>Interviews with Assad [YouTube] حوار مع قناة روسيا 24 و وكالة روسيا سيفودنيا [YouTube] ASSAD EXCLUSIVE: US will attack foes & friends to protect its hegemony, Syria just a latest victim [YouTube] حوار الرئيس الأسد مع السورية و الإخبارية (مترجم)
Shit that happened in roughly the last month >Jordan’s King Abdullah II received a call Oct 3 from President Assad, the first conversation between the two leaders in 10 years >Jordan reopens border with Syria >US State Department- "no plans" to “normalise or upgrade” diplomatic relations with Syrian government "will not encourage others to do so" in light of some countries starting path of normalisation, because Assad is still 'literally Hitler' >Bomb at Kabul mosque kills 5 civs during memorial service held for mother of chief Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid, Taliban claims the ISKP cell responsible has been eliminated >Taliban claims successful raid on ISKP safe haven in northern Parwan province killing/arresting a number of the group's fighters >Putin and Erdogan conclude Sochi talks aimed at strengthening bilateral ties, addressing regional security issues, including situation in Syria >Houthi forces take control the Zahim checkpoint >National Army blows up a bridge linking Harib and Juba to prevent Houthis from advancing towards Juba, Houthis bypassed this bridge next day >KSA confirms recent talks with Iran in bid to soften relations between Tehran and Riyadh >Israel accuses Iran of 'plot to kill Israeli businessmen' in Cyprus after police arrested a man suspected of being hired to carry out the attacks (lmao)
>>321475 >is Jordan gonna get involved militarily at all At most they'll cooperate more on border security, nothing newsworthy really. Hopefully they can work out some trade agreements.
>Iran warns Israel over 'presence' in Azerbaijan >Iran's Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian says his country does not accept "geopolitical changes" in the Caucasus. Tensions between Iran and neighboring Azerbaijan have been on the rise of late. Iran's Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdohallahian criticized its neighbor Azerbaijan on Wednesday during a meeting with his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov in Moscow.
Amirabdollahian criticized Azerbaijan's dealings with Israel and recent military maneuvers close to Iran's northern border.
Yep, they've realized Assad's going nowhere despite their best efforts so it's time to bring him back into the game and move on to other theaters in this great chessboard.
>>321779 Seeing reports of district center (Jubah Judaydah) being captured. The mercenaries can't fight for shit in close quarters so if the gains reported earlier this week turns out to be true i wouldn't be surprised if this also is true. Waiting for some actual proof though, in the meantime i'll cook up a snusmap explaining how the houthis managed to take Nusayr before controlling the asphalt road.
>>321791 This might turn out to be bullshit, but based on pro-Houthi reports and this video from the Saudi proxy MoD showing the houthis managing to get past the chokepoint in the valley: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5MLV6IpyqoM (keep in mind it is not recorded at the same day as it was uploaded) Also, excuse the shitty rescaling, if anyone wants something clarified or a scene in the video located just ask.
>Violent battles at the Al-Quna`a checkpoint between Houthi groups that refused to fight on the Juba fronts, and the Houthi loyalists that prevented them from returning and shot them with the aim of forcing them to return to the fight, which led to violent battles between the two sides https://twitter.com/Marib_11/status/1446584742397284352 Just wanted to share this quintessential Baghdad Bob post by anti-Houthi activists right now.
>In a very strong indication of a near ground operation by Damascus and its allies in Greater Idlib, the SANA says Turkey is deploying troops in the region to obstacle the army when it begins its operations. The target set by the agency is Idlib city. >From previous battles we know that the SANA only reports on a region in this way before a military operation. I think the SANA will release more reports like this in the upcoming days. https://twitter.com/WithinSyriaBlog/status/1446867041466597377 >Russian warplanes have been spotted flying over Taftanaz, Sarmin, Ariha, Jabal al-Zawiyah, and Darat Izza in the past hour (areas in the Idlib and Aleppo regions outside of government control) https://twitter.com/syria_map/status/1446934402643152896
>>321888 >Russian jet(s) have flown over Jabal Zawiya, Jabal al-Arbaeen, Idlib city, Maarat Misrin, Ibbin Saman and Darat Izza taking the same path over these towns about every twenty minutes since 03:15 local time https://twitter.com/syria_map/status/1446994574224789508 Merely psychological warfare against the jihadists or sending a message to Erdomeme? If an offensive were to happen, this looks like a great first phase goal but what could possibly convince the eternal roach to back off?.
>The house of Sheikh Ali Abd Rabbo Al-Qadi, west of Wasit, is green from God https://twitter.com/MohamadAlmorady/status/1447518684189179904 I was under the impression that this was already captured... the battles near the Bayda junction reported on friday must have been around Jabal Nazilah. Oh well, finally some visual proof of the progress being made (there has been heavy rain reported in Yemen since last week so the wadis being filled with water checks out).
>>322008 Doc i changed my mind right at the last minute figured that when you have nothing to lose you're truly free so i'll keep on going and see where the winds will carry me who knows, maybe i'll find a purpose in this life, or maybe i wont but at least i want to see it to the end
>>322042 >mind telling me your opinion on Taliban takeover and Afghan in general? it was expected now their biggest challenge is legitimizing their seat on the international scene and avoiding getting cornered like north korea my only regret is that i wasn't here on vacation during the fall of kabul
>Erdogan says Turkey has lost its patience on the attacks coming from Syrian Kurdish YPG controlled areas towards Turkish forces. >“We will take the necessary steps to overcome this issue” he says. https://twitter.com/ragipsoylu/status/1447600979222929408 Only oil in Tell Rifaat and Manbij is olive oil, any operation here won't break the camels back.
>Russian airstrike reported in Marea, northern Aleppo. >However, the missile reportedly did not explode. >Much Russian jet activity in northern Aleppo right now. Flying over the front lines between the Afrin Liberation Forces/SAA and TFSA. Also burning fuel over Afrin https://twitter.com/N0tWoofers/status/1447666919780278276
>Extraordinary report by @SuneEngel from southern Afghanistan: As “national monuments and attractions are now open to visit.” many actually are visiting friends, family & attractions, staying out late in the night or driving from city to city. https://t.co/zOzDSwDvbA
>>322110 Hospital in Wasit as proof. The Murad tribes handed the town over to avoid turning it into a war zone, unclear if it's just the Muradi tribes in this part of Jubah or if Jabal Murad tribes also agreed, we'll see.
>According to sources, technical talks between Russia and Turkey on Syria continue. Russia could give the green light for the Turkish operation in three areas, one of which is not yet clear. Turkey continues to insist on Tal Rifat. >Sources familiar with the talks stated that Russia also insisted on the M4 - as a border. "The Russians are aggressive about the M4, not only in Idlib but also east of the Euphrates," Turkish sources say. https://twitter.com/leventkemaI/status/1448717459209531394 Roachoid delusions or the end of the conflict? The k*rds in Tel Rifaat, Kobane and Manbij better put up Assad posters and start chanting "Bi ruh, bi dam, nafiq ya Bashar!" before it's too late.
>>322123 >The forces of Sana'a control the village of Najja and launch an attack to reach Shaeb Najja to cut off the mountain road in Al-Juba https://twitter.com/MohamadAlmorady/status/1449046352097386503 The mercenaries can't keep that road open, Jabal Murad is basically under siege now.
>Turkish army vehicles targeted on the Bab al-Hawa highway in Idlib. Reports of two Turkish soldiers killed. >Reportedly 7 casualties as a result of the attack according to rebel sources. With 2 Turkish soldiers killed and others wounded in various conditions.
>>322409 >Ansar Abu Bakr al Siddiq took responsibility for today's attack on Turkish troops in Idlib. >They claim to have used a car bomb in the attack
>MBS, the murderer of Khashoggi, the architect of starvation in Yemen, is becoming de facto owner of a British Premier League football club. Imagine the reaction if, say, Bashar al Assad had bought Newcastle United. Our hypocrisy in the West on human rights knows no bounds… https://twitter.com/mehdirhasan/status/1446084134389043201?t=YP9MaERxkBjIXlP5HLbigQ&s=19
>S. #Syria: yesterday Medhat Salah the Director of Golan Bureau for the #Damascus' Council of Ministers was killed by a sniper in his house near the border. Finger pointed to #IDF/Mossad, as he was previously jailed by #Israel for 12 years (1985-1997). https://twitter.com/QalaatAlMudiq/status/1449724057361035270?s=20
>>322467 The Houthi governor and deputy Governor of Marib at the recently captured Rashid gas station/market (pic 1-3) and Abdul Ghani (4-5). Situation to the north is unclear, some houthi sources say Najja has been recaptured and fortified by the mercenaries.
>>322792 >inb4 it was USA to create a casus belli since no more war in afghanistan You gotta wonder where the eternal burger plans on setting up shop to camp out now, there's been some more activity in Africa the last few years, and there's a lot of untapped resources to screw dark people over for, those PS5 chips aren't going to make themselves
>>322827 Jabal Murad is under siege and will receive the Abdiyah treatment. Judaydah is next and after that i don't think there will be much resistance until good old Jabal Balaq.
>>322892 Yes but it isn't policy to keep track of everything so someone has to be interested in the conflict to find the updates, we don't limit ourselves to wars either, general geopolitics is always useful.
>Tomorrow, at exactly three o'clock in the afternoon - God willing - a press briefing for the armed forces to reveal the details of the large-scale military operation (Operation Spring of Victory), during which a number of directorates were purged in the governorates of Ma'rib and Shabwa. >With qualitative scenes of the events of the operation, details of the operations of the air force, missile force, air defense forces and other more important details. https://twitter.com/army21ye/status/1451921815237021697 Will be kino.
>>322852 Figured Judaydah would be liberated by now but eh, the houthis are reportedly in control of the Bayda junction and rumours circulating of medical equipment being evacuating from the Judaydah hospital. Tomorrow probably.
>>322938 >Sana’a forces are in control of new and strategic locations in al-Jubah, overlooking some of the villages, and they are able to destroy those in it and expel them easily, but they are waiting for some civilians to complete the transfer of their remaining items and livestock there https://twitter.com/DamMaribi/status/1452447526448140293 Supposedly they gained partial control of Jabal Al-Katif today.
This morning HTS launched an operation to remove factions that refuse the yoke of Jolani in western Idlib and on the Latakia front. Clashes ongoing in Jisr al-Shughur and Jabal T*rkmen, forces loyal to Muslim al-Shishani (mostly foreign fighters) are the target. I don't think i need to remind anyone what happened after HTS pulled a similar stunt back in 2019.
>>322329 >Turkish military reinforcements arrived in the city of Tal Abyad, northern rural Raqqa. https://twitter.com/OGNreports/status/1452992409839837201 Lots of indications that things will get spicy around Ayn Issa, it's no coincidence that the Russians opened a new supply route to Qamishli through Deir ez-Zor last week: https://twitter.com/CaricaMil/status/1452576178221600768 The roaches obviously intend to cut off Kobani (and Manbij) from the east, eyes on Tishreen Dam laados.
>Pro-Taliban sources confirmed clashes a day ago in Khost wa Fereng district of Baghlan but claimed that the clashes involved "kidnappers". 6 "kidnappers" were captured alive and one killed, as per pro-TB sources. https://twitter.com/Natsecjeff/status/1453132610503327747?s=20
lmao >A German fighter jet, painted with the flags of Germany and Israel, flies over Palestinian towns in the middle of the West Bank. I guess this is the German government's professed commitment to the two-state solution in 2021. At least it's honest. https://twitter.com/BartalYossi/status/1453028103765336079?s=20
>>323103 >All citizens withdrew from the village of Al-Sawda, and now it is empty >A large number of the residents of the village of Al-Jarasha withdrew, and the rest are preparing to leave >800 meters separates the forces of Sanaa and the Jabal Al-Sahl Junction https://twitter.com/DamMaribi/status/1453167405513981959
>>323271 Jabal Amud (the small mountain near the road N/E of Jarashah) or Jabal Badi (mountain range reaching half way to Jabal Balaq)? Jabal Amud is captured. No reliable reports detailing who controls what of Jabal Badi, the northern half is probably devoid of military presence due to it's strategic insignificance and the houthis likely control the southern half or atleast the parts which is is in firing range of the Marib road and overlook Judaydah.
>SouthFront >Houthis Make Gains And Ma’rib City is Finally Within Reach >Yemen’s Ansar Allah are inching closer to Ma’rib city with each passing day. >As of October 28th, they’ve concluded the second part of their operation “Spring of Victory” and it was a roaring success, according to spokesman Brig. General Yahya Sari. >The Houthis (Ansar Allah) announced that the districts of al-Jubah and Jabal Murad in southern Ma’rib were both captured from Saudi-backed forces during the second phase of the operation https://www.bitchute.com/video/JGy12O20CKR9/
>>323267 Unconfirmed reports of the houthis advancing in Raghwan (Asdas front), on the Jubah-Marib road (towards the Marib dam) and northeast of Mala'a (towards the eastern end of the Balaq mountain range). No confirmed gains yet.
Houthi Fields of Jihad report from the Alfa front, it's not anything newsworthy since it was recorded quite a while ago but the scenery is neat. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HMiu3x5z3zE
https://twitter.com/MapEthiopia/status/1454454707628429315 > The TDF now control the majority of Dessie and are engaged in clearing operations in the city to remove any holdouts. There have been clashes throughout the day as militia forces who did not withdraw put up resistance in several areas. Government is denying it so far.
>Private sources confirm an agreement made between the Russian Reconciliation Center and SDF says that the areas of al-Shuhail, al-Busayrah, Dhiban, al-Hawaij, al-Shaafah, al-Susah, and al-Baghuz in the countryside of Deir ez-Zor (al-Jazirah) will be fully handed over to the SAA https://twitter.com/syria_map/status/1454941885915664385 More or less all villages and towns along the Euphrates from DeZ city to the Iraqi border. We'll see if this is true.
https://twitter.com/RoncliffeOdit/status/1455207853346729987 > The spokesperson for the #Tigray People's Liberation Front, Getachew Reda tells the @BBCAfrica that members of the #Tigray forces & fighters from the Oromo Liberation Army #OLA have physically linked up. The 2 groups say their aim is to take #Ethiopia capital Addis Ababa. It seems from this that TDF do actually have Kombulcha, status of Dessie is still unclear. Vital road to Djhbuti is in danger. I think the second things turn, as they seem to be, this war is going to be turned up to 11 and everyone and their dog will join the local militia to grab some of that sweet power.
>>323675 Ethiopia Shitmupdate - TPLF links up with OLA and both groups make a vow to overthrow the central government. The road to Addis Ababa is now much shorter. OLA captures several villages in the eastern central part of Oromo region.
>Aldar Khalil, member of the PYD's joint presidential body said in an interview with “Russia Today” that “the issue of oil and resources in northeastern Syria will be part of the final dialogue process with the regime.” Once agreement reached on administrative and political issues >“We demand that Syria be a decentralized democracy, on principle that enables all regions in Syria to self-administer in a democratic manner, depending on their revenues and self-management of the communities inhabiting these regions, and moving away from the central situation." >Regarding Turkish threat of military action in northern Syria, he said that the possibility still exists, attributing the reason to “the US and Russian parties not resolving their position on the Turkish operation,” noting that they “may not completely oppose, but rather reject.”
Pic. 1 & 2: Photo taken south of eastern Balaq and west of Umm Rish uploaded a week ago. Pic. 3 was uploaded today, i'm unable to pinpoint where it was taken but if i'm allowed to guess it´s east of Umud, near the road to Marib. Arrow pointing at the Falaj checkpoint in the pass to Marib between Balaq Awsat and Balaq Sharqi.
>BREAKING: Home of Iraqi Prime Minister reportedly targeted by a drone. >UPDATE: Iraqi PM Al-Kadhimi wounded after reported drone attack, has been taken to hospital. https://twitter.com/Conflicts/status/1457132161132343309 Uhh, i assume it was a DJI phantom dropping a bomblet or is shit going down?
>>324147 >Riad Darrar, the co-chair of the Syrian Democratic Council (SDC), considers that whoever rules Damascus represents Syria, stressing that the Kurds should act "realistically" and negotiate directly with Assad. >Darar expressed full readiness for dialogue with the Government if Damascus so desired, with the aim of reaching a formula for a political solution to all issues in Syria, stressing that the "Syrian Democratic Forces" (SDF) will be part of the SAA after the political settlement. >Darar also pointed out that there is a Russian mediation role for talks between the SDF and the Government, but considers it "not enough." There are currently no talks on Russia’s “proposal”, due to SDF fears of a Turkish military operation >Darar pointed out that the Russian presence within SDF areas indicates that the Russians may be more serious in supporting the dialogue this time, including the proposal of the "National Initiative for Syrian Kurds" to bring the Government and the "Self-Administration" together. >Darar ruled out the possibility of a new attack by the Turkish military forces and the national army, because there is no green light, so far, he did not rule out the possibility of asking for help from the SAA to repel any Turkish attack if it occurred, as happened previously. >Darar stressed that the Syrian people in northeastern Syria are ready for any drastic situation and will face any attack with desperate defense, threatening to transfer the battle to the sites and areas occupied by Ankara inside Syrian territory.
>>323603 >The sheikh of the Al-Baqara tribe Nawaf Ragheb Al-Bashir flying with russian officers in the sky of the SDF occupied eastern bank of the Euphrates and vows to regain control of the areas by force or reconciliation https://twitter.com/humam_isa/status/1457773355788951553
>>324051 >Turkish TB2 drone strike targeted a car in Qamishli city today. 3 people ( probably YPG members) were killed in the attack https://twitter.com/wrongname46/status/1458076477367504904 >İbrahim Kalın (presidential spokesperson and special adviser to Erdogan) said in an interview with a German magazine, "We will not come face to face with the Syrian Army in Syria." >So, we say, let's come together and root out the PYD/PKK and return to the Adana Agreement. >Both the terror ends and the refugees return to their country. https://twitter.com/Bustani_Bustani/status/1457898900304633863 >Breaking: Reports that Abdullah Bin Zayed, the UAE Minister of Foreign Affairs, arrives in Damascus with a high-ranking delegation. The first official visit since 2011. >UAE foreign minister Abdullah Bin Zayid's visit to Damascus is the strongest message yet that real normalization with Assad is only just starting and the UAE is at the forefront. https://twitter.com/Dannymakkisyria/status/1458059279353663493
>>324840 Keeping fighters in that salient after the Stockholm agreement came into effect was a giant (pun not intended) waste of manpower. My guess is they are being sent to ensure Ataq city doesn't get handed to the houthis by the local tribes, but joining the defense of Marib is also very possible.
>>325701 America should have conquered the Middle East and given it a white name like... Ashford. or Sandford. Sandingham? Something like that, then kicked out the entire middle east into africa so they'd fight over resources and reduce each other's populations while whites fill the desert without any jews or sandniggers. Sure they wouldn't do that, but it would mean the Middle East gets a good army to defend it.
>>325738 Do you honestly believe that 'muricuckland should have any involvement? If so: that's a great idea... for a retarded losing cuck that's being replaced. Arabia is far too large and large chunks of the populaces are hardened guerillas. The last 90~ invasions have proven it is not worthwhile to deal with that entire region outside of historical or scientific investigations. Seriously, what kind of moron are you?
Late Shitmupdates but here they are Ethiopia - OLA captures more ground in Oromo region and TPLF advances further into Amhara region towards Addis Ababa and penetrates into Afar region.
Yemen - Houthis recapture most of Hudaydah province after coalition withdraws from the salient and Houthis capture southern Marib province in its entirety. Only Jabal Balaq stands between Houthis and Marib from the South.
>>325926 See the final line of my post (and try harder to comprehend it this time) for an answer to your question. tl;dr no, I do not actually believe America would do it successfully. I don't think they'd even try. They tried to force feminism into this culture in the hopes that it would pacify the men and make the women useful. This just angered the men, who like having total control of their women.
>>326116 Facetious questions warrant facetious answers. "America" is a series of three partially co-joined continents which are not fully linked tectonically, not ONE continent as most bootlickers senselessly try to believe. The Jew-S of A has zero worth acting as the "world police", not does any other cuntry. Your failure begins there. The end of that shitstick is a laughable, tired retread of: "who watches the watchers that watch the watchers"? Answer: not you, and certainly not any organization or cult that (You) endorse. The 250 year empire problem is a kike-created problem.
tl;dr: trying to cover a gaping wound with a tiny Band-Aid (TM) is the same as britmutts trying to defend their short-lived anti-other-empire measures. You can either keep up with history as it is made, or be forgotten. End of discussion.
>>326598 I held off from commenting about the Balaq situation for a week because i began to doubt the houthis could pull it off and when i finally post my opinion, the houthis pulls a uno reverse card by posting pic related a couple minutes later. I'm not sure how, but driving a car on the road this close to Balaq means they control the Falaj checkpoint and somehow control the surrounding mountains (either by suppressing fire or actually storming them).
>>326603 >I'm not sure how, but driving a car on the road this close to Balaq means they control the Falaj checkpoint and somehow control the surrounding mountains (either by suppressing fire or actually storming them). could be a bait for the enemy intelligence that follows their feed, to probe the enemy defenses some sort of maskirovska
>>326611 Situation is fairly straight forward, the location where the picture was taken is in ATGM range from several angles, there's no way the houthis could sneak up this close on the highway if the Hadi forces still control the heights.
Ethiopia Shitmupdate Rebel coalition continues their advance on a broad front to the capital at a slower pace, likely regrouping before making the big push.
>>326902 Eh, I have no clue. Mercenary media shows pro-Hadi forces still control (or having regained) U'ayrif: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WRtOTBTMUNg http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.300205&lon=45.302124&z=15&show=/1670384/al-U-ayrif and the houthis havent posted any proof to their claims of controlling the Falaj checkpoint and parts of the Balaq al-Awsat heights. Presumably the front looked something like this last week but i'm having a rough time imagining the houthis managed to hold on to it but never say never... (there are some similarities to how they managed to bust into Wadi Jubah: >>321792 ).
Anyway, be the source pro-Ukraine or pro-Russia both are full of propaganda and half truths. The most unreliable are the pro-Ukraine ones as they don't even try to mask their lies.
>>327308 I found something that explains the situation imho quite fairly.
>we talk about NATO’s insistence on provoking a conflict with Russia via Ukraine, and Vladimir Putin’s proposed hypersonic solution to the problem. https://www.bitchute.com/video/jPVlPNVsp63b/ The relevant Ukraine segment begins at 01:08:30 In a nutshell, NATO is using its Ukrainian puppets to poke Russia. In case anything goes wrong, America will fight Russia until the last European alive. Because it is not about to win (NATO is a disparate collection of armies and make them move as one is very difficult IRL, not to mention they don't have a chance against the Russians) , but to drag Russia into a war with the hope it will weaken its resistance to the Atlantic ZOG faction and lastly to create political instability in order to break the Russian Federation in a thousand pieces and to get it ready for plundering. On the other hand, there are expected bonus points because without the bear support, the dragon will have no option left than unconditional surrender, in a manner of speaking.
Ethiopia Shitmupdate - EDF reverses much of TPLF-OLA's gains in just four days. >>327245 You're welcome anon. But that's interesting, I'll keep that in mind.
>>327958 Upon closer inspection it seems to be a Mi-24, not an Apache. Rumours are spreading that it is operated by the Sanaa based government, which would be wild as hell if true. Neither UAE or KSA operates the Mi-24. https://twitter.com/0___5____0/status/1468662812302000129
>>328088 >Houthis aren't taht far from Taliban now when it comes to operating with enemy equipment Not everyone who fights for the Sanaa based government are houthis, there are still personnel around who has served since the time of president Saleh. Before the Saudis intervened and set up a no-fly zone, the "houthis" bombed Aden with Su-22's. Anyways, the rumours that the helicopter is being flown by Sanaa based government has not been proven yet. >Khat-driven Abrams The lack of education in Abrams handling and maintenance equals never.
>>328030 The communication towers were just bombed by Saudi airstrikes, meaning the houthis control that section of the mountain range aswell. Despite what pro-Houthi twitter have been saying i don't believe the entirety of Balaq Sharqi is under houthi control yet, but they are definitely trying to capture the final section that overlooks the Falaj checkpoint. Furthermore, video evidence shows the houthis have been advancing from Jabal Ladha into the desert plains below the final section of Balaq Sharqi. Abdul Jabbar made a good video showing it: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JfR8GKWWtQU Situation in the valley on the northeastern side of the mountain range is unknown but presumably the mercenaries still control the dunes overlooking it.
>>328199 Houthi infiltrator KIA on Balaq Sharqi Hard to get the exact angle, but it is visual confirmation that the snusmap i posted is still mostly correct when it comes to Balaq Sharqi (video filmed at black circle in this mini snusmap). https://twitter.com/soldier20200/status/1471122789008609290
>>329375 >amerimutt take on the escalating situation with ukraine Yup. The amerimutt has only the version of his government press and he doesn't even suspect it is all upside down. A hint: the mess begun with (((Victoria Nuland))) going after the regional cookie jar and the key for the plot that couldn't be deployed = the capture of the Sebastopol naval base in Crimea.
>>329442 https://youtu.be/gIgGItKpjkU?t=1776 S2 Underground has predicted that, given Russian military buildup and the strategy that they tend to employ, a full-scale invasion of Ukraine is likely to happen in mid-to-late January. He also predicts the U.S. won't do much about it.
>>329468 >a full-scale invasion of Ukraine is likely to happen in mid-to-late January That S2 doesn't understand the Russian strategy. An invasion means money, no only the military cost, but the social one. Let me explain, the reason Russia didn't go full inside Ukraine in 2015 is because of the Kremlin should take over the basket case Ukraine is: pensions, energy, education, etc. Then the strategy was to arm the Dombass militias and to have a focal point where the Ukrainian military spent most of their military might. Today the strategy is not different, what Moscow wants is to eliminate the existence of medium range missiles close to her borders, that can be achieved with just a few millions rubles launching precision missile strike against the launch platforms; not an invasion is needed. Always have that in mind, Moscow doesn't print dollars, then the approach is an economical one. That said about the local situation, there is a issue well more important and it is the natural gas pipeline to Germany which it is already finished and still is not pumping gas because of the Americans meddling in German affairs. This Ukranian mess is the perfect excuse that the European Commission needs to save face and obey the American orders to refuse the Russian gas. As you can see, this is not about who has a bigger dick, but about a conflict among banksters money $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
>>329468 By the way, S2 is repeating propaganda, he says the Russians shut off the gas to Europe which it is not completely true. Because of American meddling, the European Union is refusing to sign an agreement for future gas deliveries, then Moscow is pumping the stipulated volume in the current contract, nothing more nothing less. And then here comes the catchy issue, the Americans for years were lobbying their liquefied natural gas, the problem is that gas shipped by ship may cost three times more than the same volume delivered by the Russian pipeline, so the problem is political and the the European Janes and Joes will pay the bill for the (((oligarch))) schemes.
Pic 1: The Houthis have entered Sadaah governorate from Yatamah (Jawf) >>329636 and are advancing towards the Buqa border crossing. Pic 2: UAE-backed Giants Forces have entered the neutral tribal zone of Usaylan and are trying to advance to Bayhan, the houthis are putting up resistance and now have a good reason to enter Usaylan in proper fashion. Very similar to the june 2020 Qaniya scenario when the Awadi tribes in southern Marib/northern Bayda governorates hosted Hadi mercenaries and the houthis responded by steamrolling them into southern Marib.
>>330124 Map showing the oil field roads that goes from Usaylan to the Safer oil facility on the last supply route to Marib. If the houthis defeat the so called Giant Forces in Usaylan they could capture the oil fields and harass the Marib supply route. The red line is areas confirmed to be under Houthi control. For weeks there has been reports of the houthis advancing through the desert towards Safer from the Balaq Sharqi front, i guess we'll find out soon enough if there's any truth to it.
Houthis seize an Emirati military cargo ship off the coast of Hodeidah
>The ship was heading to the Saudi port of Jizan, just north of Yemen, from the Yemeni Red Sea island of Socotra when it was attacked just before midnight on Sunday, Saudi state news agency SPA reported, quoting coalition spokesman Brigadier General Turki al-Malki.
>>330188 >The giants' forces advanced to Naqoub, and the Sana'a forces still controlled Balboum, Lakhaider, Al-Saleem and Al-Safra https://twitter.com/MohamadAlmorady/status/1478425111032209408 Things aren't looking too hot for the houthis, i haven't been able to geolocate any pics uploaded by the mercenaries though so Nuqub is still contested in my mind. I can't believe the houthis would put up such a weak defense for such an important location.
>>330204 Alright nevermind, the houthis have lost Nuqub and the giants forces control the Hayd bin Sabean mountain directly west of the town: https://twitter.com/Shalal_Gaman/status/1478453629816385538 The houthis no longer have a paved supply road to the Safra front and i doubt they'll be able to keep the dirt road for long, if they can't regain the town quickly Bayhan city is in real danger.
>>330210 > if they can't regain the town quickly Bayhan city is in real danger. It will be interesting to see how far they can go, I don't know how far would be enough to make losing all that land in Hudaydah worthwhile but recapturing Bayhan would be a good attempt. For a Southern force the Giants have built up a reasonable reputation for themselves.
>>330244 >Complaining in Kazakhstan >I'm hyped for another nothingburger It looks like the protest is getting bigger.
>State Of Emergency Declared In Kazakhstan's Largest City After Fuel Price Riots, Internet Cut >Large-scale protests in Kazakhstan are growing more fierce by the day, with video emerging from major cities showing police vehicles being attacked and set on fire, as authorities try to clamp down on a third consecutive day of rage against a sudden rise in fuel prices after authorities lifted price caps on liquefied petroleum gas (LPG). https://www.zerohedge.com/energy/kazakhstan-rocked-days-fierce-protests-after-sharp-fuel-price-hike
>>330255 Ye, shit's on fire. Both sides also started to use live rounds. I wonder if it's really people's rage or (((((someone))))) planned this to delay hoholand boogaloo.
>>330244 >It will be interesting to see how far they can go They will obviously have a harder time advancing in the mountains, so i reckon they will be satisfied with capturing Bayhan city. Ain district was also part of South Yemen but that's a whole lot of mountain to secure for a very small population gain. >the Giants have built up a reasonable reputation for themselves Judging them by a shallow glance at Hudaydah and Shabwah events makes them look like anti-Houthi kryptonite but to be fair these battles aren't good indicators of their actual fighting prowess. Hudaydah was carried by proper coalition cooperation and unfavorable terrain for the houthis and Shabwah is far more intricate than just a victory of fighting forces. The locals of Usaylan stabbed the Hadi gov in the back last year and the houthis should've known that the tribes were planning to do the same to them when they insisted on not allowing houthis to enter territory north of the road to Ataq. Reading between the lines it looks like STC cooperated with or at the very least used Ansarallah to purge Shabwah of Hadi control. The houthis were able to capture southern Marib thanks to the Bayhan/Usaylan tribes so i guess it's not all doom and gloom for Sanaa yet.
>KAZAKH SPEC OPS FORCES BEGIN THE CLEAN-OP OF PROTESTERS >Kazakh Spec Ops Forces arrive in the besieged city of Almaty and begin the clean-op of the “foreign sponsored terrorists” — no one saw them arrive, unclear how they got into the city. https://www.bitchute.com/video/3Zok9AbBebPt/
>>330272 >>330273 The giants control the junction of the northern road to Harib and at the very least has fire control of the southern road junction meaning the houthis have no paved roads directly connecting Bayhan with Marib governorate. Reports of reinforcements arriving from Bayda governorate.
Yemen Shitmupdate - Houthis advance in northern Jawf and kick Hadi forces out of ALL of the populated areas in Jawf, it's just desert for them now. Houthis advance on Jabal Balaq in southern Marib but this front has largely frozen.
belated shitmupdate but it's here. >TPLF got btfo and retreated almost all the way to Tigray region >Gumuz insurgents got btfo >Oromo still holding their ground with some back and forth
>Yemeni Rebels Reject UN Call To Free UAE Ship Held For 2 Weeks >Yemen’s Houthis have rejected a UN Security Council demand to release the UAE-flagged Rwabee, which it presented as a civilian cargo vessel, and said needed to be immediately released in the name of freedom of navigation in the Red Sea. >When the ship was taken earlier this month, the Saudis insisted it contained field hospital equipment and was purely civilian in nature. The unanimous UN Security Council statement roughly mirrored that claim. >This whole narrative was already discredited long ago. Almost immediately after the ship’s capture, the Houthis released photos and video footage showing that the ship was carrying, almost exclusively, weapons and armored vehicles, not hospital equipment. https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/yemeni-rebels-reject-un-call-free-uae-ship-held-2-weeks https://twitter.com/Editoryemen/status/1482338765263847428
>>331377 Come to think of it, they captured and lost these locations long ago when Yatimah was in mercenary hands, and Tayyibat al-Ism camp is still not controlled by the houthis as far as i know. Controlling Bir al-Salami obviously cuts off the paved road to the Tayyibat al-Ism/Ajashir desert front but there is a desert supply route (black line) from the border crossing running through fortified areas (black squares) on the northern side of Wadi Atifayn which might still be under mercenary control. We'll see if they can manage to kotel the mercenary positions south of Wadi Atifayn or if it turns into another desert nothingburger with hordes of mercenaries in toyotas sweeping through.
>>330516 >(Wadi) Masil was taken over to the north of the Bin Jaber station >Approaching the control of Bin Jaber station, Safir Harib represented the entrance to the complex, the city of Marib https://twitter.com/KWaylt/status/1483782396038324230 I assume there's some miscommunication here and that he means that the houthis have taken control of Wadi Masil to roughly north on the same latitude. I might be wrong and it's highly unlikely (i did read that there had been advances northeast of al-Akd earlier today though). Furthermore, the houthis claim to have massacred a big number of mercenaries in the Fulayj area (southeast of Balaq Sharqi) today so the madlads have somehow managed to keep a supply line to Balaq Sharqi despite the fuckery that has been going on in the desert south of the mountain for the last two weeks ( >>330516 ).
>>331315 Scenes from Harib, the houthis launch multiple ATGMs and there's a kino ambush on the mercenaries: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QAERs6_yeqw I couldn't identify every location but the houthis have opted to leave the lowlands and instead set up in the mountains overlooking the Jiradha area (where majority of the video is filmed). The gas station is in the black circle on snusmap. Beyond Harib city still being in houthi hands i have no clue how the front directly north of the city looks like, i can only assume that since the gap between the mountains aren't as narrow there the houthis are putting up a fight in the lowlands. Consequently some brainlet commander in the giant forces must have thought, since the villages in the lowlands all the way to Jiradha are abandoned, the houthis surely left that gap undefended. Truly strategic geniuses at work.
>>331467 A couple days ago, the coalition bombed Hudaydah and disabled the internet in northern Yemen so local sources on twitter hasn't been able to report on the situation. The Saudi-backed Yemeni MoD have been reporting big gains in Ain and Harib districts culminating in the capture of Harib city after controlling the mountain road from Bayhan. Zero imagery have been released so i can't confirm anything, if true though, the houthis doesn't have a long time window before a breakthrough into Marib city from the south is impossible.
>>331986 In a weird turn of events, the houthis are on the counter offensive after rumours (?) of the giants pulling out from the recently captured districts. Two villages and a gas station between Malaa and Harib city reportedly recaptured so far. https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1487365510819770369 Others claim the giants are still in Harib and Hajab (Ain district center) only leaving the immediate vicinity of Malaa and the incursion into Abdiyah district.
The burgers eliminated Abu Ibrahim al-Hashimi al-Qurayshi, the current IS leader last night. Just like the raid that killed Baghdadi in Barisha, Qurayshi was killed in Atmeh, another town near the t*rkish border in Idlib under the control of HTS. http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.313119&lon=36.690474&z=14&show=/4904587/Atmeh Lister was surprised.
https://english.iswnews.com/22735/yemen-latest-updates-on-hajjah-6-february-2022/ Continued fighting in Harad, Saudi advance from the south, town may or may not be under siege depending on who you ask. Really I am shocked how long the Houthis have been able to hold on to the place, I have been thinking they would manage to crack it for a while now, we will see if this attempt works any better than the last few. I saw something about Saudi using some artillery with was noteworthy for some reason but I can't recall what it was.
>>333438 We know they have entered Harad from the south but apparently there is disagreement as to other details, I looked away for a few days shit like this happens and now I don't know what to think.
https://en.ypagency.net/254128/ > Sanaa government on Monday evening declared its support for “Russia’s recognition of the independence of the Republics of Lugansk and Donetsk.”
> “We support the recognition of Donetsk and Lugansk as independent republics,” Said Mohammed Ali al-Houthi, a member of Yemen’s Supreme Political Council, in a tweet, adding: “We call for restraint and non-slippage in a war intended to drain Russian capabilities.”
> Earlier, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad confirmed that Damascus is ready to recognize the Republics of Lugansk and Donetsk.
> "President Assad has said that Damascus will be ready to recognize the Republics of Lugansk and Donetsk,” said Dmitry Sablin, Member of the State Duma.
> For his part, Chechen President Ramadan Kadyrov reiterated his full support for the decision to recognize the Republics of Lugansk and Donetsk, noting that it is the only way out of the current political impasse.
> On Monday evening, Russian President Vladimir Putin on Monday recognized both Luhansk and Donetsk People’s Republics as independent from Ukraine.
> President Putin, the presidents of the Donetsk and Lugansk republics also signed separate agreements on friendship, cooperation and assistance between Russia on the one hand, and the Donetsk and Lugansk republics on the other.
WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAARRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR IT IS FUCKING HAPPENING RIGHT THE FUCK NOW, SHOW ME YOUR FUCKING WAR FACE
>>335491 Nah, current govt is too retarded for it. Now that you're here, should I worry about my heart after coof? (almost a month since I had it) Had it without vaxx, all blood tests returned normal but it kinda beats faster sometimes, I hope it's just fatigue.
>>335509 did the heart problem start directly after coof? how often during a week/day do you notice it how long do these episodes last any change in your lifestyle? (sleep schedule, stress, work, increase consumption of cafeine etc)
>>335531 Maybe I'm a bit stressed after it. Mostly in the afternoons and evenings, it started about 2 weeks after my recovery. Kinda everyday? It's a short moments of me feeling my heart beating faster and then it returns to normal. Not feeling any serious pain in the chest or around it, tbh. Not drinking any coffee, ever.
>>335535 any chest pain? when do the acceleration happen? when sitting or working hard? any big event happen lately? were the symptom of the last coof stronger than the first coof? any change in diet? (type of food, frequency of meal during the day) how about sleep schedule? any difference during last few months?
>>335538 Nah, because I'm waging in the office I have to get up somewhat early and go to bed not that late. Trying to balance my diet - not excessive in calories/sugar/other shit. Tho mostly eating breakfasts @ home and lunch @ work, rarely anything after that. Not exactly in the chest, more like at the heart side, but it's mild, very rare, it goes "behind" the heart around the ribs for a short second. And I only had coof once. It was mildish. 2-3 days of fever, coughing wasn't that serious.
>>335541 do you experience some pains in the lower part of your ribcage do you experience some pain that feel lke they're right behind the sternum? do you feel like some pains at your left nipple (serious question btw) do the acceleration of heart beat happen mostly when sitting in front of a computer?
>>335544 ok try talking about it to your doctor and see if he can prescribe you an electrocardiogram for good measure in my opinion it's not a big deal, it's mostly due to sitting for long time without moving that tend to create slight disfunction toward the heart who is used to different back pressure from when you're moving around/standing on your feet during the day, also you tend to notice increase of heart beats faster when you're completely still (when sitting) i suppose it sometime happen when laying in your bed at night but to a lesser frequency right? some breaks to go walk a few minutes some during the work day may alleviate such symptoms but it's mostly due to lack of physical exercise and prolonged sitting position also prolonged sitting position favorize the apparition of deep vein thrombosis because moving around make the muscle contract which help flush the blood through the veins and thus not stagnate
>>335546 >electrocardiogram Had it like a week after coof, nothing was wrong with the heart. Gonna repeat it next Tuesday just to be sure. >i suppose it sometime happen when laying in your bed at night but to a lesser frequency right? Correct. I see, so it's just me being damned wagie. Well gotta go back to the gym, no excuses now. Thanks Doc, you're the best. Nothing like having a good friend when the world is ending! ;)
>>335547 >I see, so it's just me being damned wagie or you could see it as the americanization of the polish work environment wage slave in front of your screen, eat some pre made food at work, go home too tired to do anything else and too tired to work out rinse and repeat and you'll have skyrocketing diabetes and cholesterol linked hearts disease in the next 50 years finally poland is a western country :^)
FUCK IT UKRAINE SHITMAP, IT UPDATES CONSTANTLY SO I SAY FUCK IT, AND GOOD NIGHT AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA
>>335678 >>335693 >>335705 You're welcome lads, and here's tonight's Ukraine Shitmupdate >Ukraine Shitmupdate - Russia continues advances in Sumy region but still hasn't taken a single provincial capital, Russians seize Melitopol and advance into Kiev itself.
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians advance heavily in Kharkov oblast but are unable to seize the city, advance in Luhansk oblast and seize Starobilsk, make some advances in Sumy oblast but fighting continues in Sumy city, and advance a little further in Kiev oblast. Situation in the south remains largely unclear.
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians reach Mykolaiv but are cut off by Ukrainian counterattacks behind their lines. Russians seize Berdyansk and march north to Tokmak, threatening Mariupol. Separatist forces make major gains in Donbass, and Russians make minor gains in Kharkiv and Sumy but are ejected from Kiev while making minor gains in its countryside. In the bigger picture, the Russian offensive is stalling.
>Russians running out of fuel for their tanks and APCs in just days >Russian soldier killed while wielding a fucking airsoft gun >Gypsies stole a tank and Ukrop civvies stole another tank in Kharkov (with video) >Offensive is already stalling on Day 5 >Many many MANY videos of destroyed Russian armor >Ukrops are claiming only 30K Russian troops deployed which is actually believable >Airstrikes are much more rare now despite air dominance and Ukrops are set to replenish their air force with NATO lend-lease aircraft from Poland including MiG-29s and Su-25s >Only lobbing a few missiles at a time now >Russians are using unencrypted 90s-era walkie-talkies >Already pushed out of Kiev, Kherson, Kharkov, most likely Mykolaiv too, and their most successful front is stalling now >Vids of 18yo fresh and green as fuck Russian soldiers instead of the battle-hardened combat veterans we were expecting from Chechnya and Syria who said they weren't expecting a war, just a training exercise >Unsupported paratrooper attacks against heavily-fortified airfields which results in said paratroopers getting killed >Only now sending troops to prepare for an attack along the Ukrainian side of the Polish border to cut off land supplies by NATO which they should've done on day 1, and it's not even Russians, it's Belarussians this time who are only now joining with troops >Soldiers are eating MREs that expired in 2015 >Not a single amphibious landing operation other than the one at Snake Island and that was a warship coming up to them and demanding a surrender >Already in peace negotiations and not from a position of strength What the actual fuck is Putin even doing? They've had months, arguably years to prepare for this war, and they act like this was a spur of the moment war, like "oops, I pushed DECLARE WAR instead of NEGOTIATE" and their logistics is practically nonexistent despite being right across the fucking border? Does Putin want to lose this war? What the fuck, this is shit you would expect to see from some Congoloid militia, not one of the top three world militaries. The fucking ANA is looking better than this!
https://twitter.com/sentdefender/status/1498447549493092352 >Ukrainian Citizens are reporting that Russian Forces at a Depot in the Sumy Region abandoned the Outpost and fled into the woods during the night leaving behind, BMPs, BTR-80s, MT-LBs and Infantry Transport Vehicles there is no indication as to why they fled. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-ground-forces-move-closer-kyiv-convoy-stretches-miles-maxar-2022-02-28/ https://twitter.com/idreesali114/status/1498450296825159682 >U.S. satellite image company Maxar says new images show military convoy seen north of Kyiv is considerably longer than 17 miles initially reported and approximately 40 miles. https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1498457396745846795 >BREAKING: >Ukrainian pilots have arrived in Poland to begin taking control of fighter jets donated by EU countries, a Ukrainian government official told POLITICO. >Poland will donate 28 MiG-29s. >NATO AWACS will also be flying over Poland, providing the necessary information. I bet that 40 mile convoy is gonna get bombed to shit before even reaching Kiev, they're sitting ducks now and that coincides with the Ukrops starting to get new fighters from EU countries, no doubt they're gonna bomb that convoy to shit. I'm willing to be there isn't even a single AA among that convoy.
I'm not gonna bother with mupdates anymore, this war is completely phony, what are they hiding in the background that requires a war (and not even a properly orchestrated one) to hide it by catching everyone's attention?
Calm down boys, you can't get too caught up in Twitter warfare. Hohol propaganda is plentiful, and many of the stories are just too hilariously bad to be true.
Czech Republic: "For public support of Russia's actions, expressed online or in any other space -- you will face prison for 1 to 3 years. We monitor cases of online comments expressing support of Russia."
>>336419 They've steadily been able to debunk urban legends like the "ghost of Kiev" and the "brave 13 soldiers who fought to their death" on Snake Island that actually turned into 82 soldiers. But odds are stacked against them in the information warfare arena anyway, and always has been. why put effort into something that the rest of the world isn't going to see because it will be buried under the filter of western media? Saw this in 2014 before, and in 2008, generations of nations have been taught from an early age to never trust them, to hate them, etc. They still are doing what they need to do, and ultimately if this operation frees up Donetsk and Luhansk, and helps to gain a larger buffer zone around Crimea, while destabilizing the puppet government in Kiev, then it worked.
This is just one of many examples of why we wait days to publish Ukrainian footages. Half of what we posted in the first days ended up being doctored 😬 they require a lot more verification. https://t.co/IBTdA7L8xU
Ukrainian MoD also posted footage from Digital Combat Simulator and other official accounts have posted dozens of fakes from Syria & video games such as Arma 3 which is nearly indistinguishable to the untrained eye.
You can see for yourselves.. this is DCS. A video game. And many other examples. Simply tiring vetting this type of content. Credibility 0
>>336431 Looks like globohomo has leveled up the pysops, not just reusing pictures but editing them now too with Hollyjew magic and (((AI))). I think we're going to see Deep Fakes being weaponized sometime during this war, it's been too long since that tech was known.
>>336379 >Putin did it just to sink Russia beyond recovery but why????????????????????????? Russia was heavily involved in making a crypto central bank coin before this happened, and now the conflict is forcing everyone to abandon the rubel with the west cutting off all funds the only option left is crypto or die. That plays heavily into schwabs bullshit with the WEF and the rest of the world rolling out digital IDs tied to vaccination AND banking access under the WHO. Either Russia is part of it as controlled opposition or there was no winning move for them.
>>336456 The bridge to Crimea was designed to serve Crimea. Additional territory needs a wider route. Mariupol is a city where ukies have committed many crimes and to wipe that city out has been in the agenda for many years.
>pretty decent thread on operation thus far Short summary of the military situation in Ukraine 👇🧵 Russia has moved around 75% of its forces it had previously deployed along the U. borders into 🇺🇦 (per US DoD). Appears that only a fraction of these have been engaged in combat yet.🇷🇺 forces are massing for assault on Kyiv.
>>336460 🇷🇺 forces are in the process of regrouping, getting re-supplied, a. adapting to 🇺🇦 attacks. While 🇷🇺 are still committing tactical blunders, there are signs emerging that 🇷🇺 have abandoned their "mad dashes" to occupy key territory without support and coordinate better.
>>336461 Expect to see more 🇷🇺combined arms maneuver/combat in coming days; heavier reliance on ground-based fires/more use of airpower. As others have pointed out, we will likely see BTGs fighting as whole units. Alas, this means we are entering a much deadlier phase of the conflict.
>>336463 Russians continue to suffer from supply problems and are taking heavy casualties. Losses, however, are not at a level that they are yet unsustainable for 🇷🇺 forces [All of casualty figures should be treated with extreme caution of course.] https://t.co/IEjSmzEQ1T
>>336464 🇺🇦 air defenses are still operational; morale remains high; and there are no signs of imminent collapse. 🇺🇦 air force appears to have suffered greatly (unclear what remains of it). 🇺🇦 are also holding on to urban terrain; counterattack and fight coordinated delaying actions.
>>336466 From what I know this by @TheStudyofWar still captures the operational picture adequately. We might see first heavy urban combat in the city of Mariupol in coming days. Watch for breakthroughs in the South. Goal is still to encircle Ukrainian forces where possible. https://t.co/HjqhX8wIHj
>>336467 Also, watch out for a possible new axis of advance of combined Russian-Belorussian forces in the North East of Kyiv advancing South. As more weapon deliveries are coming in from abroad, there is also a need to cut off supply lines from the West.
>>336473 huge explosion at city administration building in kharkov (confirmed), it's being reported that the azov battalion had set up a recruiting station there (unconfirmed) https://t.co/g6Qz86cavA
https://twitter.com/TadeuszGiczan/status/1498673348183744518?s=20&t=2gd5QUeMJCN1lJzlq5dcdA >At today's security council meeting, Lukashenko showed what looks like an actual invasion map. It shows Ukraine military facilities destroyed by missiles from Belarus, attacks directions (everything agrees except Odessa-Transnistria). Also, Ukraine is divided into 4 sectors. Zero IQ move. What's worse, the map lines up with the actual invasion so it's not disinfo. This whole war stinks, what's the endgame with intentionally losing like this with single-digit IQ moves?
I found a pretty good explanation for how the Russian military has been doing so poorly in week 1: **they didn't know they were gonna invade either until they were suddenly given orders to go across the border.** >1. Putin told basically no one—not even his generals—his true intentions.
>Hints that Russian leader Vladimir Putin kept his true plan for Ukraine mostly to himself have been trickling out on social media for days. Exhibit A: Putin’s announcement of the impending invasion lacked the usual luster of Kremlin propaganda events. In fact, all of Putin’s recent televised speeches have seen lower production quality, including odd camera angles, than Russia’s high-powered state propaganda studios normally produce, said Sam Charap, a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation.
>“It’s pretty clear the nature of this operation was kept secret from all but a close handful of people,” Charap said.
>Putin’s circle of trust is shrinking rapidly, and that is likely limiting his ability to get good, impartial advice, Sen. Mark Warner, D-Va., chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, said Monday. “He's more and more isolated. There's less and less inputs. The inputs are mostly coming from sycophants who don't want to get the boss mad,” Warner said.
>Charap said Russia's messaging around the Ukraine invasion has been “haphazard."
>"It really became clear that the people who do those things within the Russian system, even the ones who do TV production, had no idea what was going on until it already started happening," he said.
>Even the invading troops appear to have been kept in the dark. Captured Russian soldiers, often quite young, have been filmed calling their parents to tell them they were in Ukraine and, according to the Ukrainian ministry of defense, have reportedly told their families they thought they were on drills.
>“The consequences of keeping the entire operation under such tight wraps that, you know, probably the people who could have planned this well, weren't even in the loop, is my best assessment of how we got to where we are,” Charap said. "Because…the rest of the General Staff, based on how they train—and you know how they conducted the operation in Syria—they can be better than this. Let's put it that way.”
>Now, massive convoys have run out of fuel and Russian tanks and trucks have broken down along Ukrainian highways. "Not only are they running out of gas, they are running out of food,” a senior defense official told reporters at the Pentagon on Tuesday.
>“A traffic jam is not a convoy,” said Eliot Cohen, former Pentagon policy staff director and State Department counselor during the Iraq War, now a professor and former dean at the School of Advanced International Studies at Johns Hopkins University and the Arleigh Burke chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, at a CSIS discussion on Ukraine on Tuesday.
>Bottom line: the failure of messaging has given Ukraine an advantage. Michael Kofman, who directs Russia studies at CNA, wrote on Twitter: “In a desperate effort to keep the war hidden from the Russian public, framing this as a Donbas operation, Moscow has completely ceded the information environment to Ukraine, which has galvanized morale and support behind Kyiv. Another miscalculation.” Have you noticed how much distance Putin has been putting between himself and his inner circle? Not just metaphorically or socially, but quite literally physical as well? This is not normal, as he and Shoigu went on a winter vacation just last year and usually their briefings were around a round table with invited discussion between everyone, not this massive distance where he just dictates things and they just obey with no input (pic related). It's not a Russian military problem, it's a Putin problem. The why has yet to be revealed, but the how makes perfect sense so far.
>>336900 This analysis makes a lot of sense and seems to fit with what I've casually seen so far. My guess is there is some sort of quiet political factionalism going on within the Russian government, and Putin is becoming paranoid about who might be an enemy. Maybe he thinks (knows) that NATO spies and whistleblowers have infiltrated his government and he's isolated himself in an attempt to avoid leaking valuable information to the West. Maybe he's even worried about an assassination attempt, it wouldn't be the first time the CIA has tried to remove a threat that way. Perhaps declaring war was a strategy to try and retain power. By putting the country into a wartime status, he can more easily purge dissent and arrest those who aren't "on his side". Either way, it's been odd watching a normally shrewd leader make such massive missteps. Clearly he's cut himself off from some key advisors.
>>336902 >My guess is there is some sort of quiet political factionalism going on within the Russian government, and Putin is becoming paranoid about who might be an enemy. Right on point. A hint: How come most of those ministers have children studying in private schools in the west, bank accounts and real state in the west, and to be considered reliable and trusted? Answer: It is impossible.
>>336914 >How come most of those ministers have children studying in private schools in the west, bank accounts and real state in the west Because the Soviet union only collapses like 30 years ago so the schools are still shit, and the ruble is so unstable that anyone with a brain and the means would hide their money offshore. >considered reliable and trusted? I don't think this has ever been the case at any time in Russia's history.
>>336917 I found a very interesting parallel with Trump and the people he selected for his cabinet, all of them were traitors, aka swamp creatures. Putin has done exactly the same, but it is just a cohen-cidence.
The Shitmap returns though Wikipedia changed the basemap (added in disputed stripes like what you see with Crimea, but in Donbass areas before this offensive and changed around admin boundaries some) so it's a brand-new map now. Yes Mariupol is under siege and Azov Battalion may literally get wiped out with no prisoners before this is over with.
Reports of Syrian army mercenaries of the Assad regime's "Tiger Forces" are being flown in large numbers by Russian military planes from Hmeimim Airport Latakia, to Belarus, to take part in Russia's invasion of Ukraine!
Another revived Shitmap since Wikipedia fucked the icons by moving 98% of them up one pixel along with their labels which completely fucked the map, hopefully this doesn't happen often at all. Russians took most of Luhansk Oblast is the big news.
Stark video of a Russian helicopter being shot down by Ukrainian forces. The pictures - showing a Russian MI-24 helicopter being struck by a surface to air missile - come from a Ukrainian government source. It's not clear where exactly in Ukraine the strike took place https://t.co/J4tVZZtqs4
#FLASH—#IMPORTANT—#Ukraine|ian media reports that #Kireev, a member of the #Kiev delegation in #Belarus talks with #Russia re #UkraineRussianWar has been executed by the #UA State Security Agency #SBU, allegedly for being a “Russian spy.” #UkraineRussia https://t.co/snClxwuWelhttps://t.co/8h8JB7Hk8g
>>337196 This is just sad. I was hoping we would get some Comical Ali level official narrative but not madness. Comical Ali was a great IRL shitposter not insane like this "hybrid warfare expert".
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians continue their advance in Northern Luhansk, Donbass got much more detail added, DPR advanced in the area of Volnovakha, Russians got kicked out of Mykolaiv, but secure a city nearby, and the area of Kyiv becomes a slogfest though Russians seized Borodianka to the west of it. Meanwhile in Kharkiv, the Ukrainians seized a town on a strategically important bridge to the east of Kharkiv city.
>>337241 You're welcome. And dunno, it depends on how long the spergs in Azov hold out in Mariupol, they know their lives depend on it since I highly doubt the Russians will take them prisoner.
>>337238 >Who was he? He was the Iraqi Information Minister during the Iraq invasion in 2003. He handled the international press and his press conferences were true gems.
Rare Yemen Shitmupdate. Minor gains across the board though the Marib front stabilized in favor of Hadi and there is ongoing action in Hajjah Governorate.
Confirmed now: #Russia is in control of the city of Borodyanka, #Kyiv Oblast, #Ukraine, Plan is to surround the Capital from different sides before isolating it.
Incredible SCOOP from Wall Street Journal team: Russia is recruiting Syrians for urban combat in Ukraine, U.S. officials say https://t.co/KZOy58Uxn7 via @WSJ
Make of this what you will, a good chunk is pretty believable.
https://twitter.com/christogrozev/status/1500196510054637569 >Last night, an alleged FSB whistle-blower letter was published that damned Russia's military performance in Ukraine and predicted a disaster for the RU in the next weeks and months. I wasn't sure if it was authentic - as Ukraine had previously leaked fake FSB letters as psy-ops. >This letter appeared different though: it came via a reputable source (founder of http://gulagu.net), and it was way longer than a forger would choose to make it (the longer the text, the more risk of making an error). >I showed the letter to two actual (current or former) FSB contacts, and they had no doubt it was written by a colleague. They didn't agree with all of his conclusions, but that's a different story. Here's the text, worth reading: https://www.facebook.com/vladimir.osechkin/posts/4811633942268327
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Translated text:
I have hardly slept at all these days, at work at almost all times, I have brain-fog. Maybe from overworking, but I feel like I am in a surreal world. The Pandora’s Box is open – a real global horror will begin by the summer – global famine is inevitable. Russia and Ukraine were the main suppliers of grain to the world. This year’s harvest will be smaller and logistical problems will result in a catastrophe. (MY COMMENTARY: I disagree that this will result in global famine.) I can’t say what guided those in charge to decide to proceed with the execution of this operation, but now they are methodically blaming us (FSB). We are being scolded for our analysis. Recently, we have been increasingly pressured to prepare more reports. All of these political consultants and politicians and that powers-that-be are causing chaos. Most importantly, no one knew that there will be such a war – it was concealed from everyone. For example – you are being asked to analyze various outcomes and consequences of a meteorite attack (MY COMMENTARY: Here he most likely means the West’s sanctions) – you research the mode of attack, and you are being told that it’s just a hypothetical and not to stress on the details, so you understand the report is only intended as a checkbox, and the conclusions of the analysis must be positive for Russia, otherwise you basically get interrogated for not doing good work. So, you have to write that we have all necessary measures available to nullify the effects of a given type of attack. We are completely overworked. But then it turns out that the hypothetical has turned into reality, and the analysis we’ve done on that hypothetical is total trash. We have no answer to the sanctions because of this. No one knew there’d be such a war, so no one prepared for these sanctions. It’s the flipside of the secrecy – since everyone was kept in the dark, how could we prepare for it? Kadyrov has gone nuts. We were very close to a conflict with him because the Ukrainians through their disinformation about having received intel from the FSB on his squad in Kyiv. His squad was absolutely demolished before they even began to fight and they got blown to pieces. I do not have any info that it was an FSB leak to Ukraine, so I’d give it a 1-2% chance – but can’t exclude this possibility completely.
Our Blitzkrieg has totally collapsed. It is impossible to complete the task: If Zelensky and his deputies were captured in the first 3 days, all key buildings also captured, and they were forced to read an address of their surrender to the country, then Ukraine’s resistance would have likely dissolved to a minimal level. Theoretically. But then what? Even in this IDEAL outcome, there remained an unsolvable problem: Who is the counterparty to our negotiations? If we remove Zelensky – fine – who is going to sign the agreement? If with Zelensky, then that agreement is worthless after we remove him. ОПЗЖ (The Opposition Party in Ukraine collaborating with Russia) has refused to cooperate. Medvechuk, the coward, ran away. There is another leader – Boyko, but he refused too, even his own people won’t understand him. Wanted to bring back Tsaryova, but even our guys are against him here in Russia. Bring back Yanukovich? But how? If we are saying we can’t occupy, then the newly formed government will be overthrown in 10 minutes as soon as we leave. To occupy? Where would we find that many people? Commandant’s office, military police, counter-intelligence, security – even at minimum resistance from the Ukrainians, we’d need over 500,000 people, not including supply & logistics. There’s a rule, if you try to cover for bad quality leadership with quantity, you’ll make everything worse. And I repeat this would be the problem in the IDEAL SCENARIO, which does not exist. And what now? We cannot announce general mobilization for two reasons: 1) Mobilization will implode the situation inside Russia: political, economic, and social. 2) Our logistics are already over-extended today. We can send a much large contingent into Ukraine, and what would we get? Ukraine – a territorially enormous country, and their hate towards us is astronomical. Our roads simply cannot accommodate the resupply of such convoys, and everything will come to a halt. And we can’t pull it off from the management side because of the current chaos.
>>337415 These two reasons exist concurrently, although just one of them is enough to break everything. With regards to Russian military losses: I don’t know the reality – no one does. There was some information the first 2 days, but now no one knows what is happening in Ukraine. We’ve lost contact with major divisions (!!) They may re-establish contact, or may dissipate under an attack, and even the commanders don’t know how many are dead, injured, or captured. Total dead is definitely in the thousands, maybe 10,000, maybe 5,000, or maybe just 2,000. But even at our command no one knows. But probably closer to 10,000. And we are not counting losses at DNR & LNR. Now even we kill Zelensky or take him prisoner, nothing will change. The level of hate toward us is similar to Chechnya. And now, even those loyal to us in Ukraine are publicly against us. Because all of this was planned at the top (in Russia), because we were told that such a scenario will not happen except only if we were to be attacked first. Because we were told that we need to maximize our threats in order to negotiate an outcome through peace. Because we were already preparing protests against Zelensky without ever considering invading Ukraine. Now, civilian losses in Ukraine will follow a geometric pattern progression, and resistance against us will only get stronger. Infantries already tried to enter cities – out of 20 paratrooper groups, only one had “provisional” success. Recall the invasion of Mosul – it’s a rule – happens with every country, nothing new. To hold a siege? Over the last decades in Europe – Serbia being the best example, cities can remain functional under siege for years. Humanitarian convoys from Europe to Ukraine is only a matter of time. Our conditional deadline is June. Conditional because in June there will be no economy left in Russia – there will be nothing left. By and large, next week there will be a collapse (in Russia) to either of the two sides, simply because the situation cannot remain under current conditions. We have no analyses, we can’t make any forecasts in this chaos, no one will be able to say anything with any certainty (in Russia). To act through intuition, especially with high emotions, this is no poker game. But our bets will have to grow in size with hope that some option will succeed. The tragedy is that we can easily miscalculate, and as a result lose everything. By and large, Russia does not have an out. There are no options for a possible victory, only of losses – this is it. 100% we’ve repeated our mistake from last century, when we decided to kick the “weak” Japan in order to achieve a quick victory, and it turned our army was in a state of total calamity. Then, we started a war till the victorious end, then we started conscripting the Bolsheviks for re-education in the army. Then these barely-known Bolsheviks picked up their anti-war slogans. From the pluses: We did everything to ensure there wasn’t even a hint that we sent penal military units to the front. If you conscript political prisoners and the socially undesirables, the moral spirit of the army will be in the negative. The enemy is motivated. Monstrously motivated. Knows how to fight, plenty of capable commanders. They have weapons and support. We will simply establish a precedent of human catastrophe in the world.
What we are afraid of the most: The top is trying to mask old problems with new problems. Largely for this reason Donbass happened in 2014 – We needed to distract the West from the Russian Spring in Crimea, so Donbass’ so-called crisis had to pull in all of the attention and become a bargaining chip. But even bigger problems started there. Then we decided to pressure Erdogan to get 4 pipes for the Southern Stream (gas) and entered Syria. This is after Suleimani (Islamic Revolutionary Guard) knowingly provided false info to us to solve his own problems. As a result, we couldn’t resolve the problem with Crimea, and Donbass’ problems didn’t go away. Southern Stream was reduced to 2 pipes (gas), and Syria is hanging – we leave and Assad will be toppled and we will look like idiots, and staying there is hard and pointless. I don’t know who come up with the “Blitzkrieg of Ukraine.” Had received all the real inputs, we would have at minimum pointed out that the initial plan is arguable, and that much has to be reassessed. A lot had to be reassessed. Now we are in crap (PG language mine) up to our necks, and we don’t know what to do. “Denazification” and “demilitarization” are not analytical categories because they don’t have concretely formulated parameters by which meeting of the objectives can be evaluated.
>>337416 Now we are stuck waiting until some mentally screwed up advisor convinces the top to start a conflict with Europe, with demands to reduce the sanctions – they either loosen the sanctions or war. What if the West refuses? In that instance I won’t exclude that we will be pulled into a real international conflict, just like Hitler in 1939. Our “Z” will be equated to the Swastika. Is there a possibility of a localized nuclear strike? Yes. Not for any military objectives. Such a weapon won’t help with the breach of the defenses. But with a goal of scaring everyone else (The West). We are plowing to create a scenario in which to blame everything on Ukraine. Naryshkin (Director of Foreign Intelligence Service of Russia) and his SVR is digging the ground to prove that Ukraine was secretly building nuclear weapons. F*&K. They are hammering at what we’ve already analyzed and closed the book on: We can’t just make up any evidence or proof and existence of specialists and Uranium. Ukraine has a ton of depleted isotope 238 – this is nothing. The production cycle is such that you can’t do it in secret. A dirty bomb can’t be created in secret. Ukraine’s old nuclear power plants can only produce the material as a by-product in minimal amounts. The Americans have such monitoring at these plants with MAGATE that even talking about this is stupid.
Do you know what will start in a week? Let’s let it be even in 2 weeks. We are going to be so screwed we will start reminiscing about the good ol’ hungry days of the 90s. As the markets are being closed, Nabiullina appears to be taking the right steps, but it’s like plugging holes on a ship with your fingers. The situation will break through anyway and even stronger. Nothing will be solved in 3 or 5 or 7 days any longer. Kadyrov is kicking his hoofs not without reason. They have their own adventures. He created a name for himself as the invincible – and if he falls down once his own people will remove him. Next. Syria. “Guys – hold on, everything will end in Ukraine and then we will fortify our positions in Syria.” And now at any moment our contingent stationed there may run out of resources, and then ridiculous heat will come…. Turkey is closing the strait, and sending supplies to Syria by air is the same as heating an oven with cash. Please notice – this is all happening at the same time, and we don’t even have time to throw it all in one pile for analysis. Our current position is like Germany in 1943-1944 – but that’s our STARTING position in Ukraine. Sometimes I get lost in this overwork, sometimes feels as if this is just a dream and all is as it was before. With regards to prisons – it will be worse. The nuts will start to get tightened till blood. Everywhere. To be frank, purely technically, this is the only way to maintain any control of the situation. We are already in total mobilization mode. But we can’t remain in this mode for long, but our timetables are unknown, and it will only get worse. Governance always goes astray from mobilization. And just imagine: You can sprint 100m – but try that in a marathon. And so, with the Ukrainian question we lunged as if going for a 100m sprint, but turned out we’d signed up for a marathon. And this is a rather brief overview of the current events. To offer further cynicism, I don’t believe that Putin will press the red button to destroy the entire world. First, it’s not one person that decides, and someone will refuse. There are lots of people there and there is no single “red” button.
Second, there are certain doubts that it actually functions properly. Experience shows that the more transparent the control procedures, the easier it is to identify problems. And where it’s mirky as to who controls what and how, but always reports full of bravado, is where there are always problems. I am not sure that the “red button” system functions according to the declared data. Besides, plutonium fuel must be changed every 10 years. Third, and this is the most disgusting and sad, I personally do not believe in Putin’s will to sacrifice himself when he does not even allow his closest ministers and advisors to be in his vicinity. Whether it’s due to his fear of COVID or a possible assassination is irrelevant. If you are scared for the most trusted people to be near you, then how could you possibly choose to destroy yourself and those dearest to you.
And yes, the Ukrainians absolutely hate the Russians, even in Donbass areas outside of DPR/LPR. The fact that Kharkiv of all places didn't just flip to the Russians on Day 1 (even today it's still firmly under Ukrainian control) should tell you everything about how much Ukrainians hate the Russians.
>>337421 I generally agree with you but feel we should keep in mind that the pro-Russian population has been treated with a great deal of suspiscion and hostility since 2014, and wouldn't imagine mass-demonstrations in favour of Russia since Ukraine has been officially de-Russifying for the past few years. I think there are still pro-Russians in Ukraine, they're just somewhat intimidated.
>>337415 >>337416 >>337417 Sounds legit to me. It's clear that Russian leadership didn't properly do their homework with pre-war analysis. Or their data was fundamentally incorrect due to keeping their true intentions secret from the analysts. Putin must have thought he could take over Ukraine with a rapid blitzkrieg action, cut the head off their government and force a surrender before any meaningful resistance could be assembled. But due to the lack of planning and preparedness, his forces were woefully lacking for the task and now he's trapped in a lose-lose situation. If they continue with this war the costs will keep rising and they could be bogged down for months or years against an uncooperative civilian population. There's no way they'll get a return on the "investment" of war with Ukraine. But they can't just back out now, they need a "mission accomplished" moment to try and save face at the bare minimum. In either case the severe sanctions are doing massive damage to their economy and millions of regular white people on both sides will suffer as a result. This invasion has been so terrible that I'm inclined to suspect the idea was planted in Putin's head by a NATO double-agent.
>>337415 Arent the SVR and GRU supposed to do external ops and FSB internal ones? Shouldnt they be the ones cathing flak for all the fuck ups instead of the FSB?
From 10.00 Moscow time on March 8, the Russian Federation announces a "silence regime" for the exit of civilians from Kyiv, Kharkov, Chernigov, Sumy, Mariupol
>>337521 >the state-owned bread factory has not been in operation, but around 30 people were believed to have been there before the attack Hmm, two-dozen people just hanging out in a factory outside operational hours? Sounds like somebody was up to no good. There's more to this story I'm sure.
>>337524 >Sounds like somebody was up to no good. Yeah, considering the Ukrainians have been fighting from schools and everywhere else they can hide lol
>>337525 Thing about Syria is the Turks closed the Bosphorus for Russian warships which means no more resupply for Russian forces by sea in Syria. Sure there's the air supply option but you can't load nearly as much onto an aircraft as you can by truck or ship. Yes you can point to the Berlin Airlift but that was a massive multinational operation, Russia would be alone in this AND they have a major war on their border draining their resources. The Russian position in Syria is gonna become rapidly untenable as a result and we just might see the stalemate break in favor of the Syrian rebels.
>>337549 Yes there's the resupply by the St. Petersburg route but that is a LONG trip that goes past multiple hostile nations. Suppose they set up a block to keep said transport from going to Syria? Or if the logistical strain becomes too much?
>>337758 The U.S. wanted Russia to be aggressive towards Poland so that they could escalate the war to fulfill their narratives while still not confronting Russia directly.
This was last night's Shitmupdate. Kinda stagnant on the whole frontline save for advances on Izyum and advances in Zaporozhia oblast, and pushing Ukrainians back from several areas around Horlivka
>>337849 Dunka for das hard labor. Do you think you can do one for everyday? I don't trust to many sources especially since psyops are being used on a government level.
>From an American volunteer on the front lines outside of Kyiv: "Sitting close to the frontline, the last safe mode of transportation leaves for greener pastures. A core group of about 30 foreign fighters remains out of around 200 people who were here just minutes ago..." https://twitter.com/nolanwpeterson/status/1503004351975075845
>"The base we came from was struck by rockets in the early morning hours. People we lived with for a couple days are confirmed dead. It is only a matter of time before our location is targeted. We are about to be cut off by a Russian tank column any day now..." https://twitter.com/nolanwpeterson/status/1503004976880271372
>An important note: this American is a special ops veteran who completed combat deployments to Afghanistan. He came to Ukraine before Russia's full-scale war on Feb. 24. He is an experienced, well-trained soldier who gave up his lucrative career in the US in order to help Ukraine https://twitter.com/nolanwpeterson/status/1503008211993083905
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians get kicked back in a few places in Mykolaiv Oblast but advance along the west bank of the Dniepr river, as well as tightening the siege of Mariupol even further and make some minor advances near Kyiv and in Luhansk Oblast.
>>338164 I am ok Doc. Echocardiography has shown nothing unusual - especially around the pericardium. Wanted to go to the gym yesterday but my dear sister infected me with good ol' "normal" cold, she even tested herself to make sure it's not that coof shit again. So yeah, next week and I should be good to go (had literally sore throat for a day and a bit of sneezing, will just sip some tea with honey and ginger).
>>338164 Oh and to update. Supposedly to some apothecary test I do have a coof (again). But it's waaay milder than the last one. Practically as the actual cold - sore throat for few days and need to spit some pulmonary secretion (once I woke up I spilled a bit of blood but my saturation is proper - 97.. Will test myself again in a few weeks after I recover as I did previously.
And will beat up my sister for bringing in germs to the household.
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians advance on Makariv to the west of Kyiv and capture Rubizhne to the north of Sieverodonetsk in Luhansk, and capture Izium and its surroundings in Kharkiv, and capture the airport near Mariupol.
>>338577 ok good to know hope you make a good recovery btw how is the public opinion about the fact that your country really wants to get involved in this war despite having a direct border with russia? is the border closed? do the news report of a build up of both sides military at the russian border?
>>338762 Well since I live approx 150 miles from Kaliningrad Oblast... nothing on my end. Media covers more how NATO sends in equipment for hohols. And normies are more occupied with giving their last belongings to refugees. Oh well.
The Kinzhal seems to be a modified version of the Iskander-M 9M723 quasi-ballistic missile. Its use is notable, but, imo, not that significant. It has the range to hit targets in western Ukraine, and Russia is likely running low on cruise missiles for those targets. https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1505203808506462216?t=3YnGi_C44FlXxrXFLiYyVw&s=19
It looks like Russia used three advanced weapons systems today, as a show of force & to test battlefield capabilities. 1) The hypersonic Kh-47M2 Kinzhal missile in Western Ukraine 2) the K-300P Bastion-P missile system in Odessa oblast 3) the Tornado-G MLRS system in Kiev oblast. https://twitter.com/RWApodcast/status/1505184140915888128?t=HG_ic7HhPxghTKpFm4m4Ug&s=19
Ukraine Shitmupdate Ukrainians push back the Russians in Izium and several places in Donbass, but the Russians push forward in Mykolaiv and isolated settlements in Donbass, as well as minor gains to the west of Kyiv.
Ukraine Shitmupdate Southern front stalls completely apart from squeezing the Mariupol pocket. Donbass sees minor gains in Donetsk area, and Northern front sees the most changes with Ukrops pushing the Russians back near Kyiv while the Russians advance in Chernihiv oblast.
One month of the war - Russians seize Kherson and reopen the Crimea canal - Fail to seize Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv - Seize most of Luhansk oblast - besiege Mariupol and draw closer to taking it - seize the entire Azov Sea coastline minus Mariupol with a large buffer zone (the land route to Crimea) - push to the outskirts of Mykolaiv but pushed back - frontlines have largely stagnated since then due to major fuel and supply issues The Russians certainly have performed disappointingly below expectations and made major blunders you would see out of the Middle East and Africa, but so have the Ukrainians as the Ukrainians failed to obliterate the 40km long supply convoy near Kyiv (they only harassed it) and several Russian salients weren't cut off despite the overwhelming chances to do so (looking at you Chernihiv-Kyiv salient). This is just the start of a major slogfest despite progress made in diplomacy between Ukraine and Russia, according to a NATO country.
The only countries that have levied sanctions against Russia are North American and European countries. The rest of the world has not made such moves against Russia.
I honestly think the Ukraine invasion was just a catalyst for global dedollarization as the world MUST buy dollars for oil in order to maintain the dollar as the world reserve currency. With the two most populous countries poised to trade oil for non-dollar currencies and with Russia demanding Rubles for oil and gas trades with hostile countries or the supply gets cut, and with Russia now effectively pegging the Ruble to gold, this could be huge news for the dollar. They're only doing it for three months (into June), but this could be a massive catalyst due to them demanding rubles for oil and gas and with the Ruble now being backed by gold, other countries will have to either convert to rubles or buy gold to trade oil and gas with Russia (if they make this move permanent) which in turn means Russian oil is now de-facto backed by gold. This could play out into a new Bretton Woods system. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bbNoddwc1Lo
The Ukraine war might be going not so well for Russia, but Russia could end up placing the United States into a checkmate position in the end. Only time will tell what happens now.
>>339610 >Saudi Arabia is considering trading oil for Yuans, and Russians have stated that unfriendly countries (All NATO/EU countries + Australia, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan) will have to trade for Russian gas in Rubles instead of Dollars. India and Russia have agreed to trade oil in Rupees at a discount. Collapse of the (((american empire))) within the decade.
>>339610 >India and Russia have agreed to trade oil in Rupees at a discount. Didn't India do the same with Iran when Iran got sanctioned by the US? I believe Iran is the second biggest producer for India's oil
>>339695 >Kherson last I checked. If I remember correctly that was claimed by the Americans and denied by the Ukrainians. I don't know who was responsible for that blunder.
Ukraine Shitmupdate - Russians advance on Izyum again and make some advances in Kharkiv and Luhansk Oblasts, but Ukrainians counterattack near Sumy with significant gains pushing towards the Russian border and retake Irpin near Kyiv. In Chernihiv, the Russians abandon Slavutych after protests by unarmed locals. Ukrainian advance in eastern Mykolaiv and western Kherson.
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians withdraw from Kyiv region, leading to Ukrainian forces taking control of the entire oblast. Russians seize Izyum in rural Kharkiv. Beyond this, only minor gains on either side.
>>340393 Wow, so they weren't bullshitting about a tactical withdrawal in the north. So should we actually expect a larger offensive in the east and south like they've been saying too? Reckon they'll ease of Chernihiv too?
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians continue withdrawal from the north, withdrawing from massive areas around Chernihiv and will likely abandon everything in Sumy and Kharkhiv oblasts in the coming days Only minor Russian gains as they contest Oleksandrivka to the south of Kryvyi Rih
>>340401 An offensive yes, but I have severe doubts about its success since while the Russians will have more manpower freed up from Kyiv, so will the Ukrainians and frankly, the Ukrainians are much more motivated and have much higher morale than the Russians I don't see Russia coming out of this with much of a win. But more attention should be paid to the economic WWIII that's being waged in the financial world.
>>340470 Y'all at the top, you reckon I should say fuck it and make a thread for the economic WWIII that's underway? Cause that's where the real fight is being waged at this point and goes way beyond Ukraine.
Saw a channel that said Russia can only win if they slow down and use their power advantage to crush the enemy slowly wherever they can be found. If it's that easy why haven't they been doing that already?
>>340812 They literally cannot speedrun victory, that window has long since passed. This is gonna be a long and drawn-out war unless diplomacy prevails. They failed to take Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, and Kyiv after protracted battles and they only managed to take Kherson because it was during the shock and awe blitz phase and even then it was still a hard fight. The only way they're gonna save face is if they take Donbass in its entirety and claim victory by saying they achieved their war goal. >>340811 >take the entirety of (X) They couldn't even take Kharkhiv on day 1 despite it being right there across the border and having the element of surprise and momentum. They STILL can't take Kharkiv. And they got kicked out of Kyiv with no signs of returning in the near future after cutting their losses and withdrawing after a huge clusterfuck of bad decisions before and during the battle.
>>340909 >They failed to take Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, and Kyiv That was never there objectives. they are going to push through the Donbass now that the jewkrainians are facing attrition around kiev and kharkov.
>>340911 Oh yes they were, the Russians thought Ukraine would fold in a month at the most and prepared as such and now that they're proven horribly wrong it's the long haul. History is replete with such examples, including modern history. >WWI will be over by Christmas t. Kaiser >We will force China to surrender in quick order t. a Japanese general >We will crush the Americans at Pearl Harbor t. another Japanese general Isoroku Yamamoto was the most realistic of them and his prediction came true. And I'm pretty sure the US generals that went into Iraq and Afghanistan didn't expect a generational fight either. Nor did the US brass going into Vietnam expect the NVA and Vietcong to ultimately prevail. No military has ever been above making strategic blunders, and the Russian military is no exception. >>340915 I mean, so did the US in Afghanistan.... Size ain't everything. Leadership and morale make huge differences and on the ground the Ukrainians have better military leadership and better morale as well.
>>340915 >Why isn't Russia crushing Ukraine? I may speculate a few reasons combined. 1- War cost money 2- An occupation army cost a lot in the medium and long run 3- The stated plan is to crush the Ukrainian army and regime change. The first it has been much accomplished, the second it is a matter of time. 4- By pushing Ukraine in disarray, NATO cannot place missiles pointing at Russia on a disputed territory. 5- Putin is a WEF stooge and no matter the appearances, every step already taken is getting the Great Reset closer. Be Russia or the West teams, they all respond to the same (((command))).
>>340915 They do have the manpower and technological advantage, but they can’t make all of their forces available for an invasion of Ukraine. Doing so would leave open the possibility of Western forces using Japan as a base for invading Vladivostok.
>>340927 But it is still a reason why Russia can’t use all of its forces. It could also leave Japan the possibility of claiming some islands it lost in WWII or for Japan itself to stage the invasion. A lack of troop presence in the Russian Far East could also open the floodgates for North Korean defectors to cross the Tumen River en masse and escape unhindered.
>China's top offshore oil and gas producer CNOOC Ltd. is preparing to exit its operations in Britain, Canada and the United States, because of concerns in Beijing the assets could become subject to Western sanctions.
>>341562 Problem: Israel has been touted for decades as THE Jewish homeland, how do they plan to forcibly resettle all the Israelis to Ukraine? Even more so, how do they plan the narrative for such a move? It's not like Israel is under threat of imminent invasion, especially since they now have nukes.
>>341737 Another problem: What do with all of Israel's WMDs? Move them over to Ukraine? Moscow absolutely won't allow a nuclear-armed state right on its southwestern border, especially a hostile one due to how little reaction time it would allow them in the event of a hostile first strike. Me thinks he was referring to how Ukraine will be more like an ethnostate like Israel is rather than a multiculti nation like European nations are.
>>341737 Edit: With history going back millennia with Israel as THE Jewish homeland (I won't go into the other theories for the sake of argument) while Ukraine has no such history beyond a vague region known as Khazaria which only existed for a relatively short while and the heartland was in southern Russia. How would they justify that?
It's just too much of a stretch for me to believe, especially when it rests on shaky ground.
https://t.me/ukrinform_news/65232 >The Russian army bombed Mariupol with long-range Tu-22M3 bombers for the first time Gloves are starting to come off now.
PALESTINIAN ROCKETS AGAINST ISRAELI IRON DOME TONIGHT IN SDEROT. Palestinian Resistance retaliates in response to the bombing of the Israeli air force against the Gaza Strip.
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians advance in northern Donetsk Oblast, capture Mariupol save for the Azovstal complex, recapture Oleksandrivka to the west of Kherson, but retreat from the immediate vicinity of Kharkiv
>ISRAEL STRIKES DAMASCUS - 27 APRIL 2022 >A Syrian military source reports that at around 00:41 an Israeli attack was carried out from the direction of the city of Tiberias towards a number of targets in the Damascus area | According to foreign reports, a shipment of Iranian weapons arrived at the military airbase in Damascus today was attacked – in addition, a military base of the 100th Brigade of the Syrian Army was attacked.
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians advance towards Kramatorsk but lose ground north of Kharkiv and north of Kherson it should be noted that most of Ukraine natural gas (which if fully exploited can threaten Russia's energy dominance in Europe) sits around Kramatorsk.
>>343330 It's always been about the money. Crimea is a money dump without the canal and the gas fields in Ukraine threaten Russian energy hegemony in the region. There is probably other smaller goals in mind, but those are the two major ones that caused the war.
Irony 101 https://www.jpost.com/international/article-705643 >Bennett to Lavrov: Stop using Holocaust as political battering ram >Foreign Ministry summons Russian ambassador over Lavrov’s claim Hitler was Jewish, comparison to Zelensky.
Ukraine Shitmupdate Ukrainians continue their offensive north of Kharkiv, even briefly reaching the border before the Russians drove them back and reestablished the border strip north of Kharkiv Minimal gains for Russia in Donbass All other fronts remain static
Yesterday's Shitmupdate Ukrainians advance towards Russian border in Kharkiv, with some back and forth around Lyman in northern Donetsk but Russians advance in central Donbass
Howdy people, glad to see some of you still posting here. I've been keeping up with the Sieverdonetsk salient and trying to foresee what will happen. By the looks of it the eponymous city is basically already lost but the ukrops might hold on to the Azot industrial zone to the west of the city in a maneuver akin to the Azovstal siege. The bridges to the city are all blown up and it won't be long before the Russians envelop the factory zone or Ukrops retreat. What happens after the Russians control the city? So far, the Siverskyi Donets river has been an excellent defensive barrier and so a river crossing between Lyman and Lysychansk is highly unlikely to happen. The Russians are instead going ahead with approaching Slavyansk from the north and Bakhmut from the south (and joining up with east), threatening to decapitate the salient from the roots. No doubt about it, these two cities will be hard nuts to crack but holding the cities AND the salient will probably be too tall of an order for the hohols, especially if the Russians increase the pressure around Popasna and south of Lysychansk. I think the salient will fall before long and without having the Siverskyi Donets river as a crutch, Ukraine will lose all of Donetsk oblast before any kind of serious peace initiative from Russia will be held (Russian officials already call anything in Donetsk Oblast as property of DPR mind you).
>>345995 Slavyansk front: The Russians reportedly captured Dolyna/Krasnopillia and Bohorodychne was confirmed fully secured. Now they'll have to clear a big ass forest to reach the northern outskirts of Slavyansk. Though they'll also want to reach the river valley running west out of Slavyansk before assaulting the city, will probably be weeks before that happens.
Southern front: Vrubivka was captured north of Popasna and the road to Vuhlehirska thermal power plant (blue circle) was reportedly cut (plus captured village west of the plant). The power plant front is not fully encircled yet as the Ukies can make their way across the fields, we'll find out soon if they evacuated.
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians advance towards a small village in the area of Lyman, and Ukrainians counterattack in the area of Hirske in Luhansk, and make a significant counterattack in northwestern Kherson oblast. But in the larger scale, over two weeks since the last shitmupdate and hardly anything's changed.
El Classico is happening in Syria, weeks ago the t*rks announced that an offensive into northern Syria against the k*rds would happen but instead another round of infighting between TFSA factions is occurring in the Euphrates Shield region. Today it has been reported that HTS together with Ahrar al Sham entered Afrin from the Idlib region, after a couple of hours (supposedly clashes occured at the "border" between the regions) they reportedly entered Jinderes (second largest town in the Operation Olive Branch Afrin area) without a fight. https://twitter.com/Krummapper/status/1538290166246285312 http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.389506&lon=36.716824&z=13&show=/10141062/Jinderes >Commander in Ahrar al-Sham Abu al-Sibbi threatens to expel the "Erdogan factions" from northern Aleppo to Turkey, calling them mercenaries and drug addicts https://twitter.com/Bosni_94/status/1538280278388514819 The t*rkish Syria strategy continues to confound me.
>>346420 If Hirske and Zolote falls, the battles will reach the southern outskirts of Lysychansk. There's many factory areas which im sure the kike oligarch owners wouldn't mind making into battlefields so they can rake in insurance gibs from the EU.
The main supply road to Lysychansk is cut (the ukrops use it as a defensive barrier as seen in link related): https://twitter.com/mdfzeh/status/1537753794049675264 I have a hunch the Russians are very keen on taking Berestove and Mykolaivka in order to assault the Lysychansk Oil Refinery as it would encircle Lysychansk, they might need to wait for their manpower and equipment surrounding Hirske/Zolote to get freed up before trying it though.
Ps: Disregard the "last open supply road", there would still be a smaller paved road running along the Siverskyi Donets river into Lysychansk around 7 kilomemes from the oil refinery but i'm sure the Russian drone operators will make life on that road hell until the ground forces cut it aswell.
>>346467 >>346421 Looks like the Hirske-Zolote bulge is toast, the Russians have reportedly captured Myrna Dolyna, Pidlisne and Loskutivka. Meanwhile they entered Hirske as ukrops surrender themselves in Zolote. Supposedly 2-3k ukrops in this area, a big defeat for Kiev.
>>346475 I haven't seen any proof of the supposed surrender in Zolote, "entered Hirske" should've been taken with a grain of salt and Loskutivka was reported as cleared today. Some sources say the ukrops have been retreating through the gap between Vrubivka and Ray-Oleksandrivka (probably on foot through the forested dry creek).
>"⚡️Report by @anna_news correspondents from Severodonetsk⚡️ >Exclusive❗️ >Units of the People's Militia of the Lugansk People's Republic and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continue their offensive in the Lisichansk direction. >The commander with the call sign "Razor" told our correspondents about this. >Carrying out continuous fire impact, the tankers ensure the advancement of the units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and the People's Militia of the LPR and give them the opportunity to gain a foothold on new frontiers. >Tank subunits destroy firing points, fortified areas, as well as equipment and manpower of the enemy."
>>346496 Some sources said Vovchoiarivka was entered today but i don't believe it, doesn't make much sense to enter the valley yet. Besides, the high ground between the village and Loskutivka are way more important and haven't been mentioned. It's surprising they haven't made any progress west towards the road but my guess is Hirske/Zolote will be stormed before that (very soon™).
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians seize three settlements to the southeast of Lysychansk in Luhansk Oblast, and recapture a smattering of villages along the border of Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts
>In the LPR, they report that in total, up to 2,000 enemy soldiers and officers are surrounded in Hirske and Zolote >Today they released Zolote-3 and Zolote-4. The boiler is already boiling. https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1539943187246190594 Safe to say the ukrops won't fight very hard for anything that isn't the "Zolote-1" part of Zolote.
>>346526 >It's surprising they haven't made any progress west towards the road but my guess is Hirske/Zolote will be stormed before that (very soon™) LPR reporting (Text 1) that they've gained fire control over the road and Ukr MoD (Text 2 ) says the Russians are trying to capture Berestove. http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=48.758113&lon=38.257270&z=14&show=/17955830/Berestove Furthermore, Ukr MoD claims the Russians are attacking in Vovchoiarivka direction and there's no confirmation from pro-Russian side that they've entered the village.
>>346576 Izvestia (Russian News) correspondent claimed around noon that Karbonit (Zolote-1) was under Russian control... I don't know what to believe tbqhfamhoelads
>>346578 They're on the ground in Zolote so there's no reason to disregard their report. https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1539972650914631681 Now how many ukrops are there really in the kotel? 2000 is probably a vast overestimation, maybe they've all left already.
>>346576 ANNA News: >The 6th Cossack regiment together with the special regiment "Akhmat 1" liberated small Kamyshevakha. >Cossacks of the 6th regiment of the NM LPR liberated the settlements of Zolote-1, Zolote-2, Zolote-3, Zolote-4, Persiyanovka (Malaya Nikolaevka) >A sweep is underway in the settlement. Gorskoye. https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1539984912366948352 Small Kamyshevakha = east Kamyshevakha, Zolote-2 is self explanatory and means everything south of Hirske (or Gorskoye as it's named in Russian) is under Russian control. Persiyanovka is the small neighborhood of Novoivanivka closest to Vrubivka.
>>346583 >>346587 Picture proof that they entered Hirske today (the northern suburb called Ivanivka to be precise). Ukrop media claims the towns were already evacuated and I'm inclined to believe them, we'll see soon enough.
>>346601 >The LPR officially confirmed the transition of the settlements of Zolote and Gorskoe under the control of the allied forces. https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1540233858410582016 >Armed Forces of Ukraine leave Severodonetsk, the corresponding decision has already been made by the military command - the head of the Luhansk OVA Gaidai >The Ukrainian military will withdraw from the city to new, more fortified positions, he said. https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1540232945608302592 >According to unconfirmed information, fighting is taking place around Lysychansk Oil Refinery and Maloriazantseve https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1540248026446536704 http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=48.872167&lon=38.393440&z=12&gz=0;383129310;488437061;0;0;799942;395249 Turns out the ukrop leadership can make tactical retreats from unsustainable situations to save manpower from certain death, impressive! I wonder how much more "fortified" Lysychansk is and what benefit getting encircled there would be though... to be honest i suspect they might try a fighting retreat to the Bakhmut and Slavyansk defensive line since encirclement won't be hard after the Bakhmut-Lysychansk road and Oil Refinery is cracked.
>So much for the “successful withdrawal” of Ukrainian troops from the Hirske & Zolote cauldron. >Russia claims it took 1000 🇺🇦 POWs. Real number might be far lower, but still another painful defeat for the Ukrainian army, eleven weeks after “turning the tide”. We cheered too early. https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1540321676629524480 Doomposting from JihadiJulian followed by pro-Ukrop users screeching hard in replies, what a time to be alive.
>>346643 >i suspect they might try a fighting retreat to the Bakhmut and Slavyansk defensive line Sloviansk-Kramatorsk-Druzhkivka-Kostiantynivka-Toretsk defensive line to be precise. The cities are more or less a continuous stream of urban environment in a river valley with extremely limited wiggle room to exploit gaps without engaging in heavy urban combat, not to mention the Kazennyi Torets River which runs through them will be damn near impossible to pass going from east to west due to it being too wide for solid bridges laid by armoured bridgelayer and both sides being urbanized (good luck building a pontoon bridge when AT teams hide in every house on the opposite side of the river). The ukrops will bank on the Russians not being able to cut through any of the cities to make some sort of encirclement maneuver.
So what should the Putinoids do to overcome this giant shit wall? They've recently been approaching Slavyansk from the north of course and made some gains in northern Donetsk city/western Horlivka city front (albeit something like a month ago). Considering how long it has taken to seize Severodonetsk and nearly encircle Lysychansk, imagine how long and how much manpower it would take to cut the numerous ukrop supply lines running from Dnipropetrovsk into the cities... Will be incredibly hard without turning the "conflict" into a real war and mobilizing conscripts (at the moment the Russians who rely on paid professionals and militiamen are outnumbered). Positioning themselves with artillery on the elevated eastern outskirts and brute forcing their way through the cities on both sides of the river from north (Slavyansk) and south (Toretsk) might be the way to go. The jew oligarchs in control of Ukraine will fight to the last hohol but as demonstrated by the mutinies on Lysychansk front, there might be a point when trying to hold on to the Russian territories just isn't worth it for the commoners and high ranking military personnel.
>>346701 Regarding Slavyansk, it should be possible to encircle it from the north (currently in progress) east (after Lysychansk) and west (so far no real push to reach the river valley running west out of Slavyansk, but the river is not as imposing as Kazennyi Torets or Siverskyi Donets). Leaving only the H-20 highway to Kramatorsk, this can be cut by taking the Cherevkivka suburb (which is the only part of Slavyansk on the eastern side of Kazennyi Torets).
Not a great comparison, but check out how the ukrops took Slavyansk back in 2014.
>>346526 >>346745 So many reports coming from Lysychansk today... the Russians claim complete control (i.e not just fire control) of the Bakhmut-Lysychansk road, the Gelatine factory, Matroska (settlement and mine). Weirdly enough, earlier in the morning they claimed to control the rubber factory and glass factory. The Ukrainians confirm everything east of the river is under Russian control after the announced retreat from Severodonetsk and they also confirm fighting is taking place in Lysychansk city. For now i'll disregard the rubber/glass factory, but the reports of the Gelatine factory and Matroska seems legit. I didn't expect them to assault the city before taking the oil refinery but entering the city along the railroad tracks from Loskutivka makes sense i guess. The situation is too wild to get the full picture at the moment so i'll try to avoid posting unverified stuff.
Ukraine Shitmupdate Russians seize Sievierodonetsk and everything north of the Sieversky Donets River in Luhansk Oblast with ongoing fighting in Lysychansk
>>345996 Looks like concessions were made to T*rkey. Expecting the k*rds to play ball with Damascus would be insanity so it's probably time to bid farewell to Tel Rifaat at the very least.
>>346886 That's it exactly. It isn't far fetched to assume he got something from the NATO nations who wants to expand the organization (USA) to sign the agreement.
>>346902 >Andrei Marochko, officer of the People's Militia of the Luhansk People's Republic: “The grouping of Ukrainian troops, located in the settlement of Lisichansk and its environs, was ordered to withdraw its troops. In order to minimize losses, it was ordered to retreat in small groups with a large interval and distance”
>>347009 Impossible to draw a frontline in Lysychansk city, but i included the location of the "Department of the Ministry of Internal Affairs in the Lugansk region" as a red frame. If it was filmed by Russians it's safe to assume everything southeast of it is under RU control.