/mlpol/ - My Little Politics

>>307390
Another thread goes by where I avoid baking.
Good times.

>>307390
Finally some fresh bread.

Pro-Hadi accounts have cranked up their Baghdad Bob-factor considerably since the Mashjah/Talat al-Hamra front collapsed.
So far the footage of Hadi "gains" have only been from Jabal Dushsh al-Haqn.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.522664&lon=45.187626&z=14&show=/40815630/Jabal-Dushsh-al-Haqn
If true, it indicates to me that the houthis are exploiting the breach they made at Talat al-Hamra to the fullest.
Well, it doesn't take a rocket-scientist to figure out that the heights north of the N5 would drastically decrease in value if the houthis manage to reach the city or the wadi via the Sirwah-Marib road (out of ATGM range).

>Prince Mohammed bin Salman on Al Arabiya TV describes Al Houthi as a "Yemeni" "Arab", hoping to sit down with them to negotiate !!
>Slogans like "Cut off the Shiite expansion" because of which thousands were mobilized to fight have expired
>Negotiating with Al-Houthi has become a "wish."
>It turns out that the solution is between Riyadh and the Houthi!
>There is no consolation for those who were martyred
https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1387163967278231555
>Saudi Crown Prince: Iran is a neighboring country and we hope to have a good relationship with it.
https://twitter.com/S4MOSABI/status/1387164154084139011
Right on queue!

Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate
Gains: Taliban surround Gelan, Moqor, Ab Band, Dih Yak, and Jaghatu DHQs in Ghazni; Take control of Dahla Dam in Shah Wali Kot District in Kandahar and take over Western Maywand including besieging the DHQ, and close in on Zhari DHQ. In western Herat, Taliban enter Obe DHQ with ongoing clashes, and take over Khost Wa Fereng District in eastern Baghlan.
I updated the Districtmap to add pressure markers on DHQs and Capitals. For the best examples, check out Puli Khumri and Ghazni cities.

Fun times in Jarablus

>Saudi crown prince softens Iran rhetoric in balancing act

>Saudi Arabia’s crown prince has taken a more conciliatory public stance towards Iran, trying to balance long-held animosity with economic considerations and bridge differences with Washington over how to tackle Tehran’s regional behaviour.......

>While reiterating that Riyadh has a problem with Iran’s “negative behaviour”, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said in an interview aired late on Tuesday that Sunni Muslim Saudi Arabia wanted a good relationship with Shi’ite Iran.
>"We do not want for Iran to be in a difficult situation, on the contrary we want Iran to prosper and grow. We have interests in Iran and they have interests in the Kingdom to propel the region and the world to growth and prosperity," he said.

lel

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-crown-prince-softens-iran-rhetoric-balancing-act-2021-04-28/

>>307390
Anyone been following the Tigray War?

>>307501
A little, but most of the 'war' is just an endless stream of massacre videos.

>>307533
Occasionally the OLA or TDF will ambush the EDF and claim to kill 6 million soldiers, I was expecting some real fighting over territory or foreign intervention on their behalf but the TDF seem content to wait them out. I still think Ethiopia will collapse at some point.

Shit's escalating in Myanmar.

>>307421
Still no footage from Talat al-Hamra front but a metric fuckton of stuff from the Kasara front uploaded by pro-Hadi media.
The houthis control nothing east of Wadi Nakhla and by the looks of it only left a skeleton crew (no pun intended) on that front, leading to a twitter victory for Hadi.

Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate
Corrections: Corrected Sangin area in Helmand, corrected Guzargahi Nur in NE Baghlan, corrected Ghoriyan in W Herat.
Gains: ANA contest a hamlet to the south of Ghazni. Taliban gain control of Burka District in Baghlan, surround Lashkar Gah in Helmand and squeeze the pocket, advance towards Pato in Daykundi, contest a village to the immediate SE of besieged Baraki Barak DHQ in Logar, besiege Alishing DHQ and establish a presence to the immediate north of Mehtarlam in Laghman, and seize Old Baghlan City while besieging the new part of Baghlan City.

Yemen Shitmupdate - Corrected Marib situation, and Hadi forces launch a small offensive in Dhale

https://twitter.com/Ilias90s/status/1391696438841720835
> MAP
> #Yemen_is hero’s has a very heavily offensive in #Najran/#نجران & #الاجاشر/#Al_Jashir closes to important #Al_Baqe/#البقع border town!

> #ANSARALLAH/#HOUTHIS says we killed dozens of mercenaries including 3 big brigadier of #SaudiArabia in this desert🏜CactusDromedary camel Video next

I'll believe it when I see it.
I don't think I ever gave my prediction about how long Ma'rib would take, I was thinking it would be done slightly before two months but it would take a week longer because of tribal negotiations.

Shit's going down in Jerusalem, yo.

>>308176
https://twitter.com/Ilias90s/status/1391823671929540612
> As I told earlier today

> Video showing the #HOUTHIS/#ANSARALLAH of #Yemen hunting #SaudiArabia s mercenaries in #الأجاشر mountains area’s!

> Here’s the name of captured region’s which’s 30 kms from #Najran border

> Here’s the name that two area
> 1
> #الخوار ⛰
> 2
> #الظهره visible inMovie camera

>>308183
I'm excited for next conflict, hopefully Hamas can avoid embarrassing itself this time.

>>308176
>>308238
Meh, nothing big will happen on this front.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=17.081728&lon=44.729290&z=13&gz=0;447003650;170738513;631713;434803;648880;0;0;27896;1716;31177;1716;424959;616264;424959

Yeah it's happening.
Or is it?

banned for racism on 4cuck, can't post on /gpg/ while the gaza happening is going on. I waited for so long

>>308301
And some retards are still willingly giving gook moot (along with fuck knows how many glowinthedarks) their banking information willingly to get a "good boy pass" once they're banned, thinking that said information gets deleted once the transaction is completed.

The houthis are on the offensive in Marib again, Jabal Dushsh al-Haqn reportedly re-captured and image shows the houthis are still in control of Talat al-Hamra.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.520100&lon=45.185137&z=14&m=w&show=/40815630/Jabal-Dushsh-al-Haqn

>>308301
4Baker here, let me know if you have a message you wanted passed

>>308376
Video of some pro-Hadi geezer visiting frontline positions west of Talat al-Hamra:
https://twitter.com/Yem_army_media/status/1393189740514627588
Map related of what i can say for sure the sides control, impossible to say exactly how the frontline in-between looks looks like.

>>308376
>Jabal Dushsh al-Haqn reportedly re-captured
Must have been bullshit.
Hadi forces control area between al-Atf and Jabal Dushsh al-Haqn:
https://twitter.com/Yem_army_media/status/1394355020536205313
Looks like they even advanced all the way to Al-Akd...
https://twitter.com/Yem_army_media/status/1394355994189238275
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.552971&lon=45.155911&z=15&show=/40720307/Al-Akd

Airstrikes/artillery on Talat al-Hamra/Mashjah, meaning the houthis still control the area.
https://twitter.com/Marib_11/status/1395557558660775941
It remains unclear if the houthis have even been trying to advance on this front after capturing Talat al-Hamra...
Are the houthis preparing a final push or are they waiting for a political solution? Who knows...

>>308903
Map based on my own version of common sense, visual confirmations and new dirt roads leading up to hills and such. What's interesting is the Hadists having fortified even Hammat al-Masari (black circle), meaning they know the current frontline at Talat al-Hamra and Jabal Balaq al Qibli won't hold forever.

Russia finally managed to convince "reconciled" militants in Quneitra to take the green bus to opposition controlled areas.
They were heading to TFSA controlled zone in al-Bab but were denied entry yesterday by Sultan Murad Division and so they are stuck at the Abu Zandin crossing southwest of the city.
Today they tried to "peaceful protest" their way into TFSA territory but were met by a hail of bullets, casualties reported:
https://twitter.com/syria_map/status/1395766207555457024
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.323216&lon=37.453980&z=15&show=/38780836/Abu-Al-Zendin-Crossing
Coincidentally there has been clashes at the T*rkish border near the Atme IDP camp today also with casualties (grenades and RPGs fired by the "refugees"):
https://twitter.com/N0tWoofers/status/1395750128967983108
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.305165&lon=36.675968&z=15&show=/30054979/Atmeh-IDP-Camp

>>308906
They ended up in Idlib, i guess the t*rks know from experience that these southern rascals will cause trouble in their Ottoman larp yard and are better suited to get absorbed by HTS.
https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1396032242837819393

>>308904
>Sanaa-based intelligence agency chief, Maj-Gen. Abdullah Yahya "Abu Ali" al-Hakim al-Houthi visits Marib frontline
By the looks of it, very damn close.
There's hope yet.

>>308966
Even beyond the actual frontline, if I could get one accurate piece of information it would be the available manpower and current distribution, everyone seems shit out of crap but it's impossible to actually tell beyond the propaganda. All of this is going to make a very interesting book after it's over.

>Russian Tu-22M bombers have landed in Khmeimim AB in Syria's Lattakia
>Numbers deployed in Khmeimim AB in Syria's Lattakia may be as high as six.
https://twitter.com/WithinSyriaBlog/status/1396855331616133123
So that's why they extended the runway recently...

>President #Assad is winning the Syrian election 2021
https://twitter.com/Syria_Protector/status/1397993943799902209
It was a real nailbiter.

Yemeni war media /

The mujahideen of the army and the popular committees carried out large-scale offensive operations that resulted in the liberation of dozens of sites in the Jizan axis in the depth of Saudi Arabia, defeating the Saudi army forces, the mercenaries of the Sudanese army and the mercenaries of the aggression stationed there and inflicting heavy losses on them in many equipment.

The military media, at 3:00 p.m., tomorrow, Saturday, presents detailed scenes of the large-scale military operation that was carried out earlier, in which the Mujahideen were able - thanks to God and his support - to liberate more than 40 sites in the Jizan axis and control them completely, in a broad offensive operation in which various combat units participated.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=csZpp0KEd1s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cNwl26_Y2VA

>>309264
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GhLYoF6REDw
The long one came out, just watching it now.

>>309264
>>309332
Absolutely kino

>>3093320:28 the attacking units advance and cross the border fence to the saudi army positions
1:14 acurate monitoring of the saudi army's movements and the positioning of its vehicles in the targeted locations
2:10 the attack began from several by surprise the front lines of the saudi army
2:32 the collapse of the sites's garrison and a mass scape of the saudi army
3:01 a mass suicide bomber scaped towards the saudi depth from the MBC military site
4:37 continue the attack of the mujaideen after the collapse of the front lines of the saudi army at the MBC site
5:16 mujahideen reach to the top of the site and its facilities are cleaned
7:39 a failed scape attempt of the saudi soldier and the continued pursuit of those fleeing the site
8:57 seizing large quantities of saudi army squipment at the MBC site
10:22 the mujahideen continue to advance and the begin the attack on the Withe Tibbah military post
11:02 Control of the site and seize large quantities and quality of the saudi army weapon
12:20 a tight qualitative ambush on the reinforcements of the saudi army
13:25 pursuing the saudi army's reinforcements within the specific qualitative ambush
13:52 Completion of cutting the suply lines of the Saudi army and tightening the siege
14:46 the engineering unit dealt with an armored tanker carrying saudi officers who tried to reinforce the positions
16:33 the burning of some of the army's equipment at the khan al-urma area
17:24 progress continued and the course of the attack seemed to include the saudi site of Al-Miura and controling it
19:26 the advance of the mujahideen of the army and the popular compittees continued, and the attacke began on the site of the saudi column
20:46 continuing offensive operations and the mujahideen advance towards the al-sabada site for the saudi military
23:09 the fate of some saudi army officers and their soldiers after taking control of al-sayaba site
24:08 continuing operation of Alomo and advancing towards the saudi Tuwairq site and controling it
25:12 a failed scape attempt of the mercenaries of the saudi army and the continued pursuit of those fleeing the site
26:05 the mujahideen of the assault unit advanced towards the Saudi Qaim Al-Sayyab ,ilitary oupost
26:46 Part of the human losses for the saudi army soldiers and officers at the Qim Al-Sayyab site
28:07 The mujahideen of the intrusion unit were attacked during their advance towards the saudi military site (Qali Al-Jaish)
30:08 Huge loss of life incurred by the saudi army and large amounts of amunitiun were seized
33:35 the intense saudi air cover failed to stop the advance and control of the army and the popular committees

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-aZPd9NSZcI
More video.

>>309443
Watching rn, a lot of sundaneses so far

>>309018
Still nothing but airstrikes.

>>309647
it will be imposible to take the city without air cover
it seems

>>309662
>air cover
I assume you mean the ability to shoot down saudi jets with AA, nah the houthis would be delusional to think they could completely control the airspace.
I think the potential end to the Saudi blockade is more tempting for the houthis than continuing to wrestle for control of the city with Islah and the tribes who are making tons of cash by being Saudi puppets.

Jabal Zawiyah 👀

>>309701
Houthi ballistic missile hit Marib tonight, guess we shouldn't give up hope yet.

>>309701
no, i was talking about actual air cover
btw, is this an abrams?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3LR1vMyDy-A
m163
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l26p8T8A4IY

>>309915
>btw, is this an abrams?
Yes. First video.

Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate
Taliban take over several districts/DHQs across Afghanistan in 24 hours.
Washir in Helmand, Farsi in Herat, Gizab in Daykundi, Shinkay in Zabul (with Shahjoy contested AND under siege), Dih Yak in Ghazni, Mandol (not shown) and Du Ab in Nuristan.

>>309915
>actual air cover
The houthis' earlier advances on the Marib fronts proves it is possible without it, it's "just" a matter of suppressing enemy firing positions with artillery/ATGM/HMGs and storming with overwhelming manpower. I still believe the setbacks on the Kasara/Dushsh front was a tactical retreat and not a capitulation.

>>309903
Krasnopol (laser guided artillery) and Uragan/Smerch being used, pretty serious hardware for routine bombardment...
https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1401908664923983875
https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1401818142796664836
Still no airstrikes though.

>>310112
>(laser guided artillery)
It might be, looking at the pictures found one which looks like the servo-mechanism for terminal guidance.

>>310112
Rebels shelled Kawkabah and Hazarrin.
Neat drone shots showing Kawkabah with al-Ghab plain and the Nusayriyah Mountain range in the background.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.568347&lon=36.443442&z=16&m=w

>>310187
Krasnopol vs innocent tent *wink wink* in IDP camp near Taum
https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1402528464826253316
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.991471&lon=36.746966&z=18&m=bs

>>310116
It has been used in Syria for years now, dope system.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y_pEgfOu6JU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gF6tPflj63Q

In light of recent uptick of violence, absence of Ru-Tr patrols on the M4, jihadi attacks on t*rks and weird t*rk base shuffling activities, i'd say the probability of the Idlib offensive resuming has increased drastically.
If anything happens, the first goal will be to reach Ariha from the south and east precisely how it was planned to be done before the t*rks intervened last year.
Advancing into Idlib city and far north of the M4 in general is still highly unlikely to happen due to T*rkish interest, but i predict that any roach nest south of/in the immediate vicinity of the M4 will be evacuated or meet the same fate as the observation bases of yore if an offensive does happen.
Jabal Zawiya -> Ariha -> al-Ghab -> Southern part of al-Wastani mountain -> Kabani (K*rds mountain, Latakia) -> Jisr al-Shughur.

>>310243
Forgot to mention map is pre-Idlib offensive 2015 with current frontline (red line) drawn on it to show how different the modus operandi of SAA is today and how wide of a buffer zone is needed to control the M-4 between Ariha and Jisr al-Shughur.

Tell me if you want an autistic snusmap detailing my prediction.

>>309650
Finito

>>310244
>autistic snusmap
The more autism the better.

>>310243
Heavy artllery shelling on Jabal Zawiya continues and now RuAF are bombing, videos & images:
https://twitter.com/N0tWoofers/status/1402867937304776709
https://twitter.com/N0tWoofers/status/1402874353751146499
>Southern Idleb sector hit hard by Syrian army shelling. For the first time in a while, 25th Division/Tigers artillery play a big part in the shelling
https://twitter.com/ProNDF/status/1402890044604661760
>HTS spokesman Abu Khalid al-Shami was not the only target of Russian strikes on Idlib this morning. Abu Musab al-Homis, the group's main media coordinator, was also killed in the strikes. Both men worked closely with Western journalists who visit Idlib.
>The head of HTS' Security Force, Mu'ataz al-Nasir was also killed in Russian strikes which targeted Idlib in the morning.
https://twitter.com/WithinSyriaBlog/status/1402894576118112262
>Raef talks about a possible military operation and says that the liberation of the city of Idlib is difficult but not impossible and that if ordered, the Bab al-Hawa border crossing will be reached in 10 days.
https://twitter.com/Bosni_94/status/1402951145400713219
Iirc Raef is the TF field reporter.

>>310256
Eh, it's very disjointed but here's my very strategic analISIS of what was supposed to happen and probably will happen on Jabal Zawiya if an offensive happens.
>Pt.1 Jabal Zawiya
First off, let's revisit what was happening before the roaches got tired of playing chicken with SAA:
SAA was strolling through Jabal Zawiya, doing the typical kotel tactics with what seemed like zero resistance. When they were in the process of entering Kansafra though, the roaches started bombing with drones and artillery whilst their proxy jihadists started their counter-offensive.
SAA, being completely unprepared to fight jihadis with air cover quickly retreated to the current frontline and the rest is history.
>Pt.2 Jabal Arbeen
What was supposed to happen on Jabal Zawiya is fairly obvious, SAA would capture the mountain and the jihadis would subsequently retreat from the part of the Ghab plain which would now be under fire control (just like they did when SAA captured Jabal Shashbo), probably only remaining in the villages around the M-4 highway.
For now, SAA would not advance in the Ghab plain further than the villages in the immediate vicinity of Jabal Zawiya.
The advance would continue toward al-Bara, which has been kotel'd by now. Once al-Bara was seized, the advance would continue up the Arbeen mountain, step by step squeezing the jihadists out of the villages east of it and reaching the M-4 highway southwest of Ariha.
>Pt.3 Ariha.
Arbeen mountain and Ariha would be tricky, and the jihadi counteroffensive on Nayrab and Saraqib supported by the roaches made the whole thing basically impossible to execute. The plan was to surround Ariha from west, east and south.
It's hard to say what will happen on the Saraqib axis if the offensive does happen, SAA has to hold Nayrab and possibly even Mastoumah in order to secure the M-4 to Ariha.
The roaches obviously didn't and still doesn't want SAA getting so close to Idlib city, so SAA might have to compromise and stay south of the M-4 between Saraqib and Ariha.

Hard to say what will happen really, if Russia has coordinated with the roaches to surrender the M-4 in return for sparing Idlib city then SAA will capture Ariha and secure a buffer zone similar to the 2015 buffer zone ( >>310243 ) before descending Jabal Zawiya to the west with Jisr al-Shughur in their crosshairs. I'll make some more spergshit like this detailing Jisr al-Shughur and the Latakia/Kabani hellzone when i feel like it or the offensive kicks off for real (SAA has never had real control of the mountainous area directly west of Jisr al-Shughur, making it hard to predict).

Oleg of ANNA News having a good time in the Syrian desert.

>>310295
Potato drone filming/directing the strike that killed the HTS dudes today:
https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1403044240985313283

>Reports of a number of ATGM and artillery strikes by the SAA on Turkish troops, vehicles in al-Qarqur in northwestern Hama.
>SAA also shelled the vicinity of a Turkish post in the town of al-Bara in southern Idlib.
https://twitter.com/WithinSyriaBlog/status/1403081341600677891
>Pro-rebel sources stating that the SAA has blown up a piece of Turkish engineering equipment at Al Qarqur village with an ATGM
https://twitter.com/N0tWoofers/status/1403082906562609158
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.743273&lon=36.326251&z=15&show=/24269869/Qarqur
Well then, i assume SAA are confident that their AA systems will work this time around?

>>310296
Noice spergmap
> Jisr al-Shughur and the Latakia/Kabani hellzone
Its really hard to see how they will do it while splitting their focus with other areas as they did in the last 10 attempts, on the other hand I don't think they will want to split an offensive into the M4 to two parts especially considering the inclinations of the Turks to sperg out.

>>310299
I was waiting for this concession for so long that I started to believe it would never happen.

>>>310355
>Its really hard to see how they will do it while splitting their focus with other areas as they did in the last 10 attempts
To be fair, they made huge gains in the late 2015 to early 2016 offensive (pic related) whilst launching several succesful offensives on other fronts.
I can see only two ways to tackle this front, either they man the fuck up and brute force storm it, or (most likely) capture Jisr al-Shughur from the south/east and make their way up the mountain along the M-4 forcing the jihadis to retreat or get encircled.

>>310367
Earthquake rocket hitting Hazarin smack dab in the middle of town.

Civilians are leaving Jabal Zawiya
https://twitter.com/abohanen671/status/1402950628121485320

>>310391
I refuse to believe that the recent RuAF strikes in Idlib is a mere one-off retaliation for the killed Russian in Hasaka. They've allowed and guided the usage of krasnopol in Idlib days ahead of that incident.

SAA are still shelling Jabal Zawiya and Jabal Arbaeen

>>310419
RuAF joining in again.
https://twitter.com/Unknownobserve4/status/1403727827074261002

Two moderates in a hyundai santa fe (lel) nailed with ATGM on the road between Ziyadiyah and al-Masheek in al-Ghab plain
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.717389&lon=36.334190&z=14&gz=0;363347482;357135557;0;0;195693;22300
Kornet strikes again

The shelling on jabal zawiya hasn't stopped.

>>310662
Fuck, I dropped the ball with the updates. Won't do that anymore.
But basically the Taliban have captured literal dozens of districts within a month.
Look at this shit, the gov't presence in Uruzgan has been reduced to literally just Tarinkot.

Ariha received a morning salute

>>310695
How strict are the sieges on the cities, i assume civilian traffic and non-military goods are allowed?
A political solution must be around the corner, can't wait to see media ramp up their tear-machines about liberal arts and anal sex being shut down.

>>310695
It's going faster than I though it would, banking of Faryab being first to fall.

>>310705
I briefly spoke to someone from the region a while ago and it sounded very loose to civilians sans toll payments.

>>310705
>How strict are the sieges on the cities, i assume civilian traffic and non-military goods are allowed?
Correct, for the most part.
>Political solution
Military solution is more like it, there are mass surrenders across the entirety of Afghanistan, Taliban are entering DHQs without much fight at all, and in Baghlan city, a somewhat alright equipped ANA force handed over all their weapons and equipment including quite a few humvees to the Taliban. It seems Baghlan city fell without a fight, but I haven't confirmed that yet.
>>310763
Bank on Tarinkot/Uruzgan to fall first.

>Monsieur Suheil in the desert overlooking anti-ISIS operations.
The new SAA tactic seems to be bearing fruit, but i doubt it will do much in the long run.

>>310783
Eh, maybe it's dumb to think the Taliban would allow any regime loyalists to retain any power... i guess i forgot the Taliban aren't interested in the whole democracy shebang.
In fact, i'm dumbfounded trying to figure what is really going to happen, '96-´01 redux but with no superpower spoiling the fun and less cuddling with internationalist terror movements?

Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate
Corrections: Corrected Barfak in Baghlan, Khwaja Ghar in Takhar, Khost Wa Fereng in Baghlan.
Gains: Taliban take over Bangi, Baharak, Chal, Namak Ab, and Hazar Sumuch in Takhar; Dushi DHQ and Baghlan City, and cut the Kabul-Puli Khumri road in Baghlan; Mardyan in Jowzjan; a base to the south of Mughul to the east of Saripul and cut the road between Saripul and Sheberghan; Establish firm control between Pashtun Zarghun and Chisthi Sharif in eastern Herat, and likewise between Islam Qala and Zindajan to the west, minus the DHQs, and also take over Gulran to the NW; In Farah, they took over Qala i Kah (Pusht Koh) District; Grishk District in Helmand; Laja Mangal and Mirzaka DHQs in Paktia; Besiege Badpash in Laghman; Shirin Tagab and Khwaja Sabz Posh (Juma Bazaar) Districts in Faryab, and establish a strong presence to the immediate northeast of Maymana; Dara-i Suf in Samangan.
ANA did a little counterattack to retake Pato DHQ in Daykundi, and retook Khan Abad in Kunduz.

>>310787
Pretty much. Though after they retake power and exert control over ALL of Afghanistan (first time any faction ruled 100% of Afghanistan since 1979), expect them to get assistance from neighboring countries at some point in the future, especially for rebuilding. International trade will become very interested in making Afghanistan a trade crossroads, especially since Afghanistan has 7 trillion dollars' worth of mineral resources in the northeast, that has been largely untapped. Too lucrative to pass up, especially if Afghanistan actually stabilizes for once in 40 years. Plus it sits as a physical crossroads between West Asia and East Asia, South Asia and North (and Central) Asia. All this won't happen overnight of course, or even within a few years. Give it about a decade and you may see this unfold.

As for Taliban governance, expect a return to the 1996-2001 period but not as repressive.
>There are contradictions. We were allowed in to film, for example. And we passed billboards that featured pictures of Western women advertising dental clinics - a far cry from the days when the Taliban banned such images.

>Despite the internet ban, there are wi-fi hotspots providing a connection to the outside world. A few dedicated fans of Turkish and Indian soap operas have televisions connected to small satellite dishes.

>"Aren't you scared the Taliban will find out?" I asked one teenager. "They know about our TV and the wi-fi," he said. "But I think they are just watching and waiting, to see what happens."

>During our visit, we were aware that the Taliban were treating us carefully, mindful of creating a good impression. Equally, Sangin and Musa Qala are important to them, so keeping local people happy matters. We heard reports that Taliban control in other places was more rigid.

>For the Taliban, beginning to adapt in the face of modernity seems to be a painful dilemma: embrace it and you lose control and religious legitimacy; reject it and you become an island.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-40171379

Air defense capabilities growing - technical production unit
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18sNxsRohYk

Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate
Taliban takes a multitude of districts in Takhar and surround Taloqan, capture Archi District in Kunduz and enter Kunduz City from the south and east, capture Jalga District in Baghlan, consolidate their presence in Dara-i Suf in Samangan, blitz Aqcha, Fayzabad, and Khanaqa, capture Dawlatabad and Char Bolak Districts in Balkh, make some gains in north Logar including capturing Ashraf Ghani's village home, and launch an offensive on Maymana in Faryab after capturing Kohistan.
Special note: the majority of these gains were done without much of a fight, and there was a mass surrender of 300 troops in Darqad District of Takhar.

T*rkey has banned the HDP (k*rd/minority/butt sex party) "for alleged ties to militants"
https://twitter.com/Jerusalem_Post/status/1406901010732310528

Video of SAA hitting a machinegun nest near Sirmaniyah with ATGMs
https://twitter.com/SAMSyria0/status/1406953959445733382
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.718085&lon=36.282091&z=14&m=w&show=/22748004/Sirmaniyah-Sermaniyê

>>310924
>There is no truth to what is being reported about Sanaa's control of the entire Jabal Balaq al-Qibli and the battles, with the support of the coalition’s air forces, are at their most intense at the root of the mountain from the northern side, from the dawn of today until the moment!
>Hadi's forces are still in control of the top of the mountain until the moment!
https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1407021784281591816
Eh...

Pic. 1: Houthi forces retreating from what looks like the southern slope of Jabal Balaq al-Qibli, houthi source claim the video is old but also claim that the houthis don't control the mountain
Pic. 2: Image of what Hadi MoD claims is an impact of their artillery on western "Marib" front, seems to be at the root of the mountain indeed. A weird attack vector but i can recall seeing the houthis trying to advance here month(s) ago, sticking to the root and undoubtedly keeping the defensive positions on the peak suppressed.
Pic. 3: Pic of Hadi fighter on northern slopes of Jabal Balaq al-Qibli firing west, southern slopes visible in background.
I doubt this tactic will succeed.

>>310893
Two Scan Eagle drones shot down in two days on the Mashjah front, seems the houthis are pulling out the big guns this offensive.
https://twitter.com/army21ye/status/1407096353327550468

Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate
Taliban captures Qarqin and Khamyab in Jowzjan, capture Balkh City and District, along with Chimtal and Kishindih Districts in Balkh without a fight, capture Imam Sahib and Char Dara in Kunduz without much of a fight, along with Khanabad in the same province. In Paktia, they captured Laja Mangal and Laja Ahmad Khel, and captured Shahjoy DHQ in Zabul.
In Herat, ANA recaptures Gulran DHQ.

US Patrol In Syria Blocked By Line Of Russian Commandos
Over the weekend, a US military patrol in northeastern Syria was blocked by the Russian military and forced to turn back to where they came from. The US reportedly violated existing security deals with Russia.
https://twitter.com/timand2037/status/1406738400447631364
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FnppjkFLj-o

>>311068
Two other TAF positions reportedly targeted with artillery aswell.

SAA artillery is still active and RuAF bombed something (with jets) west of Idlib city today.

Now that Raisi won, dare I say...
Idlib SOON(?)

>>311203
I guess we'll find out shortly after the upcoming Astana meeting next month, i don't know enough about his stance on roachland but finally reclaiming Fu'ah and Kafriya would be a top-tier political victory.

Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate - Taliban blitz continues.
Baghlan: Taliban march right to the gates of Puli Khumri from the north but doesn't enter. They seize Nahrin, Dushi, Khinjan, Barfak Districts and HQs.
Faryab: "Complete collapse", reducing the gov't to ONLY Maymana.
Ghazni: Taliban is in control of Qarabagh DHQ.
Paktia: Taliban offensive seizes control of the entire eastern half, but ANA recaptures Ahmadabad, Sayyid Karam, and Mirzaka DHQs.
Badakhshan: Taliban takes control of Khash District.
Logar: Taliban takes Azra District.
Kunduz: Taliban takes Shir Khan Crossing, and ANA recaptures Aliabad DHQ.
Daykundi: ANA recaptures two hamlets in Pato District.

Nawur and Arjistan districts of Ghazni are under full Taliban control.
Pls re edit your map.

You should take a look at long war journal.

https://public.tableau.com/views/TalibanControlinAfghanistan/MapExport?:showVizHome=no

>IED hit car near Salqin city, Idlib
>pro-militants’ accounts report says a senior official in the TIP was targeted and died in hospital,
https://twitter.com/Bosni_94/status/1408377020178968580
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.137216&lon=36.454053&z=15&show=/8022843/Salqin
Locals lost patience with foreigners after HTS arrested "baath loyalists" from the town? 🤔

>https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/even-taliban-are-surprised-how-fast-they-re-advancing-afghanistan-n1272236
>Even the Taliban are surprised at how fast they're advancing in Afghanistan

>WASHINGTON — The Taliban are advancing at lightning speed across Afghanistan as U.S. troops withdraw. They now control a third of the country, are fighting for control of 42 percent more — and may even be slowing their advance on purpose.

>A Taliban commander in Ghazni province told NBC News that he and fellow fighters were surprised at the speed of their advance and had avoided capturing some targets so as not to run afoul of the U.S.

>According to Afghan media reports, eyewitness accounts and statements from local Afghan officials, the Taliban are advancing in rural areas and near Kabul. They now hold almost twice as much of Afghanistan as they did just two months ago, raising fresh doubts about whether the Afghan government can survive once U.S. forces depart by Sept. 11.

>Since May 1, days after President Joe Biden announced the withdrawal of U.S. troops, the Taliban have captured 69 of the country's 407 districts, including territory in northern provinces once seen as off-limits for the insurgency and a stronghold for the government, according to Bill Roggio, editor of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies' Long War Journal. The Taliban now hold 142 districts, and are fighting for control of about 170 more.

>"The Taliban are putting significant pressure on the Afghan government by their operations in the north," said Roggio, who keeps a running tally of how much territory the Taliban controls.

>By seizing ground in far-flung areas in the north, including a border crossing with Tajikistan, the Taliban are forcing the Afghan security forces to balance stretched resources as they try to hold off the insurgents elsewhere in the country, including in provinces near the capital Kabul, he said.

"The Taliban has nearly doubled the number of districts it controls, has captured key areas and military bases, and demoralized segments of the Afghan security forces and the government," Roggio said.

how can shartey compete?

>>310937
By the looks of it the houthis are attempting to advance in Marib again.

>>311351
>The Taliban are advancing at lightning speed across Afghanistan as U.S. troops withdraw
Based Maybe the flow of opiates into the us will slow down now.

>>311351
>taliban conquer afganistan
>taliban renames it talibastan
>america returns to conquer talibastan
oil.gif

>>311365
The burgers are very aware that the taliban will recapture most if not all of Afghanistan when they leave, "re-conquering" what has been lost after leaving would be an inconceivably retarded waste of resources.
Also, there's no oil in Afghanistan.

If there are rumors of talk between k*rds and Damascus in the near future, i won't drop my jaw if the burgers leave Syria shortly after.
Repeating the Iraqi K*rdistan scenario won't be possible because of the roaches' not-so-diplomatic policy towards syrian and leftoid k*rds.
I reckon the burger mission of being a thorn in the side of Russian and Iranian interests in Syria isn't having the desired effect when factoring in the price they're paying to keep it up. Atop of t*rkish policy dividing the k*rds (coercing Barzanistan to allow t*rkish crackdown against PKK in Iraq etc), Iran could easily up the ante with their proxies in Iraq making the logistics of keeping SDF alive even more of a nightmare.
That should leave al-Tanf, with Iran having easier access to the Syria-Iraq border from the Euphrates to the northen point of Nineveh, the value of blocking the Baghdad - Damascus highway would depreciate drastically.
Funnily enough, Jordan received Syrian diplomats recently...
>al-Tanf S O O N
>every (not quite, but good enough) inch

>>311367
If there's no oil why did America get involved in the first place? What was America thinking?

>>311383
>>311385
The real goal in Afghanistan was to isolate Iran and to enable an invasion if everything went according to plans.
Theoretically it could've been used as a spring board into the ex-Soviet central Asian "stans" as well.

>>311386
>>311383
They went in to protect i*rael interests like the good little bitches they are.
The Poppies used to make opium are abundant there as well,so in my eyes securing the poppies was imperative in getting millions of white americans hooked on heroin.

>>311386
Iran? Why would they want to isolate Iran?

>>311404
Because they've been bad goys since 1979.

Houthis causing chaos on the Alam front northwest of Marib with Insane toyota warfare + sweet hits with ATGM and SPG-9:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fs5X8pN8FqQ
Regaining control over Duhaydah:
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=16.050061&lon=45.482626&z=15&m=bs&show=/40300089/Duhaydah-al-Aqir

>Vehicle park left intact in Muqur #Ghazni #Afghanistan
https://twitter.com/RisboLensky/status/1409208515231682561
Imagine being a NATO zogbot who has fought in Afghanistan and seeing shit like this.

>Ansar al-Tawhid takes responsibility for shelling Qardaha, the home town of the Assad family, with Grad missiles "in response to the shelling of our Muslim brothers in the liberated areas"
https://twitter.com/syria_map/status/1409233811154558982
The shiny 40 km range GRAD rockets the "FSA" received from the burgers via T*rkey back in 2016 are still around and in jihadi hands huh.
Better use them now when they're still in range of alawite heartland i guess.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.456685&lon=36.055970&z=15&show=/23239850/Qardaha

>>311422
>2 Rockets landed in empty area,no damage
https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1409260702511124481
They might have longer range, but they're still Grad rockets.

>>311363
Another failed attempt at capturing Jabal Balaq al-Qibli
https://twitter.com/Marib_11/status/1409268091561914370
Filmed from defensive positions atop the mountain:
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.406603&lon=45.201616&z=15&gz=0;452077746;154054858;0;76953;148057;0;148057;0
Not sure why the houthis are dead set on tackling the mountain head on, is it really the best option available?
The angle on my google earth screenshot and the programs rendition of mountains isn't perfect but the background matches the end of the video.

>>311436
Cheeky rocket launch proving the houthis control al-Zur:
https://twitter.com/Marib_11/status/1409286678188003328
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.409452&lon=45.181650&z=19&gz=0;451815158;154091188;268;4887;0;0;5766;232;6115;4499;563;4964

>BREAKING: U.S. launches airstrikes against Iranian-backed militias on Iraq-Syria border: Pentagon
https://twitter.com/LucasFoxNews/status/1409283867710787586
Supposedly targeting the unofficial Bukamal-Qaim border crossing which has been targeted before.
https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1409281592024092679
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=34.391046&lon=40.947375&z=16&gz=0;409478580;343889563;0;51526;57291;0

>>311441
>US airstrikes targeted two positions in #Syria and one position in #Iraq near the al-Qaim border crossing, hitting Iranian-backed militia units. Per pro-PMU Sabereen News, four members of the PMU 14th Brigade were killed in the strikes
>The 14th Brigade is associated with Kataeb Sayyed al-Shuhada, a unit that has consistently performed operations across the border and has been targeted by the US before.
https://twitter.com/SchoenbornTrent/status/1409294537613266956
Reminder that President Sisi of Egypt and King Abdullah II of Jordan visited Iraq today, the airstrikes are just a very blunt message.

>>311411

here's a 23 minute video of the fighting. You can either go to youtube (requires login for age verification) or their website.
https://twitter.com/MilitaryMediaY0/status/1409133420425404422

>>311448
Neat

>>311240
I tend to not use LWJ as a source for Ghazni since some of their sources on the situation in Ghazni (namely Nawur, Ajristan, and that area) was all the way back in 2018.
https://twitter.com/solhnews/status/1402461369929195522 (dated this month)
The gov't clearly controls Nawur since they wouldn't retreat to an enemy-controlled district. Furthermore, both Nawur and Ajristan are Hazara-majority areas, so I'm inclined to mark Ajristan as gov't-controlled unless clearly proven otherwise.
https://twitter.com/Natsecjeff/status/1277619208663293964 This summer 2020 post is literally the latest news about Ajristan unfortunately, and I can't trust a year-old tweet as a source on the current situation since too much can change in a year. This month alone is the perfect example of how too much can change in a month.

>>311351
>They now control a third of the country
That's a very low estimate tbh. Try 55% as an absolute minimum, and 70% as an absolute maximum.
Also what that article doesn't mention is that the Taliban are capturing district after district because the gov't forces in the north and partly in the south are surrendering them without a fight, which smells of a high-level deal made with the Taliban. Balkh City and Baghlan City fell without a fight, and so did the remainder of Faryab save for Maymana.

>>311383
>>311386
>>311388
Location was the goal, yes, since it's a crossroads country between four continental regions. But there's also the mineral resources in the northeast.
>This diverse geological foundation has resulted in a significant mineral heritage with over 1,400 mineral occurrences recorded to date, including gold, copper, lithium, uranium, iron ore, cobalt, natural gas and oil.
>Afghanistan's resources could make it one of the richest mining regions in the world.[10]
>According to a joint study by The Pentagon and the United States Geological Survey, Afghanistan has an estimated US$7 trillion[5] of untapped minerals.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mining_in_Afghanistan
That's right. Not 7 million. Not 7 billion. 7 TRILLION DOLLARS.

A quick Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate
Taliban capture Shortepa DHQ in Balkh, but ANA contests Dehdadi.
Taliban captures Rostaq District in Takhar without a fight
Taliban captures Shinwari in Parwan
Taliban controls Kohi Safi in Parwan
Taliban captures Muqur in Ghazni and consolidate control over Qarabagh District.
Taliban captures Feroz Nakhchir in Samangan
Taliban captures Chak and Saydabad in Wardak
Taliban captures Khoshhammond in Paktika
Taliban captures Maywand in Kandahar
Taliban marches up to the eastern outskirts of Sheberghan and besieges Khwaja Du Koh DHQ in Jowzjan
Taliban holds the line against an ANA counterattack at Andkhoy, but ANA captured Khan Chahar Bagh in Faryab.
ANA recaptures Dushi and Khinjan in Baghlan

Corrected situation in western Kandahar.

>>311461
forgot to add Taliban captures Zurmat DHQ in Paktia

>>311461

are the taliban in the north mostly locals?

Nawur and Arjistan of Ghazni and Miran of Wardak are under full talib control

Nawur and Arjistan of Ghazni and miran of wardak is under
full Talib control

>>311461

Nawur & Arjistan of Ghazni & miran of wardak under full taliban control

Ariha and Jabal Zawiya getting shelled

>>311436
Airstrikes targeting houthis around Mashjah, Talat al-Hamra and Jabal Haylan:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpY0NyLpN_A

>>311446
>Confirmed by Ayn al Furat: Iranian-backed militiamen have (and are) shelling the American base in Omar Oil Field.
https://twitter.com/N0tWoofers/status/1409562180651991051
That's new...

>>311484
Video of launch
https://twitter.com/QalaatM/status/1409569839526596610

>>311484
>Confirmed: the Americans have bombed positions of Iranian-backed militiamen in and around Mayadin
>Now: The American base in Omar Oil Field has again been shelled. American aircraft have reportedly hit artillery pieces around Mayadin.
https://twitter.com/N0tWoofers/status/1409572899850264577
(x) until we get visual confirmation

>>311489

It's been confirmed, now they're clashing across the Euphrates

>>311493
When it comes to the Euphrates, text is not enough to confirm anything.

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/06/28/world/asia/tigray-mekelle-ethiopia-retreat.html
Oh fuck, just when I though that the TDF were 35IQ 10 thumbed cripples the EDF has backflipped off a cliff.
This is making me reconsider my scepticism towards the efficacy of their ambushes. This went from 0 to 100 in a flash.

https://twitter.com/Esll7970Gladii/status/1409576311790649358

I don't know what the fuck has happened.

>>311508
Tigray's geography is very conductive to insurgency. The initial 'victory' was pretty hollow. Instead of limiting the conflict to TPLF, Tigrayans as a whole were targeted. Bringing in Eritreans and Amhara militias was pretty stupid.

https://twitter.com/MapEthiopia/status/1409619657724731398

>>311515
>>311508
EDF declared a ceasefire.

>>311517
A unilateral 'ceasefire', very classy.

>>311515
> very conductive to insurgency.
I had no idea it would happen this quickly, with so little resistance.

>>311517
Yeah, unilaterally. There hasn't been any response by the TPLF AFAIK. Hopefully food relief can quickly be supplied to the region.

>>311524

The recent offensive (Operation Alula) lured them into central Tigray where the Tigrayans sprung their trap. A lot of videos have been coming out over the past week of large numbers of Ethiopian POWs. https://twitter.com/WeyaneSalsay/status/1408447376487071744

This is the namesake of the offensive: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ras_Alula

They hit something next to the helicopter landing zone, the Apaches weren't around though.
https://twitter.com/AuroraIntel/status/1409974790824382471
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.050718&lon=40.558165&z=17&show=/35648865/Green-Village-(US-military-base)

Tigrayan fighters reject the unilateral ceasefire as expected.

https://apnews.com/article/eritrea-ethiopia-africa-9889b4c3692aaeb16b9165763d19303a

Qualitative scenes of the targeting of an aggression camp in Al-Wadeah with 10 Qasef 2K planes, "The launch and the scenes of injury"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VUBFJi_Sag0

kys

Also,
some burger golems were whacked by someone in Qatar/UAE.
Supposedly as revenge kill for Soleimani.

>>311776
Assad hater big mad

RuAF drone strike in Ariha, presumably another big shot HTS member was the target like in the strike back in June.
https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1411037273727156231

>>311793
The RuAF bombed a WH HQ in the Rouj plain today
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.966037&lon=36.482771&z=19

>>311461
I heard that the Taliban captured a huge amount of land recently, is this true, Ebin-kun?

>>311879
pic related was posted on /pol/ yesterday

Oh no NO NO!

>>311880
>>311881
It alll returns to nothing...
It all keeps..
TUMBLING DOWN...
TUMBLING DOWN...
TUMBLING DOWN...

https://twitter.com/HarunMaruf/status/1411258781615394816