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Fertility & HDI.pdf
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Anonymous
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No.86659
86694
New Beginning
https://www.japantimes.co.jp/community/2016/02/10/voices/japan-birth-rate-beginning-end-just-new-beginning/#.WgKeYmhrloP
>Catastrophe” is one of the words most frequently used to describe Japan’s demographic situation: an aging society full of sexless couples having fewer and fewer babies. Fertility is below replacement level, births are being delayed — but is the situation as desperate as the media paints it? No, the data suggest. In fact, the picture is improving.
>Japan, with its 1.43 TFR, was doing better than South Korea and Singapore (both 1.19), Hong Kong (1.12) and Germany (1.38).
>According to Myrskyla, when a country’s human development index (HDI), a composite measure of a country’s achievements in health, education and wealth, climbs over 0.86, its fertility starts to grow. If he is right, Japan, with its HDI of 0.89 (as of 2013), is going through a transition to higher TFR. Unfortunately, it is not possible to foresee how far this will go, as there are no historical precedents of long-term fertility rebound. But for now, let’s cherish this piece of much-needed good news.
Note; Myrskla's theory is not very strong. Look at the figue 1 and the link below.
https://www.researchgate.net/publication/46547111_Looking_for_a_J-shaped_development-fertility_relationship_Do_advances_in_development_really_reverse_fertility_declines
Japan is not suffering a labour shortage
https://youtu.be/ljPTcUMT4co
A neutral stance on Japan's response to TFR worries.
https://www.centreforpublicimpact.org/case-study/tackling-declining-birth-rate-japan/

Automation may play a part in braving the storm too, but I lack quality information on this for now.
Anonymous
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No.86664
86665
japan is a tiny island that's always been enormously overpopulated, the whole this is a scare they'll be fine
Anonymous
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No.86665
>>86664
Land size is a non factor here, but the economy. People may worry and the number looms, but there's hope in this fray. Repeat defeat and you suffer defeat. I believe Japan won't do that, they are strong in their will.
Another thing, I'm starting to trust technology. Automation may help overall in these situations with labour.
Anonymous
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No.86693
86702
Japanese Fertility.jpg
Which way the Japanese respond is probably how the West will go. This is the first re-attempt of a baby-boom with condoms and the Pill and abortion all being obstructions at the same time.

Japans baby bust started in 1948 with abortions, where as for elsewhere it was 1960 with the Pill. This puts Japan 12 years in front of others in the cycle. The difference will be they have little immigration.
Anonymous
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No.86694
>>86659
They have survived thousand of years, they adapt fast and their lenguage is an impossible barrier for idiots and incompetents, they don't need cheap workers and they are in the vanguard of automation, they just need to pop more babies after those old hags die.
Just stick and release, it's not a hard concept.
Anonymous
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No.86702
>>86693
>abortion
yeah I'm sorry vril but I'm calling BS look up when women in japan got the right to work and put it on that graph
Anonymous
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No.86706
Insane work ethics and anime.
Anonymous
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No.86709
Once you make the decision to not have children you still have to find a way to make sex not equal children.
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