/mlpol/ - My Little Politics

>>301652
A "leaked" houthi document showing the terms for reconciliation for the tribes of Marib.
Here's a direct translation, it doesn't always make sense, but gives a clear picture.
>Third (im guessing military zone): Guarantees and Commitments:
>Not to pursue anyone, to avoid the ranks and fronts of the Hadi Army, and not to prejudice
>With any possessions he has, including weapons, cars, or houses
>Not to arrest any person who was among the lists of fighters on the fronts
>Avoid fighting from the date of 2020
>Not to employ any person from outside the governorate of Ma'rib in offices and institutions
>The state in the governorate.
>Giving the people of Ma'rib Governorate priority in the jobs of the Safer Oil Company
>And gas, with no less than 80% of the total number of employees and employees In which.
>The allocation of 70% of SAFER's revenues for the Ma'rib Governorate.
>Establishing a mechanism for counting and replacing the new currency for the benefit of merchants and shop owners
In the province
>Preservation by the people of Ma'rib on all state facilities and government institutions
>And the province.
>That the people of Ma'rib governorate have priority in assuming army and security positions
>In the province.
>Restoring state employees to their previous official jobs.
>Restoring the numbers and salaries of all army and security personnel from the Ma'rib governorate
>Not participating in the fighting from the date of 2021
>Giving the sheikhs and notables of Marib Governorate their prominent social position and role
>In the order of the county and the status of its children.
>Not to enter the farms and villages of the people of Ma'rib Governorate, and to be satisfied with being in certain places of military or security importance and in a manner that preserves their safety.
>Maintaining the safety and security of all residents of the other governorates (districts) in Marib governorate and not participating in the fronts or withdrawing from and ensuring that they are not subjected to any harassment in exchange for a guarantee and a definition

>>301653
As anti-houthi sources point out, there are no signatures from any sheiks of Marib, so it's kind of suspect, but houthi spokesmen have been very vocal about Marib city "falling" from the inside...

For now, very unconfirmed news: Reportedly Asdas (Raghwan district) has captured and the houthis have reached the farmlands between Marib and the dam.
I won't believe it until we see some visual evidence.

Something might be brewing near al-Bab...
I have seen report of SAA 5th corp and tiger forces arriving near al-Bab and now this:
>Video of SAA 16th Storming Brigade technicals and artillery posted on Feb 16, same day the unit arrived near al-Bab #Aleppo. Brigade was formed last year and is commanded by Brig Saleh Abdullah, formerly of the #Tiger_Forces
https://twitter.com/GregoryPWaters/status/1362488992093110277

>A number of leaders of Hadi's forces were killed, most notably the commander of the Falcons Brigade at the Malboudeh front
Al-Houthi forces control the Dushsh al Haqn southeast of Malboudeh in Madghal
>A breakdown of the advance of Hadi's forces on the positions of the Houthi forces in the Al-Alam region
>Violent clashes south of Al-Tala'a Al-Hamra
https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1362485307166326790

>New sites east of Marib fell at the hands of the Houthis
https://twitter.com/MohamadAlmorady/status/1362507082675720194
East?

Dope as hell houthi 2020 compilation by Yemen Wrath
https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=6&v=6Z4Ccqm9C24

>>301252
>>301294
>Nuri Mahmoud, a spokesman for the People's Protection Units (YPG), confirmed that the SDF, which ranges between 70-100k fighters, may be part of the new "Syrian army" after reaching a comprehensive political solution to the Syria crisis.
>Nuri Mahmoud: The liberation of Afrin is a strategic goal for the SDF. The fall of the city in the hands of the Turkish occupation was not yet a military defeat as much as it was an international diplomatic deal.
https://twitter.com/RojavaNetwork/status/1362873644997828616
Bogus numbers aside, interesting timing.

>>301841
>The Yemeni army and the popular committees are advancing towards the Al-Wadiah border crossing with Saudi Arabia east of Marib
https://twitter.com/uunionnews/status/1362870917907505157
For now let's put an (x) on them advancing that far today, but the reports from the al-Alam/Ruwayq front are sounding damn good.

>>301843
>The steadfastness of the Alam Front during the past few days collapsed in one blow in the face of the constant Houthi pressure and the absence of reinforcements, despite the demands for them 7 days ago.
https://twitter.com/S4MOSABI/status/1362896199003561991
4 hours ago:
>Houthi forces control important sites in Al-Alam
>In addition, an entire battalion was besieged
https://twitter.com/MohamadAlmorady/status/1362847667194331138
3 hours:
>besides the new sites, the houthis also gained large spoils of integrated military equipment (wut) and capture dozens of weapons.
https://twitter.com/MohamadAlmorady/status/1362847667194331138

>>301848
>>301843
thanks for all the updates
did they take marib dam? isw is claming it, but i cant belive it
big if true

>>301852
>did they take marib dam? isw is claming it, but i cant belive it
Nah, they probably misunderstood the reports of the houthis reaching the dam reservoir.

Afghan Shitmupdate
Major correction to the situation in Panjwayi area to the immediate west of Kandahar city
Taliban offensive in Sholgara of Balkh, Taliban seize Minar in Khash rod of Nimruz, Basharan to the north of Lashkargah in Helmand is contested, Taliban take Surkh Ab in Mohammed Agha area of Loga (no shitmap frontline change though lol) and substantial Taliban offensive to the west of Qarabagh DHQ in Ghazni.

>>301722
wtf is going on in TFSA territory, there was a SVBIED attack like two days ago and tonight a car bomb
https://twitter.com/swed005/status/1363197902227701760

>>301928
>Clashes in Al-Ruwaik camp between the National Army brigades left 7 dead and a number of wounded.
https://twitter.com/S4MOSABI/status/1363245828605886467
lmfao

Whoops, missed this:
>The surrounding area of Arak fell to the hands of the Houthis, which is the area to which some of the displaced (from al-Zur) were transferred two days ago.
https://twitter.com/S4MOSABI/status/1363256193775530000
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.326117&lon=45.186939&z=15&m=bs&show=/40126041/Ark-al-Tuaiman
Translation is wonky and the Arak area is bigger than only the village in link so it's not even clear that they crossed the river.
It's extremely tiresome to guess and the ridiculously high amount of false reports from the fronts lately makes me skeptical, but if you ask me they are simply approaching the unnamed village to the west of Ark-al-Tuaiman:
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=15.325206&lon=45.169559&z=15&m=bs&show=/40126233/Village

Big ole SAA convoy heading north
https://twitter.com/200_zoka/status/1363461994456748033

>>301948
There was also this report a short while after i went to sleep:
>Houthi forces take control of the Hisn Mutawil (Mutawil fortress) and Arak.
https://twitter.com/MohamadAlmorady/status/1363363242786045953
Can't find the Hisn/Fortress and (x) on any gains report right now.

>>301979
If it's true the houthis crossed the river, the hadi forces are definitely not in control of the mountains flanking the Arak village.

Which one of you russian degenerates hacked Ali's twitter?
https://twitter.com/aalnaasi/status/1363597462519300098

>>302002
Wholesome

>>302117
I can't find many clearly defined defensive positions in this mountainous region between the river (Wadi Dhana) and the Jubah-Marib road making me think it's part of the neutral Bani Dabyan tribal region.
Presumably the mountain range (brown line) could be used defensively by pro-Hadi forces but it cannot be crossed directly with vehicles (white lines=usable roads).
Methinks they won't put up much of a fight, if any and instead relegate themselves to the vicinity of the Jubah-Marib road.
If the houthis commit to advancing in this region, Jabal Murad could be in big doo-doo.

>>302121
>If the houthis commit to advancing in this region, Jabal Murad could be in big doo-doo
Speaking of Jabal Murad, whatever happened to the supposedly massive houthi reinforcements down there?
All I've seen has been reports of skirmishes and failed infiltration attempts.
It's a gargantuan stretch for sure, but what if all the ruckus north and west of Marib city is a ruse?

Every time I check in on Ethiopia it's just more massacre videos, peak African warfare, I've seen basically nothing of the fighting in comparison.

>>302122
My assumption at this point is that the bothering in that area was the distraction to draw some attention away from the northern meatgrinder, I know there were small reports at the beginning but my understanding is that the area can't possibly be defended heavily enough that if they wanted to take it and utilised their resources they couldn't.
I'm not really sure that all this advancing to the south of the dam is going to lead to anything on its own, Jabal al Balaq al Qibli seemed like a really big move but as I understand they lost it. I guess we will see which direction Ma'rib falls from but right now i'm not seeing it, everything seems possible.

Yemen Shitmupdate - corrections for Marib and Jawf provinces.
Also I actually really don't like updating this map lmao.

Afghan Shitmupdate
Corrections: Issued a mix of gains/corrections in the area to the west of Jalrez DHQ in Wardak
Gains: Taliban contest Bauhaddin near Moqor DHQ in Ghazni, capture a string of villages to the west of besieged Jalrez DHQ in Wardak, and contest Afghanyah in central Kapisa.

I really really really like this map however.

>>302171
> I really really really like this map however.
I agree, it's neat.

>>302140
>Jabal Murad was the distraction
Aye, i figured so aswell but now I'm not sure.
>Jabal Murad can't possibly be defended heavily enough that if they wanted to take it and utilised their resources they couldn't
You're absolutely correct, but there are other ways to win that doesn't involve such savagery.
>Jabal al Balaq al Qibli seemed like a really big move but as I understand they lost it
If you ask me they never captured it.

Reports of Houthi reinforcement to the Jabal Murad/Abdiyah front and Saudi drone being shot down on in Abdiyah.
Eyes on Harib district laddos.

A pro-Hadi patrol boat was hit with an ATGM on the Marib dam reservoir lake today killing all onboard.
Hadi forces still control the dam.

Afghan Shitmupdate & Districtmupdate
Corrections: issued large correction for Pashtun Zarghun District in Herat, issued corrections for Angur Ada (which is basically a part of Pakistan by now) and for Gomal and Urgun Districts in Paktia,
Gains: Taliban cut the road between Herat and Pashtun Zarghun, take over Afghanyeh in Kapisa and definitively cut the road between Tagab and Mahmud-e Raqi, and take over Arghistan DHQ in Kandahar.
ANA recaptures Gandamak and Tolo villages in Sherzad District.

Clashes in the desert and a missile strike on Hadi HQ in Marib.
Sigh.

Supposedly a pic of Marib taken from Jabal Balaq al-Qibli by houthis tonight.
It's not showing up on image search and it does indeed look like Marib so it seems legit!

>>302482
HERE

>>302483
>MaRiB SoOn
Has it been year already?

Though it seems like that the Houthis are on the roll.

The houthis (re)gained control of the Abdiyah dam today.
http://wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=14.620659&lon=45.335512&z=17&m=bs&show=/34979844/Dam-Reservoir
Marib city frontlines are a blur.

Yemeni missiles hitting targets.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X2KH0W5-6B4

>Reuters: Senior US officials meet with Houthi officials in the Sultanate of Oman.
>US officials urge the Houthis to hold talks with Saudi Arabia and stop the attack on Marib.
https://twitter.com/S4MOSABI/status/1367122989272170512
I haven't been able to follow the news too well lately, but i reckon the slow-down on the Marib front is connected to this meeting.

Russia hit another DIY oil refinery in TFSA territory n/w of Manbij.
Lots of juicy videos of the explosions and aftermath:
https://twitter.com/NotWoofers/status/1367872077924077568
Ironic that T*rkey allows their proxies trading with SDF.