Attached is a new version of the mega chart. The previous one violated my principle that the data should tell the story, not me. I changed it to a 100nT GMS threshold because scientists consider that to be an "intense" GMS. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geomagnetic_storm#Definition
I also changed it to be a 1 year resolution, I should not be telling people about solar cycle effects, I should let the data tell you instead.
However this made me wonder what the spread in GMS counts looks like month to month, rather than year to year. This is part of a wider debate I have been having with myself: What is more important for volumes of plasmoid production? Storm intensity, or storm count? The answer might be both. Therefore each month cell on the mega-chart needs to show both storm peak and storm count for each month. Therefore I am going to automate making the whole chart which will have three data points for each month cell. UFO report count, storm count, and storm peak intensity. The left of the UFO dot will be a color representing the peak storm and the right of the dot will represent the storm counts.
This then means that as I associate each UFO report peak with either a high storm count or a high storm intensity I can draw a line down the left or right half of the cells between origin storm(s) and culminating UFOs. This also means the lines can leap over other lines like in electric circuit diagrams. This will make other overlapping ejection->UFO events not tread on each others when it gets complex.
This keeps the chart concise but also containing 5 dimensions of data: Month (Earth same location in space), Year (offset correlations with solar cycle), UFO counts, storm counts and storm intensities. This will take some time because I'll have to script the production of the chart as it is too complex and specific for standard charting software.
I do believe, though, that this will be the final version of the at-a-glance situation covering 140 years of UFOs and solar activity. Considering the scope of what is being shown in one 2 dimensional image I think it is very cool. It is then the basic representation upon which I can start picking off the UFO spikes and correlating the UFO spikes with causes. What I expect to happen is some spikes will fail to have a obvious solar or "witness seeking" explanations. These UFO spikes then can be dug into deeper to see if they are human flying saucers or even aliens. I can then compare the general behaviour of the UFOs to other spikes and see what is different.
On the chart (pic1) also is two notes in red at the very bottom of the chart. This led to another revelation and then a hypothesis, I'd like to share:
In May 1869 there was a geomagnetic "super-storm" (scientists called readings over 250nT super-storms, I am learning the lingo!). Then in May, again, but in 1872 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Angelo_Secchi
detected the sun having more and more Mg spectral lines. It appears that the May 1869 storm is the initiating event that starts the Mystery [insert word here] and Flying Saucer era. It is another example of the sun doing something in a particular month and us seeing visual results in the same month but years later. And is the data again doubling down on saying that ejections from the sun travel almost vertical.
It suggests that the May 1869 solar explosion was internal and this churned up the metal silt layer at the bottom of the Convection Zone and pushed metal into the solar convection currents. We know from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/HZE_ions
that the metal is completely ionized. So the glowing Mg that Secchi sees is the former atomic metallic nuclei moving from the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tachocline
area to the convection area and then the photosphere. The metal ions have gone from millions of degrees, and the brightest location in the solar system (aside from the core), to 6000K at the photosphere. This process appears to have taken 3 years. This also suggests some explosions are internal to the sun whilst others are at the surface (magnetic reconnection in the corona).
This also helps answer the question: If the sun has explosions in the 1860 and 70s where are the 1880 and 1890s UFO swarms? The answer is that the metal, being strongly ionised is opposed to clumping into metal blobs. They have like charges still and therefore repell each other, this is why the metal spreads over the sun and glows as it captures electrons. Over the years this metal acquires electrons and become more typical metal. At the same time it is at risk of falling back into the sun, to be lost from view again. But the sun is entering into its grand cycle peak, so the more nomalised metal gets thrusted back up by increasing solar storms (pic2) resulting in "metallic prominences" and sometimes thrown into space. But the throwing intensity has to wait for the solar intensity, which you can see in pic1 is about the 1940s.
Now, the more nomalised metal, has a optimal chance to make it from the sun to the Earth. The metal itself may still be partially ionised or in various states. The metal blobs may have a un-ionized hull with an ionized plasma core. The core is low pressure and therefore acts like a balloon in our atmosphere. The hull may be thin, and so rapid speed/direction changes don't have intertia problems.
Because they are electro-magnetic and light they may also be pushed by radar, so aircraft tracking may actually be repelling them also.
One last observation. It seems all of this was kicked off by a GMS with a reading of 531nT. But the sun has had larger storms:>SELECT * FROM `magnetic_storm_3h` where value>700>1989-03-13 21:00:00 715>1989-03-14 00:00:00 715>2003-10-29 06:00:00 715
In 1989 the sun had at least two extreme storms. These are larger than any recorded before. 1989 is also when Black Triangles start: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belgian_UFO_wave
is it related?