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EZNnIVbXsAMWdk3.jpg
Syria General /sg/ - /Comfy/ Deployment Edition
Anonymous
90c2f81
?
No.272058
272059 272061 274810
Archive/Study/Research/Library
>syriagenerals.wordpress.com

SOUTHFRONT JUNE 12
https://youtu.be/V6yA4pRlf4Y
https://youtu.be/EO9Mqud2HUY
https://youtu.be/AgTZFzeufR8

>Latest interviews with Assad
https://youtu.be/QuYECl4BV7k
https://youtu.be/flaqLAp0Yp4
https://youtu.be/4QRd3TNNbLA

>Live MAPS
https://globaleventmap.org
http://syria.liveuamap.com

>Fan maps
https://twitter.com/PetoLucem
https://twitter.com/miladvisor
https://twitter.com/a7_mirza
https://twitter.com/hamza_780

RECENT MAPS
>SYRIA June 10
https://southfront.org/military-situation-in-syria-on-june-10-2020-map-update/
>Libya June 10
https://southfront.org/military-situation-in-libya-on-june-10-2020-map-update/
>Yemen June 10
https://southfront.org/military-situation-in-yemen-on-june-10-2020-map-update/
>Afghanistan June 9
https://southfront.org/military-situation-in-afghanistan-on-june-9-2020-map-update/

Devs June 12

>#ISIS took over several villages in E. #Hama countryside (Uqayribat region) for 1st time since 2017. Multiple airstrikes were carried out to help SAA to recover the area
>Clashes between Turkish-backed armed groups and Manbij Military Council's forces near the Dardat farm northwest of Manbij city
>Russian & Syrian Warplanes target the villages of Ruwaida, Mestriha, and Tahmaz, in Aqrabat district, in the eastern Hama countryside
>#Russian vehicle damaged by an IED near Kobane injuring one soldier(Northeastern Syria).
>Turkish army is establishing a new military post in the village of Mantef in the southern Idlib countryside
>Syrian government closes border crossings with the areas under SDF control(Taiha in Manbij, Tabakah in Raqqa)
>Rocket attack on US embassy in Baghdad. No causalities reported
>Spanish troops to withdraw from Besmaya military base in southeastern Baghdad.
>U.S. and Iraqi negotiators begin a new round of strategic talks regarding reduction of US forces
>LNA air force targeted locations of GNA east of Misurata
>GNA continues to send reinforcements for assault on Sirte
>Egypt deploys tanks and helicopters near the Libyan border
>Center of Medghal District reportedly captured by the Houthis
>RSAF conducts 4 airstrikes on Houthi positions in Maarib Yemen
>Ballistic missile launched by the Houthis on the city of Marib
>Clashes in Aadin between Houthis and Hadiists
>Gen McKenzie (Head of US CENTCOM): If Al-Qaeda remains, US troops should not fully withdraw from Afghanistan
>Intra-Afghan Negotiations to be Held in Doha soon
>Russia, the U.S., and Afghanistan will hold talks to try to jump-start intra-Afghan peace talks
>High level military to miltary talks held between China & India regarding the situation on LAC in Ladakh.
>PLA build-up observed near Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh wherever China shares borders with India.

Previous: >>262229 →
642 replies and 338 files omitted.
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.281856
281857
>>281855
>i meant the weed part, not the gay and liberal part
it always goes together

>corrupting the youth, turning them away from hamas and destroying the social fabric of their society
eh
wouldn't make a difference
they're all on hash since forever
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.281857
281858
>>281856
>it always goes together
i wanted to say not in morocco, but then i thought of it more and i have to say "fair enough"
>wouldn't make a difference
nah trust me
alcohol nicotine and THC are functional psychoactive substances
meaning that theoretically you can have a functional society with it legalized
heroin, fentanyl (especially) and crack (to a lesser extent) will wreck the society where they're used
the poverty, unemployment and embargo will make these drugs penetrate the society easier and keep them in chains thus destroying any coherent form of opposition
if anything it'd do better in WB to help the colonists to expand
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.281858
281859
>>281857
dude gaza is already wrecked to the core and the population devoid of all hope. drugs won't make it much worse. also Hamas is already cracking down on it pre the article I quoted above.

>if anything it'd do better in WB to help the colonists to expand
what expansion? didn't you hear, bibi cucked out on the settlements in exchange of that UAE deal. don't fall for whatever he's saying to his voter base, expansion is dead.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.281859
281862
>>281858
>bibi cucked out on the settlements in exchange of that UAE deal
for now
i'm talking long term, maybe post-bibi
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.281862
281863
>>281859
>i'm talking long term, maybe post-bibi
bibi is the most popular right wing PM ever and he can't do shit.. it ain't ever happening boss.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.281863
281865
>>281862
i'm talking decades later
don't think that israel will end with bibi
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.281864
Saudi airstrike friendly fired their proxies in Marib again on al-Alam front, last time Camp Mas was bombed.
https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1301644885930504194
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.920064&lon=45.787754&z=13&show=/40059065/Al-Alam-Al-Aswad
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.281865
281866
>>281863
>don't think that israel will end with bibi
where did I say that?
I'm telling you that the most right PM in the history of the country with the most friendly pro-Israeli U.S administration in history can't get shit done. the U.S after Trump will never agree to any annexations or expansion whatsoever.
the entire thing is a myth anyway. you read all these bombastic headlines on the guardian and it always turns out to be another 20 caravans in bumfuck nowhere. outside of the big settlements there is no real buildup. hell the entire WB is smaller than Shanghai l m f a o.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.281866
281868
burgerpunk.jpg
>>281865
>the most right PM until now of the country with the most friendly pro-Israeli U.S administration until now
ftfy (also bibi is really tame compared to early PM in israel's history, so i wouldn't consider him the most right wing)
israel won't stop with bibi, during obama, nobody could have expected for a very pro israel president to step in, yet here we are
maybe in 20-30 years the political landscape will change enough to allow for a more right wing PM and more docile arab neighbors
maybe america decline will make it less relevant and wont make israel as dependent on it's backing and will lead israel to rely on other players (china or KSA+UAE) that really DGAF about pretending to care about palestinians
no one truly knows what the future has in reserve
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.281868
281892
>>281866
>maybe in 20-30 years the political landscape will change enough to allow for a more right wing PM
come on now
the demographic change in America is inevitable. Mestizos are taking over the country and by 2050 it will be Mexico 2.0. meaning it will be probably have the same power projection as a Latin American country today. thus, irrelevant.
China won't be any different, they are bff's with Iran and won't change the status quo.
Ebin
72a604b
?
No.281887
87C86DFE-FADA-4B44-9799-8461BC0ECC1D.png
FB10FB0D-9A16-4A75-9D50-22CC5A583073.png
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate
Corrections: Corrected Sherzad District (Nangarhar), Qarabagh (Kabul) and Kohi Safi/Bagram (Parwan) Districts.
Gains: Government counterattack on Herat-Qala e Naw highway against Kotal-e Sabzak mountain.
Special note: pay attention to the situation around Kabul, the Taliban are slowly establishing a siege of the entire province by capturing the mountains surrounding Kabul city.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/23/world/asia/afghanistan-taliban-attacks-kabul.html
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.281892
281894
1598906710348.jpg
>>281868
>come on now
what? you never now what can happen in the future for israel's politics
especially not 30 to 40 years later
>China won't be any different, they are bff's with Iran and won't change the status quo.
yet they'll put their interests over itran's and if that means more cooperation with israeli industry and tech then they wont flex the knee for iyyranians seething
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.281893
1599211310407.jpg
america is such a weird place
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-50849559
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.281894
281895
1434490567384.jpg
1400932330629 (1).jpg
1596655903139.jpg
1567497334038 (1).png
2020-09-04_12-42-48.png
>>281892
>what? you never now what can happen in the future
no but best we can is make educated guesses with the information we have at hand. there is no stopping the South American migration towards the U.S. despite all the riots and all the BLM crap on TV the real danger is the Hispanicization of America. Hispanics vote overwhelmingly Democrat (not because they're liberal, but because they know dems will keep letting them in no matter what).

By 2050 the meaningful demographic shift will happen. this is also the year China expects to reach military parity with the U.S.

https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/report-china-wants-worlds-best-military-2049-92156

So imo it's completely irrelevant if Israel will have an even more right wing PM at the future. by then the U.S will be completely pozzed with SJW Black-Latino overlords. if Bibi, the most popular PM who has reigned for more than 10 years is too afraid to push for annexations during Zogland's reign.. no one else will.. especially in the upcoming leftist American dystopia.

And even if China cozies up with us I don't expect any drastic changes in its policy. then there's also Russia and its interest in the region.
just my 2 cents.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.281895
281896
>>281894
>we can is make educated guesses with the information we have at hand. there is no stopping the South American migration towards the U.S. despite all the riots and all the BLM crap on TV the real danger is the Hispanicization of America. Hispanics vote overwhelmingly Democrat (not because they're liberal, but because they know dems will keep letting them in no matter what)
yes i know, i said that america will become irrelevant
the change in political landscape was referring to israel
what i meant is maybe israel will see a surge of ultra right wingers in politic that will give the finger to the EU and US and push aggressively their agenda while securing alliances with some arab states+ other players like maybe china or india to counteract the lack of support of the west
>So imo it's completely irrelevant if Israel will have an even more right wing PM at the future. by then the U.S will be completely pozzed with SJW Black-Latino overlords
au contraire
as of right now america is influential enough for israeli to ask for permission
by then america will become as relevant as brazil and israelis wont have to ask the US for support or care about US opposition to annexations
also in the multipolar world we're entering, i don't think major powers will be as relevant as small regional and local powers
ie having the support of current superpower wont matter as much as having support from a multiuplicity of smaller yet still locally relevant states
ie KSA+jordan+UAE+greece vs turkey+iran for the case of israel will matter more than israel+usa (or china in the future) vs iran+russia
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.281896
281904
2020-09-04_13-19-49.png
>>281895
>hat i meant is maybe israel will see a surge of ultra right wingers in politic that will give the finger to the EU and US
don't fall for the /pol/ memes. this country does not move one inch without explicit green light from America.

>by then america will become as relevant as brazil and israelis wont have to ask the US for support or care about US opposition to annexations
Maybe, it's a whole can of worms.

> i don't think major powers will be as relevant as small regional and local powers
I don't buy that. there's always a replacement after an Empire falls. sometimes it takes time to figure out who it is and where but eventually someone fills the void.
there will be a huge void to fill when America becomes irrelevant (and Europe fading too) China+Russia will emerge as the next spheres of power.
All the other nations you mentioned will be subject to their will.
Also a lot of the UAE/KSA "allegiance" with us is subject to change whenever the next war with Gaza/Lebanon will happen. they're friendly now but who knows how they'll react when the ME is on fire.
Either way I don't see any major expansion in the WB. at best full annexation of the largest settlements but that's about it.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.281904
281936
1598905529662.jpg
>>281896
eh, i just can't wrap my head around seeing the average israeli being ok with having it's expansionism grinded into a halt for cosmetic victories like an embassy here and a recognition there while clearly seeing no slowing down of the vindictive spirit of the surrounding arab states and more importantly arab non state actors
especially considering how israel started and how brutal and unafraid of conflict it used to be, now it's begging some arab state for an embassy and whoring its airforce in lybia to larp as "one of them" in order to be more accepted among the ME players

it's just sad to watch and seems to me as a testament of acceptance of the inevitable collapse of israel
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.281907
EhFNwImXsAUUI0z.png
>>281824
>>281825
Mahliyah District is officially captured by the houthis after Hadi/Islah forces withdrew, clashes continue in Al Abdiyah, Harib and Rahabah districts.
In Marib city the Saudis arrived with empty vehicles and reportedly moved tanks and MRAPs from Tadawin camp towards Hadhramawt (i.e road towards the Saudi border to the north-east).
This isn't the first time an evacuation has been rumoured this summer though (last i remember was a month or so ago) so eh, we'll see.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.281931
lel, the BTR that got hit by a SVBIED while on M4 patrol back in july has been repaired and is ready for service again
Video:
https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1301981382068109312
That SVBIED somehow didn't do much damage.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.281932
282127
1 (2).jpg
The houthis are 5 kilomemes from al Kawlah
https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1301949358901002240
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=14.850725&lon=45.009785&z=13&m=bs&gz=0;449883270;148507245;0;442980;128746;0
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.281936
281963
>>281904
>eh, i just can't wrap my head around seeing the average israeli being ok with having it's expansionism grinded into a halt for cosmetic victories like an embassy
dude you're overestimating how many people care about the settlements here. outside Likud no one cares about expansion lmao. considering they're nearly tied with the center-left parties they really can't get shit done about it.

>now it's begging some arab state for an embassy
it's just an anti BDS tactic, that's all. if anything the Arab states realized they can't face Iran on their own. and vice versa.

>it's just sad to watch and seems to me as a testament of acceptance of the inevitable collapse of israel
any day now bud.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.281963
282011
1599044993416.jpg
>>281936
>outside Likud no one cares about expansion
well it's going to cost you in the long term IMO
if israel is not actively trying to expand,; then they're condemning themselves in a resourceless territory that's going to cost them in the long run
>any day now bud.
just as america is declining due to politics and demographics, israel is condemned to die due to the demographic change (arab and anti army ultra orthodox pop growth + the secular population who's rather disillusioned by the conscription and is less than eager to engage in a direct war with arab countries and non state actors, while these still vindictive arabs (mainly hamas and hezbollah) are out for blood
the way i see it, you'll either get he USA treatment or the SA treatment in 50 to 80 years
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.281977
281978
download1.jpg
>president of salvador everybody
https://twitter.com/nayibbukele/status/1302021894040891392
Anonymous
94ce392
?
No.281978
>>281977
kek
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.282011
282012 282013
1973-war.jpg
what went wrong since khalid.jpg
>>281963
>if israel is not actively trying to expand,; then they're condemning themselves in a resourceless territory that's going to cost them in the long run
dude that ship sailed a long time ago. ever since withdrawing from Sinai and Gaza it is clear no one here seriously gives a fuck about expanding. too much "muh greater israel" memes on /pol/ has convinced the arab world israel is about 50 times its real size.

>the demographic change (arab and anti army ultra orthodox pop growth + the secular population who's rather disillusioned by the conscription and is less than eager to engage in a direct war with arab countries and non state actors, while these still vindictive arabs (mainly hamas and hezbollah) are out for blood
With all due respect, if the Arabs didn't manage to win against a few hundred thousand Jewish farmers in '48, barring a miracle, they will never manage to win against a far more advanced military in the 20xx's.

Demographics are useless as well. Arabs outnumbered us 50x in men and equipment all previous wars and still managed to lose. it's honestly mind boggling how terrible Arabs are at modern war.
Khalid Ibn Al Walid would be ashamed.

Also, besides hurling rockets and missiles endlessly at random, the Attack capability of Hezb and Hamas is meme tier. they haven't shown any capability to infiltrate the northern border. they're pretty much just hunting tanks with ATV mounted ATGM's and shooting Katyushahs and Grads.
good luck conquering the country like that.
real talk? it's all a stalemate as far as the eye can see.
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.282012
1599298499222.jpg
>>282011
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282013
282014
>>282011
>dude that ship sailed a long time ago
yes and that's exactly what i'm referring to, the more time passes the more concessions israel is making while arabs make none (don't think that because israel has an embassy there and a recognition here, that the average arab citizen wouldn't want it destroyed)
>a few hundred thousand Jewish farmers in '48,
supplied and supported by the uk, let's not pretend material support doesn't exist
same goes for operation chrome grass and the like
israel never had to settle with lower quality material and downgraded monkey models
not saying it did all the job, but it'd be dishonest to pretend technology isn't a big player

at any rate, the point is they'll win pacifically, like in south africa not by becoming the absolute majority, but by political pressure due to the faltering opposing side (dwindling numbers of secular right wingers and decreased morale to push back politically against ultra orthodox and arabs)
this new political majority will weaken israel from the inside and make it less able to properly defend itself against foreign encroachment (imagine BLM protest tier because israel is defending itself against hezbollah)
but the real blow will come from internal demographic change
good luck having an israel when the majority pop is arabs and ultra orthodox, most youngsters will just immigrate to europe and usa canada for better job prospects and higher quality of life
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.282014
282044
2020-09-06_14-51-39.png
wpvfiqz523t21.png
>>282013
>(don't think that because israel has an embassy there and a recognition here, that the average arab citizen wouldn't want it destroyed)
no shit lol. I always said that concessions Israel made were utterly retarded. returning Sinai (3x times the size of modern Israel) in exchange for a useless peace treaty was by far the stupidest thing anyone here did. withdrawing from Lebanon was utterly idiotic that allowed Hizballah to become what it is today, withdrawing from Gaza allowed Hamas to become mini-Hizballah and the complete lack of action in the WB is a testament to how anti-expansionist the real policy is.
What can I say, our leaders were always cucks without a backbone.

>supplied and supported by the uk
They supported the Arabs as well. IIRC some of the British generals even advised them directly where to attack.

> let's not pretend material support doesn't exist
Sure, let's not forget that the Soviets supplied the Arabs just as much if not more as the Americans did for us. and in some cases fought directly against us, something the mutts never did for us despite all the dying for Israel memes. soviets *actually* died for for ayyrabs lmfao.

> like in south africa not by becoming the absolute majority, but by political pressure due to the faltering opposing side
This will only happen in the *very* far future, at the very least 2100 and forward. too many unknowns variables. mainly depending on what Europe will do and whether it's gonna become fully cucked or if it iwll even get its head out its ass. at this point this is as good as science fiction so no real point in debating this, it's all overly wild speculation.

>but the real blow will come from internal demographic change
It was also projected that Arabs will become the majority by the year 2000 with Jewish population only reaching a million.

Those projections do not account for immigration. A lot of people are immigrating by the "Law of return", thus there's always an increasing Jewish population from outside that is not dependent on births.

That being said the Ultra-Orthodox problem should have been taken care a long time a go. mainly by stopping financing them and forcing them to go to work.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282044
282097
The Based Department.jpg
>>282014
>our leaders were always cucks without a backbone.
not the early ones tho
it seems the israeli generation that didn't face the struggle of being a stateless nation to forging your own nation don't value it as much
>They supported the Arabs as well. IIRC some of the British generals even advised them directly where to attack.
are you going to deny that the brits didn't intend for the jews to have israel despite arabs attempts at interdicting?
>just as much if not more as the Americans did for us.
can't compare it 1 to 1
arabs got monkey models and their defense budget wasn't subsidized by aipac
>something the mutts never did for us despite all the dying for Israel memes
i wouldn't know, not all operations made by "advisors" are available on wikipedia
>too many unknowns variables. mainly depending on what Europe will do and whether it's gonna become fully cucked or if it iwll even get its head out its ass.
yeah but by extrapolating the situation in the USA i wouldn't be surprised to see west europe follow it closely, after all west europe is a bunch of US satellite state and their culture and politics are to mimic american ones
>It was also projected that Arabs will become the majority by the year 2000 with Jewish population only reaching a million.
>muh milestone set by clickbait inducing projection wasn't reached, therefore the trend that we're seeing profiling in the horizon will vanish
come on
>A lot of people are immigrating by the "Law of return"
of which the majority (who are middle class/upper class westernized jews) has subreplacement birth rates and that is without accounting net immigration (immigrant - emigrants) (like those guys who want to go to malta for example, :^) )
>mainly by stopping financing them and forcing them to go to work.
yet it wasn't and here we are
don't think it'll be doable when they're a big voting block, don't think you can easily enforce it even if it's voted, don't think that if it's voted and you magically enforce it it wont just fuck up the job market by severely increasing unemployment (they're mostly low qualification workers) and ultimately serve no purpose

it all boils down to studying trends and precedents. your situation is very close to the one of colonial africa and more precisely both Algeria and South Africa. and judging by the trend that we see in liberal/western countries (of which you culturally belong) i can't help but see similarities
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.282097
282099
2020-09-07_19-15-41.png
>>282044
>not the early ones tho
yeah since 67' really.

>are you going to deny that the brits didn't intend for the jews to have israel despite arabs attempts at interdicting?
see
Uncovered: U.K. Intel Encouraged Arab Armies to Invade Israel in 1948
https://www.haaretz.com/.premium-u-k-intel-goaded-arabs-into-48-war-papers-show-1.5300880

>i wouldn't know, not all operations made by "advisors" are available on wikipedia
conspirct nut tier but w/e, that's not even the point. point is Soviets (and today Russians) are *literally* dying for Syria/Egypt/Ayyrabs and no one gives a shit. all you keep hearing is "b-b-b-ut without America11!!1!". but no one talks how Soviets literally saved the Arabs ass in '73 (and ever since). pic related.

>arabs got monkey models and their defense budget wasn't subsidized by aipac
lol aipac wasn't a factor then. the truth is both sides got plenty of outside help.

>yeah but by extrapolating the situation in the USA i wouldn't be surprised to see west europe follow it closely, after all west europe is a bunch of US satellite state and their culture and politics are to mimic american ones
Sure, if things remains the same as they are now, they're done. if there won't be ant awakening or change of course then they fully deserve it.

>>muh milestone set by clickbait inducing projection wasn't reached, therefore the trend that we're seeing profiling in the horizon will vanish
No it's just that projections are more often than not wildly inaccurate.

>has subreplacement birth rates and that is without accounting net immigration
It's still a continuous growth factor. and one which will probably accelerate in the coming decades as Eurabia becomes more dangerous.

>(like those guys who want to go to malta for example, :^) )
kek, I have a feeling those who left for Berlin will have to come back soon.

>don't think it'll be doable when they're a big voting block
They're already a significant voting base. yeah it will get worse if the secular voters won't *demand* to close off the funding pipe. without funding they'll have to get a job at the very least. will the secular left/right come to their senses in time and stop letting these leeches thrive? I dunno.

>. your situation is very close to the one of colonial africa and more precisely both Algeria and South Africa
I think Rhodesia is the best example
Here's a very good read:
https://www.jewishpress.com/indepth/opinions/what-israel-isnt-learning-from-rhodesia/2008/06/25/
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282099
282101
quote-those-who-want-to-live-let-them-fight-and-those-who-do-not-want-to-fight-in-this-world-adolf-hitler-13-35-47.jpg
1596841935354.png
>>282097
>yeah since 67' really.
by early i meant pre 48
>conspirct nut tier
you really think all black ops are documented?
your example of soviet pilot was a blunder, thus impossible to deny hence why it's known, but i wouldn't be surprised if some americans or brits flew for the IAF during the 60's when israel was still building up it's airforce
> (and today Russians) are *literally* dying for Syria/Egypt/Ayyrabs and no one gives a shit
they're dying for russian air base and russian ports, not saying americans aren't doing it to keep their NATO tier satellite/military base that is the entirety of israel
>but no one talks how Soviets literally saved the Arabs ass in '73 (and ever since)
never senied it tho
both sides support their proxies
it's just that america was able to support israel better than USSR did the arabs due to superior economy and technology
>lol aipac wasn't a factor then
semantics, chrome grass was no lend lease
>the truth is both sides got plenty of outside help.
yes i agree
> if there won't be ant awakening or change of course then they fully deserve it.
sounds like someone familiar :^)
>It's still a continuous growth factor. and one which will probably accelerate in the coming decades as Eurabia becomes more dangerous.
a negligible one, there's less than 1 Mil jews in europe as of right now
and not all will go to another place where they're threatened by arabs, a lot will favor canada and USA (the second israel in population)
>without funding they'll have to get a job at the very least
and do what? they have no marketable skills from what i gather, and their community will be plagued by massive unemployment because you can't create thousands of jobs out of thin air
>I think Rhodesia is the best example
nah i believe SA is what's going to happen, the majority will appeal to international emotion through protests and political manipulation forcing sanction on israel which will force its hand to reform
you'll get an arab mandela and an arab ruled knesset with some meme secular israeli party
the average israeli will either flee to USA/canada or live in gated communities as the country sink into poverty, corruption, internal strife and crime
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.282101
282102
>>282099
>but i wouldn't be surprised if some americans or brits flew for the IAF during the 60's when israel was still building up it's airforce
Highly doubt it. maybe USAF reconnaissance missions and satellite data sharing but not direct intervention.

>they're dying for russian air base and russian ports
Maybe nowadays. back then they did it because it was the anti American stance and they knew that if they won't directly intervene Egypt and Syria would completely collapse. also are we pretending that Syria isn't a giant Russian/Iranian military base today? kek.

>both sides support their proxies
>it's just that america was able to support israel better than USSR did the arabs due to superior economy and technology
I can fully agree to that.

>sounds like someone familiar :^)
kek

>and not all will go to another place where they're threatened by arabs, a lot will favor canada and USA (the second israel in population)
Sure, I think the biggest aliyah is from the U.S, followed by France IIRC. again it depends on outside factors.

>and do what? they have no marketable skills from what i gather, and their community will be plagued by massive unemployment
I dunno nibba send them to school for all I care. once their free shekel tap goes dry they'll have to figure it out themselves.

>you'll get an arab mandela and an arab ruled knesset with some meme secular israeli party
Come on, you underestimate the readiness of Jews to scheme. when they'll actually become a threat (that is 2nd biggest electoral vote) I guarantee you the knesset will come up with a racist law that forbids a non Jewish party to rule the government or some shit like that. yeah people will screech and the the intl. community will go berserk but it will happen regardless.

>the average israeli will either flee to USA/canada or live in gated communities as the country sink into poverty, corruption, internal strife and crime
Most cities are segregated. Arabs typically keep to themselves. even in mixed cities like Jerusalem or Haifa they live in their own neighborhoods. that apocalyptic vision is only likely in a scenario where nothing changes and the state won't take action.
I foresee a lot of violent conflict that will affect the outcome one way or the other.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282102
282104
>>282101
>also are we pretending that Syria isn't a giant Russian/Iranian military base today?
no, and that's the point i was making
russia/USSR is/was dying for a military foothold in the ME theater against US encroachment, not because they're araboos as you suggested
>the knesset will come up with a racist law that forbids a non Jewish party to rule the government or some shit like that. yeah people will screech and the the intl. community will go berserk but it will happen regardless.
good luck keeping an economy afloat and USA's approval with that
the only counter act is a frontal one, any subtle attempt will be useless (i don't believe some controlled opposition arab leader will last very long), and a frontal opposition is political suicide
hell not even chinks will trade with you for fear of losing arab markets
>Most cities are segregated. Arabs typically keep to themselves. even in mixed cities like Jerusalem or Haifa they live in their own neighborhoods. that apocalyptic vision is only likely in a scenario where nothing changes and the state won't take action.
what i meant is that the jewish upper class will refrain from participating in civil life on every level and live in their own bubble maybe even going to create their own ethno town outside of the major cities like the boers are doing in SA
>I foresee a lot of violent conflict that will affect the outcome one way or the other.
yeah, in the streets, but if you're outnumbered you're bound to lose civil strife
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.282104
282105
>>282102
>russia/USSR is/was dying for a military foothold in the ME theater against US encroachment, not because they're araboos as you suggested
Same for Americans.

>the only counter act is a frontal one, any subtle attempt will be useless (i don't believe some controlled opposition arab leader will last very long), and a frontal opposition is political suicide
Not necessarily. There's a law that already states that Israel is the Nation-State of the Jewish People. so ideally it will be an extension of this rule.
Otherwise there will be a military coup and Democracy will be abolished altogether.

>what i meant is that the jewish upper class will refrain from participating in civil life on every level and live in their own bubble maybe even going to create their own ethno town outside of the major cities like the boers are doing in SA
The upper class already segregates itself in their rich towns.
otherwise all cities are already mixed to the core.

>yeah, in the streets, but if you're outnumbered you're bound to lose civil strife
Not if the military takes over and declares Military curfew.
But yes it won't be pretty.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282105
282106
>>282104
>There's a law that already states that Israel is the Nation-State of the Jewish People.
a law that can be taken down by the arab/leftist coalition beforehand
>There's a law that already states that Israel is the Nation-State of the Jewish People.
i don't see the average israeli putting up with that, especially not the westernized jews who cherish muh democracy and freedom
>Not if the military takes over and declares Military curfew.
highly doubt the average conscriptfag is on board for that shit
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.282106
282107
>>282105
>a law that can be taken down by the arab/leftist coalition beforehand
They will never be allowed to form a government dawg.
And even the most deranged leftist parties won't support that.

>especially not the westernized jews who cherish muh democracy and freedom
They'll come around when it'll be that or being shoa'd again.

>highly doubt the average conscriptfag is on board for that shit
You can bet they'd be down for that if it means countering Arabs. remember that outside a few liberal spots, people here since birth are programmed to see ayyrabs as the enemy. so if it'll come down to that.. they'll happily oblige.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282107
282109
>>282106
>They will never be allowed to form a government dawg
wishful thinking IMO, not pretending that i'm not also subconsciously be under the influence of some wishful thinking too, but i doubt it because, believe it or not but i personally don't care all that much about the israel-palestinian conflict
at any rate, the whites never saw the possibility for black to rise up into the government in the 80's in SA
>They'll come around when it'll be that or being shoa'd again.
i don't see the israeli jews getting ethnically cleansed tbf, more like relegated to a minority that lives among their own like in brazil
the way i see it, the arab wave wont come with a genuine antisemitic sentiment but more from a multi culti/leftist/anti segregation/anti jewish supremacy etc hence the alliance with leftist jews
>people here since birth are programmed to see ayyrabs as the enemy
i would have though that this is more of a view shared by boomers will zoomers tend to be less obsessed about racial tension due to, minor, interactions with some arabs at school
maybe enough to support some authoritarian rule but definitely not to partake in it (ethnic cleansing etc)
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.282109
282111
>>282107
>at any rate, the whites never saw the possibility for black to rise up into the government in the 80's in SA
I hope people have learned form that. also everyone is already paranoid about it, which makes me believe they have a plan in place if and when it happens.

>more like relegated to a minority that lives among their own like in brazil
eh, Jews will still be the majority, Orthodox or otherwise. and they usually don't get along with anyone but themselves.

>hence the alliance with leftist jews
Leftists here are the minority. there's a reason they keep losing in every election. so their opinion or plans are mostly irrelevant.

> will zoomers tend to be less obsessed about racial tension
Nope, most youngsters are just as hateful if not more. but that has more to do with the general mental/moral decline in the world that anything else.

>interactions with some arabs at school
Nearly all Arabs learn at their own schools with their own curriculum. very little interactions.

>maybe enough to support some authoritarian rule but definitely not to partake in it (ethnic cleansing etc)
No but again the army still has an advantage over the Arab populace which is mainly armed with kalashnikovs and such.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282111
282112
>>282109
>I hope people have learned form that.
history shows that people never learn until it's too late
>Nope, most youngsters are just as hateful if not more
alright, had the wrong impression then, maybe it's because i overestimated the amount of sperg kill all arabs tier among the zoomer population and my expectations were not met when i realized that the average israeli zoomer (when i say zoomer i mean anyone under 40) isn't that bad
> but that has more to do with the general mental/moral decline in the world that anything else.
i don't understand what you mean, do you mean the average jewish zoomer is becoming a /pol/tard because of "muh modern degeneracy" he perceives in the world?
>Nearly all Arabs learn at their own schools with their own curriculum
i thought there would be more inter ethnic schooling than that
>No but again the army still has an advantage over the Arab populace which is mainly armed with kalashnikovs and such
guns don't win wars, the hutus slaughter the tutsi with machetes
but to get back ti the point i wasn't implying some sort of /pol/ tier fantasy about race war, more like some tensions/fights akin to those we see in america right now
and since i doubt the army will have the support from the populace to escalate it to organized mass scale killings (ethnic cleansing) then the most violent form of confrontation will be stuck to the level of BLM riots at worst (maybe 1-3 dead per month)
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.282112
282113 282115
notanastronaut.jpg
>>282111
> the average israeli zoomer (when i say zoomer i mean anyone under 40) isn't that bad
No I mean the teenagers. the >30 group is more sensible generally speaking.

>do you mean the average jewish zoomer is becoming a /pol/tard because of "muh modern degeneracy" he perceives in the world?
I mean the general decline of society. instagram/tiktok/facebook generation is dumber than ever. no one here reads books anymore or cares about anything serious. just the general gradual retardation of the western world.
And as such young people are quicker to judge without any knowledge etc.

>i thought there would be more inter ethnic schooling than that
Very few, mostly in mixed cities like Jaffa and Haifa. but most schools are segregated.
University's a different story. that's usually where most groups interact.

>more like some tensions/fights akin to those we see in america right now
Yeah I can see that happening.

>then the most violent form of confrontation will be stuck to the level of BLM riots at worst (maybe 1-3 dead per month)
Dude it already happened. It's called an Intifada

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First_Intifada

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al-Aqsa_Intifada

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Jerusalem_unrest

We have plenty of experience with these kind of things. and it usually far more violent than the BLM protests.
So another Intifada is almost guaranteed in the future. and yeah it will probably turn more violent than the last times.
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.282113
FireShot Capture 028 - First Intifada - Wikipedia - en.wikipedia.org.png
>>282112
For reference, the first Intifada
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282115
282116
>>282112
>instagram/tiktok/facebook generation is dumber than ever. no one here reads books anymore or cares about anything serious
yet it's the teenager generation that's spearheading it, i don't see them being also "redpilled"/critical of it
>Dude it already happened. It's called an Intifada
different context, that's palestinian vs israeli
i'm talking about internal strife from the israeli arabs feeling excluded despite being a bigger group of the population (in the future setting i mean) that are already part of the society
you remember the massive chimp outs from the blacks in israel a couple of years ago? well it's going to be the same but with arabs is how i envision it
Anonymous
ad9453c
?
No.282116
260px-Arab_population_israel_2000_en.png
Map_of_Arabic_speaking_localities_in_Israel (1).png
>>282115
>i'm talking about internal strife from the israeli arabs feeling excluded despite being a bigger group of the population (in the future setting i mean) that are already part of the society

Right, but I imagine it will look closely the same.
Outside Jerusalem most Arabs live in their own secluded towns, which makes it easier to block and control if necessary. at least on paper. generally the IDF has lots of experience with uprisings, and they'll certainty be more aggressive to them compared to the Ethiopians chimpouts.
but yeah they can still do a lot of damage if there will be a concentrated effort on their part.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282127
282343
1.JPG
2.jpg
>>281932
wew
By the looks of it, the Saudi coalition has abandoned all hope of keeping the Marib-Ataq supply route open. Once the houthis solidify control on the mountains overlooking Wadi Jubah, the highway will be closed forever.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282220
282336
1599492137229.png
>first day in the operating bloc since covid lockdown
>chief surgeon is selling (taking orders) goat cheese in the break room
yep, i'm working in a french hospital alright
Anonymous
91602cc
?
No.282336
1588412371539.png
>>282220
>chief surgeon is selling (taking orders) goat cheese in the break room
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282343
282344 282401 282520 282564
>>282127
Hadi/Islah forces retreated from Najd al Mujamma‘ah towards Wadi Jubah today and are trying to gain back territory north of Marib instead.
Last report says the Hadi/Islah forces captured ground 25km east of Labinat base.
I suspect that the aim of this move is to secure supply routes into Camp Mas through the desert, possibly to reinforce or evacuate it.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282344
282345 282359
masmar.jpg
>>282343
Here's a sloppy snusmap showing kinda how the north Marib/Mas frontline is according to reports and an approximation of how the most used supply routes go through the desert and over Wadi Jawf to Camp Mas (if you want a more exact picture of how the routes go just zoom in on wikimapia).
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282345
282352 282359
1.JPG
>>282344
While according to reports most of the populated areas of Medghal District is under Houthi control, the houthis seem to either not be capable or willing to capture the populated part of Raghwan District.
It's entirely possible that they made a conscious decision to let the forces holed up in Mas escape through Raghwan (via the desert supply line).
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282352
282359
Marib-19shah99-9sep20.jpg
>>282345
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282357
282380 282381
1.JPG
2.jpg
3.jpg
>store selling weapons/equipment in #Idlib
https://twitter.com/AnalystMick/status/1280186311870238720
my sides
Anonymous
91602cc
?
No.282359
>>282352
>>282345
>>282344
thanks
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282380
282381
unnamed.png
>>282357
it's a bootleg version of this brand
Anonymous
94ce392
?
No.282381
>>282357
>>282380
I have to say it is an excellent "bootleg" and top tier irl shitposting.
Ebin
72a604b
?
No.282383
Afghan Shitmap.png
Afghan Districtmap.png
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - The biggest items over the past few days are
- Farah: Qala i Kah and Pusht Rod DHQs are under siege, and Khaki Safed District is under Taliban control, but the government controls Tojg so the supply line to the south of Farah isn't as badly threatened
- Panjshir: Taliban establish a presence in three districts - Paryan, Khenj, and Abshar, entering from Nuristan.
- Baghdis/Herat: ANA reopen the Herat - Qala i Naw highway.
- Faryab: ANA capture several villages to the south of Qaysar DHQ but the DHQ is still contested. Government is stalled at Almar DHQ.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282398
1.JPG

Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282401
282514
1.JPG
>>282343
Progress continues on the road to Wadi Jubah, some pro-Houthi reports claim the fighting has entered Jubah District.
Only recent visual proof we have is this picture with a sign for the "Maham Wa Himaya" Military Camp in Jubah (translates into tasks and protection).
According to aalnaasi on twitter the sign is supposedly on the western outskirt of Najd al Mujamma‘ah which is 10km from the district border though.
Even though it's weird that they would put a sign so far away, the environment matches aalnaasi's claim of it not being near the camp,
Ebin
2f6307a
?
No.282409
282410
ADAA87E3-187C-4BFB-BA07-32B1C19BD248.jpeg
> Satellite imagery this morning depicts vast, dense smoke layer covering most of California, western Oregon & Washington, and a large swath of the adjacent Pacific Ocean. Numerous extremely large wildfires continue to produce huge volume of smoke. (1/2) #CAwx #ORwx #WAwx #CAfire
https://twitter.com/Weather_West/status/1304091473420271616
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282410
282429
>>282409
is it due to that gender reveal that went wrong?
Ebin
d914ce3
?
No.282429
>>282410
The police have arrested several people for arson in the areas of the wildfires. Considering the recent political climate, it wouldn't surprise me if BLM and Antifa were the ones starting the fires.

https://www.oregonlive.com/pacific-northwest-news/2020/09/man-arrested-on-arson-allegation-in-wildfire-west-of-eugene-deputies-say.html
https://www.khq.com/news/arson-suspect-arrested-after-allegedly-starting-multiple-fires-in-spokane-on-monday/article_62df8a40-f223-11ea-8a02-af6f5dca5965.html
https://www.q13fox.com/news/wsp-man-arrested-for-setting-fire-in-median-of-sr-167-in-puyallup
https://kion546.com/news/2020/09/07/woman-accused-of-intentionally-starting-fires-on-highway-101-arrested/
https://news3lv.com/news/nation-world/man-seen-starting-fires-at-oregon-state-park-local-fire-chief-says
Ebin
d914ce3
?
No.282438
282863
Afghan Shitmap.png
Afghan Districtmap.png
Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate
- Taliban establish a stronger presence in Khost Wa Fereng District of eastern Baghlan
- Government recaptures Shahr Ghulgola in Abshar District of Panjshir but Taliban are still present in the mountains.

No significant changes on the district level.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282454
>tfw 11/09
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jkX2R2QLxrg
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282512
282549
File (hide): CDE5BC4E266310784175145B2AD3F628-2770035.webm (2.6 MB, Resolution:1280x720 Length:00:00:16, 1562261948245.webm) [play once] [loop]
1562261948245.webm
>tfw stumbled across an old 4 chan meme archive when cleaning some old hard drive
here's some cringe i found about that american parade that trump wanted so much to have after he saw russian national parade
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282514
282564 282568
1.JPG
2.jpg
3.jpg
>>282401
Houthi reporter in Najd al Mujamma‘ah / Gains in Medghil / Rahabah/Jubah front gains
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282520
>>282343
>Last report says the Hadi/Islah forces captured ground 25km east of Labinat base
This impromptu counteroffensive of theirs didn't end too well according to pro-Houthi reports.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282549
twitter1.png
>>282512
some gold
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282552
EhueFOHWoAEBLaN.jpg
Peace talks for afghanistan happening right now
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8726101/Mike-Pompeo-arrives-Qatar-Taliban-Afghan-peace-talks.html
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YZ_U9TwXH5U
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mze5cDOUc4A
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aZaxL4OeTns
https://www.rt.com/news/500413-afghanistan-iraq-us-withdrawal/
>Saying that “a lot of progress is being made” in the Middle East, US President Donald Trump told reporters there will soon be only 4,000 US troops in Afghanistan and 2,000 in Iraq, with only a few in Syria to “guard the oil.”
>The reductions will happen “very soon,” Trump said. While the Pentagon confirmed the pending withdrawal of some troops earlier this week, this is the first time the US president had mentioned specific numbers.
>The numbers did not necessarily correspond with those provided by US Central Command chief General Kenneth McKenzie on Wednesday, however, as CNN was quick to point out. McKenzie said the number would be reduced to 3,000 by the end of September.

>tfw another defeat under trump's name
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282564
>>282514
Islah forces reportedly retreated from Al-Zahim to Abdul-Ghani Bahibh station
https://twitter.com/MahamadAlmoradi/status/1305105801250443264
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.001313&lon=45.293777&z=16&show=/40457188/al-Zahim
No idea where the station is but i'm expecting houthis to have cut the Marib-Shabwah road in a few days just like they entered Najd al Mujamma‘ah a few days after reports of a retreat (see >>282343 -> >>282514 ).
>Video: Coalition Forces withdraw part of their military equipment from Marib camps towards the Wadiiyah Line (i.e Saudi border crossing to the northeast)
https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1305225899420385288
No more Astros II MLRS support. The saudis have capitulated.
>Hadi's forces succeeded in repelling an attack by the Houthi forces on the Kabzara area in Al-Abdiyah after suffering human and material losses
https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1305167132691443714
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=14.640284&lon=45.284046&z=18&show=/40457212/Kabzarah
Despite being considered liberated, Al-Abdiyah district is still contested and in fact the majority is still held by Hadi/Tribal forces. Last i can recollect reading was clashes in Hijlah which isn't far from this village.
IMO this front is a stalemate because the houthis aren't prioritizing it and/or the coalition is more invested in keeping the houthis out of Shabwah Governorate than holding Marib.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282568
1.JPG
1.png
>>282514
Neat view of the Najd al Mujamma‘ah area.
Anonymous
bcd9f6b
?
No.282604
libyanon.png
>they took this from you
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282656
Eh8p87CXkAETJoA.jpg
Taha regiment almost starting to look like professional soldiers.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282658
282659 282746
1.JPG
2.jpg
1.png
2.png
Interesting...
Russia didn't join the M4 patrol today (Turkey went alone in their clown convoy) and instead the RuAF bombed targets in Idlib.
Sheikh Bahr - Ma'arrat Misrin area, 6 planes reportedly in the air simultaneously.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.035080&lon=36.593227&z=13&m=bs&gz=0;365636157;360121026;1100349;0;0;381760
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282659
1.JPG
>>282658
This area:
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.018420&lon=36.600909&z=16&gz=0;365951478;360128749;22637;260;213825;19873;181746;107257;0;85564;22315;1909
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282670
282715 282770 282847 282918
1.JPG
>Developments on the southwestern fronts Marib:
>Jabal (Murad): Al-Houthi forces control the Washal area
https://mapcarta.com/N1226950768
>Harib: Al-Houthi forces are advancing and approaching the Al-Salba area
https://mapcarta.com/N1226949680
>Jubah: Battles rage in the Waynan region and the Houthi forces control the strategic Jabal Sahl northwest of the district
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=14.960437&lon=45.243427&z=17&show=/40455246/Waynan
https://mapcarta.com/N1226187541
https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1305990528497057793
Plus a ton of unreported gains.
Anonymous
91602cc
?
No.282715
282727
>>282670
i just read he said he will stop posting updates, wtf
he is definitely the most impartial reporter.
i dont want to go back to abdul jabar
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282727
1558980470947.jpg
>>282715
Yep.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282746
282762 282904
>>282658
>Russian jets back in the air now. Over Jabal Zawiyah, Jabal Arabaeen and Idlib city itself.
>Russian jets over Binnish, Sarmin and Saraqib. At least half a dozen jets over greater Idlib now.
https://twitter.com/NotWoofers/status/1306234316029136896
Videos of Airstrike(s) on Sarja:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DGfF4SFK5xk
https://twitter.com/SyriawatanNews/status/1306204722513281025
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.758005&lon=36.629620&z=14&m=bs&show=/18872744/Sarja
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282762
1.JPG
2.jpg
3.jpg
4.jpg
>>282746
Benin was struck by RuAF aswell
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.708799&lon=36.642108&z=16&m=bs&show=/9467374/Binine
This is pretty much frontline bombing, almost makes me get my hopes up for an offensive.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282770
282774
jubb.jpg
>>282670
>control the strategic Jabal Sahl northwest of the district
After analyzing the area I'm not sure if Jabal Sahl only is this mountain (black circle) that is part of this mountain chain (eh, i'm not good at topoghrapical definitions) as this translation and map suggests.
Besides being a mountain, Jabal (al) Sahl is also the name of a third-order administrative division (represented by theblack box) of Jubah district on the northern part of the Jabal Murad plateu containing a couple of villages and a sick vantage point that can easily be used to harass traffic on the Marib-Shabwah road.
Either way, if Jabal Murad goes smoothly, Wadi Jubah will be evacuated (if it isn't already lel).
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282774
poopoo.jpg
>>282770
Another factor fueling my skepticism is that there are other mountains along the Wadi route (blue line) they took from Kawlah (black circle) in southern Rahabah District which are seemingly as big or even bigger deals than the Jabal Sahl mountain as portrayed by his map and on internet databases but never mentioned in reports.
For example Jabal Suhayfah (white circle) and Jabal ash Shurami/Mihazwaqah (blue circle) are on the route that they must have taken unless they control more of Jabal Murad district than is reported, in which case the Jabal Sahl admin zone would be captured anyways since only driveable supply roads come from south & southeast.

Anyways, this blue line and brown line (ganges river if you will) joins to create the river that feeds the Marib dam and it makes me wonder what parts of Sirwah and Bani Dhabyan along the Rahabah/Jubah districts borders the Houthis actually control.
Sadly i didn't bother keeping myself updated when fighting occured most over there, in fact all i can remember is fighting around Sirwah district center, mountains south of it and Kofal Camp shenanigans.
I don't think anyone control most of the rough terrain between the 3 districts and I'm having a hard time imagining any advance on the eastern side of the river having any effect on the Sirwah front on the western side before the houthis reach the Marib dam reservoir.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282775
1506946529729.gif
>Al-Sarraj announces his resignation from the presidency of the Tripoli government and pledges to hand over power at the end of next month
https://twitter.com/uunionnews/status/1306333942904168450
Uhh?
Anonymous
fac4587
?
No.282845
282848
1600376759715.jpg
>#Syria: Ahmed Khalaf, one of the favorites of Suhail Hassan (commander of "Tiger Forces") was killed, apparently in mine blast as the photo post-mortem suggests (#Idlib front is likely).

https://twitter.com/QalaatM/status/1306685602956484611?s=19
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282847
282918
shitty.jpg
>>282670
Besides progress in Jabal Murad and Jufrah districts being reported, Abdiyah district is back on the menu as major gains are reported in Harib, Mahliyah and Abdiyah districts.
Unconfirmed reports claim the Harib-Abdiyah supply route is close to being cut (the report claim that with the mountain overlooking the road captured, the road is under fire control).
There's still a supply route leading into Abdiyah from Ain district but it seems the Harib route is the main supply route.

Black lines = Roads to Abdiyah, rough drawing.
Red circle = Where the supply line is supposedly under fire control.
Red advance lines are not precise, purely to show roughly where gains are being reported.

Not too wild to imagine that Harib and Ain district centers could meet the same fate as Jubah in the future.
Anonymous
4527b7b
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No.282848
1427445336343.jpg
>>282845
Rip in pepperonis to Suheils husky betrothed.
Anonymous
909e37d
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No.282863
300px-Afghanistan_politisch_1989.png
>>282438
The resemblance between this and '89 is uncanny.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282904
>>282746
>The Syrian regime forces stationed in the town of #KafrBatikh in the eastern countryside of Idlib target with heavy artillery two armored vehicles of #TSK located in the #Marzaf area in the southern countryside of #Idlib
https://twitter.com/IdlibEn/status/1306874205850476544
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.785165&lon=36.681890&z=14&gz=0;366506910;357832151;0;55701;739002;0
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282916
EiCG9pfXYAAHhkq.jpg
EiCG9pgWoAU0Vsf.png
SAA soldier with an interesting bullpup ak conversion, probably captured from dead militant.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282918
282934 282941 283230
>>282670
>>282847
Preliminary reports say Jabal Murad district is finito.
We'll see a monster sized gains report soon methinks.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.282919
EiNCzFXXcAETTpp.jpg
>One of the signs today in the #Idlib demonstrations read: Down with the regime ... Down with the Arab nation ... Down with the world ... Long live the Turkish brothers.
oof
Anonymous
924e1dd
?
No.282934
283034 283059
>>282918
They will probably be smart and coordinate an offensive from all the angles they are taking right now after taking a break at that ridge bellow Ma'rib, but if they capture it from the south like I was guessing ages ago i'll be very happy.
Anonymous
91602cc
?
No.282941
283034
>>282918
nice.
menwhile abdul jabar is coping and posting fake news, and acording to his followers hadi forces are about to take sanaa
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.283034
283059
>>282934
>They will probably be smart and coordinate an offensive from all the angles they are taking right now after taking a break
Aye, there's still alot of areas that needs to be secured in and around Jubah district before going towards Marib city, there will probably be a hiatus in the offensive once Jubah & surroundings are done to solidify the gains and reinforce as there always is after a sizeable region has been captured.
>at that ridge bellow Ma'rib, but if they capture it from the south like I was guessing ages ago i'll be very happy.
uhh, i'll post a snusmap with some analysis on what should be done here on south Marib front before going for Marib city.
>>282941
Considering the constant defeats, i understand their frustration lel
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.283059
283088
uyyy.jpg
>>282934
>>283034
Ok, so let's say Wadi Jubah goes great and a nuke doesn't obliterate the houthis offensive or whatever.
There's still a massive obstacle that needs to be tackled in order to approach the city from the south, and that my frens is the big ol Jabal al-Balaq mountain ridge which without a doubt will be militarized to the max once Jubah is secured.
I'd wager this is where the Hadi army (that the tribals in southern Marib governorate claim abandoned them) has planned to put up a real resistance due to it's easily defendable nature.

So what should be done to tackle it?
A "hurr-durr just flank it", spreading out along it's length and somehow find a weak spot or not even play their game and double down on the northwestern city front?
I'm leaning towards option one, using the wadis going through the sand dunes as cover before popping up on the eastern side, hell they could even go all the way to the Marib-Safer-Al Wadiah supply route via these wadis if the Saudi coalition is dumb enough to overlook the strategic importance these wadis and dunes can have.
And therein lies the crux, i seriously doubt they're dumb enough to not see such a move coming (they managed to figure out that holding the mountainous Marib-Bayda border region against the houthis without full tribal support was impossible after all).
So i don't know really.
A thing to look out for that could reveal the houthi plans, is whether they go east towards Harib in order to secure the starting point of the dunewadis or if they focus on clearing the area between Wadi Jubah and Sirwah (i.e Marib Dam reservoir wadi and Jabal Sawad area).

(Disclaimer: Frontline is not intended to be accurately drawn, it is merely an imagination of how it will probably look soon).
Anonymous
924e1dd
?
No.283088
283167
Suriak maps are very annoying due to my colourblindness..PNG
>>283059
Given the history of failure from the grinding offensives from Sirwah I think you will be proven correct. I'm leaning towards that second option being the eventual breaking point, In a normal situation I think the potential for pressure from Ruwak camp towards the only remaining road would create the conditions for a withdrawal but the Saudi dogs may be spiteful and desperate enough to stay put in balance of their cowardice and blatantly unsalvageable position. I think the only thing that can change anything is taking Mas, and whatever is going on in the desert keeping it from being cut off must be some kind of magic so I'm not sure when that will happen.
But once the line starts to break I feel it will lead to that great march on the city from all directions, no natural defences will be great enough to slow when that happens.

No idea what will happen to Harib at this point, they had it for longer than the surrounding areas if i'm remembering correctly (along with Bayhan) back when Hadi was on the offensive, perhaps they have some friends there.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.283160
EiTlySaXkAADux2.png
>>281850
Imagine how weird the Badia must be.
Russian neo-nazi mercenaries, mukhabarat, Palestinian militia men, Afgan/Pakistani shia hobos, incompetent conscripts, bedouins, sneaky FSB agents, dawla cultists thinking attrition will lead to the caliphate returning, war profiteering smugglers and all-around gangsters.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.283167
>>283088
Taking Mas will indeed be imperative and the Ruwayk/Alam front will probably not progress at the moment because the coalition has put too much resources into keeping the supply line open and due to the fact that this front is so damn exposed to airstrikes.
However, the saudis did evacuate some military equipment recently, hinting at a full saudi capitulation in the future, which might enable a takeover of Ruwayk.
>No idea what will happen to Harib at this point
Well, the recent advances in Abdiyah and Harib countryside makes me quite convinced that they'll at least try to enter the district center.
IMO, advancing east into Harib/Ain/Bayhan will be a piece of cake due to the terrain, apathy of the locals and the fact that the coalition has snowed themselves into defending Marib.
Interesting times ahead.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.283230
283234
>>282918
By the looks of it the source spoke too soon.
Reports of a counteroffensive regaining a couple villages on Jabal Murad and a friendly fire airstrike hitting muradi mercenaries, causing "the sons of the Banu Shams tribe of Murad to withdraw from their positions on the front in protest".
https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1307778925704208387
You can't make this shit up, oh and aalnaasi is back.
Reports from Jubah front are good though (no locations reported).
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.283234
283235 283238
>>283230
and here's a wild report:
>The Houthi forces are in complete control of the strategic mountain of Hailan, with all the surrounding areas and the village of Rasaa.
I thought they already were in control of the mountain but ok, maybe they mean the eastern slopes of the mountain.
No clue where Rasaa (rase direct translation) is, can't find it on any databases, closest thing is Dhat al-Ra'a but i don't believe it.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.483584&lon=45.262685&z=15&show=/33838849/Dhat-al-Ra-a
Here's the wild part:
>And now the battles are taking place in the Al-Hazmah area, the closest to the complex, as it is not separated from the 13 kilo complex.
Google translate wasn't kind to this line but Hazmah can be found in the Marib area on databases, as a non-existant village in the sand...
https://mapcarta.com/N1217719841
https://twitter.com/MahamadAlmoradi/status/1307642575147479041
More in the next post...
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.283235
283238
1.JPG
>>283234
Here's a map showing this highly dubious report and where Hazmah "actually" is along with some text:
>Many sources confirm that the Houthis liberated the settlement. Al-Khazmikh is 12 kilometers north of the city.
>The situation for the hadiths becomes extremely dangerous, as the Tadawin and Sahn Al-Jinn camps, located 5-7 km from this point, are attacked at the same time.
This report would have been all over the place if it was true, but the silence from most reputable sources makes me not believe it.
Anonymous
4527b7b
?
No.283238
>>283234
>>283235
To be clear, the report from MahamadAlmoradi claim it is an area, not a settlement. There is nothing reminiscent of a village where the red circle representing Hazmah is on the map beside the military camp named Atran:
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.57992
Hif5&lon=45.300665&z=15&m=bs&show=/40125953/Atran
Fake news imo