/mlpol/ - My Little Politics

>founder of the once CIA-sponsored Nour al-Din al-Zinki militia, Tawfiq Shahabuddin, is said to have been released by Turkish authorities after a year in prison and it is expected that he will be deported to the occupied north today
I can't stop laughing at this before and after pic.

Ukraine Shitmupdate
Ukrainians capture Sviatohirsk and advance towards Lyman
Corrected situation in Kupiansk

Interesting, the RuAF are using Su-34's to drop bombs in Ukraine:
https://twitter.com/Taurevanime/status/1570231142019911682
RuAF has by my knowledge only been using Su-25's and helicopters to carry out frontline sorties using rockets until now.

>>352144
>RuAF are using Su-34's to drop
That's a very expensive bomb delivery. I guess they are doing it from above 5,000m to avoid manpads.

>>352146
Check the video in link, they're flying really low.
Big risk, they obviously fear getting spotted by radar systems more than manpads.

>>352162
Yup, you are right.

Ukraine Shitmupdate
Ukrainians cross the Oskil river and seize Kupiansk in full, along with a minor advance on Lyman

>>350565
I've seen multiple claims and reports of the Russians advancing on the southern Bakhmut axis the last few days.
If everything is to be believed the map should look something like this.
Locations including the winery in the industrial zone of Bakhmut city, the small village of Mayorsk on the N/W outskirts of Horlivka city, the hamlets of Mykolaivka (+Mykolaivka Druha), the Donbasskaya electrical sub-station and finally Zaitseve.
Mykolaivka and Mayorsk are springboards to bypass the fortified cliff (curved blue line) in order to capture Kurdiumivka town - the ukrops has claimed to have fought back a storming attempt of said town, probably coming from Mykolaivka direction.

I was wrong about Kurdiumivka not being a target, it gives an impression of the Russians planning to use the canal that runs from west of Mayorsk to east of Chasiv Yar as a dividing line to take Bakhmut.
If they make a big push to capture Soledar they are probably going to encircle Bakhmut from the north, but for now if they capture Kurdiumivka they will have a strong road to enter Bakhmut from the south with.

>>352342
Autistic trivia about the canal i mentioned: It's inlets starts in Slavyansk from the Seversky Donets river and ends up in Donetsk city. There are many gaps where it runs through pipes or underground which makes excellent chokepoints.
The ukrops can't destroy these chokepoints like they always do with bridges so it will be interesting to see how hard they will defend it.

>>352344
>chokepoints
>so it will be interesting to see how hard they will defend it
It sounds like an ideal situation to wait with a couple of Kornet systems.

>>352348
Add a healthy amount of land mines and yourself have a pretty ideal defensive line.

Russian accounts are starting to talk about a mobilisation, I'm starting to question my assumption they would cuck. Anyone want to take a guess the scale of this assuming it isn't another meme?

300K mobilization, force in Ukraine essentially doubled.

Strelkov reunpunished.

>>352439
Unbelievable.

ayoo putin finna boutta push the button
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/putin-signs-decree-mobilisation-says-west-wants-destroy-russia-2022-09-21/
>Putin orders partial Russian mobilisation
>"If the territorial integrity of our country is threatened, we will without doubt use all available means to protect Russia and our people - this is not a bluff," Putin said in a televised address to the nation.
so if ukrops get too close to crimea we can expect either a full mobilisation or some limited use of tactical nuclear weapons?

now this is getting spicy

>>352444
>so if ukrops get too close to crimea we can expect either a full mobilisation or some limited use of tactical nuclear weapons?
All the territory they've seized in Ukraine will be considered as a part of Russia "after" the referendums, so yes tactical nukes is on the menu if the ukrops' offensives get out of hand and it's a given that they're already mobilizing manpower for the active fronts.
Odessa and Kharkov SOON™

>>352457
>will be considered as a part of Russia "after" the referendums
officially yes, but i don't think it will unofficially to trigger Butin's ultimatum
i think the line to not cross will be pre war russian's territory to garner more legitimacy in the eyes of the world in case of escalation

>>352461
You're probably right, dropping nukes is not good optics.
Besides, the uptick in manpower is what it's all about really.

>>351102
Chonky Iranian hardware on parade in Sanaa
Video:
https://twitter.com/abdullahelsagaf/status/1572681589733339137

>>352444
>tactical nuclear weapons
Disclaimer: I don't believe that nukes exist. That said and for the sake of the argument, the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine would be more than retarded as would irradiate and poison the Russian troops and the Russian civilians along the border.

>>352509
>I don't believe that nukes exist
peak america moment
> would irradiate and poison the Russian troops and the Russian civilians along the border.
nah nuclear weaponry is different to nuclear accidents such as fukushima and chernobyl, they are dropped in air and tend to dissipate in a couple of days. their power comes from the energy blast in itself, not the spreading of (long lasting) isotopes (like when nuclear reactors leak)
hence why hiroshima and nagasaki are liveable as of today but not fukushima

>>352509
>I don't believe that nukes exist.
What is so hard to believe about nuclear weapons existing? Nuclear fission releases a fuckton of energy at once, and that energy is substantial to create a large explosion. Once you have the nuclear energy components the bomb itself is not a difficult concept.

>>352558
I would say that detonating nuclear weapons so close to your own border is still irresponsible, but considering we're dealing with Slavs I think they'll just do it anyway.

>>352563
>so close to your own borde
who said anything about detonating them in contested territory?
you could always toss em at odessa or kiev

The nukes most likely to be dropped if it gets to that (doubt it) aren't the massive city annihilating ones.
The warheads on the Iskander-M and Kalibr missiles are roughly 1/10 the weight and generate far less radiation than the ones dropped on Japan.

>>352573
There's even 100kg artillery shells that's 1/4 the payload of the missiles i mentioned.
Drop one of those badboys in whatever forest you think the enemy is gathering forces in and offensive is over.

>>349770
>>352342
The ukrops blew up a road bridge in Bakhmut.
There's still the road on the dam to the south, one hell of a bottleneck.

So apparently the STC took a huge swath of Yemen during an offensive against Hadi forces and then later AQAP starting in late August and throughout this month.

Yemen Shitmupdate
STC takes control of most of Shabhwa province, take full control of Abyan province, kick Hadi out of Dhale province altogether, and secure the entire coastline in Hadhramaut province.

>>352685
edit: not full control of Abyan province but close to it

Ukraine shitmupdate from yesterday
Ukrainians continue advance on Lyman
Russians seize control of electrical substation to the east of Bakhmut (gains shown but icon isn't shown)

is the ak supposed to look like this

>>352694
A wire brush and acetone will clean those right up. What pussies.

>>352694
They look like were not oiled and after years in storage corrosion did its thing.

>>352694
You have to question if Russia's nuclear arsenal is even functional at this point. Everything else has gone to shit, why expect their nuclear arsenal to be in perfect condition?
Of course, it's not something you want to test.

Ukraine Shitmupdate
Ukrainians continue their advance in Kharkiv and northern Donetsk oblast, crossing the Oskil river in more locations and surrounding Lyman on 3 sides.

>>352694
>>352957
Theyre for drills.

>>352694
What an absolute disgrace.

>>352958
Lyman lost.

>>353131
Taken by the ukrops?

>>353132
Yep

>>353136
Which begs the question. Where are the Russian soldiers and their hardware? If they were moved to another location, why the top brass didn't patch the hole with more fresh ones?
The Russian army is huge, so the excuse that they have no manpower won't fly.

>>353139
>Where are the Russian soldiers and their hardware?
They retreated from Lyman before getting encircled, supposedly setting up a defensive line in the Severdonetsk direction.
I can't figure out why they keep retreating really.

>>353139
>The Russian army is huge, so the excuse that they have no manpower won't fly.
Why would they invoke a draft it manpower weren't a scarcity?

Ukraine Shitmupdate
Ukrainians advance on Lyman and capture the city
Minor Ukrainian advances in Kharkiv

>>353144
Because as Strelkov said, the level of losses is unsustainable without replenishment. So, the best and more combat proven soldiers are fighting and dying, then in order to reach a sustainable equilibrium, useless cannon fodder needs to be added to the mix.

Ukraine Shitmupdate
Ukrainians continue advance in northern Donetsk and eastern Kharkiv, and achieve a breakthrough in northern Kherson oblast

Ukraine Shitmupdate
Ukrainians make a major breakthrough in Kherson oblast, and reenter northern Luhansk oblast