by arabs, a lot will favor canada and USA (the second israel in population) >without funding they'll have to get a job at the very least and do what? they have no marketable skills from what i gather, and their community will be plagued by massive unemployment because you can't create thousands of jobs out of thin air >I think Rhodesia is the best example nah i believe SA is what's going to happen, the majority will appeal to international emotion through protests and political manipulation forcing sanction on israel which will force its hand to reform you'll get an arab mandela and an arab ruled knesset with some meme secular israeli party the average israeli will either flee to USA/canada or live in gated communities as the country sink into poverty, corruption, internal strife and crime
>>282099 >but i wouldn't be surprised if some americans or brits flew for the IAF during the 60's when israel was still building up it's airforce Highly doubt it. maybe USAF reconnaissance missions and satellite data sharing but not direct intervention.
>they're dying for russian air base and russian ports Maybe nowadays. back then they did it because it was the anti American stance and they knew that if they won't directly intervene Egypt and Syria would completely collapse. also are we pretending that Syria isn't a giant Russian/Iranian military base today? kek.
>both sides support their proxies >it's just that america was able to support israel better than USSR did the arabs due to superior economy and technology I can fully agree to that.
>sounds like someone familiar :^) kek
>and not all will go to another place where they're threatened by arabs, a lot will favor canada and USA (the second israel in population) Sure, I think the biggest aliyah is from the U.S, followed by France IIRC. again it depends on outside factors.
>and do what? they have no marketable skills from what i gather, and their community will be plagued by massive unemployment I dunno nibba send them to school for all I care. once their free shekel tap goes dry they'll have to figure it out themselves.
>you'll get an arab mandela and an arab ruled knesset with some meme secular israeli party Come on, you underestimate the readiness of Jews to scheme. when they'll actually become a threat (that is 2nd biggest electoral vote) I guarantee you the knesset will come up with a racist law that forbids a non Jewish party to rule the government or some shit like that. yeah people will screech and the the intl. community will go berserk but it will happen regardless.
>the average israeli will either flee to USA/canada or live in gated communities as the country sink into poverty, corruption, internal strife and crime Most cities are segregated. Arabs typically keep to themselves. even in mixed cities like Jerusalem or Haifa they live in their own neighborhoods. that apocalyptic vision is only likely in a scenario where nothing changes and the state won't take action. I foresee a lot of violent conflict that will affect the outcome one way or the other.
>>282101 >also are we pretending that Syria isn't a giant Russian/Iranian military base today? no, and that's the point i was making russia/USSR is/was dying for a military foothold in the ME theater against US encroachment, not because they're araboos as you suggested >the knesset will come up with a racist law that forbids a non Jewish party to rule the government or some shit like that. yeah people will screech and the the intl. community will go berserk but it will happen regardless. good luck keeping an economy afloat and USA's approval with that the only counter act is a frontal one, any subtle attempt will be useless (i don't believe some controlled opposition arab leader will last very long), and a frontal opposition is political suicide hell not even chinks will trade with you for fear of losing arab markets >Most cities are segregated. Arabs typically keep to themselves. even in mixed cities like Jerusalem or Haifa they live in their own neighborhoods. that apocalyptic vision is only likely in a scenario where nothing changes and the state won't take action. what i meant is that the jewish upper class will refrain from participating in civil life on every level and live in their own bubble maybe even going to create their own ethno town outside of the major cities like the boers are doing in SA >I foresee a lot of violent conflict that will affect the outcome one way or the other. yeah, in the streets, but if you're outnumbered you're bound to lose civil strife
>>282102 >russia/USSR is/was dying for a military foothold in the ME theater against US encroachment, not because they're araboos as you suggested Same for Americans.
>the only counter act is a frontal one, any subtle attempt will be useless (i don't believe some controlled opposition arab leader will last very long), and a frontal opposition is political suicide Not necessarily. There's a law that already states that Israel is the Nation-State of the Jewish People. so ideally it will be an extension of this rule. Otherwise there will be a military coup and Democracy will be abolished altogether.
>what i meant is that the jewish upper class will refrain from participating in civil life on every level and live in their own bubble maybe even going to create their own ethno town outside of the major cities like the boers are doing in SA The upper class already segregates itself in their rich towns. otherwise all cities are already mixed to the core.
>yeah, in the streets, but if you're outnumbered you're bound to lose civil strife Not if the military takes over and declares Military curfew. But yes it won't be pretty.
>>282104 >There's a law that already states that Israel is the Nation-State of the Jewish People. a law that can be taken down by the arab/leftist coalition beforehand >There's a law that already states that Israel is the Nation-State of the Jewish People. i don't see the average israeli putting up with that, especially not the westernized jews who cherish muh democracy and freedom >Not if the military takes over and declares Military curfew. highly doubt the average conscriptfag is on board for that shit
>>282105 >a law that can be taken down by the arab/leftist coalition beforehand They will never be allowed to form a government dawg. And even the most deranged leftist parties won't support that.
>especially not the westernized jews who cherish muh democracy and freedom They'll come around when it'll be that or being shoa'd again.
>highly doubt the average conscriptfag is on board for that shit You can bet they'd be down for that if it means countering Arabs. remember that outside a few liberal spots, people here since birth are programmed to see ayyrabs as the enemy. so if it'll come down to that.. they'll happily oblige.
>>282106 >They will never be allowed to form a government dawg wishful thinking IMO, not pretending that i'm not also subconsciously be under the influence of some wishful thinking too, but i doubt it because, believe it or not but i personally don't care all that much about the israel-palestinian conflict at any rate, the whites never saw the possibility for black to rise up into the government in the 80's in SA >They'll come around when it'll be that or being shoa'd again. i don't see the israeli jews getting ethnically cleansed tbf, more like relegated to a minority that lives among their own like in brazil the way i see it, the arab wave wont come with a genuine antisemitic sentiment but more from a multi culti/leftist/anti segregation/anti jewish supremacy etc hence the alliance with leftist jews >people here since birth are programmed to see ayyrabs as the enemy i would have though that this is more of a view shared by boomers will zoomers tend to be less obsessed about racial tension due to, minor, interactions with some arabs at school maybe enough to support some authoritarian rule but definitely not to partake in it (ethnic cleansing etc)
>>282107 >at any rate, the whites never saw the possibility for black to rise up into the government in the 80's in SA I hope people have learned form that. also everyone is already paranoid about it, which makes me believe they have a plan in place if and when it happens.
>more like relegated to a minority that lives among their own like in brazil eh, Jews will still be the majority, Orthodox or otherwise. and they usually don't get along with anyone but themselves.
>hence the alliance with leftist jews Leftists here are the minority. there's a reason they keep losing in every election. so their opinion or plans are mostly irrelevant.
> will zoomers tend to be less obsessed about racial tension Nope, most youngsters are just as hateful if not more. but that has more to do with the general mental/moral decline in the world that anything else.
>interactions with some arabs at school Nearly all Arabs learn at their own schools with their own curriculum. very little interactions.
>maybe enough to support some authoritarian rule but definitely not to partake in it (ethnic cleansing etc) No but again the army still has an advantage over the Arab populace which is mainly armed with kalashnikovs and such.
>>282109 >I hope people have learned form that. history shows that people never learn until it's too late >Nope, most youngsters are just as hateful if not more alright, had the wrong impression then, maybe it's because i overestimated the amount of sperg kill all arabs tier among the zoomer population and my expectations were not met when i realized that the average israeli zoomer (when i say zoomer i mean anyone under 40) isn't that bad > but that has more to do with the general mental/moral decline in the world that anything else. i don't understand what you mean, do you mean the average jewish zoomer is becoming a /pol/tard because of "muh modern degeneracy" he perceives in the world? >Nearly all Arabs learn at their own schools with their own curriculum i thought there would be more inter ethnic schooling than that >No but again the army still has an advantage over the Arab populace which is mainly armed with kalashnikovs and such guns don't win wars, the hutus slaughter the tutsi with machetes but to get back ti the point i wasn't implying some sort of /pol/ tier fantasy about race war, more like some tensions/fights akin to those we see in america right now and since i doubt the army will have the support from the populace to escalate it to organized mass scale killings (ethnic cleansing) then the most violent form of confrontation will be stuck to the level of BLM riots at worst (maybe 1-3 dead per month)
>>282111 > the average israeli zoomer (when i say zoomer i mean anyone under 40) isn't that bad No I mean the teenagers. the >30 group is more sensible generally speaking.
>do you mean the average jewish zoomer is becoming a /pol/tard because of "muh modern degeneracy" he perceives in the world? I mean the general decline of society. instagram/tiktok/facebook generation is dumber than ever. no one here reads books anymore or cares about anything serious. just the general gradual retardation of the western world. And as such young people are quicker to judge without any knowledge etc.
>i thought there would be more inter ethnic schooling than that Very few, mostly in mixed cities like Jaffa and Haifa. but most schools are segregated. University's a different story. that's usually where most groups interact.
>more like some tensions/fights akin to those we see in america right now Yeah I can see that happening.
>then the most violent form of confrontation will be stuck to the level of BLM riots at worst (maybe 1-3 dead per month) Dude it already happened. It's called an Intifada
We have plenty of experience with these kind of things. and it usually far more violent than the BLM protests. So another Intifada is almost guaranteed in the future. and yeah it will probably turn more violent than the last times.
>>282112 >instagram/tiktok/facebook generation is dumber than ever. no one here reads books anymore or cares about anything serious yet it's the teenager generation that's spearheading it, i don't see them being also "redpilled"/critical of it >Dude it already happened. It's called an Intifada different context, that's palestinian vs israeli i'm talking about internal strife from the israeli arabs feeling excluded despite being a bigger group of the population (in the future setting i mean) that are already part of the society you remember the massive chimp outs from the blacks in israel a couple of years ago? well it's going to be the same but with arabs is how i envision it
>>282115 >i'm talking about internal strife from the israeli arabs feeling excluded despite being a bigger group of the population (in the future setting i mean) that are already part of the society
Right, but I imagine it will look closely the same. Outside Jerusalem most Arabs live in their own secluded towns, which makes it easier to block and control if necessary. at least on paper. generally the IDF has lots of experience with uprisings, and they'll certainty be more aggressive to them compared to the Ethiopians chimpouts. but yeah they can still do a lot of damage if there will be a concentrated effort on their part.
>>281932 wew By the looks of it, the Saudi coalition has abandoned all hope of keeping the Marib-Ataq supply route open. Once the houthis solidify control on the mountains overlooking Wadi Jubah, the highway will be closed forever.
>first day in the operating bloc since covid lockdown >chief surgeon is selling (taking orders) goat cheese in the break room yep, i'm working in a french hospital alright
>>282127 Hadi/Islah forces retreated from Najd al Mujamma‘ah towards Wadi Jubah today and are trying to gain back territory north of Marib instead. Last report says the Hadi/Islah forces captured ground 25km east of Labinat base. I suspect that the aim of this move is to secure supply routes into Camp Mas through the desert, possibly to reinforce or evacuate it.
>>282343 Here's a sloppy snusmap showing kinda how the north Marib/Mas frontline is according to reports and an approximation of how the most used supply routes go through the desert and over Wadi Jawf to Camp Mas (if you want a more exact picture of how the routes go just zoom in on wikimapia).
>>282344 While according to reports most of the populated areas of Medghal District is under Houthi control, the houthis seem to either not be capable or willing to capture the populated part of Raghwan District. It's entirely possible that they made a conscious decision to let the forces holed up in Mas escape through Raghwan (via the desert supply line).
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - The biggest items over the past few days are - Farah: Qala i Kah and Pusht Rod DHQs are under siege, and Khaki Safed District is under Taliban control, but the government controls Tojg so the supply line to the south of Farah isn't as badly threatened - Panjshir: Taliban establish a presence in three districts - Paryan, Khenj, and Abshar, entering from Nuristan. - Baghdis/Herat: ANA reopen the Herat - Qala i Naw highway. - Faryab: ANA capture several villages to the south of Qaysar DHQ but the DHQ is still contested. Government is stalled at Almar DHQ.
>>282343 Progress continues on the road to Wadi Jubah, some pro-Houthi reports claim the fighting has entered Jubah District. Only recent visual proof we have is this picture with a sign for the "Maham Wa Himaya" Military Camp in Jubah (translates into tasks and protection). According to aalnaasi on twitter the sign is supposedly on the western outskirt of Najd al Mujamma‘ah which is 10km from the district border though. Even though it's weird that they would put a sign so far away, the environment matches aalnaasi's claim of it not being near the camp,
> Satellite imagery this morning depicts vast, dense smoke layer covering most of California, western Oregon & Washington, and a large swath of the adjacent Pacific Ocean. Numerous extremely large wildfires continue to produce huge volume of smoke. (1/2) #CAwx #ORwx #WAwx #CAfire https://twitter.com/Weather_West/status/1304091473420271616
>>282410 The police have arrested several people for arson in the areas of the wildfires. Considering the recent political climate, it wouldn't surprise me if BLM and Antifa were the ones starting the fires.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - Taliban establish a stronger presence in Khost Wa Fereng District of eastern Baghlan - Government recaptures Shahr Ghulgola in Abshar District of Panjshir but Taliban are still present in the mountains.
>tfw stumbled across an old 4 chan meme archive when cleaning some old hard drive here's some cringe i found about that american parade that trump wanted so much to have after he saw russian national parade
>>282343 >Last report says the Hadi/Islah forces captured ground 25km east of Labinat base This impromptu counteroffensive of theirs didn't end too well according to pro-Houthi reports.
>>282670 >control the strategic Jabal Sahl northwest of the district After analyzing the area I'm not sure if Jabal Sahl only is this mountain (black circle) that is part of this mountain chain (eh, i'm not good at topoghrapical definitions) as this translation and map suggests. Besides being a mountain, Jabal (al) Sahl is also the name of a third-order administrative division (represented by theblack box) of Jubah district on the northern part of the Jabal Murad plateu containing a couple of villages and a sick vantage point that can easily be used to harass traffic on the Marib-Shabwah road. Either way, if Jabal Murad goes smoothly, Wadi Jubah will be evacuated (if it isn't already lel).
>>282770 Another factor fueling my skepticism is that there are other mountains along the Wadi route (blue line) they took from Kawlah (black circle) in southern Rahabah District which are seemingly as big or even bigger deals than the Jabal Sahl mountain as portrayed by his map and on internet databases but never mentioned in reports. For example Jabal Suhayfah (white circle) and Jabal ash Shurami/Mihazwaqah (blue circle) are on the route that they must have taken unless they control more of Jabal Murad district than is reported, in which case the Jabal Sahl admin zone would be captured anyways since only driveable supply roads come from south & southeast.
Anyways, this blue line and brown line (ganges river if you will) joins to create the river that feeds the Marib dam and it makes me wonder what parts of Sirwah and Bani Dhabyan along the Rahabah/Jubah districts borders the Houthis actually control. Sadly i didn't bother keeping myself updated when fighting occured most over there, in fact all i can remember is fighting around Sirwah district center, mountains south of it and Kofal Camp shenanigans. I don't think anyone control most of the rough terrain between the 3 districts and I'm having a hard time imagining any advance on the eastern side of the river having any effect on the Sirwah front on the western side before the houthis reach the Marib dam reservoir.
>#Syria: Ahmed Khalaf, one of the favorites of Suhail Hassan (commander of "Tiger Forces") was killed, apparently in mine blast as the photo post-mortem suggests (#Idlib front is likely).
>>282670 Besides progress in Jabal Murad and Jufrah districts being reported, Abdiyah district is back on the menu as major gains are reported in Harib, Mahliyah and Abdiyah districts. Unconfirmed reports claim the Harib-Abdiyah supply route is close to being cut (the report claim that with the mountain overlooking the road captured, the road is under fire control). There's still a supply route leading into Abdiyah from Ain district but it seems the Harib route is the main supply route.
Black lines = Roads to Abdiyah, rough drawing. Red circle = Where the supply line is supposedly under fire control. Red advance lines are not precise, purely to show roughly where gains are being reported.
Not too wild to imagine that Harib and Ain district centers could meet the same fate as Jubah in the future.
>One of the signs today in the #Idlib demonstrations read: Down with the regime ... Down with the Arab nation ... Down with the world ... Long live the Turkish brothers. oof
>>282918 They will probably be smart and coordinate an offensive from all the angles they are taking right now after taking a break at that ridge bellow Ma'rib, but if they capture it from the south like I was guessing ages ago i'll be very happy.
>>282934 >They will probably be smart and coordinate an offensive from all the angles they are taking right now after taking a break Aye, there's still alot of areas that needs to be secured in and around Jubah district before going towards Marib city, there will probably be a hiatus in the offensive once Jubah & surroundings are done to solidify the gains and reinforce as there always is after a sizeable region has been captured. >at that ridge bellow Ma'rib, but if they capture it from the south like I was guessing ages ago i'll be very happy. uhh, i'll post a snusmap with some analysis on what should be done here on south Marib front before going for Marib city. >>282941 Considering the constant defeats, i understand their frustration lel
>>282934 >>283034 Ok, so let's say Wadi Jubah goes great and a nuke doesn't obliterate the houthis offensive or whatever. There's still a massive obstacle that needs to be tackled in order to approach the city from the south, and that my frens is the big ol Jabal al-Balaq mountain ridge which without a doubt will be militarized to the max once Jubah is secured. I'd wager this is where the Hadi army (that the tribals in southern Marib governorate claim abandoned them) has planned to put up a real resistance due to it's easily defendable nature.
So what should be done to tackle it? A "hurr-durr just flank it", spreading out along it's length and somehow find a weak spot or not even play their game and double down on the northwestern city front? I'm leaning towards option one, using the wadis going through the sand dunes as cover before popping up on the eastern side, hell they could even go all the way to the Marib-Safer-Al Wadiah supply route via these wadis if the Saudi coalition is dumb enough to overlook the strategic importance these wadis and dunes can have. And therein lies the crux, i seriously doubt they're dumb enough to not see such a move coming (they managed to figure out that holding the mountainous Marib-Bayda border region against the houthis without full tribal support was impossible after all). So i don't know really. A thing to look out for that could reveal the houthi plans, is whether they go east towards Harib in order to secure the starting point of the dunewadis or if they focus on clearing the area between Wadi Jubah and Sirwah (i.e Marib Dam reservoir wadi and Jabal Sawad area).
(Disclaimer: Frontline is not intended to be accurately drawn, it is merely an imagination of how it will probably look soon).
>>283059 Given the history of failure from the grinding offensives from Sirwah I think you will be proven correct. I'm leaning towards that second option being the eventual breaking point, In a normal situation I think the potential for pressure from Ruwak camp towards the only remaining road would create the conditions for a withdrawal but the Saudi dogs may be spiteful and desperate enough to stay put in balance of their cowardice and blatantly unsalvageable position. I think the only thing that can change anything is taking Mas, and whatever is going on in the desert keeping it from being cut off must be some kind of magic so I'm not sure when that will happen. But once the line starts to break I feel it will lead to that great march on the city from all directions, no natural defences will be great enough to slow when that happens.
No idea what will happen to Harib at this point, they had it for longer than the surrounding areas if i'm remembering correctly (along with Bayhan) back when Hadi was on the offensive, perhaps they have some friends there.
>>281850 Imagine how weird the Badia must be. Russian neo-nazi mercenaries, mukhabarat, Palestinian militia men, Afgan/Pakistani shia hobos, incompetent conscripts, bedouins, sneaky FSB agents, dawla cultists thinking attrition will lead to the caliphate returning, war profiteering smugglers and all-around gangsters.
>>283088 Taking Mas will indeed be imperative and the Ruwayk/Alam front will probably not progress at the moment because the coalition has put too much resources into keeping the supply line open and due to the fact that this front is so damn exposed to airstrikes. However, the saudis did evacuate some military equipment recently, hinting at a full saudi capitulation in the future, which might enable a takeover of Ruwayk. >No idea what will happen to Harib at this point Well, the recent advances in Abdiyah and Harib countryside makes me quite convinced that they'll at least try to enter the district center. IMO, advancing east into Harib/Ain/Bayhan will be a piece of cake due to the terrain, apathy of the locals and the fact that the coalition has snowed themselves into defending Marib. Interesting times ahead.
>>282918 By the looks of it the source spoke too soon. Reports of a counteroffensive regaining a couple villages on Jabal Murad and a friendly fire airstrike hitting muradi mercenaries, causing "the sons of the Banu Shams tribe of Murad to withdraw from their positions on the front in protest". https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1307778925704208387 You can't make this shit up, oh and aalnaasi is back. Reports from Jubah front are good though (no locations reported).
>>283230 and here's a wild report: >The Houthi forces are in complete control of the strategic mountain of Hailan, with all the surrounding areas and the village of Rasaa. I thought they already were in control of the mountain but ok, maybe they mean the eastern slopes of the mountain. No clue where Rasaa (rase direct translation) is, can't find it on any databases, closest thing is Dhat al-Ra'a but i don't believe it. http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.483584&lon=45.262685&z=15&show=/33838849/Dhat-al-Ra-a Here's the wild part: >And now the battles are taking place in the Al-Hazmah area, the closest to the complex, as it is not separated from the 13 kilo complex. Google translate wasn't kind to this line but Hazmah can be found in the Marib area on databases, as a non-existant village in the sand... https://mapcarta.com/N1217719841 https://twitter.com/MahamadAlmoradi/status/1307642575147479041 More in the next post...
>>283234 Here's a map showing this highly dubious report and where Hazmah "actually" is along with some text: >Many sources confirm that the Houthis liberated the settlement. Al-Khazmikh is 12 kilometers north of the city. >The situation for the hadiths becomes extremely dangerous, as the Tadawin and Sahn Al-Jinn camps, located 5-7 km from this point, are attacked at the same time. This report would have been all over the place if it was true, but the silence from most reputable sources makes me not believe it.
>>283234 >>283235 To be clear, the report from MahamadAlmoradi claim it is an area, not a settlement. There is nothing reminiscent of a village where the red circle representing Hazmah is on the map beside the military camp named Atran: http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.57992 Hif5&lon=45.300665&z=15&m=bs&show=/40125953/Atran Fake news imo
>>283230 >According to the latest news from the southern fronts of Marib, AnsarAllah managed to liberate Salil mountain after which the Saudi-led forces withdrew from the Mathrah area. Meaning the houthis have acces to another route (small arrow) to enter Jabal Murad district with and have fire control over the last road (at tip of long arrow) connecting Rahabah with Jabal Murad. >the Saudi-led coalition forces have withdrawn from the Rahum area, and clashes are taking place in the heights overlooking the Al-Jubah district https://english.iswnews.com/15355/latest-updates-on-marib-front-21-september-2020-map-update/
Yesterday’s mupdates after 10 days of not mupdating. Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - Herat: ANDSF abandons Azizabad in the south leading to a Taliban takeover and clashes in Shindand. Farsi is under Taliban siege, and Taliban enter a village directly next to Pashtun Zarghun DHQ after ANDSF withdrew without a fight with the DHQ status being unknown. - Kandahar: Issued a correction for Ghorak District being under Taliban control. Clashes in several districts. - Ghazni: Taliban contest Nani village on the ring highway but gov't retakes Arzu village to the southeast of Ghazni - Baghlan: Taliban besieges Chashmah Shir on the Samangan-Puli Khumri highway, and takes Barfak District to the south. Takhar: Taliban take several districts and DHQs in the north/west of the province. Kunduz: Taliban storm several villages near the Kunduz-Baghlan highway, tighten siege around Imam Sahib and Archi DHQ is defacto under siege. Samangan: Taliban establish a presence near the Samangan-Darah Suf highway, leading to a mix of gains and correction to the area.
>The Yemeni army and popular committees have launched an attack towards Asdas Arghwan (Raghwan) district, encirclement strategy for Mas camp maybe let's wait and see. https://twitter.com/YemeninmyDNA/status/1309159711376379911 Besides this and >>283446 the houthis are also reportedly putting pressure on the Ruwayk/Alam/Safer front and very sketchy reports say they managed to cut the Marib-Wadiah highway - if true it was problably just a raid.
>Open Technology Fund, which helped activists evade state surveillance and sidestep web censorship, sees $20m grant pulled
>The Trump administration has stopped vital technical assistance to pro-democracy groups in Belarus, Hong Kong and Iran, which had helped activists evade state surveillance and sidestep internet censorship.
>The Open Technology Fund (OTF) has had to stop all its operations in Belarus, and many of its activities supporting civil society in Hong Kong and Iran, because a congressionally-mandated grant of nearly $20m has been withheld by a new Trump appointee, Michael Pack.
>The OTF is a small non-profit organisation that develops technologies for evading cyber-surveillance and for circumventing internet and radio blackouts imposed by authoritarian regimes. It provides daily help to pro-democracy movements in installing and maintaining them, with the aim of staying at least one step ahead of the state.
imagine your entire nation being this much humiliated on a daily basis https://twitter.com/haaretzcom/status/1309371890830635012 >The Netanyahus regularly bring suitcases of dirty laundry on White House visits, to be cleaned 'free of charge by U.S. staff' - American officials tell the Washington Post amerijannies doing it for free
>>282847 >Houthi forces penetrate into Harib district and control Dhira Al-Ghawl, Al-Mirwah, Jabal Al-Farha, and the strategic Sinnah area, approaching the Ablah line, one of the most important supply lines of the Al-Abdiyyah front https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1310714272431906816
>>282847 >>283753 The houthis are hellbent on cutting the Ablah supply line. Salient west of the latest gains is probably already abandoned. Jabal Murad front seem to have stalled since the reports of Hadi/Islah reinforcements a few days ago.
>>284418 Iran has always sided with armenia in the armenian vs azeri conflict to not allow azerbajian to become too influential and start creating internal strife to iran since iran has a massive azeri minority living in the NW region of iran while turkey (sunni) sides with azerbajan (shia) due to closer ethnic ties funny how ethnic links supersede religious links in geopolitics
>>284419 Aye, "liberating" the Azerbaijani provinces of Iran would be next up after "restoring historical borders" as they say. Erdomeme drooling to reroute that gas line and cutting Georgia out of the equation.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Corrections: Corrected southern Kunar province to account for Taliban presence, and western Herat province for the same reason. Gains: All over the country >Faryab: ANDSF recaptures a town to the NE of Qaysar, and contest a village on the Maymana-Andkhoy road. Taliban captures a village next to Kohistan DHQ. >Bamyan: Taliban offensive from Barfak of neighboring Baghlan into Shibar and Sayghar Districts. >Kunduz: Taliban tighten their presence right next to Kunduz from the south. Note: They have not entered the city proper. >Takhar: Taliban close in on Bangi DHQ. >Baghlan: Taliban captures small stretches of land north of Puli Khumri. >Nuristan: Taliban capture Nurgaram District, increase presence in Wama District. >Nangarhar: "Taliban" (Lashkar-e-Islam, rather) gain stronger presence in Achin District. >Uruzgan: Taliban put pressure on Deh Rahwood DHQ. >Kabul: Taliban contest Jagdalai in southern Surobi District. >Laghman: Taliban contest Qalatak on Mehtarlam-Alishing road. >Badakhshan: Taliban control Yawan District.
>>284506 Re: the Afghan Shitmap. I’m in the process of reworking the icon and label sizes to standardize them based on careful research of population size. I also nearly doubled the size of the map on the map page which distorted the roadmap, so it’ll take several days to two weeks to churn out a new shitmap.
Neat, my dirt roads finally popped up on wikimapia. If only i had the brains to overlay them on a topoghrapical map or in google earth so it would be easier to make snusmaps. Oh well, even though it's a flat map i think you can get the idea of what a weird maze of canyons and mountains the southern Marib front is...
>>284579 Well I do for Afghanistan - even editing and correcting their map - and did for Syria. Yemen is an area I haven’t been focusing on for years due to stalemates.
>>284575 Trump's situation seem to be severe, he got hospitalised and has been given an experimental antiviral drug which wasn't even approved by the FDA it indicate that his doctors are hopeless and are aware of the high risk for him to kick the bucket reminder that trump is both very old and is obese which are the main two comorbidities inducing conditions https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/519451-trump-given-remdesivir-as-treatment-for-covid-19-infection sounds like a McCain 2.0
>>284625 Tbh the FDA is a massive meme. There's been so many pharmaceuticals that were FDA-approved and a few years later there's a massive lawsuit involving the drug in question. It's become a running tradition at this point. >Ad for X drug to alleviate [insert condition here] in soft and soothing voice, with actor testimonials on how good it is. >The long list of potential side effects and not to take it if you are nursing or intend to become pregnant, or have Y condition, etc., in a male actor voice that's almost an afterthought. >End with the female voice again, saying how good it will be fore you and actor testimonials in conclusion. >Skip forward a few years, TV ad about you being eligible for compensation if you took X drug and suffered U effects. And yes they're all FDA-approved so nobody takes the FDA seriously unless they're (the people, not the FDA) up to criminal shit. Also Trump literally walked to the helicopter to get airlifted there so, not kicking him down yet. But I do smell glowniggery, Trump just happens to catch the virus weeks before the election when it could spell absolute disaster?
>>284635 >There's been so many pharmaceuticals that were FDA-approved and a few years later there's a massive lawsuit involving the drug in question. two points first of all there's a tradition in the USA to sue companies for the slightest inconvenience so over lawsuits for american corporations isn't as much an indicator of low standards of FDA as much as a testimony of american lawsuit culture second of all, what you suggest is that the FDA has very low criterias to release drugs which i somewhat agree compared to european standards. But that point would only further the emphasis of how critical the situation is when doctors are giving the orange one a drug that not even the FDA, with it's loose admission criteria, was ok to approve >Also Trump literally walked to the helicopter to get airlifted doesn't mean much, methinks it's more of a case of preemptive security measure to be on the safe side if his condition deteriorates, but they wouldn't gamble with an experimental drug if the condition didn't call for such drastic measures during the time of his hospitalisation > But I do smell glowniggery, Trump just happens to catch the virus weeks before the election when it could spell absolute disaster? really my dude? the fact that this retard conducts multiple rallies for the election in the past few months where neither him nor his dumbfuck supporters bother to take any protective measure doesn't strike you as the most likely reason for his infection? nah, it had to be some conspiracy, surely you really can't let go of the tinfoil hat do you?
>>284580 South Marib front has been quiet for quite a while now, but Medghal front saw some action today. Troops from Camp Mas attempted to counterattack towards the Medghal disctrict center but failed horribly and suffered a bunch of KIAs. https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1312405437656907777
I'm gonna go ahead and assume that this wasn't some final banzai charge from the Hadists though and that the Raghwan-Marib desert supply route is still open...
>>284637 Well damn, I needed that splash of cold water. Unironically thanks Doc. >>284642 Yeah that's an ongoing trend, a few people get reinfected. I've seen theories that it just lies dormant in your body and reactivates similar to Shingles after getting Chickenpox, but personally I think it's just getting infected with a different strain. You doing ok? Second time tends to be worse.
>>284645 Something happened in Durayhimi (south of Hodeidah)... Ali reporting that the town was attacked a couple of days ago and the houthis managed to trap the attackers and tear them a new asshole (30 KIA (including the son of Major General Osama Al-Alqami), 70 WIA, and capture dozens) in addition to capturing villages like Al-Kawi (al Kueiu(?), can't find it) and Al-Taif. https://www.geonames.org/77674/at-ta-if.html https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1312470330418495490 Pro-Houthi sources are ranging from "REE they're breaking the ceasefire agreement" to "we can recapture the coast in a week if we want to". I'm skeptical about Ali's report claiming the houthis advanced beyond Durayhimi (Al-Taif) and I'm not expecting any further offensive actions from either side but given the anti-houthi coalitions track record the trap in the town doesn't sound too unbelievable.
>>284672 oddly enough it seems to be far milder than the previous time and on average it would compare to a very tame flu by nose is barely clogged, i can sleep easily and ain't too tired we'll see how it evolves in the next few days but the preliminary result tends to tell me it's going to be easy
SDF has decided to release all female syrian ISIS wives from al-Hol camp claiming they can't afford having them there https://twitter.com/SDCPress/status/1312844675187867656 It's total bs though, they're obviously trying to gain support from the sunni arab population. Time to watch this bite them in the ass in real time.
>>284678 >Al-Kawi In this operation, which started from axes: 1. All four directions of al-Durayhimi town, 2. Villages al-Koei and Shajan, presidential guards first occupied al-Koei village and parts of Durayhimi town but eventually, the fighters inside al-Durayhimi town repulsed the attacks, and Ansar Allah forces stationed in the south of al-Hudaydah recaptured al-Koei village and imposed heavy loss to Tariq Saleh forces.
>A diplomatic victory achieved by Ansar Allah: After the world realized that the people who represent the Republic of Yemen are Ansar Allah (Houthis) >So stay tuned, The opening of the embassies of some Arab countries in the capital Sana'a soon, such as Kuwait, Iran, Qatar, and Oman https://twitter.com/fHvVtKCHsq7JrpK/status/1313235675135778816 Uhhhhh?
>>284808 I understand Qatar and Iran being interested but i figured Kuwait was in the Saudi sphere of influence and Oman, being a neighboring and very diplomatic country, wouldn't do such a rash thing. This is big news if true.
>>284794 small update although i can breathe through my nose, i have lost the complete sense of smell and taste since two days ago that shit is a new experience for me
Artsakh Shitmupdate - northern front stalls, Azeris capture Fizuli in the "center", and a large handful of villages in the south. It should be noted that the largest gains are in the flatlands of Artsakh.
>>284958 >Violent explosion east of Bir Al-Muhashima, and initial news indicates that the explosion targeted a gathering of Hadi forces in the area. https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1313938940911661057 http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=16.772864&lon=45.109735&z=15&m=bs Capturing Urfah hill would've been a big deal so I'm assuming he means eastern area of the Al-Muhashima region, probably northeast of Urfah. Pro-Hadi twittersphere are claiming some absolutely impossible gains on the Jawf front (Khanjar Camp, Bir Mazariq, Jabal Sabrayn etc). Ali denies it though and only confirms some minor gains north of Jabal Nudhud.
>>284863 >, i have lost the complete sense of smell and taste since two days ago oh shit is that permanent? or does it return once you get rid of the virus? the thought of not being able to enjoy the taste of pizza or a meaty hamburger ever again would make me want to kms immediately
>Another notable difference is that many patients with COVID-19 who report losing their sense of smell get it back relatively quickly, in just a few weeks, unlike most people who experience anosmia from other viruses, which can last months or years.
>Fortunately, the issue resolves for most people. "But unfortunately," Rowan said, "some patients are left with permanent olfactory [smell] dysfunction."
>>285066 thanks pal, likewise >>285092 >is that permanent? had a friend that recovered somewhat from it, and another who still didn't entirely four months after he recovered. he says that now it's his girlfriend who has to chose perfume for him guess it depends on the individual, which strongly reminds me of post surgery loss of sensitivity due to nerve damage i have the strong feeling that this disease leads to the destruction of olfactory nerve endings and it takes some time for them to recolonize the nose i have regained barely anything say like 5% of smell capacity and 10% of taste capacity, as an example, a bowl of hot chocolate (i'm talking 100% pure cocoa, with no sugar), aka a very bitter drink that i usually cut with some milk and sugar to make it drinkable otherwise i legit can't force myself to drink it (see it as a 9.5/10 with 10 being the most bitter food you can ever imagine), well now i can drink it pure and i would rate it at 0.5/10 in bitterness i have more the feeling of "remembering" the taste of what i'm eating instead of actually directly tasting it now there's no point in eating tasty food so my diet is boiled rice at every meal with no salt since it's all the same i also have some massive pain in the upper inner part of the nose when i "sniff" a lot of air at once (because my nose is semi clogged) it's a very painful burning sensation >the thought of not being able to enjoy the taste of pizza or a meaty hamburger ever again would make me want to kms immediately joke's on covid, i already wanted to kms before losing my sense of smell food is a pain in the ass, but also when you have to clean stuff especially clothes, you don't know if the laundry is dirty or not and you don't know if you smell of perspiration or not, shit's a legit handicap
>>285097 >he says that now it's his girlfriend who has to chose perfume for him daaang.
>well now i can drink it pure and i would rate it at 0.5/10 in bitterness that's wild but can't imagine it's worth the overall positive/negative ratio.
>now there's no point in eating tasty food so my diet is boiled rice at every meal with no salt since it's all the same hell that's depressing af mate. can you smell mint/peppermint? it's one of my favorite smells. I drink mint green tea daily and sometimes have after eight (mint chocolate treat that smells amazing) for dessert. it would be pretty terrible not being able to taste it again. also strawberries and mango. fugg.
>you don't know if the laundry is dirty or not and you don't know if you smell of perspiration or not, shit's a legit handicap damn, yeah it's worse in practice than I thought. like for self hygiene and such it can be a real doozy. Hope you get it back . you taking Vitamin C/D? Zinc?
>>285099 >can you smell mint/peppermint? let me give it to you straight there's a brand of snus called siberia it's the most potent snus (maybe snus knows about it) with an extreme peppermint taste that overwhelms your mouth and nose much more powerful that the most spicy toothpaste so much so that it makes your nose runny and even hurts sometimes i legit can't feel jackshit, not even 5% or anything, it feels like a have nothing in the mouth and my nose isn't runny which makes the whole chewing tobacco experience new since i have the high coming out of nowhere what i mean is that chewing tobacco has a powerful disgusting taste that is covered with some strong flavoring additives so when you do the tobacco you tend to do some pavlovian association of either a strong peppermint taste, or the disgusting taste of the raw tobacco with the high feeling of nicotine now that i can't taste shit i have the high coming without the taste and it feels like i'm getting high without any tobacco since i can't feel it in my mouth since it's not moving (under the lip) same with chili pepper i can down an entire box without feeling the "hot" sensation although i can feel the "pain" sensation which makes the experience weird since i'm in pain without being able to associate this feeling with the usual taste of chili pepper the pain feels like it's coming out of nowhere > you taking Vitamin C/D? Zinc? as i said not really, the disease in itself ain't too bad, just having my sensory nerves burned out that is the pain in the ass silver lining is i can save money of expensive food like meat since it doesn't taste any different although i still have to eat some for the nutrients
>>285104 >same with chili pepper i can down an entire box without feeling the "hot" sensation >i legit can't feel jackshit, not even 5% or anything, it feels like a have nothing in the mouth and my nose isn't runny holy hell that's sounds brutal. I never chewed tobacco but I can imagine it's quite a strong taste. same with chili pepper, the smell alone is too strong from a hand's reach. never liked anything too spicey because of it. whole thing sucks bigly mate.
>just having my sensory nerves burned out that is the pain in the ass Yeah but maybe it can shorten the onset of the disease? and get you healthy again quicker.
>although i still have to eat some for the nutrients yeah if I go a day without eating meat I feel energy-less and weak. gotta have my daily potion of chicken or schnitzel to function properly.
>>285111 >Yeah but maybe it can shorten the onset of the disease? and get you healthy again quicker. seems to me i wont matter as the damage on the nerves is already done and it'll take weeks if not month for the nerves to grow back oh well it could have been worse like losing hearing or sight
>>285112 >oh well it could have been worse like losing hearing or sight I suppose, yeah also there are many reports about after effects (fatigue, brainfog, heart damage) after the recovery. so be on the lookout for that.
>>285081 >Houthi forces take control of Barqa Shara’a, Qaysayn, Baliq, Jaww al-Qaf and Huzmat Qurayshima, with battles raging at the western gate of Camp Al-Khanjar >Thus, Houthi forces secured eastern Sabrayn area and separated Hadi forces in the Khanjar axis from those north of Bir Al-Maraziq https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1314331175520010241 oof
>>285160 >Houthi forces control Jabal Al-Shabaka and Al-Raqeeb, west of the camp >The western and southern gate is under Houthi control >Al-Khanjar camp witnessed strong battles between the two sides inside it from the first hours of the morning until 3 in the afternoon >The situation is still the same on the map https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1314646627517304832 tl;dr: the houthis have the high ground
>>285191 The reality of the situation in the fronts of al-Khanjar, al-Nudd and al-Alam, east of al-Jawf: >In the northern axis The Houthi forces launched an attack at dawn today on the west of Camp Khanjar and took control of some sites inside it and managed to seize three vehicles, 23 caliber (ZU-23 autocannon i guess), and 5 prisoners of Hadi forces >In the southern axis The Hadi forces attack failed to capture Al-Nisreen (Jabal Nasratin), east of Bir Al-Maraziq Currently, preparations are underway for an attack (tonight or tomorrow morning) on the southern axis from two direction, the first on al-Sa'ra and al-Alam, and the second towards Jabal Nasratin, east of al-Maraziq. https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1314585709701890048 Not sure who is preparing to attack but it's safe to say that the Hadi forces won't be regaining any heights any time soon, merely the usual routine of Hadi forces rolling up to the foot of the mountains and exit vehicles > get pinned down and calls in MRAPs to get them out > houthis upload video playing out exactly like the 5763 other failed Hadi assaults before. The Jawf Mountain-Desert pendulum fronts sucks ass. Unless something radical happens i won't report anything from here.
>>285316 speaking of, the Taliban stormed Lashkargah city last night. Fighting is ongoing, situation is highly chaotic. What I can gather is that the Taliban have surrounded Girishk (Nahri Saraj) and Nad Ali DHQs, and they've put a force on the Lashkargah-Maywand(Kandahar) highway to block a counterattack from the east while the main force attacks Lashkargah itself. Status of Marjah is unclear, status of Garmsir is unclear, status of Nad Ali is unclear - presumably under ANA control but besieged would be my guess. https://twitter.com/RisboLensky/status/1315232734592135169 https://twitter.com/RisboLensky/status/1315524287458160642 Threads to watch.
>>285086 >Amid the complete absence of the authorities of Hadi's government in Sawma'ah district, the financial official of Al-Qaeda in the Sawma'ah and his supporters looted Al-Uqla's electricity generator in the district >This was in protest against the change of a number of al-Qaeda leaders in the Sawma'ah, including the financial officer of the organization there. https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1316489683866705923 http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=14.043962&lon=45.715528&z=16&m=bs&show=/36638963/al-Uqlah Protest or preparing to evacuate with all valuables in face of a houthi offensive? The village is right on the frontline afterall. Granted it's been a week since the reports of an offensive being launched with zero proof of battle, so the rumored offensive might just be a big nothingburger.
quick update i'm starting to slowly recover my sense of smell and taste i'd estimate it at 50% of the capabilities i appear to recover quicker than i expected
Afghan Shitmupdate - IT LIVES AGAIN. The biggest change is Helmand and northern Takhar though tbh. Updated the Districtmap to be more consistent with the Shitmap.
>>285789 >>285808 >Tonight, Turkey begins to dismantle the "observation" points and withdraw its forces from the sites of Morek, Shir Maghar, Maar Hattat, Surman, Tal Touqan and Saraqeb with the coordination and protection of the Russian forces >Ahmad Srjawi state TV reporter https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1318222832896278530 That's all the surrounded bases in Hama and Idlib but the three surrounded bases in Aleppo are not included. If the Aleppo bases get abandoned too it will lend credence to the claim that an offensive will happen.
>>285885 Is the mad sultan mad enough to actually launch an offensive against the SAA if Russia allows it? Erdomemes chest beating in the med, war against Armenia, war in Libya, occupation of Iraqi K*rdistan, Ukraine brown-nosing, defense and continued occupation of "free" Idlib proves he is enough of an animal to do it. Leaving all the surrounded bases without inflicting damage on the SAA is a massive capitulation in the eyes of Ankara, if the Aleppo bases are abandoned and there is no withdrawal from "free" Idlib, shit might get real.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Corrections: Corrected the situation with Jaghatu District (Wardak, there is also one in Ghazni) - the DHQ is under siege. Gains: Taliban surround Saydabad DHQ in Wardak and capture some areas near Day Mirdad's DHQ (Marin). Taliban capture large swaths of land in Badakhshan, besieging Khwahan DHQ and even entering Fayzabad, capturing PD8 and contesting PD3. In Ghor, Taliban have surrounded Taywara DHQ, and in Kunduz the Taliban have applied greater pressure on Imam Sahib DHQ by capturing two villages to the immediate east of it. In Kandahar's Zhari District, fighting for control of several small villages is underway.
>>285568 >The security official in charge of Al-Qaeda, Abu Suleiman Al-Kazami, survived an assassination attempt. >An explosive device planted in his car exploded, killing 2 of the escorts and wounding Al-Kazami. >Sawma'ah is witnessing a struggle and liquidations between the leaders of Al-Qaeda after the leadership moved here from Qifah https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1318994323740950528 monkeyknifefight.jpeg
>Russian Navy Seen Escorting Iranian Tankers Bound for Syria https://twitter.com/USNINews/status/1318937209433620482 >>285976 >Over 100 Afghan security personnel killed and wounded in Taliban ambush attack in Takhar. Attack started with detonation of several IEDs along with sniper teams engaging followed by Taliban militants launching ground assault >The death toll in Takhar is way higher than what has been officially admitted by govt https://twitter.com/Natsecjeff/status/1318885563139825664
>>286008 Area in question is Baharak District to the west of Taloqan. And it reminds me of that attack on the base in Wardak at the beginning of 2019 that completely wiped out the SOF unit.
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate Gains: Taliban capture large swaths of the Kabul-Kandahar highway in Saydabad District of Wardak province, tightening the siege of the DHQ. In Kunduz, Taliban captured Archi DHQ as evidenced by airstrikes on it by Afghan Air Force.
>>286020 If you find the time, make gifs of the maps of all the conflict zones otherwise just upload the latest map pics on imgur and post the links here
>>286040 >Large-scale offensive by ISIS on multiple fronts today was in fact a concentrated attack on the defenses of NDF Salamiyah, Popular Committees and Liwa al-Quds in eastern Hama >This attack must have been planned. Offensive has been going on for days with reports of foreigners in the ranks of ISIS (NDF claim) >ISIS tested the attack on several axis before breaking through on a very narrow axis around Abū Laffah and then captured some of the surrounding hamlets >Many questions are left unanswered because technically ISIS should be surrounded in this area (something must have gone seriously wrong here) >Also NDF soldiers report of the use of helicopters in the battles alongside warplanes. If used effectively, this should have wiped away ISIS (apparently this has not worked according to plan) >The situation is the same now. No map change, however this is seriously concerning. Good news: all the news about significant battles in Homs, Deir ez-Zor and Raqqa = not true https://twitter.com/ProNDF/status/1319346720468291585
>Initial reports of an American drone strike targeting Jakara, northwest of Idlib on the Turkish border >Reports now that a meeting of HTS commanders was bombed. >This could be a rather big deal if a bunch of important commanders just got eliminated. >According to local telegram channels at least two are dead from the airstrike. More dead expected. >Two dozen jihadist figures present at this meeting. Reportedly half are dead/wounded. Many names floating around right now. >Jolani cleaning house. All these guys were former HTS or smugglers and defected because of ideological differences. >Death toll in the bombing is reportedly as high as 15. Killing over half the attendees. https://twitter.com/NotWoofers/status/1319353290585493504 http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.147752&lon=36.389594&z=16&m=bs&show=/25667389/Jakarah
>>286054 Might’ve fucked it up since it’s first time doing this but here’s my maps of Syria, Libya, Yemen, and Afghanistan. https://imgur.com/a/vlAQa1e
Big ol SAA convoy of heavy equipment including a Tochka launcher moving somewhere, presumably towards Idlib. Location is not given but to me it looks like the Palmyra-Homs road... https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1319663387480043520