/mlpol/ - My Little Politics

>>196994
Thanks for baking

>NLF is heading to Hayish village in order to liberate it from #HTS
https://twitter.com/Kyruer/status/1082566634634690565
Wait, so HTS controls Hish?
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.548325&lon=36.646994&z=16&m=bs&show=/5890142/Hish

>>196994
Thanks based Pole.
Here is the latest gif (although the day still has a few hours left - I can update if I need to).

>Today small units of Russian military police are entering villages yran, eijmi, yalini, farat
https://www.facebook.com/479740255421971/posts/2148786145184032/
I'm too tired for this shit, here's one of the villages atleast:
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.574422&lon=37.806573&z=15&m=bs&show=/15139100/Al-Farat

>Erdogan said that #Turkey has completed preparations for military operation in Eastern Syria.
At this point, does he even care about Idlib?

Eighth for the total annihilation of the Kurdish people

HTS controls Al-Naqeer, Abdin, Arynba, and Deir Al-Biref, all located NW of Khan Sheikhun.

https://twitter.com/Bosni94/status/1082585747499175936

Russian Ministry of Defense released showing Russian MPs patrolling an area near Manbij, #Syria

>Erdogan: US' Bolton 'seriously mistaken' on Syrian Kurd fighters

>Erdogan stressed he and Trump had reached a clear agreement in December over the swift withdrawal of the US forces from Syria, in return for Turkey taking care of the remaining ISIL threat in the war-torn country.

>"I promised him to take all the necessary initiative elements over the issue. However, different levels of the US administration started saying different things after that."
"Since the conversation between Erdogan and Trump, Washington has shifted positions on the timetable for withdrawal and the conditions to do so, including the one over the YPG, the most important one for Turkey," he told Al Jazeera.

>"Trump seems to be convinced by people around him and agreed to these new positions for now. Therefore, further tensions might come up in near future between the two sides."

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2019/01/erdogan-mistaken-syrian-kurd-fighters-safety-190108094851818.html

lots of back-channeling going on

>HTS controls the villages of Kawkab, Rashaa north and Rashaa South and Zankour in Shashaboo hill
https://twitter.com/Alqalqal/status/1082637581429497856
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.554959&lon=36.433454&z=15&m=bs&gz=0;364217805;355401885;0;0;74887;82408;6651;128148;185608;259068
Can't find Zankour.
>HTS controls the villages Aldaqmaq, Alzakoum, Qalidoun and alHamidiyaa in reef #Hama
https://twitter.com/Alqalqal/status/1082636945812013056
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.632186&lon=36.349125&z=13&m=bs&gz=0;363857746;356099992;25749;463206;0;0
Al Zakoum = Tall Mabtuhah

#HTS captured a Jaysh al-Nukhba (#NLF) commander in Sahl al-Ghab.

https://twitter.com/Kyruer/status/1082645880723988480

>Here is what the HTS has captured until now, starting from north down to south, Hama and Idlib:
>Alhamidia, Dukmak, Zaqqim, Qulaidin, Al Enkawi, Al Fatatoua, Safahun, Kawkabah, Ash Kulin, Northern and southern Rasha, Jabal Shashabo, Tarmala, Naqayyar, Arynba, Suth Al Deir, Al-Qasabiyah and Khirbat Abidin.
>and some other places that I can not find on maps
Two i didn't find/wasn't announced earlier:
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.569098&lon=36.439934&z=13&m=bs&gz=0;364037990;355575072;0;340678;96130;0

>HTS controls al Amqiyah
https://twitter.com/Alqalqal/status/1082662088529637376
Expand dong

>>197041
>Snus posts here now
Like pottery. How have you been fam? It's burger buns.

HTS has captured Al Habit town in Southern Idlib

>>197042
Ayy what's up man.
I've been good

>>197028
>Can't find Zankour
Here:
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.518797&lon=36.432660&z=16&m=bs&show=/32457442/Zankoun

>>197044
Good to hear. I've taken an extended break from Shitposting General. Only stop in from time to time to see the latest, usually just lurk for a few.

>>197046
Coolio, personally i can't stand that dump anymore and decided all my /sg/ posting will be done here.
Finally something happening aswell, feels good man.
HTS just ate western Aleppo CS like a pack of starving piranhas last week.

>>197047
Cheers m8, I do most of my lurking here, I'll see you around. Updates are appreciated as always.

>>197046
>I've taken an extended break from Shitposting General
most people here do too now that i think about it

>>197043
see >>197056 →
btw do you usually drink alcohol?

>>197058
thanks for answering, I replied in >>197060 → in order to not to clog this thread with my OT shenanigans.

>>197008
hey! You stole that joke!

>SDF has advanced and has reached the outskirts of Al-Abu Badran South of Al-Shaf'ah,SDF has fully captured Al-Rumaylan neighborhood and has reached Al-Ta'as neighborhood in Al-Shaf'ah
https://twitter.com/VivaRevolt/status/1082686999293820928
All i could find is this.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=34.554347&lon=40.950079&z=17&m=bs&show=/14885137/Tomb-of-Abu-Badran

>15-day truce agreed between HTS and NLF
https://twitter.com/jisrtv/status/1082707887884025856
This is the only source saying this.

whops

1st Division - 57th Brigade #Manbij CS
https://twitter.com/Bosni94/status/1082689454597394434

>HTS took areas in Sahl Al Ghab and Jabal Shahshabo without losing 1 fighter... all claims of ambushes are lies.
https://twitter.com/AlKhali72189230/status/1082740043096252418
Uhh, so the villages were not even fought for.
What the hell...
>Claims of a truce are false. What happened is Maarat noteables presented a 15 day truce but not agreed on yet...
https://twitter.com/AlKhali72189230/status/1082740388211945473
>When HTS moved on Zinki, Ahrar attacked Saraqeb very hard taking many areas and nearly breaking through into the city. Similarly Suqour attacked several positions and killed 3 HTS members in one checkpoint. When HTS finished Zinki, now they act as if HTS attacked them in idlib
https://twitter.com/AlKhali72189230/status/1082740857462317056

>>197117
is this biblical or koranic in prophecy somehow?

>>197124
If only Sheikh Imran Hosein was a regular...

#Syria #Idlib
Map of today events in Idlib.
- Green: area captured today by #HTS.
- Aquamarine: area controlled by #NLF.

>>197126
Hmm, didn't see any reports of Kafr Nabudah being captured... However, Jaysh al-Izza supposedly controlled it before and they're friendly with HTS.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.435638&lon=36.492376&z=14&m=bs&show=/6443633/Kafr-Nabudah
It's not too far fetched to imagine them sharing it.

>>197127
forgot sauce
https://twitter.com/Kyruer/status/1082747851921334272

>>197126
This really has the making of another Abu ad Dahur three way free for all with SAA vs NLF vs HTS, jsut like previously FSA vs SAA vs ISIS.
I still feel pity for the group of ISIS who were being pushed around by SAA for months, taking FSA land, just to be encircled and then making a dash into FSA land to surrender and end up being executed by them. Such a godforsaken group

>>197129
Don't worry, he just copied the image from somewhere else, guaranteed.
>>197130
Aye, if only SAA were prepared...
>pushed around by SAA for months, taking FSA land
They were broken out of the pocket by FSA/HTS and in return backstabbed them lel.

I member when threads lasted for several months without hitting bump limit.
We hit bump limit in the last thread after less than 2 weeks.

>>197124
biblical.
Say goodbye to KSA soon(tm)
press T to (Tfu)

>mfw I open up the warmap
The absolute focken state, forget end of the year, Idlib will become completely "white" by the end of winter!
Shitmaps in 15-35 mins.

>>197143
see >>197044

>>197145
I saw Snaus, I saw.

>>197146
The way things are going, T*rkey can't possibly guard Idlib, get hyped for the Tigers kebab removal S O O N.
Shame there wasn't a single KIA today though.

Idlib hasn't been this exciting since Jan 2018!

>https://twitter.com/RisboLensky/status/1082754814545543168
Wanna bet he has tiny willy

>#AlKhandaq 53 police, 8 ANA & 2 militiamen left enemy ranks & joined Mujahidin in Khas Balkh district #Balkh. Preaching, Guidance & Recruitment Commission welcomed them & eased them into normal lives.
https://twitter.com/Zabihullah_4

>53 police
That's a huge number.

>#AlKhandaq Cowardly enemy abandoned 16 CPs & 3 bases after learning of Mujahidin plans of attacking remaining enemy positions in Band Sharam & Gandab areas of Aab Kamari #Badghis. Entire area spanning 80 villages now under Mujahidin control - Ahmadi
https://twitter.com/Zabihullah_4/status/1082577974707343362

Focken wew

Afghan Shitmupdates - ANA in Reg District of Kandahar, Taliban take ovver Alishing District of Laghman.

>>197157
Is this the start of the Saudi redemption arc, or is this just another blip on the map, I wonder.

>>197157
Tensions have been brewing in KSA for quite some time, it almost escalated with Khashoggi, and now the military is openly protesting against the king and crown prince.

>>197149
>>197154
any Yemen updates?

>>197161
Yeah, gimme 20-35 mins for Shitmupdates.

>>197161
>#UAE plans to annex #Yemen's #Socotra island. Months ago, #UAE deployed many troops and armored vehicles in the island under the name of fighting Iran-backed #Houthi militias.This move was expected.
https://twitter.com/VA1908AV/status/1080964677759365120
Huh

>>197166
UAE is out of Socotra now though, they withdrew after being pressured

>>197168
Source?

>>197169
https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/uae-begins-evacuating-forces-yemen-s-socotra-2088005109

Shit man this was back in May

>>197174
And that new source saying UAE plans to annex Socotra was from 3 days ago.
Hmmm...

>>197175
maybe they do, but they don't have any forces there and will have to send them back

>>197177
Unless they already sent forces back - that's the bad part about Yemen and Afghan, they don't get as widespread coverage as Syria (every inch of Syria is under a fucking spotlight) and thus events sometimes take days or even months to get reported, or don't get reported at all.

>>197166
>Months ago, #UAE deployed many troops and armored vehicles in the island
>Months ago
Come on, be more specific! Months ago could mean 11 months ago or 2 months ago!

>>197180
I don't see anything anything that says they're planning on annexing socotra except a random ass twitter source, and I don't see anything at all tha says they have troops back there

Jej!
STOP HTS! WE'RE RUNNING OUT OF HUWHITE PAINT ALREADY!

Also new gif rendering!

>>197183
AAAAAAARRGH!

>>197149
Also thanks for the pic. Big help as usual!

>>197182
Hmm. How about a source saying that Socotra is still under STC control instead of Hadi control? The newer, the better.

>>197185
Ebin....
>>197186
You're welcome Nate!

>>197182
Found another source
>... Yemen's Socotra Island - often called "Jewel of Arabia" because of its natural beauty (with 700 endemic species) - is firmly in the hands of UAE ... before the war - inhabitants have lived in harmony and isolation with nature for thousands of years ...
https://twitter.com/domihol/status/1080855068268785664

>>197189
All this shit is because a UAE envoy visited the island and said that it would become part of the emirates and people would be granted citizenship. But the island is still under Hadi control, the UAE withdrew back in May

http://www.tellerreport.com/news/--"you-deserve-citizenship"----emirati-gift-to-residents-of-socotra-and-angry-responses-from-yemen-.HyN1R3v-E.html

>>197190
>>197192
Fuck it, I'll leave Socotra red until I have concrete proof otherwise.

>>197194
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_Arab_Emirates_takeover_of_Socotra

there's even a wiki article on this too, administrative control of the island was handed back to Hadi on May 14th

Yemen Shitmupdates - had my hands full with other shite edition

Lemme know if I screwed up anywhere in there.

>>197117
eco friendly hall of costs
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kosher_locust

for those who need decent asmr
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mo1Ns_0-pQM

AAS has dissolved itself!
Here is the agreement.
Who reads Arabic?
What does this say exactly??

>>197220
I know, it sucks and I'm really pissed off.

>>197221
>agreement was reached that the latter dissolves itself in Sahl al-Ghab region and handing it over the HTS
https://twitter.com/o_reusser/status/1082916606399967232
Not sure if they actually dissolved though.

>>197222
Thanks, people are also saying that the signatures are from field commanders, not the AAS leaders, so that's a good sign that it might not eventuate.
Interesting developments to say the least.

>>197223
Sahl al-Ghab = Al-Ghab Plain by the way, i assume the AAS who got cut off from Maarat Numan surrendered.
Meaning, Qalaat al-Mudiq will probably be handed over.

Meaning Idlib will probably look like this.
ayylmoa

>>197224
Do you think it is basically just this area that surrendered?

>>197226
Precisely

>>197225
>>197226
Okay, that answered my question.
I actually don't mind the fact that they surrendered without killing each other (although that would have been preferable), I'm just happy HTS is making more gains!

>>197228
Yup.
Marat and/or Ariha showdown in a couple of days inshajulani.

>>197230
Your initial post made me scared, desu.
I thought the infighting was over for good, and that they must have agreed to unite against Assad or something...
Never do that to me again.

>>197230
>>197232
But yeah, the showdown will be fun. Look forward to it!

>>197232
I was just bummed there was no gains and figured they must've reconciled before even seeing the AAS statement, my bad.

>Low intensity clashes between #HTS and #FSA in Northern Idlib
https://twitter.com/Kyruer/status/1082926494555488256
hmm, where dis

>>197237
I'll make an educated guess and say it's somewhere around Armanaz.
The control situation there is unclear and his accent sounds weird as hell, arabized k*rds live in that area, so maybe that's it.

>>197240
>blocked
Huh, thanks Big Brother, I guess.

>>197242
oh, he locked himself

New claims by YPG of captured ISIS foreignfighters in Syria near Hajin - including one they ID as a 16yo American - identified as Soulay Noah Su (Abu Souleiman al-Amriki), 16, USA

https://twitter.com/lummideast/status/1082987987837878272

>A militant * (Zinki&friends camp) claims the "National Army" has captured 4points and the SyriaTel around Qalat Samaan
>The "Elite Force" of the HTS regains control of SyriaTel, killing and capturing several militants while the rest fled to Afrin.
https://twitter.com/Bosni94/status/1082962178095890434
So this is the power of NLF without t*rkish coordination and support? Impressive!

>>197261
Ahrar al-Sham in the al-Ghab plain is committing to dissolve and hand over medium and heavy weapons to #HTS. #NLF activists who are withdrawing can join #Afrin. Others will be able to join #HTS.

https://twitter.com/StrategicNews1/status/1082995660285243392

#Syria: Video shows #HaD rebels raiding #Assad regime positions in Northern #Latakia 2 weeks ago. Part 1

https://twitter.com/worldonalert/status/1082992584597950464

wew

>>197265
#HTS forces penetrating Jabal Shahsbo (strategic summit). The zone in red = zone that will be given to #HTS after the agreement. #Syria
Photo: @Abdillah_Lens

https://twitter.com/StrategicNews1/status/1082997286764974080

it's over

>Captured #HTS fighter
Good meme potential.

#HTS convoy heading to Atmeh, Southern Jinderes.

https://twitter.com/Kyruer/status/1083006367609380864

geolocation of a recent US military patrol in Qawuqli, northwest of Arima, ~25km west of Manbij

>>197273
There was clashes was in Atmeh this morning: >>197237
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.310111&lon=36.689100&z=15&show=/4904587/Atmeh
Also around Deir Simeon:
https://twitter.com/S_Moustafa74/status/1082983589019566080
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.326328&lon=36.843209&z=15&show=/13225776/Dayr-Simeon

>>197277
oh, thx.

#NLF destroyed an #HTS 23mm cannon.

https://twitter.com/Kyruer/status/1083008945906741249

guess that's from that area

>>197279
>guess that's from that area
Sure seems so, unlike the "fighting" in southern Idlib, they're actually killing each other up here.

>>197280
Syrian Army kills several Turkish-backed rebels in new attack on northern Hama

BEIRUT, LEBANON (4:20 P.M.) – The Turkish-backed rebels were not able to catch a break on Wednesday as they found themselves sandwiched between two separate forces that were both looking to inflict damage on their defenses.

Led by their Republican Guard units, the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) began their assault on northern Hama today by launching a large barrage of surface-to-surface missiles and artillery shells.

According to a military source in nearby Mhardeh, the Syrian Arab Army managed to kill several members of the Turkish-backed Al-Izza Army, while also destroying a number of trenches around the town of Al-Latamnah.

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrian-army-kills-several-turkish-backed-rebels-in-new-attack-on-northern-hama/

NLF getting gangbanged.

Syria’s top intelligence chief allegedly makes secret visit to Saudi Arabia

BEIRUT, LEBANON (4:40 P.M.) – Syria’s top intelligence chief Ali Mamlouk allegedly traveled to Riyadh recently to meet and discuss several issues with his Saudi counterparts, Lebanon’s Al-Joumhouria publication reported on Wednesday.

https://www.almasdarnews.com/article/syrias-top-intelligence-chief-allegedly-makes-secret-visit-to-saudi-arabia/

hmm

Lebanon resists Hezbollah pressure to issue invitation to Syrian delegation, Arab League cancels talks on readmission.

Syrian leader Bashar Assad is unlikely to be invited to the next Arab League summit in Tunisia in March, after a planned meeting to discuss Syria’s readmission to the body was canceled.

FUCK YOU LEBANON, I THOUGHT YOU WERE BASED!

>>197289
Your account, yes?
https://twitter.com/Nathan290491/media

>>197290
Not my primary one but yeah, it's the secondary account I use to post memes and vote on polls. But I rarely use it.
Oh God, that history is so embarrassing. Kek.

>>197285
AFAIK Jaish al-Izza are friendly with HTS, so it's another clickbaiterino.

>>197295
>Jaish al-Izza are friendly with HTS
They are. They are even training in the HTS area.

>>197290
see >>196113 →

>>197302
guess that explains why we haven't heard of al irani

>>197302
>KP Police swiftly responded and saved the transgender who was targeted with gun during the wedding ceremony as shown in the viral video on social media; the transgender is safe
https://twitter.com/KP_Police1/status/1082611711092375552
eh

>Shelling in #Susah and heavy clashing as the SDF have started their attack on the town.
https://twitter.com/NotWoofers/status/1083039005476818945
Probably in Hawi al-Susah from the desert, Shafhah is not over yet.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=34.522186&lon=40.971794&z=15&show=/17751196/As-Sūsah

>A mortar landed in a school as forces from Afrin attempt to enter HTS controlled areas in Idlib countryside
https://twitter.com/OGNreports/status/1083026276565299200
Ya allah, this crime against humanity (muslims) cannot be accepted!

HTS has reportedly entered the village of Bosoufane, Southern Afrin
https://twitter.com/Conflicts/status/1083046755967647744

Fighters among the National Liberation Front and civilians expected Turkey to back them against HTS, but now many believe that Turkey is allowing HTS to take over Idlib to justify regime offensive on the area in return for Russian permission to take Manbij and Kurdish areas.

https://twitter.com/Elizabeth/status/1083033207992397830

>>197313
Reports of clashes between the FSA and HTS near Jindires
https://twitter.com/Conflicts/status/1083051409342377985

Alright so i have a theory on what has happened in Basufan.
Here:
>>197258
and this:
https://twitter.com/S_Moustafa74/status/1082983589019566080

The theory is, a couple of days ago it was reported that HTS had entered the southern parts of Basufan. The southern outskirts of Basufan just so happens to be at the tallest point of the Simeon highlands, an excellent defensive position that was utilized by YPG since the early days.
They built trenches and outposts (green and orange circles) to defend themselves from the south.
I'll bet my rectal virginity that this is what HTS captured and today NLF recaptured, both sides want it because of it's imperative strategic value. I have scoured the area and the orange circle has a telecommunications tower, making it the most probable location of the SyriaTel captured by NLF mentioned.
Now that HTS has recaptured it, it's likely they decided to capture the village aswell so that the defensive positions can't be infiltrated from the village.

>>197314
>near Jindires
Well that's an ambiguous description...
I doubt HTS will capture any villages here.
It's possible HTS wants to control the mountains or atleast the tallest/most defendable parts of the mountains here aswell.
That, or it's just NLF fucking around.

>Video of clashes between FSA and HTS on the axis of Mount Simeon
https://youtu.be/Xqx2EW4Bbug
Related: >>197315

>>197320
Looks to me like the technical is on this street firing at outposts in the southwestern direction:
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=36.340019&lon=36.868572&z=17&m=bs&gz=0;368671184;363374001;54502;42779;0;0

where the fuck is Ebin???

>Ash Shafah is liberated
https://twitter.com/NotWoofers/status/1083105839794278400
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=34.560718&lon=40.954800&z=13&m=bs&show=/20835937/Ash-Sha‘fah

>Daesh are fighting from Abu Badran now
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=34.553826&lon=40.950508&z=16&m=w&show=/38906114/Al-abu-Badran
>Susah is under attack from Hawi al Susah right now as well. These are the last areas of the Islamic State. This will likely be over within 10 days.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=34.516600&lon=40.973485&z=14&m=w&show=/17751196/As-Sūsah
lel, see >>197305
https://twitter.com/NotWoofers/status/1083106862415990790
But i wonder if Wadi 'Ajaj has been captured though...

https://twitter.com/o_reusser/status/1083107358124003334
Hmm...

>>197297
There was gas shortages for homes recently that improved some areas but others are still experiencing shortages so he fired two directors of the concerned department as a warning to others. On his visits to other countries he managed to secure some cash to shore up the depleting foreign cash reserve without going to the IMF and convinced them to increase their investment. Reportedly its upto 15 billion dollars now but Im not sure if thats accurate. The members of the older parties are being investigated for corruption and some have been been indicted resulting in mass butthurt from their supporters, fuckers have been going online and spreading bullshit all around. Anti encroachment (illegal ownership of property/land) movement going full swing.

On the other hand the circular debt is 11 billion dollars and a 9 billion dollar loan taken by the previous government has to be returned by May. Also with TTP increasing their attacks along with the Baloch separatist (revenge attacks for the assassination of their commanders in Kandahar a few days) shits going to be lit for sometime now.

All in all fun time ahead.

Also apologies for the very late reply.

>>197303
kek

>>197342
>al Qaeda boomers
vs
>Islamic State zoomers

>>197345
kek, also got a question any indication of SAA operation for retaking Idlib or everyone sitting back to see how Turks deal with HTS?

>>197347
Well, Ali Taha and the Tigers are in Aleppo, SRG reportedly went to 'leppo aswell and the 5th corps are reportedly amassing in SE Idlib with lots of artillery pieces and heavy caliber stuff (no tanks though).
An armored division brought tanks to Hama a couple of days ago aswell.
Haven't seen any massive troop movement you'd expect from a SAA offensive though, maybe they're laying low until Marat Numan and Ariha has fallen to HTS aswell.

>>197350
I see. Thanks

>>197351
np

>>197350
>Haven't seen any massive troop movement you'd expect from a SAA offensive though
That is because they are already there; they have been ever since Daraa.
>inb4 they were moved to SDF lines for that regain of land
they are sitting still around Idlib area duckhunting, sporadically tankshelling, while getting raided by islamists occassionally.

>>197355
look at the one right below
>https://twitter.com/RisboLensky/status/1083125302191108096
Fucking Tik Tok in Afghanistan

>>197357
>That is because they are already there; they have been ever since Daraa
Hmm, after Daraa yeah, you have a point.
Even though they sent soldiers to Manbij and DeZ there should be tons of manpower and equipment near the frontlines.
>they are sitting still around Idlib area duckhunting
But Suheil wasn't around, last i saw him he was in DeZ...

>>197358
Double L, that's new.

>100th Artillery Regiment of the SRG while heading to North Syria,, days ago
https://twitter.com/jamlyyyyy/status/1083133728933728256
two parts

>>197329
I was at work Snus...

>>197368
You missed the happenings and revelations you fuck...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0QAVquq9bNs

>>197370
Meh, I like getting here when gains are over, makes Shitmapping simpler and faster.

Speaking of Shitmaps.

>>197371
Fair point
Neat, absolute state of NLF

I'm off for dinner, I'll post Ebin Analysis of the strategic situation in Idlibstan when I get back.

>A night demonstration in the city of Ma'ara al-Nu'man where civilians are refusing/demonstrating against allowing #HTS to enter the city
https://twitter.com/IvanSidorenko1/status/1083157783757889538
>Militant men of Maarat al-Numaan swear to defend their land from #HTS
https://twitter.com/IvanSidorenko1/status/1083157895229906945
That's it boys, Ahrar al-Sham will make a comeback and eradicate HTS from Idlib!!

>>197373
Welp, dinner's postponed for an hour.

Here it is
>>197371
Take note of how HTS has been surrounding the countryside around Maarrat al-Nu'man and Ariha. They went and captured the northern areas first (Aleppo CS), then the areas directly east of Maarrat al-Nu'man, then the southern areas (isolated areas north of Khan Shaykhun), and now they're capturing the western areas (Jabal Zawiya, Sahl al-Ghab).

Evidently, HTS either considers Maarrat al-Nu'man and Ariha to be strongholds (especially Maarrat al-Nu'man) that must be surrounded first before attacked, or they're looking to ramp up pressure on NLF and ensure an easy blitz by surrounding them on all fronts before the storm.

Take note that their attacks follow a roughly clockwise direction. If they hold true to this, I expect the Jisr al-Shughur CS will be the next battlefield in the infighting before they move on Maarrat al-Nu'man/Ariha - since the areas left after these two cities will be easy pickings since the area between the two cities makes up the "core" of the NLF.

One thing is certain: HTS isn't making all these gainz only to stop at those two cities, and the remaining areas will be easy pickings. HTS is seeking to capture all of Idlibstan.

>>197376
pic related

>Jisr al-Shughur CS will be the next battlefield
T*rkistan Islamic Party controls that area, not NLF.
Maarrat al-Nu'man or Ariha are next (prob Ariha IMO).
>HTS isn't making all these gainz only to stop at those two cities
For sure.
>the remaining areas will be easy pickings
We'll see, the gains in the southwestern corner of Idlib the last two days hasn't had a single KIA, groups are capitulating left and right.
>HTS is seeking to capture all of Idlibstan
Aye.
Their fanboys are raving about dissolving all other groups and uniting into a single entity so as to fend of SAA under a unified command.

I suspect the white box will be the first move, isolating Ariha from Marat.

Another interesting dev today is this: >>197323
Meaning whatever is east of Al Tah and Jarjanaz is or will be basically cut off before long.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=35.557647&lon=36.669617&z=12&m=bs&gz=0;367284965;355408869;0;0;559616;762295

>>197378
>T*rkistan Islamic Party controls that area, not NLF.
Hmm. Then as you say, Maarrat and Ariha are next with a move to split the two from each other happening first, followed by a storm on all directions against each city. Then the eastern Idlibstan area will be easy pickings since they're isolated NLF against the brunt of HTS that isn't spread out on multiple fronts within Idlibstan anymore.

>>197381
>a move to split the two from each other happening first, followed by a storm on all directions against each city
Fer shure.
>the eastern Idlibstan area will be easy pickings since they're isolated
Oh definitely, there won't be any resistance i reckon.

Hmm, Ariha is occupied by Suqour al-Sham and Maraat is occupied by Ahrar al-Sham, who do you think will fight hardest?
Suqour has some pretty sweet APCs afterall.

>>197342
thanks for the insights

>>197348
remind me of that woman called alic aida which sounds like al qaeda

>>197384
I'd say Ariha since the terrain favors them more than at Maarrat.

>>197387
>the terrain favors them more
Depends if they can hold the mountain overlooking the town.
I'll make a shitty snusmap based on @Suriyak to demonstrate how bad things can be if you count TIP as HTS territory.

>>197389
>>197387
Ariha status:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GYocoMJIrPA

New gif

>>197390
vat? I thought the fighting was closer to Ariha... Gif might be wrong.

>>197392
That's because your map is wrong, in this area, NLF are not on the outskirts of Jisr al-Shughur.
Orange = kinda your frontlines
Black = kinda what i illustrated in my previous snusmap: >>197390

>>197395
>my map is wrong
No no, I copy almost everything off Ebin, blame him, your honor!
But thanks, I'll make that change!

>>197390
Here's a continuation, showing how easily HTS could cut off Marat from Ariha, just a few tiny villages, two of which might even be HTS controlled already...

>>197383
Jej, that picture looks like the NLF infighting among themselves within an infight, within a civil war.
Wouldn't be surprised tbqh.

>>197396
Oh, you aren't Ebin.
Uhh, well, i'm not blaming either of you, i didn't pay any attention when the last Idlib showdown happened so I'm just trusting Suriyak on this, he's almost always on point.
Then again, this mapper is also reliable, and the frontlines at Ariha aren't the same: >>197225
So take my expert advice (pic related) with a grain of salt.

>>197398
The great NLF ouroboros.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a7Wn2csYTeo

By the way Nate and Ebin, if you have the time and will to do it, please change the color of the green pocket in the Hama salient, due to their (Jaysh al-Izza) friendly relations with HTS, i wouldn't consider them to be NLF, especially not after this showdown.
Maybe purple or light blue would fit.

>>197402
Okay, good suggestion. What about the Turkistan Islamic party pocket? Do they side with HTS or NLF?

>>197403
HTS.
Considering their close relations with HTS, i wouldn't change the color to black or anything, just keep it as is.

>>197404
Will do!

>Manbij military council (SDF) hoists the #Syrian flag on its headquarters in the city of #Manbij.
https://twitter.com/ahmadalissa/status/1083178347780337665
Might not be in the city of Manbij, we'll see.

>>197405
Cheers!

>hoholmaps Idlib right now
Besides Jisr and the Aleppo suburbs being wrongfully colored as NLF territory, their version of Idlib is even worse for NLF than other maps say.

>>197392
Uh Nate, look at the top, you left that one village to the NE of Darat Izza that's right on the lines with Olive Branch as a green dot when it should be grey.
>>197402
Eh, thing is, look at the key at the bottom of my Shitmaps - it clearly defines grey/white as HTS only (no "& allies") with literally everyone else grouped together under the umbrella term as "Opposition" - exception being darkest green as TFSA and Turkish Army.
tl;dr, if they ain't HTS itself, they stay green.

As we say in swedish, sent ska syndaren vakna (the sinner wakes late). Their garbage reporting and eventual result of the Darat Izza battle must have slapped some sense into them.

>>197411
>if they ain't HTS itself, they stay green
well shid

>>197411
Do you mean north west?
duly noted!
Will fix!

>>197414
Northwest, northeast, who gives a shite about minor details?
Just fix it.

>>197413
Plus there's the appearance to be concerned about
>green dots in a sea of white looks ugly af
And then there's finding icons of the same size for various icons in those green areas that aren't muddied by other icons being on top of them or being on border.
And then there's the issue of green icons (Kernaz, al-Banah, Kafr Zita) being on borders or having roads running through them.
>REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEETISM
I'm very autistic when it comes to Shitmaps, with a strong dose of OCD mixed in.

>>197416
What a shame. Oh well, this will all the over soon enough.

>>197415
I shall!
On a side note, I'm okay with Left and Right but I, myself, do have trouble with knowing E/W straight away. My method (this is going to sound silly), is to visualize the locations of the Eastern and Western Roman Empires to find the answer quickly.
>mfw every time someone says east or west, I have to do this...

>>197419
Lel, I use left for west and right for east.
>mfw I forgot this method this time around.

>>197417
I don't think he's in the literal town by the way, it looks like he's somewhere in the recently captured areas west of Maraat with al-Arba'een mountain in the background.

>>197423
>moving
Are they getting bused?
The memes will be good if so.

>Be rebel
>fight against Assad
>call him an infidel / Nusayri etc
>use trebuchets to fight him
>get btfo
>get bused to idlib

>Arrive in Idlib
>fight against HTS
>call them infidels / traitors of the revolution
>use home-made drones to fight them
>get btfo
>get bused to Afrin

>>197424
then
>Arrive in Afrin

and the circle of life continues...

>>197424
Yep, maybe not only using real busses, but the idea is the same.
More ironic is the fact that HTS members who got green bussed from southern Syria etc are doing the same to their fellow rebels.

Now that Idlib is back on the menu... Aleppo suburbs, Jisr al-Shughur, the Hama salient, Saraqib, al-Eis.
What's first?

>>197429
Aleppo suburbs, the road direct from Aleppo to Zahraa.
I want that bulge cleared out to satisfy my roadtism.

>>197430
There's a dilemma though, what about the TFSA wankers in Afrin, what if they expand when HTS are focusing on other stuff, do you think the Syrian gov minds?
Furthermore, isolating HTS from Afrin would strengthen HTS and put more weight on SAA's shoulders...
Think Russia could convince T*rkey to forbid TFSA/ES/NLF from advancing?

>>197430
All in all i agree though, securing the Aleppo suburbs would be stellar.

>>197432
>do you think the Syrian gov minds?
Snus, I...
>Furthermore, isolating HTS from Afrin would strengthen HTS and put more weight on SAA's shoulders…
How? It'd mean TFSA and Turkish Army can't intervene from Afrin.
Also
>Implying TFSA can't move through Turkey to reach Idlib
Again, Snus, I...
>Think Russia could convince T*rkey to forbid TFSA/ES/NLF from advancing?
I dunno, Erdogan doing nothing seems to indicate he doesn't want those proxies anymore - TFSA was created not to fight ISIS or Assad, but to keep Kurds under control. No more Kurdish threat, no more TFSA relevancy.

>>197434
>How? It'd mean TFSA and Turkish Army can't intervene from Afrin.
That means less pressure on them.
>TFSA can move through Turkey to reach Idlib
Dang, good point...
Now that you mention it, TFSA expanding into Idlib is unavoidable unless first thing SAA does is capturing the border or Erdomeme goes complete redemption arc.